Income and Employment of Patients at the Start of and During Follow-up After Palliative Radiation Therapy for Bone Metastasis.

Purpose: The aim of this study was to understand the income and employment status of patients at the start of and during follow-up after palliative radiation therapy for bone metastasis. Methods and Materials: From December 2020 to March 2021, a prospective multi-institutional observational study was conducted to investigate income and employment of patients at the start of administration of radiation therapy for bone metastasis and at 2 and 6 months after treatment. Of 333 patients referred to radiation therapy for bone metastasis, 101 were not registered, mainly because of their poor general condition, and another 8 were excluded from the follow-up analysis owing to ineligibility. Results: In 224 patients analyzed, 108 had retired for reasons unrelated to cancer, 43 had retired for reasons related to cancer, 31 were taking leave, and 2 had lost their jobs at the time of registration. The number of patients who were in the working group was 40 (30 with no change in income and 10 with decreased income) at registration, 35 at 2 months, and 24 at 6 months. Younger patients (P = 0), patients with better performance status (P = 0), patients who were ambulatory (P = .008), and patients with lower scores on a numerical rating scale of pain (P = 0) were significantly more likely to be in the working group at registration. There were 9 patients who experienced improvements in their working status or income at least once in the follow-up after radiation therapy. Conclusions: The majority of patients with bone metastasis were not working at the start of or after radiation therapy, but the number of patients who were working was not negligible. Radiation oncologists should be aware of the working status of patients and provide appropriate support for each patient. The benefit of radiation therapy to support patients continuing their work and returning to work should be investigated further in prospective studies.

Clinical Outcomes of Definitive Chemoradiotherapy for Cervical Esophageal Cancer.

BACKGROUND/AIM: To investigate the clinical outcomes of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in patients with cervical esophageal carcinoma and analyze the prognostic factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Thirty-nine patients with cervical esophageal carcinoma were retrospectively identified among consecutive patients who received CCRT between November 2009 and September 2019 at our institution. The patients were treated by intensity-modulated radiation therapy (N=13) or three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (N=26). RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 35 months (range=2-158 months). There were 32 men and 7 women with a median age of 66 years (range=50-83 years). Clinical stages were I in 6 patients, II in 4, III in 19, and IV in 10. Hypopharyngeal invasion was noted in 8 patients. The initial treatment responses were evaluated 3-6 weeks after the final session of CCRT: a complete response (CR) in 24 patients, a partial response (PR) in 13, and stable disease (SD) in 2. Two- and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 73.8 and 59.4%, respectively. Two- and 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) rates were 57.8 and 48.0%, respectively. A univariate analysis identified the initial treatment response (CR or non-CR) as a significant factor for OS (p=0.0002) and PFS (p=0.0026). The CR rate was 81.0% in patients with T1-3 and 33.3% in those with T4 (p=0.0038). CONCLUSION: Patients with cervical esophageal carcinoma in Nagasaki University Hospital in Japan achieved superior outcomes compared with previous studies. CR rate was higher in patients with T1-3 and correlated with better OS.

Long-term Outcomes and Prognostic Factors of Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND/AIM: This study was conducted to determine the prognosis and risk factors for survival in patients treated with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed 73 patients who underwent SBRT for HCC at Nagasaki University Hospital from December 2012 to July 2019 and examined the relationship between baseline information and prognosis. The Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test were used to estimate the survival rate. Cox regression analysis was performed to determine the factors associated with overall survival (OS) after SBRT. RESULTS: The 1- and 2-year local control rates were 98.6% and 89.9%, respectively. Survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 94.5%, 63.9%, and 45.5%, respectively. In the univariate analysis, baseline modified albumin-bilirubin grade (mALBI grade) [2b/3, hazard ratio (HR)=2.762, p=0.001], tumor size (≥2 cm, HR=2.479, p=0.003), and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage (BCLC) (B/C, HR=3.284, p<0.001) were significantly associated with poor prognosis. In multivariate analysis, baseline mALBI grade (2b/3, HR=2.283, p=0.009) and BCLC stage (B/C, HR=2.330, p=0.013) were significantly associated with poor prognosis. Only three patients (4.1%) developed grade 3 adverse events related to SBRT. CONCLUSION: SBRT is effective and safe in patients with HCC. The baseline mALBI grade is useful for predicting patient prognosis after SBRT. Patients with an mALBI grade of 1/2a are expected to have a better prognosis than patients with an mALBI grade of 2b/3.

Phase I study of amrubicin plus cisplatin and concurrent accelerated hyperfractionated thoracic radiotherapy for limited-disease small cell lung cancer: protocol of ACIST study.

BACKGROUND: Etoposide plus cisplatin (EP) combined with concurrent accelerated hyperfractionated thoracic radiotherapy (AHTRT) is the standard treatment strategy for unresectable limited-disease (LD) small cell lung cancer (SCLC), which has remained unchanged for over two decades. Based on a previous study that confirmed the non-inferiority of amrubicin (AMR) plus cisplatin (AP) when compared with EP for extensive-disease (ED) SCLC, we have previously conducted a phase I study assessing AP with concurrent TRT (2 Gy/time, once daily, 50 Gy in total) for LD-SCLC therapy. Our findings revealed that AP with concurrent TRT could prolong overall survival to 39.5 months with manageable toxicities. Therefore, we plan to conduct a phase I study to investigate and determine the effect of AP combined with AHTRT, recommended dose (RD), maximum tolerated dose (MTD), and dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) of AP in patients with LD-SCLC. METHODS: Treatment-naive patients with LD-SCLC, age between 20 and 75 years, who had a performance status of 0 or 1 and adequate organ functions will be enrolled. For chemotherapy, cisplatin 60 mg/m2 /day (day 1) and AMR (day 1 to 3) will be administered with AHTRT (1.5 Gy/time, twice daily, 45 Gy in total). The initial AMR dose is set to 25 mg/m2 /day. RD and MTD will be determined by evaluating toxicities. DISCUSSION: Based on our previous study, the initial dose of AMR 25 mg/m2 is expected to be tolerated and acceptable. Here, we aim to determine whether treatment with AP and concurrent AHTRT would be an optimal choice with manageable toxicities for LD-SCLC.

Phase II study of S-1 plus cisplatin with concurrent radiotherapy for locally advanced thymic carcinoma: Results of the LOGIK1605/JART-1501 study.

BACKGROUND: Combination chemotherapy is used to treat advanced thymic carcinoma; however, the effects are insufficient. METHODS: Previously untreated patients with unresectable locally advanced thymic carcinoma received two cycles of 80 mg/m2 /day S-1 orally on days 1-14 plus 60 mg/m2 /day cisplatin intravenously on day 1, and concurrent radiotherapy (60 Gy). RESULTS: Three patients were enrolled into the study. Toxicity and survival were assessable in all patients, but the treatment response was only assessable in one patient. The study was terminated because of poor case recruitment. The patients' characteristics were as follows: male/female = 2/1; PS 0/1 = 2/1; median age (range) = 59 (55-72); and stage III/IV = 2/1. The patient in which the treatment response was assessed exhibited SD (response rate: 0%). In both nonevaluable cases, the second course of chemotherapy was judged to be post-protocol treatment because it was delayed by ≥14 days, but a CR and PR were achieved after the end of the study, respectively. G4 leukopenia/neutropenia and G3 febrile neutropenia occurred in one patient each (33%). The median time to tumor progression was 17.6 months, and the 1-, 2-, 3-, and 4-year survival rates were 67, 33, 33, and 33%, respectively. The median overall survival time was not reached, and the 1-, 2-, 3-, and 4-year survival rates were 100, 67, 67, and 67%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Although it was difficult to recruit patients, there was a long-term survivor >4 years who appeared to have achieved a CR, indicating that such chemoradiotherapy may be effective against locally advanced thymic carcinoma.

Long-term clinical course of immunotactoid glomerulopathy complicated with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.

We report a case of immunotactoid glomerulopathy (ITG) complicated with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). A 68-year-old woman presented with leg edema and was diagnosed with nephrotic syndrome (NS). Renal biopsy revealed ITG. We treated the patient with prednisolone (20 mg/day) and she achieved complete remission of NS. Steroids were gradually reduced. After 1 year, the patient presented with a breast mass determined on biopsy to be DLBCL. She underwent six cycles of R-CHOP (rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisolone) therapy. Follow-up revealed complete remission of both DLBCL and ITG. NS recurred after 5 years and she was simultaneously diagnosed with recurrence of DLBCL in bone marrow. She underwent four cycles of R-EPOCH (rituximab, etoposide, prednisolone, vincristine, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin) therapy and entered remission for DLBCL. NS improved, but the treatment did not lead to remission. After 2 additional years, NS and DLBCL recurred again. She was administered rituximab and NS improved, although proteinuria tended to increase thereafter. One year later, we started prednisolone (10 mg/day), and proteinuria tended to decrease. She is currently undergoing outpatient follow-up. This case suggests that ITG with MGUS should be treated with the possibility of developing malignant hematological disease during the course.

Surgery or stereotactic body radiotherapy for metachronous primary lung cancer? A propensity score matching analysis.

OBJECTIVE: We compared outcomes after surgery or stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) among patients with metachronous primary lung cancer (MPLC). METHODS: Patients with MPLC were treated with either surgery (2008-2018) or SBRT (2010-2018). We used propensity score matching (PSM) to reduce bias from various clinicopathological factors. MPLC was defined by the Martini and Melamed criteria. RESULTS: Of 77 patients, 51 underwent surgery and 26 received SBRT. Most median clinicopathological characteristics did not significantly differ between the surgery and SBRT groups (male sex: 67% vs 65%; age: 73 vs 77 years; time after first surgery: 6.2 vs 4.7 years; lobectomy as first procedure: 82% vs 85%; second tumor size: 11 vs 12 mm; clinical stage I: 96% vs 100%; CEA: 2.9 vs 3.0 ng/ml). However, the surgery group had significantly more ipsilateral second tumors (n = 71, 58%, P = 0.003), better performance status (P = 0.03), and preserved lung function (P = 0.02). Surgery, thus, tended to be selected for patients with good physical function and for the MPLC in the contralateral side. Five-year overall survival did not significantly differ between the surgery and SBRT groups, either before PSM (86.5% vs 65.8%, P = 0.24, log-rank) or after PSM (100% vs 84.4%, P = 0.73). CONCLUSIONS: Surgery and SBRT for MPLC patients are safe and feasible treatments with similar outcomes. However, this finding should be verified by a random controlled trial with a larger study cohort.

S-1 plus cisplatin with concurrent radiotherapy for locally advanced thymic carcinoma: Study protocol of LOGIK1605/JART-1501.

Thymic carcinoma is a rare epithelial tumor of the thymus with a poor prognosis, and multimodal approaches are important for its treatment. Recently, a number of studies have indicated that S-1 treatment is effective against thymic carcinoma. S-1 plus cisplatin with concurrent radiotherapy is a commonly used treatment for other malignancies, including non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). In addition, its safety has been confirmed, and it has been reported to have a marked effect against thymic carcinoma. Therefore, we conducted a phase II study of S-1 plus cisplatin with concurrent thoracic radiotherapy for locally advanced thymic carcinoma, in which the overall response rate was employed as the primary endpoint. The secondary endpoints were overall survival, progression-free survival, and safety.

Dose escalation study of amrubicin and cisplatin with concurrent thoracic radiotherapy for limited-disease small cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Amrubicin and cisplatin is one of the active regimens used to treat patients with extensive-disease (ED)-small cell lung cancer (SCLC), whereas combined therapy involving chemotherapy and concurrent thoracic radiotherapy is the standard treatment for limited-disease (LD)-SCLC. PURPOSE: This study aimed to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) and dose-limiting toxicities (DLT) of amrubicin and cisplatin with concurrent thoracic radiotherapy (TRT) for LD-SCLC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients that fulfilled the following eligibility criteria were enrolled: being aged ≤ 75 years and chemotherapy-naïve and having a performance status (PS) of 0-1, LD-SCLC, and adequate organ function. The patients received escalating doses of amrubicin on days 1, 2, and 3, and a fixed 60-mg/m2 dose of cisplatin on day 1. Four cycles of chemotherapy were administered, with each cycle lasting 4 weeks. TRT involving 2 Gy/day, once daily, commenced on day 2 of the first cycle of chemotherapy. The initial dose of amrubicin was 20 mg/m2 (level 1), and the dose was escalated to 25 mg/m2 (level 2) and then 30 mg/m2 (level 3). RESULTS: Eight patients from three institutions were enrolled at three dose levels. The patients' characteristics were as follows: male/female: 3/5; median age (range): 68.5 (60-73); PS 0/1: 4/4; stage IIIA/IIIB disease: 3/5. Both level 3 patients experienced DLT (grade 4 neutropenia and/or leukopenia lasting > 4 days). Level 3 was defined as the MTD, and level 2 was recommended as the dose for this regimen. Seven patients exhibited partial responses, and 1 displayed progressive disease (response rate: 88%). The median progression-free survival and overall survival periods were 11.1 and 39.5 months, respectively. No treatment-related deaths occurred. CONCLUSIONS: When this regimen was combined with TRT for LD-SCLC, the MTD was 30 mg/m2 for amrubicin and 60 mg/m2 for cisplatin. In addition, neutropenia and leukopenia were DLT, and doses of 25 mg/m2 for amrubicin and 60 mg/m2 for cisplatin are recommended for this regimen.

Concurrent chemoradiotherapy using cisplatin and S-1, followed by surgery for stage II/IIIA non-small cell lung cancer.

OBJECTIVES: Because chemoradiotherapy using cisplatin and S-1, an oral fluoropyrimidine, is effective for unresectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), an induction setting was used in a multicenter phase II study (Clinical trial number: UMIN000008205). The correlations of relapse and clinicopathological factors were analyzed. METHODS: We defined locally advanced NSCLC as pathologically proven chest wall invasion or hilar and/or mediastinal lymph node metastases by endobronchial ultrasound-guided transbronchial needle aspiration. The patients received two courses of S-1 administration for 14 days and intravenous cisplatin injection on day 8. A total dose of 40 Gy radiotherapy was concurrently received. Surgical resection was performed after completion of the treatment. RESULTS: Of the 23 eligible patients, 18 had stage IIIA and 5 had stage IIB NSCLC. Twenty of the eligible patients (87.0%) completed the regimen. Six (26.1%) complete responses were identified and 12 cases (52.2%) were histopathologically downstaged by induction chemoradiotherapy (ICRT). The 3-year overall survival rate was 58.1% and relapse-free survival (RFS) rate was 52.0%, respectively. Among several clinicopathological parameters, univariate RFS analysis identified that only downstaging was significantly associated with longer RFS times (p = 0.003). The radiological response did not reflect pathological response. When the variables of preoperative pathologically proven N2 metastasis, pathological ICRT effectiveness, and downstaging were included in the Cox proportional hazard modes, only the parameter of downstaging displayed significant hazard ratio (hazard ratio 0.13, p = 0.010). CONCLUSION: This protocol is considered an option among preoperative therapies and has obvious benefits for pathologically downstaged cases. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: UMIN000008205. TRIAL REGISTRATION DATE: June 19, 2012.

Retrospective analysis of definitive radiotherapy for neck node metastasis from unknown primary tumor: Japanese Radiation Oncology Study Group study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the optimal treatment method and risk factor of neck node metastasis from unknown primary tumors (NUP) treated by radiotherapy. METHODS: Retrospective case study based on a multi-institutional survey was conducted by the Japanese Radiation Oncology Study Group. Patients pathologically diagnosed as having NUP from 1998 to 2007 were identified. Univariate and multivariate analyses of overall survival (OS), progression free survival (PFS), neck progression free survival (NPFS) and mucosal progression free survival (MPFS) were evaluated. RESULTS: In total, 130 patients with median age of 65 years were included. Nodal stages N1, N2a, N2b and N2c were observed for 10, 26, 43, 12 and 39 patients, respectively. All the patients received radiotherapy (RT) with neck dissection in 60 and with chemotherapy in 67 cases. The median doses to the metastatic nodes, prophylactic neck and prophylactic mucosal sites were 60.0, 50.4 and 50.4 Gy, respectively. The median follow-up period for surviving patients was 42 months. Among 12 patients, occult primary tumors in the neck region developed after radiotherapy. The 5-year OS, PFS, NPFS and MPFS were 58.1%, 42.4%, 47.3% and 54.9%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that lower N stage (N1-2b), non-bulky node (<6 cm) and negative extracapsular extension (ECE) status were the factors associated with favorable OS, PFS, NPFS and MPFS. Radical surgery proved to be a favorable factor of OS, NPFS and MPFS. On multivariate analysis, lower N stage and negative ECE status were correlated with improved survival. CONCLUSIONS: Lower nodal stage and negative ECE status showed a favorable impact on survival and disease control in patients with NUP treated by radiotherapy.

A Case of Urachal Carcinoma of the Abdominal Wall in a Kidney Transplant Recipient.

Urachal carcinoma is an extremely rare malignant tumor arising from the urachus in the fetus. We report a patient who developed urachal carcinoma 18 years after kidney transplantation. A 59-year-old man was admitted because of abdominal pain and massive ascites. He had undergone kidney transplantation 18 years earlier and had end-stage renal disease requiring dialysis. Abdominal CT showed massive ascites and an abdominal wall cystic mass separated from the peritoneal cavity. Hemodialysis was started, and paralytic ileus was diagnosed and treated. His ileus symptoms improved temporarily, but he died of myocardial infarction. An autopsy was performed, which revealed cystadenocarcinoma in the abdominal wall mass, leading to a diagnosis of urachal carcinoma.

Surgery or stereotactic body radiotherapy for elderly stage I lung cancer? A propensity score matching analysis.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to compare the outcomes of surgery and stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) for elderly clinical stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. METHODS: Patients ≥80 years of age with clinical stage I NSCLC between August 2008 and December 2014 were treated either surgery or SBRT. Propensity score matching was performed to reduce bias in various clinicopathological factors. RESULTS: Surgery was performed in 57 cases and SBRT in 41 cases. In the surgery group, the operations included 34 lobectomies and 23 sublobar resections. In the SBRT group, 27 cases were given 48 Gy in 4 fractions, and 14 were given 60 Gy in 10 fractions. Similar characteristics were identified in age (82 years), gender (male:female ratio 2:1), tumor size (2.2 cm), carcinoembryonic antigen (3.6 ng/ml), Charlson comorbidity index (1), Glasgow prognostic scale (0), and forced expiratory volume in 1 s (1.7 L) after matching. Before matching, the 5-year overall survival (OS) in surgery (68.3%) was significantly better than that in SBRT (47.4%, p = 0.02), and the 5-year disease-specific survival (DSS) (94.1%, 78.2%, p = 0.17) was not significantly different between the groups. The difference in the 5-year OS became non-significant between the matched pairs (57.0%, 49.1%, p = 0.56). CONCLUSIONS: The outcomes of surgery and SBRT for elderly patients with the early stage NSCLC were roughly the same.

Clinical significance of awake oscillatory ventilation in patients with heart failure and effects of open-heart surgery.

BACKGROUND: Although sleep apnea has recently become a concern in patients with congestive heart failure (CHF), some patients with CHF exhibit characteristic oscillatory ventilation (OV) even when they are awake. We investigated the clinical significance of OV in patients with CHF, and effects of open-heart surgery on the OV. HYPOTHESIS: OV is an indicator of the severity of CHF, and this abnormal respiratory pattern improves with hemodynamic changes after open-heart surgery. METHODS: According to respiratory pattern in the cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX) before cardiac surgery, 50 patients with CHF were divided into 14 patients of OV-positive (OV+) and 36 patients of OV-negative (OV-). Then, the several indices of CPX before surgery, 1 week and 6 months after surgery were compared between the 2 groups. RESULTS: The peak VO2 before surgery was lower in OV+ patients than those in OV- patients (15.3 vs 18.8 m1/min/kg, p < 0.05). One week after surgery, anaerobic threshold (AT) and end-tidal C02 (ETC02) were lower in OV+ patients than those in OV- patients (AT: 9.5 vs 10,7 ml/min/kg, p < 0.05, ETCO2: 5.3 vs 5.6%, p < 0.05). However, 6 months after surgery, the statistical differences of these CPX parameters between the 2 groups were not found, and OV disappeared in 79% of OV+ patients. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that OV is an indicator of the severity of CHF, and gradually improved with the open-heart surgery.

Single-institute phase I/II trial of alternating chemoradiotherapy with 5-FU and nedaplatin for esophageal carcinoma.

AIM: To assess the efficacy and feasibility of alternating chemoradiotherapy for esophageal cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients, with previously untreated esophageal cancer, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 to 2, age 20 to 75 years and sufficient organ function, were eligible for this study. Three cycles of systemic chemotherapy with the continuous infusion of 3500 mg/m2 of 5-fluorouracil (5-FU: days 1-5) and a 6-h infusion of nedaplatin (NDP; day 6: 120-140 mg/m2), were accompanied by thoracic irradiation of 63 Gy in 35 fractions over 7 weeks. Radiation therapy was stopped during systemic chemotherapy (alternating setting). In the phase I part, the dose of nedaplatin was increased to define dose-limiting toxicities. For the phase II part, patients with distant metastasis were excluded. RESULTS: From 1998 through 2002, 40 patients were recruited for this protocol study. The median patient age was 54 years (range, 49-65 years) for the phase I and 58 years (range, 44-73 years) for the phase II trials. There were 35 men and 5 women in this study. For the phase I part (n = 15), the maximal tolerated dose of NDP was 140 mg/m2; thus, the recommended dose was 130 mg/m2. Twenty-five patients were treated with the recommended doses in the phase II part of the study. Ten patients had T4 disease and 14 patients had stage IV disease in the phase II part of the study. The overall survival rates at 1 and 2 years were 58.9% and 45.9%, respectively. The most frequent toxicities were leukopenia (grade 3 or greater: 80%), followed by thrombocytopenia (56%), granulocytopenia (56%) and anemia (28%). Radiation esophagitis of grade 3 or greater developed in 6 patients (24%). Two patients died of radiation pneumonitis. The actual dose intensities of NDP and 5-FU were 68.8% and 73.3%, respectively. CONCLUSION: This intensive treatment for esophageal cancer was feasible and effective; however, moderate-to-severe toxicity occurred. This protocol warrants further clinical evaluation in a multi-institutional prospective study.

Phase I trial of weekly docetaxel and concurrent radiotherapy for head and neck cancer in elderly patients or patients with complications.

OBJECTIVE: We planned a phase I study of radiotherapy combined with weekly docetaxel for elderly patients or patients with complications to find out the optimal dose. METHODS: Five consecutive weekly administrations of docetaxel were accompanied by radiotherapy for patients diagnosed with squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck. The starting dose of docetaxel was 10 mg/m(2) with escalation at 2 mg/m(2) per step. RESULTS: Fifteen patients were enrolled in this trial. The maximal tolerated dose was 14 mg/m(2), so the recommended dose was determined as 12 mg/m(2). Hematological toxicity was sufficiently weak. Common dose-limiting toxicity was stomatitis within the radiation field. CONCLUSIONS: This protocol was thought to be practical for elderly patients or those with medical complications.

Fitness versus physical activity patterns in predicting mortality in men.

PURPOSE: To compare the contributions of fitness level and physical activity patterns to all-cause mortality. METHODS: Of 6213 men referred for exercise testing between 1987 and 2000, 842 underwent an assessment of adulthood activity patterns. The predictive power of exercise capacity and activity patterns, along with clinical and exercise test data, were assessed for all-cause mortality during a mean (+/-SD) follow-up of 5.5 +/- 2 years. RESULTS: Expressing the data by age-adjusted quartiles, exercise capacity was a stronger predictor of mortality than was activity pattern (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.38 to 0.83; P < 0.001). In a multivariate analysis that considered clinical characteristics, risk factors, exercise test data, and activity patterns, exercise capacity (HR per quartile = 0.62; CI: 0.47 to 0.82; P < 0.001) and energy expenditure from adulthood recreational activity (HR per quartile = 0.72; 95% CI: 0.58 to 0.89; P = 0.002) were the only significant predictors of mortality; these two variables were stronger predictors than established risk factors such as smoking, hypertension, obesity, and diabetes. Age-adjusted mortality decreased per quartile increase in exercise capacity (HR for very low capacity = 1.0; HR for low = 0.59; HR for moderate = 0.46; HR for high = 0.28; P < 0.001) and physical activity (HR for very low activity = 1.0; HR for low = 0.63; HR for moderate = 0.42; HR for high = 0.38; P < 0.001). A 1000-kcal/wk increase in activity was approximately similar to a 1 metabolic equivalent increase in fitness; both conferred a mortality benefit of 20%. CONCLUSION: Exercise capacity determined from exercise testing and energy expenditure from weekly activity outperform other clinical and exercise test variables in predicting all-cause mortality.