Machine learning-based automated sponge cytology for screening of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagogastric junction: a nationwide, multicohort, prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagogastric junction have a dismal prognosis, and early detection is key to reduce mortality. However, early detection depends on upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, which is not feasible to implement at a population level. We aimed to develop and validate a fully automated machine learning-based prediction tool integrating a minimally invasive sponge cytology test and epidemiological risk factors for screening of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagogastric junction before endoscopy. METHODS: For this multicohort prospective study, we enrolled participants aged 40-75 years undergoing upper gastrointestinal endoscopy screening at 39 tertiary or secondary hospitals in China for model training and testing, and included community-based screening participants for further validation. All participants underwent questionnaire surveys, sponge cytology testing, and endoscopy in a sequential manner. We trained machine learning models to predict a composite outcome of high-grade lesions, defined as histology-confirmed high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia and carcinoma of the oesophagus and oesophagogastric junction. The predictive features included 105 cytological and 15 epidemiological features. Model performance was primarily measured with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and average precision. The performance measures for cytologists with AI assistance was also assessed. FINDINGS: Between Jan 1, 2021, and June 30, 2022, 17 498 eligible participants were involved in model training and validation. In the testing set, the AUROC of the final model was 0·960 (95% CI 0·937 to 0·977) and the average precision was 0·482 (0·470 to 0·494). The model achieved similar performance to consensus of cytologists with AI assistance (AUROC 0·955 [95% CI 0·933 to 0·975]; p=0·749; difference 0·005, 95% CI, -0·011 to 0·020). If the model-defined moderate-risk and high-risk groups were referred for endoscopy, the sensitivity was 94·5% (95% CI 88·8 to 97·5), specificity was 91·9% (91·2 to 92·5), and the predictive positive value was 18·4% (15·6 to 21·6), and 90·3% of endoscopies could be avoided. Further validation in community-based screening showed that the AUROC of the model was 0·964 (95% CI 0·920 to 0·990), and 92·8% of endoscopies could be avoided after risk stratification. INTERPRETATION: We developed a prediction tool with favourable performance for screening of oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma of the oesophagogastric junction. This approach could prevent the need for endoscopy screening in many low-risk individuals and ensure resource optimisation by prioritising high-risk individuals. FUNDING: Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality.

[Clinical application of tacrolimus with low-dose prednisone in 21 children with steroid-resistant nephrotic syndrome].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze and evaluate the efficacy and safety of tacrolimus and low-dose steroids in the treatment of steroid-resistant nephrotic syndrome in children. METHOD: Twenty-one children with steroid-resistant nephrotic syndrome enrolled from October 2008 to July 2010 into this retrospective longitudinal study received oral tacrolimus treatment, 0.1 to 0.15 mg/kg per day and once every 12 hours, and prednisone 0.2 to 0.75 mg/kg per day simultaneously. During the treatment, the plasma concentration of tacrolimus, urine volume, urine, serum creatinine and liver function were regularly monitored. RESULT: After 1 to 3 months treatment, 14 cases showed complete remission and 7 cases had partial remission. Sixteen patients received renal biopsy, of whom 6 revealed minimal change nephropathy with complete remission in 3 cases, 3 cases had partial remission;4 cases revealed focal segmental glomerulosclerosis with 2 complete remission and 2 partial remission; other 5 children with IgM nephropathy and 1 mesangial proliferative glomerulonephritis achieved complete remission. Within treatment period, 6 patients presented transient adverse reactions, without altering the principle treatment strategy, but only taking the symptomatic treatment. During follow-up, 1 case was lost to follow-up and the remaining 20 cases were followed up from 2 months to 21 months. In 4 patients the disease relapsed within 1st-year follow-up, while at 2nd-year follow-up, 4 cases had (6 times) recurrence. CONCLUSION: Tacrolimus showed a reliable effect in children with steroid-resistant nephrotic syndrome. Less adverse reactions were seen, and most of them could be tolerated. Nevertheless, the patients had a higher relapse rate after 1 to 2 years treatment. Therefore, the long-term effects of tacrolimus for steroid-resistant nephrotic syndrome remains to be further evaluated.