Risk factors and prognosis of postoperative acute myocardial infarction in elderly hip fracture patients combined with coronary heart disease.

INTRODUCTION: This article mainly studies the risk factors for postoperative acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in elderly hip fracture patients combined with coronary heart disease (CHD), constructs a prediction model, and evaluates the prognosis of all the patients. METHODS: This article retrospectively collected elderly patients with hip fracture and CHD who underwent hip fracture surgery at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University from January 2019 to December 2021. Demographic data, laboratory indicators, and imaging examination results were collected from the medical case system. The risk factors of postoperative AMI were determined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and a nomogram prediction model was established. The ROC curve, calibration curve and DCA decision curve were plotted by R language software. The patients in the training set were followed up for 2 years to evaluate their survival situation. RESULTS: 1094 eligible patients were divided into a training set (n = 824 from January 1, 2019 to September 31, 2021) and a validation set (n = 270 from October 1, 2021 to December 31, 2022). In the training set, women accounted for 58.6%; The average age of the patients was 79.45 years old; The main type of fracture was intertrochanteric fracture. There were 64.7% patients taken B receptor blockers; A total of 166 (20.1%) patients underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI); Hypertension accounted for 55.5%; 520 (63.1%) patients had a preoperative waiting time greater than 3 days; The average hemoglobin value upon admission was 101.36 g/L; The average intraoperative bleeding volume was 212.42 ml; The average surgical time was 2.5 ± 0.3 h; Reginal anesthesia accounted for 29.7%; 63 (68.5%) AMI patients had no obvious clinical symptoms; 68 (73.9%) AMI patients did not show ST-segment elevation in ECG; The risk factors of postoperative AMI were age, hemoglobin at admission, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, intraoperative bleeding, and reginal anesthesia. The AUC of the nomogram prediction model was 0.729. The AUC in the validation set was 0.783. Survival analysis showed a significant statistical difference in 2-year mortality between patients with AMI and without AMI, among all the patients with AMI, patients with ECG ST-segment elevation has higher mortality than patients without ECG ST-segment elevation. CONCLUSION: Our research results found that the incidence of postoperative AMI in elderly patients with hip fractures and CHD was 11.1%. Age, diabetes, hemoglobin at admission, regional anesthesia, chronic kidney disease, and intraoperative bleeding are risk factors. The AUC of the nomogram in training set is 0.729. The 2-year mortality rate of the patients with AMI is higher than that of patients without AMI.

Predictive characteristics and model development for acute heart failure preceding hip fracture surgery in elderly hypertensive patients: a retrospective machine learning approach.

BACKGROUND: Hip fractures are a serious health concern among the elderly, particularly in patients with hypertension, where the incidence of acute heart failure preoperatively is high, significantly affecting surgical outcomes and prognosis. This study aims to assess the risk of preoperative acute heart failure in elderly patients with hypertension and hip fractures by constructing a predictive model using machine learning on potential risk factors. METHODS: A retrospective study design was employed, collecting preoperative data from January 2018 to December 2019 of elderly hypertensive patients with hip fractures at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University. Using SPSS 24.0 and R software, predictive models were established through LASSO regression and multivariable logistic regression analysis. The models' predictive performance was evaluated using metrics such as the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve), and decision curve analysis (DCA), providing insights into the nomogram's predictive accuracy and clinical utility. RESULTS: Out of 1038 patients screened, factors such as gender, age, history of stroke, arrhythmias, anemia, and complications were identified as independent risk factors for preoperative acute heart failure in the study population. Notable predictors included Sex (OR 0.463, 95% CI 0.299-0.7184, P = 0.001), Age (OR 1.737, 95% CI 1.213-2.488, P = 0.003), Stroke (OR 1.627, 95% CI 1.137-2.327, P = 0.008), Arrhythmia (OR 2.727, 95% CI 1.490-4.990, P = 0.001), Complications (OR 2.733, 95% CI 1.850-4.036, P < 0.001), and Anemia (OR 3.258, 95% CI 2.180-4.867, P < 0.001). The prediction model of acute heart failure was Logit(P) = -2.091-0.770 × Sex + 0.552 × Age + 0.487 × Stroke + 1.003 × Arrhythmia + 1.005 × Complications + 1.181 × Anemia, and the prediction model nomogram was established. The model's AUC was 0.785 (95% CI, 0.754-0.815), Decision curve analysis (DCA) further validated the nomogram's excellent performance, identifying an optimal cutoff value probability range of 3% to 58% for predicting preoperative acute heart failure in elderly patients with hypertension and hip fractures. CONCLUSION: The predictive model developed in this study is highly accurate and serves as a powerful tool for the clinical assessment of the risk of preoperative acute heart failure in elderly hypertensive patients with hip fractures, aiding in the optimization of preoperative risk assessment and patient management.

Comparison of tenofovir versus entecavir on reducing incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Studies had shown that tenofovir (TDF) and entecavir (ETV) are widely used as the first-line therapy to inhibit hepatitis B virus replication, which can reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, but it was unclear which nucleos(t)ide analogue was most effective. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis and a systematic review to compare the incidence of HCC in CHB patients who are either on TDF or ETV. METHODS: For this study, the following databases were searched for clinical trials published from its inception until November 2019: PubMed, Web of Science, MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Library. RESULTS: A total of 11 eligible studies were selected, including 70 864 patients. The meta-analysis showed that TDF was superior to ETV with regard to the incidence of HCC, the incidence of death or transplantation, and virologic response. There were no significant differences in terms of biochemical response and loss of seroconversion response among the entire cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The conclusion was that CHB patients treated with TDF had a reduced incidence of HCC compared with patients treated with ETV.