Identifying Predictors of Anti-VEGF Treatment Response in Patients with Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration through Discriminant and Principal Component Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: AURA was an observational study that monitored visual acuity outcomes following ranibizumab use in neovascular age-related macular degeneration patients over 2 years. The aim of this analysis was to identify factors that were predictive of visual acuity outcomes in AURA. METHODS: The correlation between the baseline characteristics, the use of resources and the visual acuity outcomes in AURA was explored using principal component analysis (PCA) and partial least-squares-discriminant analysis (PLS-DA). The response variables analysed were mean change in visual acuity over 2 years (analysed via PCA) and no decline in visual acuity at 2 years compared with baseline (analysed via PLS-DA). RESULTS: The AURA dataset comprised 2,227 patients and 132 variables. Using PCA and PLS-DA, we found that the number of ranibizumab injections, clinic and monitoring visits, number of optical coherence tomography scans and ophthalmoscopies correlated with a change in visual acuity at Years 1 and 2, and are therefore key drivers of treatment success. CONCLUSION: This is a novel approach to graphically explore relationships between multiple correlated covariates and outcomes in real-life ophthalmology studies. It identified a number of variables that are positively linked with treatment outcomes.

Aflibercept vs. Ranibizumab: cost-effectiveness of treatment for wet age-related macular degeneration in Sweden.

PURPOSE: Monthly dosing with ranibizumab (RBZ) is needed to achieve maximal visual gains in patients with neovascular ('wet') age-related macular degeneration (wAMD). In Sweden, dosing is performed as needed (RBZ PRN), resulting in suboptimal efficacy. Intravitreal aflibercept (IVT-AFL) every 2 months after three initial monthly doses was clinically equivalent to RBZ monthly dosing (RBZ q4) in wAMD clinical trials. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of IVT-AFL versus RBZ q4 and RBZ PRN in Sweden. METHODS: A Markov model compared IVT-AFL to RBZ q4 or RBZ PRN over 2 years. Health states were based on visual acuity in better-seeing eye; a proportion discontinued treatment monthly or upon visual acuity <20/400. Parameters were estimated from trial data, published literature or expert opinion. Analyses were performed from a societal perspective with a lifetime horizon. The model calculated costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), discounted 3% annually. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Lifetime cost of IVT-AFL was 578 400 SEK, compared with 565 700 SEK for RBZ PRN and 686 600 SEK for RBZ q4. Compared with RBZ PRN, the ICER of IVT-AFL was 27 000 SEK/QALY gained. RBZ q4 cost 20.4 million SEK/QALY gained versus IVT-AFL. Results were sensitive to IVT-AFL efficacy, but IVT-AFL had a 100% probability of being cost-effective versus both RBZ PRN and RBZ q4 at a willingness-to-pay threshold of 500 000 SEK. CONCLUSION: Results suggest, in Sweden, at parity price level, IVT-AFL is less costly than RBZ q4, while demonstrating similar efficacy; IVT-AFL is cost-effective versus RBZ PRN.

Key drivers of visual acuity gains in neovascular age-related macular degeneration in real life: findings from the AURA study.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: To identify predictive markers for the outcomes of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor therapy for neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD). METHODS: AURA was a retrospective, observational, multicentre study that monitored the 2-year outcomes following intravitreal ranibizumab treatment in patients with nAMD. Using stepwise regression analysis, we evaluated the association between visual acuity outcomes, baseline characteristics and resource utilisation in order to determine which variables are significantly linked to outcomes in AURA. We also examined the relationship between visual acuity outcomes and number of injections received. RESULTS: Analyses were performed using data from year 1 (n=1695) and year 2 completers (n=1184). Logistic analysis showed that baseline visual acuity score, age at start of therapy, number of ophthalmoscopies and optical coherence tomography (OCT) (combined) and number of injections (ranibizumab) were significant (p<0.05) prognostic factors for vision maintenance (loss <15 letters) or vision gain (≥15 letters). Patients who received >7 injections (in 1 year) or >14 injections (over 2 years) gained more letters and demonstrated greater vision maintenance (loss of <15 letters) than patients who received fewer injections. There was a significant (p<0.05) association between number of injections and national reimbursement schemes and OCT. CONCLUSIONS: A number of factors that are predictive of treatment outcomes in a real-life setting were identified. Notably, the decline of treatment benefits may be linked to number of injections and a failure to visit clinicians and receive OCT as required. These findings may be helpful in guiding ophthalmologist treatment decisions under limited time and financial constraints. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01447043.

Improvement in vision-related function with intravitreal aflibercept: data from phase 3 studies in wet age-related macular degeneration.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the effect of intravitreal aflibercept injection on visual function in wet age-related macular degeneration (AMD). DESIGN: Prospective, multicenter, double-masked, active-controlled, parallel-group, randomized phase 3 clinical studies (VEGF Trap-Eye: Investigation of Efficacy and Safety in Wet AMD [VIEW] 1 and 2 [clinicaltrials.gov identifiers, NCT00509795 and NCT00637377, respectively]). PARTICIPANTS: Patients (n=2419) with active, treatment-naïve, exudative AMD. This analysis included patients who received intravitreal aflibercept 2.0 mg every 8 weeks (2q8; n=607) or ranibizumab 0.5 mg every 4 weeks (0.5q4; n=595). INTERVENTION: Patients were randomized 1:1:1:1 to receive intravitreal aflibercept 2q8 (after 3 initial monthly doses), intravitreal aflibercept 2q4, intravitreal aflibercept 0.5q4, or ranibizumab 0.5q4 in the study eye. Patients in the intravitreal aflibercept 2q8 group received a sham injection alternating with active treatment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The 25-item National Eye Institute Visual Function Questionnaire (NEI VFQ-25) was administered at baseline and at weeks 12, 24, 36, and 52. The NEI VFQ-25 subscale scores were compared between intravitreal aflibercept 2q8 and ranibizumab 0.5q4 treatment arms, the approved dosing for each agent worldwide. Change in composite NEI VFQ-25 score was evaluated based on categorical change in visual acuity (worsened, unchanged, improved). RESULTS: Baseline NEI VFQ-25 scores were similar for both treatments in both studies. Mean change from baseline to 52 weeks was similar for ranibizumab 0.5q4 and intravitreal aflibercept 2q8 across all 12 subscales, with the greatest improvements noted for mental health and general vision (9.0-11.6 points, both treatments, both studies). Improvement of 4 points or more (both treatments, both studies) also was observed for subscales near vision, distance vision, role difficulties, and dependency. Mean change from baseline to 52 weeks in NEI VFQ-25 composite score (pooled data) stratified by clinical response showed meaningful improvement only in patients who gained 5 Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy letters or more (7.3 and 7.8 points for intravitreal aflibercept 2q8 and ranibizumab 0.5q4, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Visual function outcomes were similar across all NEI VFQ-25 subscales over 52 weeks for intravitreal aflibercept 2q8 and ranibizumab 0.5q4, with clinically meaningful improvement recorded in 6 of 12 subscales.

Impact of estradiol valerate/dienogest on work productivity and activities of daily living in women with heavy menstrual bleeding.

OBJECTIVES: To quantify the change in work productivity and activities of daily living in North American women with heavy menstrual bleeding (HMB) treated with estradiol valerate/dienogest (E2V/DNG; Qlaira(®)/Natazia(®)) compared to placebo. METHODS: Women in the United States and Canada, aged 20-53 years with an objective diagnosis of HMB and no recognizable anatomical pathology, were treated with E2V/DNG or placebo for seven cycles (196 days). Main outcome measures included work productivity (i.e., productivity while at work) and activities of daily living measured using a modified Work Productivity and Activity Impairment Questionnaire (mWPAI) on a Likert scale from 0 to 10 (higher values denote higher impairment levels). RESULTS: In both countries, significant improvement was observed between baseline and end of treatment in work productivity and activities of daily living impairment. The improvements in work productivity and activities of daily living with E2V/DNG treatment relative to placebo ranged from 37.2% to 39.2% across both countries. Monthly gains due to E2V/DNG treatment (net of placebo improvement) associated with improvement in work productivity were estimated to be US$80.2 and Can$70.8 (US$58.5) and those associated with improvement in activities of daily living were estimated to be US$84.9 and Can$73.5 (US$60.7). CONCLUSIONS: E2V/DNG was shown to have a consistent positive impact on work productivity and activities of daily living in U.S. and Canadian women with HMB. In addition, these improvements in work productivity and activities of daily living were associated with a reduction in HMB-related monetary burden compared to the placebo group.

Potential economic impact of increasing low dose aspirin usage on CVD in the US.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of death in the US and Western Europe, but regular use of preventive low-dose aspirin has proven effective in preventing CVD events. The purpose of this study was to explore the potential economic impact in the US if preventive aspirin usage were to be increased in line with clinical guidelines for primary and secondary prevention. METHODS: The risk profile of the US population was characterized using NHANES data, and Framingham cardiovascular risk equations were applied to calculate risk for myocardial infarction, angina and ischemic stroke according to age and gender. Primary and secondary patients were considered separately. Using publicly available unit costs, a budget impact model calculated the annual impact of increased preventive aspirin usage considering gastrointestinal bleeding and hemorrhagic stroke adverse events and diminishing aspirin adherence over a 10-year time horizon. RESULTS: In a base population of 1,000,000 patients, full implementation of clinical guidelines would potentially prevent an additional 1273 myocardial infarctions, 2184 angina episodes and 565 ischemic strokes in primary prevention patients and an additional 578 myocardial infarctions, and 607 ischemic strokes in secondary prevention patients. This represents a total savings of $79.6 million for primary prevention and $32.2 million for secondary and additional out-of-pocket expense to patients of $29.0 million for primary prevention and $2.6 million for secondary prevention for the cost of aspirin. CONCLUSIONS: This budgetary model suggests that there is a strong economic case, both for payers and society, to encourage aspirin use for patients at appropriate risk and per clinical guidelines. It also provides an example of how minimizing costs do not necessarily have to imply a rationing of care. Limitations include the exclusion of other CVD interventions in the analysis.