Development and validation of early death risk score model for emergency status prediction in very severe aplastic anemia.

This study developed and validated the Early Death Risk Score Model for early identification of emergency patients with very severe aplastic anemia (VSAA). All 377 patients with VSAA receiving first-line immunosuppressive therapy (IST) were categorized into training (n=252) and validation (n=125) cohorts. In the training cohort, age >24 years, absolute neutrophil count ≤0.015×109/L, serum ferritin >900ng/mL and times of fever before IST >1 time were significantly associated with early death. Covariates were assigned scores and categorized as: low (score 0-4), medium (score 5-7) and high (score ≥8) risk. Early death rate was significantly different between risk groups and the validation cohort results were consistent with those of the training cohort. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model was 0.835 (0.734,0.936) in the training cohort and 0.862 (0.730,0.994) in the validation cohort. The calibration plots showed high agreement, and decision curve analysis showed good benefit in clinical applications. The VSAA Early Death Risk Score Model can help with early identification of emergency VSAA and optimize treatment strategies. Emergency VSAA with high risk is associated with high early death rate, and alternative donor hematopoietic stem cell transplantation could be a better treatment than IST even without HLA-matching.

Hetrombopag plus porcine ATG and cyclosporine for the treatment of aplastic anaemia: early outcomes of a prospective pilot study.

Hetrombopag, a small molecular thrombopoietin-receptor agonist, has shown encouraging efficiency in immunosuppressive therapy refractory or relapsed severe aplastic anaemia. To investigate the response rate of hetrombopag combined with IST as first-line treatment, we designed a prospective pilot study including 32 patients with SAA treated with anti-human T lymphocyte porcine immunoglobulin (p-ATG), cyclosporine, and hetrombopag. In addition, 96 patients with SAA treated with p-ATG and cyclosporine alone were matched as controls. In total, 21.9% of patients treated with hetrombopag achieved complete response (CR) at 3 months, while 5.2% of patients achieved CR in the control group (P = 0.005). At 6 months, the CR rates were 34.4% in the hetrombopag group and 14.6% in the control group (P = 0.015). The overall response rates at 6 months were 68.7% and 50.0% in the hetrombopag and control groups, respectively. The median time to haematologic response was 56 days and 77 days, and to CR was 96 days and 214 days in the hetrombopag and control groups, respectively. In conclusion, adding hetrombopag to IST as first-line treatment resulted in faster and better haematologic response in SAA.