Defining Endoscopic Remission in Crohn's Disease: MM-SES-CD and SES-CD Thresholds Associated With Low Risk of Disease Progression.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We assessed Modified Multiplier Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease (MM-SES-CD) and Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease (SES-CD) thresholds that are best associated with low likelihood of long-term disease progression. METHODS: Data from 61 patients with early Crohn's disease (CD) who participated in the CALM long-term extension study were used as the derivation cohort and validated using the McMaster inflammatory bowel disease database (n = 99). The primary outcome was disease progression (new internal fistula/abscess, stricture, perianal fistula or abscess, CD-related hospitalization or surgery) since the end of the CALM trial. Optimal MM-SES-CD and SES-CD thresholds were determined using the maximum Youden index. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses compared threshold scores of remission definitions on disease progression. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, based on the maximum Youden index, the optimal thresholds associated with a low likelihood of disease progression were MM-SES-CD <22.5 and SES-CD <4. A significantly greater proportion of patients with a MM-SES-CD ≥22.5 had disease progression as compared with patients in the derivation cohort with MM-SES-CD <22.5 (10/17 [58.8%] vs 3/44 [6.8%]; P < .001). Similarly, a significantly greater number of patients with SES-CD ≥ 4 had disease progression compared with those with a SES-CD <4 (11/25 [44.0%] vs 2/36 [5.6%]; P < .001). Compared with other clinical or endoscopic remission definitions, which demonstrated poor to fair accuracy, MM-SES-CD <22.5 performed the best for predicting disease progression (area under the curve = 0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.68-0.94; P < .001). These thresholds were confirmed in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Achievement of MM-SES-CD <22.5 or SES-CD <4 in patients with ileocolonic or colonic CD is associated with low risk of disease progression and may be suitable targets in clinical trials and practice for endoscopic healing.

Delayed Ustekinumab and Adalimumab Responders Have Similar Outcomes as Early Responders in Biologic-Naïve Crohn's Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Differences in 1-year outcomes among early and delayed responders have been demonstrated with some therapies in ulcerative colitis. However, it is unclear whether similar differences exist in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) treated with biologic therapies. METHODS: This was a post hoc analysis of patient-level data from the SEAVUE clinical trial program. Ustekinumab-treated and adalimumab-treated patients with clinical response at week 8, defined as a reduction in Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI) score of at least 100 points from baseline or CDAI score <150, were deemed early responders and their outcomes were compared with delayed responders (week 8 nonresponders who subsequently responded at week 16) and nonresponders (no response at week 8 or 16). The primary outcome assessed was clinical remission at week 56, defined as CDAI <150. RESULTS: A total of 373 participants (187 treated with ustekinumab and 186 treated with adalimumab) were included in this analysis. The overall rate of delayed clinical response was low in the SEAVUE clinical trial program (13.1%). No differences were observed for week 56 clinical remission among early vs delayed responders to ustekinumab or adalimumab nor were there significant differences for secondary outcomes assessed. Delayed responders to ustekinumab and adalimumab had a significant decline in C-reactive protein by week 8 when compared with nonresponders. DISCUSSION: Among patients with moderate-to-severe CD, early and delayed responders to adalimumab and ustekinumab have similar 1-year clinical outcomes. Biomarker decline can be observed through the initial 8 weeks of therapy in patients who will eventually be delayed responders, which may help differentiate from nonresponders.

Food Processing and Risk of Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Several studies have been published on the association between food processing and risks of Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), with some variability in results. We performed a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to study this association. METHODS: From PubMed, Medline, and Embase until October 2022, we identified cohort studies that studied the association between food processing and the risk of CD or UC. Risk of bias of the included studies was assessed by the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. We computed pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using random-effects meta-analysis based on estimates and standard errors. RESULTS: A total of 1,068,425 participants were included (13,594,422 person-years) among 5 cohort studies published between 2020 and 2022. Four of the 5 included studies were scored as high quality. The average age of participants ranged from 43 to 56 years; 55%-83% were female. During follow-up, 916 participants developed CD, and 1934 developed UC. There was an increased risk for development of CD for participants with higher consumption of ultra-processed foods compared with those with lower consumption (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.37-2.14; I2 = 0%) and a lower risk of CD for participants with higher consumption of unprocessed/minimally processed foods compared with those with lower consumption (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.53-0.94; I2 = 11%). There was no association between risk of UC and ultra-processed foods (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.86-1.61; I2 = 74%) or unprocessed/minimally processed foods (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.68-1.02; I2 = 0%). CONCLUSIONS: Higher ultra-processed food and lower unprocessed/minimally processed food intakes are associated with higher risk of CD but not UC.

The Performance of the Rutgeerts Score, SES-CD, and MM-SES-CD for Prediction of Postoperative Clinical Recurrence in Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND: We compared the Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease (SES-CD) and Modified Multiplied SES-CD (MM-SES-CD) scores with the Rutgeerts score for predicting clinical recurrence (CR) of postoperative Crohn's disease (CD). METHODS: This post hoc analysis of the prospective, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial comparing remicade and placebo in the prevention of recurrence in Crohn's disease patients undergoing surgical resection who are at an increased risk of recurrence (PREVENT) study used receiver operating characteristic curve analyses to compare the Rutgeerts, SES-CD, and MM-SES-CD scores at week 76 for subsequent CR by week 104 in 208 participants. Multivariate logistic regression models evaluated cutoffs for the odds of experiencing CR by week 104, after adjustment for confounders. CR was defined as Crohn's Disease Activity Index score ≥200 and ≥70-point increase from baseline (or development of fistulas, abscesses, or treatment failure) and endoscopic recurrence by week 104, defined as Rutgeerts score ≥i2. RESULTS: The week 76 Rutgeerts score predicted CR by week 104 with fair accuracy (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.83), which was similar to the SES-CD ileum score (AUC, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.64-0.80) and the MM-SES-CD ileum score (AUC, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.63-0.80). Compared with cutoffs by the other scores, the MM-SES-CD total score ≥26 at week 76 had the highest odds ratio to predict CR by week 104. Patients with a week 76 MM-SES-CD total score ≥26 were 4.41 times (95% CI, 2.06-9.43, P < .001) more likely to have CR by week 104 compared with those with an MM-SES-CD total score <26. CONCLUSIONS: The SES-CD and MM-SES-CD perform similarly to the Rutgeerts score for predicting subsequent CR of postoperative CD. The MM-SES-CD threshold of ≥26 was predictive of postoperative CR. Clinicians and trialists could consider using the SES-CD or MM-SES-CD to assess postoperative CD given their ability to capture colonic disease recurrence and predict CR.

This post hoc analysis of clinical trial data demonstrated that the Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease (SES-CD) and Modified Multiplied SES-CD (MM-SES-CD) perform similarly to the Rutgeerts score for predicting subsequent recurrence of postoperative Crohn's disease (CD). Clinicians and trialists could consider using the SES-CD or MM-SES-CD to assess postoperative CD.

Ulcer Size After Induction Therapy Performs Better Than Symptom Assessment for Prediction of One Year Endoscopic Remission in Crohn's Disease: A Post Hoc Analysis.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated whether postinduction ulcer size and patient-reported outcome (PRO) severity are associated with the achievement of 1-year endoscopic remission (ER) in patients with Crohn's disease (CD). METHODS: This post hoc analysis combined data from several clinical trials including 283 patients with baseline ulcers ≥5 mm with repeat endoscopy after ustekinumab or adalimumab induction therapy. Patient-reported outcomes including stool frequency (SF) and abdominal pain (AP) were measured by the Crohn's Disease Activity Index. Thresholds of SF ≥4 and/or AP ≥2 indicated moderately to severely active CD. Endoscopic remission was defined as Simple Endoscopic Score for CD (SES-CD) <3. Multivariate logistic regression models adjusted for confounders (including disease duration and treatment allocation) evaluated the relationships between postinduction ulcer size, PRO symptoms, and achievement of 1-year ER. RESULTS: Among the 131 CD patients who continued to have ulcers ≥5 mm after induction therapy, 48 (36.6%) achieved 1-year ER. Patients with postinduction ulcers ≥5 mm were approximately 5 times less likely to achieve 1-year ER than the 152 individuals who had small or no postinduction ulcers (odds ratio [OR], 0.20; 95% CI, 0.08-0.51, P = .001). In patients with ulcers ≥5 mm after induction, postinduction PRO scores (including PRO2 and PRO3) did not predict 1-year ER. CONCLUSIONS: Crohn's disease patients with ulcers ≥5 mm after induction therapy are less likely to achieve 1-year ER. Postinduction PRO severity does not offer additional prognostic information. This may suggest that objective measures of disease such as endoscopic ulcer size should be considered over symptom assessments for determining clinical response to therapy and utilized in trials for maintenance therapy.

Crohn's disease patients with ulcers ≥5 mm after induction therapy are less likely to achieve 1-year endoscopic remission. Postinduction patient-reported symptom severity does not offer additional prognostic information. Objective measures of disease such as endoscopic ulcer size should be considered over symptom assessments for determining clinical response to therapy.

Associations of Antibiotics, Hormonal Therapies, Oral Contraceptives, and Long-Term NSAIDS With Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Results From the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Several medications have been suspected to contribute to the etiology of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). This study assessed the association between medication use and the risk of developing IBD using the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology cohort. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study of 133,137 individuals between the ages of 20 and 80 from 24 countries. Country-specific validated questionnaires documented baseline and follow-up medication use. Participants were followed up prospectively at least every 3 years. The main outcome was the development of IBD, including Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). Short-term (baseline but not follow-up use) and long-term use (baseline and subsequent follow-up use) were evaluated. Results are presented as adjusted odds ratios (aORs) with 95% CIs. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 11.0 years (interquartile range, 9.2-12.2 y), there were 571 incident IBD cases (143 CD and 428 UC). Incident IBD was associated significantly with baseline antibiotic (aOR, 2.81; 95% CI, 1.67-4.73; P = .0001) and hormonal medication use (aOR, 4.43; 95% CI, 1.78-11.01; P = .001). Among females, previous or current oral contraceptive use also was associated with IBD development (aOR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.70-2.77; P < .001). Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug users also were observed to have increased odds of IBD (aOR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.23-2.64; P = .002), which was driven by long-term use (aOR, 5.58; 95% CI, 2.26-13.80; P < .001). All significant results were consistent in direction for CD and UC with low heterogeneity. CONCLUSIONS: Antibiotics, hormonal medications, oral contraceptives, and long-term nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use were associated with increased odds of incident IBD after adjustment for covariates.

Predictors of Clinical Remission to Placebo in Clinical Trials of Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND: In placebo-controlled clinical trials for Crohn's disease (CD), some placebo-treated patients demonstrate improvement. However, it is unclear what factors contribute to placebo response and remission. METHODS: This was a post hoc analysis of 3 placebo-controlled clinical trial programs (GEMINI-2, UNITI-1/2, and CLASSIC-1) of moderate-severe CD evaluating the efficacy of vedolizumab, ustekinumab, and adalimumab. Baseline predictors of clinical remission at the end of induction (week 4/6), defined as Crohn's Disease Activity Index <150 were evaluated among placebo-treated patients. Clinical response (decrease in Crohn's Disease Activity Index ≥100 points from baseline) at the end of induction was also evaluated. Univariate analyses were performed and predictors with P < .10 were included in multivariable analyses. RESULTS: A total of 683 patients (148 from GEMINI-2, 470 from UNITI-1/2, and 65 from CLASSIC-1) treated with placebo were included. Of the predictors evaluated, C-reactive protein <5 mg/L (odds ratio [OR], 1.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-2.67; P = .035), albumin >40 g/L (OR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.05-2.93; P = .023), and disease duration <5 years (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.05-2.75; P = .032) were included in the multivariable model for clinical remission. Disease duration <5 years was the only variable that retained significance on multivariable analysis (adjusted OR, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.02-2.73; P = .040). For clinical response, isolated ileal disease and disease duration <1 year were included in the multivariable model, of which only the latter retained significance (adjusted OR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.04-3.24; P = .035). CONCLUSIONS: Strategies that reduce placebo response rates in clinical trials of CD should be considered, including stratification or exclusion of subjects by disease duration and mild disease severity as measured by objective biomarkers.

Disease duration <5 years was independently associated with clinical remission at the end of induction. To reduce the placebo response rates in clinical trials, consideration should be given to stratification or exclusion of subjects by disease duration and mild disease severity as measured by objective biomarkers.

Baseline Patient-reported Symptoms Less Predictive Than MM-SES-CD for Endoscopic Remission in Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND: This analysis evaluates the association between baseline patient-reported symptom (PRS) severity in Crohn's disease (CD), including abdominal pain, stool frequency, general well-being, and achievement of clinical and endoscopic outcomes. We compared baseline PRS to baseline endoscopic scores for the prediction of endoscopic remission (ER). METHODS: This post hoc analysis of 2 clinical trials of infliximab in CD included 601 patients and evaluated baseline PRS variables (abdominal pain, stool frequency, and general well-being) as measured by the Crohn's disease activity index and their association with 6-month clinical remission (CR) (Crohn's Disease Activity Index<150), corticosteroid-free CR, and week 26/54 ER (absence of mucosal ulceration). Logistic regression models assessed the relationships between PRS and outcomes of interest. Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses compared the sensitivity and specificity of the different baseline PRS compared with baseline endoscopic scores for achievement of ER at weeks 26 and 54. RESULTS: No difference was found comparing patients with higher baseline PRS to those with lower PRS in achieving 6-month CR, 6-month corticosteroid-free CR, or week 26/54 ER. Modified multiplier of the SES-CD (MM-SES-CD) at baseline demonstrated a significant ability to predict week 54 ER (area under the curve, 0.71; 95% CI 0.65-0.78; P =0.017). CONCLUSIONS: Baseline PRS in CD is not prognostic of clinical or endoscopic response. In contrast, active endoscopic disease as measured by the MM-SES-CD, more accurately predicts endoscopic outcomes. Endoscopic scores such as the MM-SES-CD may be considered for selection criteria and as a primary outcome of interest in CD trials, with PRS as a co-primary or secondary endpoint.

Increased Expression of Interleukin-13 Receptor in Ileum Associated With Nonresponse to Adalimumab in Ileal Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND: The terminal ileum poses a predilection for Crohn's disease (CD) but is less susceptible to undergo healing to treatment with biologics and small molecules. This study aimed to evaluate histologic features associated with endoscopic remission (ER). METHODS: This is a post hoc analysis of patients with moderately to severely active CD, defined as Crohn's disease activity index 220 to 450, and terminal ileal ulceration treated with antitumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α inhibitor adalimumab from the EXTEND trial. We studied whether baseline total Global Histologic Disease Activity Scores (GHAS), any individual histologic element, and specific immunohistochemical (IHC) markers of chronic inflammation from biopsy specimens were associated with postinduction (week 12) and maintenance (week 52) ER, defined as Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease of 0. Multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for confounders were used to assess the relationship between histologic markers and 1-year outcomes. RESULTS: Seventy-one adult patients with CD affecting the ileum were included in this analysis. Both baseline ileal GHAS scores and individual histologic components were not found to be associated with ER at weeks 12 or 52. Increased expression of interleukin-13 receptor (IL-13R) on IHC stains was associated with reduced likelihood of achieving 1-year ER (adjusted odds ratio, 0.06; 95% CI, 0.01-0.92; P = .044). No other biomarker assessed was associated with 1-year ER. CONCLUSIONS: Ileal histologic disease activity and IHC activation markers of chronic mucosal inflammation were not associated with 1-year ER. However, strong staining for IL-13 receptor in the ileum was associated with reduced odds of 1-year ER using adalimumab. Mucosal cellular disease profiles might pose an opportunity to guide treatment of CD.

In this post hoc analysis, ileal histologic disease activity and IHC activation markers of chronic mucosal inflammation were not predictive of 1-year ER. However, strong staining for IL-13R in the ileum was associated with reduced odds of 1-year ER using adalimumab.

Comparative Efficacy of Infliximab vs Ustekinumab for Maintenance of Clinical Response in Biologic Naïve Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND: There is a need to better understand the positioning of biologic therapies for long-term outcomes in biologic-naïve Crohn's disease (CD). We assessed the comparative effectiveness of infliximab and ustekinumab among induction responders for 1-year outcomes. METHODS: This post hoc analysis included data from 220 biologic-naïve CD participants with response to induction therapy from 2 clinical trial programs. Participants achieving 1-year clinical remission (CR) (Crohn's disease activity index <150), corticosteroid-free CR, normalization of fecal calprotectin (FC), endoscopic response (Simple Endoscopic Score for CD decrease ≥50% from baseline), and endoscopic remission (ER) (Simple Endoscopic Score for CD <3) were compared. Multivariate logistic regression evaluated the likelihood of achieving the outcomes adjusted for confounders. Propensity score matching created a cohort with similar distribution of baseline covariates. RESULTS: One-year CR and corticosteroid-free CR rates were similar between infliximab-treated and ustekinumab-treated patients (CR, 66 of 110 [60.0%] vs 63 of 110 [57.3%]; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.15; 95% CI, 0.67-1.98; P = .681; corticosteroid-free CR, 11 of 28 (39.3%) vs 27 of 51 [52.9%]; aOR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.23-1.47; P = .251). Compared with ustekinumab-treated patients, infliximab-treated participants were more likely to achieve 1-year endoscopic response (43 of 92 [46.7%] vs 6 of 30 [20.0%], aOR, 3.59; 95% CI, 1.34-9.66; P = .011) and ER (31 of 92 [33.7%] vs 4 of 30 [13.3%]; aOR, 3.35; 95% CI, 1.07-10.49; P = .038). Among patients with FC ≥250 mg/kg at baseline, normalization (<250 mg/kg) at 1-year was similar between groups. Similar results were observed within the propensity matched population for all analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with infliximab and ustekinumab among induction responders achieved 1-year CR with similar efficacy, but infliximab may confer greater benefit for endoscopic outcomes. Findings should be interpreted with caution as our analyses were unpowered.

In this post hoc analysis of biologic-naïve CD patients, treatment with infliximab and ustekinumab among induction responders achieved 1-year clinical remission with similar efficacy, but infliximab may confer greater benefit for endoscopic outcomes.

Pilot study of an elimination diet in adults with mild to moderate Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: There remains limited data supporting the efficacy of dietary therapy in adults with Crohn's disease (CD). This was a pilot study of the McMaster Elimination diet for CD (MED-CD), which excludes several potentially detrimental ingredients commonly found in the Western diet. METHODS: Prospective study in adults with mild-moderately active CD [Harvey-Bradshaw Index (HBI) scores 5-16] and endoscopic disease activity of >7 (or ≥4 for isolated ileal disease) as measured by the Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's disease (SES-CD). Patients were treated for 2 weeks using oral enteral nutrition (EN). Those with symptomatic improvement (HBI score reduction ≥2) were transitioned to the MED-CD for 12 weeks. Outcomes of interest included satisfactory adherence (≥20 on the modified medical adherence report scale-5 questionnaire), clinical remission (CR) (HBI ≤4), clinical response (HBI reduction ≥3), endoscopic response (SES-CD reduction ≥50%), and endoscopic remission (ER) (SES-CD <3). RESULTS: A total of 17 patients were treated with 2 weeks of EN. Of these, 13 were deemed responders and treated with 12 weeks of MED-CD. Satisfactory adherence was reported among 11/13 (84.6%) at week 6 and 8/12 (67%) at week 14. Of the 13 patients who responded to EN by week 2, 5 (38.5%) had attained CR at week 2 and maintained CR until week 14 using MED-CD. Endoscopic response was observed in 6 (46.2%) participants and ER was seen in 2 (15.4%). CONCLUSIONS: Two weeks of oral EN followed by 12 weeks of the MED-CD was acceptable by most adult patients who enroled in this study.

Comparative Effectiveness of Biologics for Endoscopic Healing of the Ileum and Colon in Crohn's Disease.

INTRODUCTION: We compared the efficacy of adalimumab, infliximab, ustekinumab, and vedolizumab on the ability to achieve endoscopic healing (EH) after 1 year of therapy in moderate-severe Crohn's disease (CD). METHODS: This was a pooled analysis of patient-level data from 299 patients with CD from 4 clinical trials. Proportions of patients treated with each biologic were compared for achieving 1-year complete EH (Simple Endoscopic Score for CD [SES-CD] <3) and ileal and colonic EH separately (SES-CD = 0). Multivariate logistic regression was used to model the relationship between biologics and 1-year outcomes and adjusted for disease duration, concomitant corticosteroid use, and prior antitumor necrosis factor failure. RESULTS: Compared with vedolizumab (4/56 [7.1%]), adalimumab (17/61 [27.9%], adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 5.79, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.77-18.95, P = 0.004) and infliximab (39/141 [27.7%], aOR: 4.59, 95% CI: 1.48-14.22, P = 0.008) had superior rates of 1-year EH. No significant difference was observed between vedolizumab and ustekinumab. Similar results were observed among biologic-naive patients. Among patients with baseline ileal SES-CD ≥3, no significant differences were observed between biologics for 1-year ileal EH. However, for large (>0.5 cm) ileal ulcers, infliximab (20/49 [40.8%]) had superior rates of no ileal ulcers compared with vedolizumab (2/23 [8.7%], aOR: 5.39, 95% CI: 1.03-28.05, P = 0.045). No other differences were observed. For colonic disease, compared with ustekinumab (9/31 [29.0%]), adalimumab (30/48 [62.5%], aOR: 3.97, 95% CI: 1.45-10.90, P = 0.007) had superior rates of 1-year EH in the colon, with similar trends observed for infliximab (55/105 [52.4%], aOR: 2.08, 95% CI: 0.82-5.27, P = 0.121). No other differences were observed. DISCUSSION: In this post hoc analysis, TNF-α antagonists were overall superior to vedolizumab and ustekinumab for achieving 1-year EH in moderate-severe CD patients.

Categorising Endoscopic Severity of Crohn's Disease Using the Modified Multiplier SES-CD [MM-SES-CD].

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Current endoscopic scoring indices such as the Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease [SES-CD] quantify the degree of mucosal inflammation in Crohn's disease [CD] but lack prognostic potential. The Modified Multiplier of the SES-CD [MM-SES-CD] quantifies the endoscopic burden of CD and can be accessed online [https://www.mcmasteribd.com/mm-ses-cd]. This analysis aims to establish MM-SES-CD thresholds that classify CD endoscopic burden into inactive/very mild, mild, moderate, and severe disease based on the probability of achieving endoscopic remission [ER] on active therapy at 1 year. METHODS: This post-hoc analysis included pooled data from three CD clinical trials [n = 350 patients, baseline SES-CD ≥3 with ulceration]. Disease category severity was determined using the maximum Youden Index. Achievement of ER between severity categories was compared using chi square tests. Time to clinical remission [CR] was compared using Kaplan-Meier survival curves. RESULTS: MM-SES-CD severity categories were established as very mild/remission [score <14], mild [≥14 to <31], moderate [≥31 to <45], and severe [≥45], which were predictive of 1-year ER [50%, 30.3%, 21.7%, 8.8%, respectively, p <0.001]. Lower MM-SES-CD scores had numerically higher rates of 1-year clinical remission [CR], and time to 1-year CR was superior to those with higher scores [p = 0.0492]. MM-SES-CD thresholds for achieving 1-year ileal ER among 75 patients with isolated ileal disease were established as mild [score <14], moderate [≥14 to <33], and severe [≥33], which were predictive of 1-year ER [66.7%, 33.3%, 13.3%, respectively, p = 0.027]. CONCLUSIONS: We have established numerical MM-SES-CD cut-offs that categorise endoscopic disease severity and have demonstrated that they are prognostic for 1-year ER and CR.

Resolution of dominant patient-reported outcome at end of induction predicts clinical and endoscopic remission in Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether improvement in patient-reported outcomes (PROs) relative to baseline symptom burden in Crohn's disease (CD) is associated with subsequent endoscopic remission. AIM: To evaluate the relationship between dominant PRO resolution post-induction and achievement of clinical and endoscopic remission. METHODS: This post-hoc analysis of clinical trial data from 251 participants evaluated the relationship between the resolution of the dominant PRO (most severely elevated baseline PRO) or clinical response (CDAI ≥100 reduction) after induction therapy with biologics (post-induction) and 1-year clinical remission (CDAI <150) and/or endoscopic remission (SES-CD <3). Multivariate logistic regression models evaluated the relationship between post-induction-dominant PRO resolution and 1-year outcomes adjusted for confounders. RESULTS: Participants with dominant PRO resolution post-induction had higher odds of combined endoscopic and clinical remission compared to those without resolution (aOR: 1.94 [95% CI: 1.01-3.74], P = 0.047). Combining dominant PRO resolution with post-induction endoscopic response (SES-CD ≥50% reduction) was associated with higher odds of 1-year endoscopic and clinical remission (aOR: 6.89 [95% CI: 1.65-28.72], P = 0.008). Clinical and PRO2 response (≥30% decrease in stool frequency and/or ≥30% decrease in abdominal pain score and both not worse than baseline) at post-induction did not predict these outcomes. No significant differences were observed with 1-year endoscopic remission for post-induction-dominant PRO resolution, clinical or PRO2 response. CONCLUSIONS: Post-induction resolution of dominant PRO, but not clinical or PRO2 response, was strongly associated with 1-year endoscopic and clinical remission. Resolution of dominant baseline PRO after induction therapy may be informative for 1-year outcomes. Further validation is required.

Comparative Efficacy and Rapidity of Action for Infliximab vs Ustekinumab in Biologic Naïve Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Comparative effectiveness has become increasingly important to help position therapies for inflammatory bowel disease. We compared the efficacy and rapidity of onset of action of infliximab vs ustekinumab induction therapy for moderate to severe biologic-naïve Crohn's disease (CD) using patient-level data from randomized controlled trials. METHODS: This was a post hoc analysis of 2 large CD clinical trial programs that included data on 420 biologic-naïve CD patients. Differences in proportions of patients achieving week 6 clinical remission, clinical response, and normalization of calprotectin were compared. Multivariate logistic regression was used to adjust for confounders. Sensitivity analysis was conducted using propensity scores to create a cohort of matched participants with similar distribution of baseline covariates. RESULTS: At week 6, a comparable number of patients achieved clinical remission with infliximab compared with patients treated with ustekinumab (44.9% vs 37.9%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.22; 95% CI, 0.79-1.89). Similarly, at week 6 the clinical response rates were not significantly different (58.4% infliximab vs 54.9% ustekinumab; aOR, 1.25; 95% CI, 0.82-1.90). No significant difference was observed between treatment groups for achieving a week 6 fecal calprotectin level less than 250 mcg/L in those with increased values at baseline (42.3% infliximab vs 34.7% ustekinumab; aOR, 1.34; 95% CI, 0.79-2.28). Similar results were seen for all analyses performed within the propensity matched cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Based on this post hoc analysis, infliximab and ustekinumab appear to have similar efficacy and speed of onset in patients with CD who are biologic-naïve.

Predicting endoscopic remission in Crohn's disease by the modified multiplier SES-CD (MM-SES-CD).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's disease (SES-CD) is the primary tool for measurement of mucosal inflammation in clinical trials but lacks prognostic potential. We set to develop and validate a modified multiplier of the SES-CD (MM-SES-CD), which takes into consideration each individual parameter's prognostic value for achieving endoscopic remission (ER) while on active therapy. METHODS: In this posthoc analysis of three CD clinical trial programmes (n=350 patients, baseline SES-CD ≥ 3 with confirmed ulceration), data were pooled and randomly split into a 70% training and 30% testing cohort. The MM-SES-CD was designed using weights for individual parameters as determined by logistic regression modelling, with 1-year ER (SES-CD < 3) being the dependent variable. A cut point score for low and high probability of ER was determined by using the maximum Youden Index and validated in the testing cohort. RESULTS: Baseline ulcer size, extent of ulceration and presence of non-passable strictures had the strongest association with 1-year ER as compared with affected surface area, with differential weighting of individual parameters across disease segments being observed during logistic regression. The MM-SES-CD was generated using this weighted regression model and demonstrated strong discrimination for ER in the training dataset (area under the receiver operator curve (AUC) 0.83, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.94) and in the testing dataset (AUC 0.82, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.92). In comparison to the MM-SES-CD scoring model, the original SES-CD score lacks accuracy (AUC 0.60, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.65) for predicting the achievement of ER. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and internally validated the MM-SES-CD as an endoscopic severity assessment tool to predict one-year ER in patients with CD on active therapy.

Early Reduction in MM-SES-CD Score After Initiation of Biologic Therapy is Highly Specific for 1-year Endoscopic Remission in Moderate to Severe Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: This study evaluated the minimal clinically important short-term improvement in the Modified Multiplier Simple Endoscopic Score for crohn's Disease [MM-SES-CD], a novel modified scoring system of the SES-CD, which reliably predicted 1-year endoscopic remission [ER]. METHODS: This post-hoc analysis of two CD clinical trial programmes pooled data of 198 participants with baseline ulcers and SES-CD ≥3, who had baseline, post-induction [8-12 weeks], and 1-year endoscopic assessments. Different cut-off values for endoscopic response were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curves, positive likelihood ratios [PLR], and negative likelihood ratios [NLR]. ER [SES-CD <3] was the binary classifier in all cases. A distribution of cut-offs minimising NLR and maximising PLR was created with 10 000 bootstrapped resamples. An optimal cut-point for low and high probability of 1-year ER was determined based on the maximum Youden Index. RESULTS: MM-SES-CD ≥40% reduction from baseline was selected as the cut-off maximising PLR and minimising NLR. Among 7.6% [15/198] participants achieving this cut-off post-induction, 1-year ER was 46.7%. One-year ER was 16.9% among those not achieving this cut-off. This threshold predicted 1-year ER with 95.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 90.4%-97.8%) specificity and a PLR of 3.7 [95% CI 1.4-9.5], which was higher than traditional endoscopic response criteria of SES-CD ≥50% reduction [specificity 62.5%, 95% CI 54.5%-70.0%; PLR 1.9, 95% CI 1.4-2.5]. Lower thresholds of MM-SES-CD reduction also were highly specific for 1-year ER [e.g., MM-SES-CD ≥20% reduction was achieved in 19.7% of patients with 83.1% specificity]. CONCLUSIONS: In CD patients, post-induction endoscopic response defined by MM-SES-CD ≥40% reduction from baseline identified patients most likely to achieve 1-year ER.

Early Change in Epithelial Neutrophilic Infiltrate Predicts Long-Term Response to Biologics in Ulcerative Colitis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The prognostic value of histologic scores, grades, and individual histologic subcomponents, alone or in combination with endoscopy, for predicting endoscopic improvement (EI) and histoendoscopic mucosal improvement (HEMI) during maintenance therapy in ulcerative colitis remains uncertain. METHODS: We performed a post hoc analysis of participants from the VARSITY trial (n = 734 with histology). Receiver operating characteristic and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to assess whether baseline and/or week 14 assessments for the Robarts Histopathology Index, Geboes score, individual histologic subcomponents, and baseline disease characteristics, including endoscopic severity and biomarkers, could predict the achievement of EI and HEMI at week 52. RESULTS: Changes in epithelial neutrophil involvement from baseline to week 14 had the best performance for predicting week 52 EI (area under the curve, 0.83; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 0.74-0.91) and HEMI (area under the curve, 0.85; 95 % CI, 0.76-0.94). On multivariate analyses, improvement of neutrophils in the epithelium was the only histologic parameter associated with increased odds of week 52 EI (odds ratio, 3.63; 95 % CI, 1.45-9.08; P = .0059) and HEMI (odds ratio, 6.88; 95 % CI, 3.29-14.36; P < .0001). Patients with more than 50 % of crypts involved with neutrophils at week 14 were significantly less likely to achieve week 52 HEMI irrespective of week 14 Mayo endoscopic scores (week 14 Mayo endoscopic score of 2-3: 9.9 % vs 22.4 %; P = .001; week 14 Mayo endoscopic score of 0-1: 33 % vs 62.4 %; P = .044). CONCLUSIONS: Our results on epithelial neutrophilic infiltrate after induction therapy as the only independent predictor for achievement of maintenance EI or HEMI helps clarify the clinical relevance of measuring histologic disease activity in ulcerative colitis. Epithelial neutrophilic infiltrate poses a means to stratify patients according to their likelihood of response to biologic treatment.

Clinical Decision Support Tool for Infliximab in Crohn's Disease.

Biologic treatment options for Crohn's disease (CD) are increasing and providers will need enhanced support in integrating these therapies into routine practice. Using phase 3 clinical trial programs in CD, we have previously built and validated clinical decision support tools for achieving clinical remission (CREM) with vedolizumab and ustekinumab in CD.1-4 We now aim to develop a clinical decision support tool for infliximab in CD.