Obesity is associated with biliary tract cancer mortality and incidence: A pooled analysis of 21 cohort studies in the Asia Cohort Consortium.

Body fatness is considered a probable risk factor for biliary tract cancer (BTC), whereas cholelithiasis is an established factor. Nevertheless, although obesity is an established risk factor for cholelithiasis, previous studies of the association of body mass index (BMI) and BTC did not take the effect of cholelithiasis fully into account. To better understand the effect of BMI on BTC, we conducted a pooled analysis using population-based cohort studies in Asians. In total, 905 530 subjects from 21 cohort studies participating in the Asia Cohort Consortium were included. BMI was categorized into four groups: underweight (<18.5 kg/m2 ); normal (18.5-22.9 kg/m2 ); overweight (23-24.9 kg/m2 ); and obese (25+ kg/m2 ). The association between BMI and BTC incidence and mortality was assessed using hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by Cox regression models with shared frailty. Mediation analysis was used to decompose the association into a direct and an indirect (mediated) effect. Compared to normal BMI, high BMI was associated with BTC mortality (HR 1.19 [CI 1.02-1.38] for males, HR 1.30 [1.14-1.49] for females). Cholelithiasis had significant interaction with BMI on BTC risk. BMI was associated with BTC risk directly and through cholelithiasis in females, whereas the association was unclear in males. When cholelithiasis was present, BMI was not associated with BTC death in either males or females. BMI was associated with BTC death among females without cholelithiasis. This study suggests BMI is associated with BTC mortality in Asians. Cholelithiasis appears to contribute to the association; and moreover, obesity appears to increase BTC risk without cholelithiasis.

Lung Cancer Risk Prediction Models for Asian Ever-Smokers.

INTRODUCTION: Although lung cancer prediction models are widely used to support risk-based screening, their performance outside Western populations remains uncertain. This study aims to evaluate the performance of 11 existing risk prediction models in multiple Asian populations and to refit prediction models for Asians. METHODS: In a pooled analysis of 186,458 Asian ever-smokers from 19 prospective cohorts, we assessed calibration (expected-to-observed ratio) and discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]) for each model. In addition, we developed the "Shanghai models" to better refine risk models for Asians on the basis of two well-characterized population-based prospective cohorts and externally validated them in other Asian cohorts. RESULTS: Among the 11 models, the Lung Cancer Death Risk Assessment Tool yielded the highest AUC (AUC [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 0.71 [0.67-0.74] for lung cancer death and 0.69 [0.67-0.72] for lung cancer incidence) and the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial Model had good calibration overall (expected-to-observed ratio [95% CI] = 1.06 [0.90-1.25]). Nevertheless, these models substantially underestimated lung cancer risk among Asians who reported less than 10 smoking pack-years or stopped smoking more than or equal to 20 years ago. The Shanghai models were found to have marginal improvement overall in discrimination (AUC [95% CI] = 0.72 [0.69-0.74] for lung cancer death and 0.70 [0.67-0.72] for lung cancer incidence) but consistently outperformed the selected Western models among low-intensity smokers and long-term quitters. CONCLUSIONS: The Shanghai models had comparable performance overall to the best existing models, but they improved much in predicting the lung cancer risk of low-intensity smokers and long-term quitters in Asia.

Trends and sex-specific incidence of upper urinary tract cancer in Taiwan: A birth cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Taiwan has one of the highest incidences of upper tract urothelial cancer (UTUC) worldwide, especially in women; however, no nationwide, long-term follow-up study has evaluated this. METHODS: We investigated the incidence of UTUC in Taiwan using data from the national population-based Taiwan Cancer Registry database (1985-2019). We divided the birth cohort into nine 5-year age groups and calculated the age-specific incidence for these groups according to the corresponding birth years. RESULTS: The average annual percent change in the incidence of renal pelvis cancer from 1985 to 2019 showed sex-specific differences, with 3.5% and 5.3% increases in the incidences in men and women, respectively. The age-specific incidence rate for renal pelvis cancer among women showed a gradual increase in the group with older women as well as an increase over time in each age group. The results of a birth cohort analysis revealed that younger cohorts had higher incidence rates of renal pelvis cancer than older cohorts did. CONCLUSION: We demonstrated that the incidence of UTUC is unusually high among older Taiwanese women and that younger cohorts have a high risk of UTUC than older cohorts.

Incidence trends of oral cavity, oropharyngeal, hypopharyngeal and laryngeal cancers among males in Taiwan, 1980-2019: a population-based cancer registry study.

In a country with a high prevalence of cigarette smoking, betel chewing, and alcohol drinking, cancers of the oral cavity, nasopharynx, and larynx were the fourth, twelfth and seventeenth leading causes of cancer death, respectively, for men in 2020. We analyzed patients with head and neck cancer from 1980 to 2019 from the Taiwan Cancer Registration Database and discussed the annual average percent change, average percent change, age period, and birth cohort. Obvious period effects and birth effects are seen in oral, oropharyngeal, and hypopharyngeal cancer; however, the most significant period effect was seen between 1990 and 2009, which mainly reflects the consumption of betel nuts per capita. In addition, the period effect lessens after 2010 in oral cancer and hypopharyngeal cancers, while oropharyngeal cancers remain an obvious period effect, which results from the rising prevalence of HPV. Due to the high prevalence rate of betel quid chewing and cigarette smoking in the 1990s, the government executed several acts. As a result, the age-adjusted incidence rates of oral, oropharyngeal, and hypopharyngeal cancers have flattened since 2010, which can be explained by the declining cigarette smoking rate. The strict policy indeed shows an obvious effect on the head and neck cancer incidence rates, and we expect to see a further decline in the future.

Human Papillomavirus and Risk of Colorectal Cancer: An Analysis of Nationwide Claims Data.

Background and Objectives: Although human papillomavirus (HPV) is a major etiology of cervical and anogenital cancers, whether it is associated with colorectal carcinogenesis is yet undetermined. Materials and Methods: The longitudinal association of HPV infection with colorectal cancer (CRC) was evaluated using 2000-2013 data from a nationwide Taiwanese claims database. In this retrospective cohort study, 358 patients with primary HPV diagnoses (HPV-infected cohort) and 1432 patients without such a diagnosis (HPV-uninfected cohort) were recruited between 2000 and 2006. Both cohorts were followed up to identify CRC incidences from 2006 to 2013. Hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) derived from Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the association between HPV and CRC risk. Results: The HPV-infected cohort had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of CRC than the HPV-uninfected cohort. The presence of HPV was associated with an increased risk of CRC (adjusted HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.02-3.62). Furthermore, the significant HPV-CRC risk association was evident in both sexes. Conclusions: This population-based cohort study reveals longitudinal evidence that HPV is associated with an increased risk of CRC. Further studies are required to verify the role of HPV in colorectal carcinogenesis.

Secular trends of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in a high endemic area: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is one of the most aggressive malignancies. However, because of its scarcity there are limited population-based data available for investigations into its epidemiologic characteristics. In Taiwan, we have a national cancer registry database that can be used to evaluate the secular trends of ICC. AIM: To evaluate secular trends of ICC according to age, sex, and risk factors in Taiwan. METHODS: In this population-based study, we used the national Taiwan Cancer Registry database. Age-standardized and relative percent changes in incidence rates were used to describe secular trends in incidence rates and sex ratios of ICC in Taiwan. RESULTS: The age-standardized ICC incidence rate among males increased from 1.51 per 100000 in 1993-1997 to 4.07 per 100000 in 2013-2017 and among female from 1.73 per 100000 to 2.95 per 100000. The incidence in females tended to plateau after 2008-2012. For males, the ICC incidence increased as age increased. In the long-term incidence trend of ICC in females, the incidence of the four age groups (40-44, 45-49, 50-54 and 55-59 years) remained stable in different years; although, the incidence of the 60-64 group had a peak in 2003-2007, and the peak incidence of the 65-69 and 70-74 groups occurred in 2008-2012. Among males, beginning at the age of 65, there were increases in the incidence of ICC for the period of 2003-2017 as compared with females in the period of 2003-2017. CONCLUSION: Increased incidence of ICC occurred in Taiwan over the past two decades. The increased incidence has progressively shifted toward younger people for both males and females.

Association of Nationwide Hepatitis B Vaccination and Antiviral Therapy Programs With End-Stage Liver Disease Burden in Taiwan.

Importance: Chronic infections of hepatitis B and C viruses are the main causes of end-stage liver disease (ESLD) worldwide. The successful control of viral hepatitis is critical to reducing the burden of ESLD. Objective: To examine the association of 2 world-first nationwide neonatal hepatitis B vaccinations and national antiviral therapy programs implemented in Taiwan (in 1984 and 2003, respectively) with the burden of ESLD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included children and adults aged 5 to 39 years from the National Cancer Registry Database and the National Death Registry Database between 1979 and 2018 in Taiwan. Individuals who died from chronic liver disease (CLD) and cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or were diagnosed with HCC were included for analysis. Analyses were performed in January 2021. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcomes were measures of age, period, and cohort associations with CLD mortality and HCC incidence and mortality using an age-period-cohort analysis. Results: Among the 43 604 individuals (mean [SD] age, 33.3 [6.0] years; 37 755 men [86.6%]) with ESLD in the cohort, there were 17 904 CLD deaths, 11 504 HCC deaths, and 14 196 HCC incident events. There was a significant increase in all 3 disease burdens after age 20 years. From 2004 to 2018, CLD mortality decreased by 26% (adjusted rate ratio [aRR], 0.74; 95% CI, 0.70-0.82), HCC mortality decreased by 50% (aRR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.45-0.58), and HCC incidence decreased by 53% (aRR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.44-0.52). A sharply declining association by cohort was observed from the 1982 to 1986 birth cohort to the 2007 to 2011 birth cohort, during which CLD mortality decreased by 82% (aRR, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.00-1.13), HCC mortality decreased by 63% (aRR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.09-0.68), and HCC incidence decreased by 80% (aRR, 0.20; 95% CI, 0.00-0.48). The associations of age, period, and cohort were similar between male and female individuals and between urban and rural areas. The percentage of chronic hepatitis B infections in patients with HCC decreased from 83.3% (95% CI, 79.7%-86.5%) for those born from 1980 to 1984 to 55.6% (95% CI, 21.2%-86.3%) (from 2000 to 2004). Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that the national hepatitis B vaccination program and the antiviral therapy program jointly were associated with substantial reductions in the burden of ESLD in Taiwan.

Association of Marital Status With Total and Cause-Specific Mortality in Asia.

Importance: Marital status has been shown to be associated with mortality, but evidence in Asian populations is limited. Objective: To examine the association of marital status with total and cause-specific mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included individual participant data from 16 prospective studies in the Asia Cohort Consortium conducted between 1963 and 2015. Asian participants with complete information on marital and vital status were included. Study-specific hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were estimated using Cox proportional hazards model and then pooled using a random-effects meta-analysis. The analysis began in February 2021 and ended in August 2021. Exposures: Marital status. Main Outcomes and Measures: All-cause and cause-specific mortality. Results: Of 623 140 participants (326 397 women [52.4%] and 296 743 men [47.6%]; mean [SD] age, 53.7 [10.2] years; mean [SD] follow-up time, 15.5 [6.1] years), 123 264 deaths were ascertained. Compared with married individuals, those who were unmarried had pooled HRs of 1.15 (95% CI, 1.07-1.24) for total mortality, 1.12 (95% CI, 1.03-1.22) for cerebrovascular disease mortality, 1.20 (95% CI, 1.09-1.31) for coronary heart disease mortality, 1.17 (95% CI, 1.07-1.28) for circulatory system diseases mortality, 1.06 (95% CI, 1.01-1.11) for cancer mortality, 1.14 (95% CI, 1.05-1.23) for respiratory diseases mortality, and 1.19 (95% CI, 1.05-1.34) for external causes of death. Positive associations with total mortality were also observed for those who were single (HR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.41-1.86), separated (HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.13-1.61), divorced (HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.13-1.69), and widowed (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04-1.13). In subgroup analyses, the positive association persisted across baseline health conditions, and the risk of death was more pronounced among men or people younger than 65 years. Conclusions and Relevance: This large pooled cohort study of individual participant data provides strong evidence that being unmarried, as well as belonging to the unmarried subcategories, was positively associated with total and cause-specific mortality. Investment of targeted social support services might need to be considered in light of the mortality differences between married and unmarried individuals.

Association between body mass index and oesophageal cancer mortality: a pooled analysis of prospective cohort studies with >800 000 individuals in the Asia Cohort Consortium.

BACKGROUND: The association between body mass index (BMI) and oesophageal cancer (OC) has been consistently negative among Asians, whereas different associations based on histological OC subtypes have been observed in Europeans and North Americans. We examined the association between BMI and OC mortality in the Asia Cohort Consortium. METHODS: We performed a pooled analysis to evaluate the association between BMI and OC mortality among 842 630 Asians from 18 cohort studies. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. RESULTS: A wide J-shaped association between BMI and overall OC mortality was observed. The OC mortality risk was increased for underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m2: HR = 2.20, 95% CI 1.80-2.70) and extreme obesity (BMI ≥35 kg/m2: HR = 4.38, 95% CI 2.25-8.52) relative to the reference BMI (23-25 kg/m2). This association pattern was confirmed by several alternative analyses based on OC incidence and meta-analysis. A similar wide J-shaped association was observed in oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). Smoking and alcohol synergistically increased the OC mortality risk in underweight participants (HR = 6.96, 95% CI 4.54-10.67) relative to that in reference BMI participants not exposed to smoking and alcohol. CONCLUSION: Extreme obesity and being underweight were associated with an OC mortality risk among Asians. OC mortality and BMI formed a wide J-shaped association mirrored by OSCC mortality. Although the effect of BMI on OSCC and oesophageal adenocarcinoma mortality can be different in Asians, further research based on a large case-control study is recommended.

Secular decreasing trends in gastric cancer incidence in Taiwan: A population-based cancer registry study.

BACKGROUND: Gastric cancer remains a leading cause of cancer death worldwide. In Taiwan, gastric cancer is the sixth leading cause of cancer mortality in both males and females. AIM: To evaluate secular trends in gastric cancer incidence according to age, sex, and Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) treatment in Taiwan. METHODS: In this population-based study, we used the national Taiwan Cancer Registry database. Annual percent changes in incidence rates were used to describe secular trends in incidence rates and sex ratios of gastric cancer in Taiwan. Pearson's product-moment correlation coefficients were used to analyze the correlation between annual age-adjusted incidence rates and the annual number of patients treated with antibiotic therapy for H. pylori infection. RESULTS: The annual percent changes showed continuously decreasing rates of gastric cancer among both males and females. However, the decreasing trends differed by sex, with an annual percent change of -2.58% in males and -2.14% in females. The age-specific incidence rates increased with age. Within the same age group, more recent time periods showed lower incidence rates than greater time periods. Similarly, the sex ratio was lower in later birth cohorts than in earlier birth cohorts. Age-adjusted incidence rates substantially decreased with increasing numbers of patients being treated with antibiotic therapy for H. pylori infection during 2005 to 2016 (r = 0.72). CONCLUSION: We observed steadily decreasing trends with differential sex ratios in the incidence of gastric cancer in Taiwan. These results support H. pylori eradication programs in Taiwan.

Increased risk of second primary malignancies among endometrial cancer survivors receiving surgery alone: A population-based analysis.

BACKGROUND: Women with endometrial cancer (EC) have favorable prognoses, leaving them vulnerable to the development of second primary cancers (SPCs). We investigated the SPC risk and survival outcomes among EC patients treated with surgery alone in order to exclude the impact of adjuvant treatment on the results. METHODS: Data from the Taiwan Cancer Registry from 1995 to 2013 were analyzed. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of SPCs among EC survivors were calculated. RESULTS: Among 7725 women enrolled, 478 developed an SPC. The overall SIR for SPCs in EC survivors was 2.84 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.59-3.10) compared with the general female population. Women diagnosed with EC at age <50 years had a higher SIR for an SPC than those diagnosed at age ≥50 years (SIR = 4.38 vs. 1.28). The most frequent site of an SPC was the small intestine (SIR = 8.39, 95% CI 2.72-19.58), followed by the kidney (SIR = 4.84, 95% CI 1.78-10.54), and oral cavity (SIR = 4.52, 95% CI 2.17-8.31). Women, regardless of age at EC diagnosis, had significantly higher SIRs for subsequent breast, colorectal, lung, and thyroid cancer, and lymphoma. Women with an SPC had shorter overall survival than those without (5-year: 88.9 vs. 94.2%, 10-year: 71.3 vs. 89.8%, 15-year: 62.3 vs. 86.1%, and 20-year: 47.6 vs. 81.1%, all ps<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Even women treated for EC with surgery alone, especially young EC survivors, had an increased risk of SPCs. Genetic counseling/testing is recommended for young EC patients, and all are recommended to receive regular surveillance and screening for breast, colorectal, and lung cancers.

Chemotherapeutic Regimens and Chemotherapy-Free Intervals Influence the Survival of Patients with Recurrent Advanced Epithelial Ovarian Carcinoma: A Retrospective Population-Based Study.

We aimed to evaluate factors influencing the outcomes of patients with platinum-sensitive recurrent epithelial ovarian carcinoma (EOC). Patients with advanced-stage EOC, who received debulking surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy for recurrence, were obtained from the National Health Insurance Research database of Taiwan between 2000 and 2013. A total of 1038 patients with recurrent advanced-stage EOC were recruited. The platinum + paclitaxel (PT) group had the best five-year overall survival (OS) compared with the other three groups (p < 0.001). The hazard ratios (HRs) of five-year OS for the platinum + liposomal doxorubicin (PD), topotecan (TOP), and pegylated liposomal doxorubicin (PLD) groups were 1.21 (p = 0.07), 1.35 (p = 0.016), and 1.80 (p < 0.001), respectively, compared with the PT group. The PT group also had lower hazard ratios of five-year OS for patients with platinum therapy-free interval (TFIp) between 6 and 12 months compared with the other three groups (p < 0.0001). However, the HRs of five-year OS did not differ between the PT and PD groups in patients with TFIp >12 months. Patients with TFIp >12 months had lower HRs of five-year OS compared with those with TFIp of 6-12 months, regardless of whether they were treated with platinum-based (p = 0.001) or non-platinum-based (p = 0.003) regimens. Chemotherapeutic regimens and TFIp influenced the outcomes of patients with recurrent EOC. For patients with TFIp of 6-12 months, the PT regimen is the first choice based on their best overall survival result. For patients with TFIp >12 months, either platinum-based or non-platinum regimens could be used because of their similar excellent overall survival.

Epidemiology of Virus Infection and Human Cancer.

Seven viruses including the Epstein-Barr virus (EBV), hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), Kaposi's sarcoma herpes virus (KSHV), human immunodeficiency virus, type-1 (HIV-1), human T cell lymphotrophic virus, type-1 (HTLV-1), and human papillomavirus (HPV) have been classified as Group 1 human carcinogens by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). The conclusions are based on the findings of epidemiological and mechanistic studies. EBV, HPV, HTLV-1, and KSHV are direct carcinogens; HBV and HCV are indirect carcinogens through chronic inflammation; and HIV-1 is an indirect carcinogen through immune suppression. Some viruses may cause more than one cancer, while some cancers may be caused by more than one virus. However, only a proportion of persons infected by these oncogenic viruses will develop specific cancers. A series of studies have been carried out to assess the viral, host, and environmental cofactors of EBV-associated nasopharyngeal carcinoma, HBV/HCV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma, and HPV-associated cervical carcinoma. Persistent infection, high viral load, and viral genotype are important risk predictors of these virus-caused cancers. Risk calculators incorporating host and viral risk predictors have been developed for the prediction of long-term risk of hepatocellular carcinoma, nasopharyngeal carcinoma and cervical cancer. These risk calculators are useful for the triage and clinical management of infected patients. Both clinical trials and national programs of immunization, antiviral therapy and screening have demonstrated a significant reduction in the incidence of cancers caused by HBV, HCV, and HPV. Future research on gene-gene and gene-environment interactions of oncogenic viruses and the human host using large-scale longitudinal studies with serial measurements of biosignatures are in urgent need.

Association between atopic dermatitis and colorectal cancer risk: A nationwide cohort study.

The role of atopic dermatitis (AD) in the development of colorectal cancer (CRC) has been a matter of scientific debate with mixed results. We conducted a nationwide cohort study to assess the association between AD and risk of CRC. Drawing on Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, 46,703 patients with AD (the AD cohort) and 186,812 sex, age, and index year-matched patients without AD (the non-AD cohort) were identified in the period between 2000 and 2008. Follow-up time was calculated from the date of entry in the cohort until the occurrence of a first CRC diagnosis, death, or the end of the observation period (December 31, 2013), whichever occurred first. Hazards ratios (HRs) and accompanying 95% confidence intervals (CIs) derived from the Fine-Gray competing risk model were used to estimate the association between AD and CRC risk. After multivariable adjustment, AD was associated with an increased risk of CRC (adjusted HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.14-1.40). Of note, a significant positive association between AD and CRC risk was evident in both men and women and in all age groups. In summary, this population-based cohort study revealed that AD was associated with an increased risk of CRC in an Asian population. It will be of interest for cohort studies with prediagnostic specimens to evaluate the potential relationship between AD and CRC using biomarkers for allergy status.

Increased incidence of colorectal cancer with obstructive sleep apnea: a nationwide population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies on the obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and cancer relationship in humans are inconsistent. Furthermore, there are limited prospective studies on the association between OSA and the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). This retrospective cohort study examined the longitudinal relationship between OSA and CRC in a nationwide population-based cohort. METHODS: We identified 4180 individuals newly diagnosed with OSA (the exposed cohort) and randomly selected 16,720 age- and sex-matched subjects without OSA (the nonexposed cohort) between 2000 and 2008 from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). The Kaplan-Meier method was used for calculating the cumulative incidence of CRC in each cohort. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and the accompanying 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between OSA and CRC. RESULTS: After adjusting for potential confounders, patients with OSA were associated with a significantly higher risk of CRC than those without OSA (adjusted HR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.28-2.52). The cumulative incidence of CRC was significantly higher in the OSA cohort than in the comparison cohort (log-rank test, p < 0.001). Furthermore, the association between OSA and CRC appeared to be enhanced with increasing frequency of OSA medical visits (adjusted HR [95% CI] was 1.61 [0.97-2.66] and 1.86 [1.26-2.75] for one visit and two or more visits, respectively). CONCLUSION: This population-based cohort study demonstrated that OSA was associated with an increased risk of CRC. Further large-scale prospective studies are needed to confirm our results.

Correlation between kidney transplantation and colorectal cancer in hemodialysis patients: A nationwide, retrospective, population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Kidney transplantation (KT) correlates with an increased risk of developing several malignancies; however, the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) after KT remains debatable and has been marginally explored. Hence, in this nationwide, retrospective, population-based cohort study, we aimed to examine the correlation between KT and CRC in a large-scale population-based Chinese cohort. METHODS: We identified a total of 3739 regular hemodialysis patients undergoing KT (exposed cohort) and 42,324 hemodialysis patients not undergoing KT (non-exposed cohort) between 2000 and 2008 from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). Both cohorts were followed up from January 1, 2000, to the date of CRC diagnosis, death, or the end of 2013. Using Kaplan-Meier method, we measured the cumulative incidence of CRC in each cohort. Furthermore, Cox proportional hazards models were used to compute hazards ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to estimate the correlation between KT and CRC in hemodialysis patients. RESULTS: The Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the cumulative incidence of CRC was significantly higher in the exposed cohort than in the non-exposed cohort (log-rank test, P < 0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders, the exposed cohort exhibited a significantly increased risk of CRC compared with the non-exposed cohort (adjusted HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.11-1.62). CONCLUSIONS: Hemodialysis patients undergoing KT have a significantly higher risk of CRC than those not undergoing KT. Cancer should continue to be a primary focus of prevention during KT.

Association of BMI, Smoking, and Alcohol with Multiple Myeloma Mortality in Asians: A Pooled Analysis of More than 800,000 Participants in the Asia Cohort Consortium.

BACKGROUND: To date, few epidemiologic studies have been conducted to elucidate lifestyle-related risk factors for multiple myeloma in Asia. We investigated the association of body mass index (BMI), smoking, and alcohol intake with the risk of multiple myeloma mortality through a pooled analysis of more than 800,000 participants in the Asia Cohort Consortium. METHODS: The analysis included 805,309 participants contributing 10,221,623 person-years of accumulated follow-up across Asia Cohort Consortium cohorts. HRs and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for the association between BMI, smoking, and alcohol at baseline and the risk of multiple myeloma mortality were assessed using a Cox proportional hazards model with shared frailty. RESULTS: We observed a statistically significant dose-dependent association between BMI categories and the risk of multiple myeloma mortality (<18.5 kg/m2: HR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.52-1.24; 18.5-24.9 kg/m2: reference; 25.0-29.9 kg/m2: HR = 1.17, 95% CI: 0.94-1.47; ≥30 kg/m2: HR = 1.61, 95% CI: 0.99-2.64, P trend = 0.014). By sex, this association was more apparent in women than in men (P for heterogeneity between sexes = 0.150). We observed no significant associations between smoking or alcohol consumption and risk of multiple myeloma mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that excess body mass is associated with an increased risk of multiple myeloma mortality among Asian populations. In contrast, our results do not support an association between smoking or alcohol consumption and the risk of multiple myeloma mortality in Asian populations. IMPACT: This study provides important evidence on the association of BMI, smoking, and alcohol with the risk of multiple myeloma mortality in Asian populations.

Association between educational level and total and cause-specific mortality: a pooled analysis of over 694 000 individuals in the Asia Cohort Consortium.

OBJECTIVE: To study the association of educational level and risk of death from all causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer among Asian populations. DESIGN: A pooled analysis of 15 population-based cohort studies. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 694 434 Asian individuals from 15 prospective cohorts within the Asia Cohort Consortium. INTERVENTIONS: None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: HRs and 95% CIs for all-cause mortality, as well as for CVD-specific mortality and cancer-specific mortality. RESULTS: A total of 694 434 participants (mean age at baseline=53.2 years) were included in the analysis. During a mean follow-up period of 12.5 years, 103 023 deaths were observed, among which 33 939 were due to cancer and 34 645 were due to CVD. Higher educational levels were significantly associated with lower risk of death from all causes compared with a low educational level (≤primary education); HRs and 95% CIs for secondary education, trade/technical education and ≥university education were 0.88 (0.85 to 0.92), 0.81 (0.73 to 0.90) and 0.71 (0.63 to 0.80), respectively (ptrend=0.002). Similarly, HRs (95% CIs) were 0.93 (0.89 to 0.97), 0.86 (0.78 to 0.94) and 0.81 (0.73 to 0.89) for cancer death, and 0.88 (0.83 to 0.93), 0.77 (0.66 to 0.91) and 0.67 (0.58 to 0.77) for CVD death with increasing levels of education (both ptrend <0.01). The pattern of the association among East Asians and South Asians was similar compared with ≤primary education; HR (95% CI) for all-cause mortality associated with ≥university education was 0.72 (0.63 to 0.81) among 539 724 East Asians (Chinese, Japanese and Korean) and 0.61 (0.54 to 0.69) among 154 710 South Asians (Indians and Bangladeshis). CONCLUSION: Higher educational level was associated with substantially lower risk of death among Asian populations.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Human Papillomavirus Vaccination in Adolescent Girls in Taiwan

Objective: Three vaccines are available to Taiwanese young girls for cervical cancer (CC) prevention. Here we evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the two-dose (2D) AS04-adjuvanted HPV-16/18 vaccine (2D-AS04-HPV- 16/18v)+screening compared with a screening programme alone, with 2D human papillomavirus 6/11/16/18 vaccine (2D-4vHPVv)+screening, and with 2D/three-dose (3D) human papillomavirus 6/11/16/18/31/33/45/52/58 vaccine (9vHPVv)+screening, for Taiwan universal mass vaccination. Methods: A static Markov cohort model simulated the natural history of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and CC screening for a 12-year-old cohort of Taiwanese girls (N=120,000). The model ran in 1-year cycles over the cohort's lifetime. Vaccine efficacy irrespective of HPV type was considered in the analysis for each vaccine. Input data were obtained from published literature, local databases, government reports and websites, and expert opinion. The analysis incorporated direct medical costs only, with an annual discount rate of 3.0%. The threshold was determined as 1 Gross Domestic Product per capita (New Taiwan dollar [NT$] 727,818; year 2016). Results: The 2D-AS04-HPV-16/18v+screening yielded 0.0365 quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained at an additional cost of NT$ 5,770 per person compared with the screening programme alone. This resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio well below the threshold. Compared with 2D-4vHPVv+screening and 2D/3D-9vHPVv+screening, discounted results demonstrated additional QALYs gained at lower cost for 2D-AS04-HPV- 16/18v+screening, making it dominant over both 2D-4vHPVv+screening and 2D/3D-9vHPVv+screening. Conclusions: Vaccinating Taiwanese girls with 2D-AS04-HPV-16/18v in addition to screening to prevent CC is cost-effective compared with using a screening programme alone and the dominant option compared with 2D-4vHPVv+screening and 2D/3D-9vHPVv+screening.

Association of Diabetes With All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in Asia: A Pooled Analysis of More Than 1 Million Participants.

Importance: Asia is home to the largest diabetic populations in the world. However, limited studies have quantified the association of diabetes with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Asian populations. Objectives: To evaluate the association of diabetes with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Asia and to investigate potential effect modifications of the diabetes-mortality associations by participants' age, sex, education level, body mass index, and smoking status. Design, Setting, and Participants: This pooled analysis incorporated individual participant data from 22 prospective cohort studies of the Asia Cohort Consortium conducted between 1963 and 2006. A total of 1 002 551 Asian individuals (from mainland China, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, India, and Bangladesh) were followed up for more than 3 years. Cohort-specific hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for all-cause and cause-specific mortality were estimated using Cox regression models and then pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Analysis was conducted between January 10, 2018, and August 31, 2018. Exposures: Doctor-diagnosed diabetes, age, sex, education level, body mass index, and smoking status. Main Outcomes and Measures: All-cause and cause-specific mortality. Results: Of 1 002 551 participants (518 537 [51.7%] female; median [range] age, 54.0 [30.0-98.0] years), 148 868 deaths were ascertained during a median (range) follow-up of 12.6 (3.0-38.9) years. The overall prevalence of diabetes reported at baseline was 4.8% for men and 3.6% for women. Patients with diabetes had a 1.89-fold risk of all-cause death compared with patients without diabetes (hazard ratio [HR], 1.89; 95% CI, 1.74-2.04), with the highest relative risk of death due to diabetes itself (HR, 22.8; 95% CI, 18.5-28.1), followed by renal disease (HR, 3.08; 95% CI, 2.50-3.78), coronary heart disease (HR, 2.57; 95% CI, 2.19-3.02), and ischemic stroke (HR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.85-2.51). The adverse diabetes-mortality associations were more evident among women (HR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.89-2.32) than among men (HR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.62-1.88) (P for interaction < .001) and more evident among adults aged 30 to 49 years (HR, 2.43; 95% CI, 2.08-2.84) than among adults aged 70 years and older (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.40-1.62) (P for interaction < .001). A similar pattern of association was found between diabetes and cause-specific mortality, with significant variations noted by sex and age. Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that diabetes was associated with increased risk of death from several diseases among Asian populations. Development and implementation of diabetes management programs are urgently needed to reduce the burden of diabetes in Asia.