Effect of residential relocation on environmental exposures in European cohorts: An exposome-wide approach.

Residential relocation is increasingly used as a natural experiment in epidemiological studies to assess the health impact of changes in environmental exposures. Since the likelihood of relocation can be influenced by individual characteristics that also influence health, studies may be biased if the predictors of relocation are not appropriately accounted for. Using data from Swedish and Dutch adults (SDPP, AMIGO), and birth cohorts (BAMSE, PIAMA), we investigated factors associated with relocation and changes in multiple environmental exposures across life stages. We used logistic regression to identify baseline predictors of moving, including sociodemographic and household characteristics, health behaviors and health. We identified exposure clusters reflecting three domains of the urban exposome (air pollution, grey surface, and socioeconomic deprivation) and conducted multinomial logistic regression to identify predictors of exposome trajectories among movers. On average, 7 % of the participants relocated each year. Before relocating, movers were consistently exposed to higher levels of air pollution than non-movers. Predictors of moving differed between the adult and birth cohorts, highlighting the importance of life stages. In the adult cohorts, moving was associated with younger age, smoking, and lower education and was independent of cardio-respiratory health indicators (hypertension, BMI, asthma, COPD). Contrary to adult cohorts, higher parental education and household socioeconomic position were associated with a higher probability of relocation in birth cohorts, alongside being the first child and living in a multi-unit dwelling. Among movers in all cohorts, those with a higher socioeconomic position at baseline were more likely to move towards healthier levels of the urban exposome. We provide new insights into predictors of relocation and subsequent changes in multiple aspects of the urban exposome in four cohorts covering different life stages in Sweden and the Netherlands. These results inform strategies to limit bias due to residential self-selection in epidemiological studies using relocation as a natural experiment.

Association of Short-term Air Pollution Exposure With SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Young Adults in Sweden.

Importance: Mounting ecological evidence shows an association between short-term air pollution exposure and COVID-19, yet no study has examined this association on an individual level. Objective: To estimate the association between short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and SARS-CoV-2 infection among Swedish young adults. Design, Setting, and Participants: This time-stratified case-crossover study linked the prospective BAMSE (Children, Allergy Milieu, Stockholm, Epidemiology [in Swedish]) birth cohort to the Swedish national infectious disease registry to identify cases with positive results for SARS-CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing from May 5, 2020, to March 31, 2021. Case day was defined as the date of the PCR test, whereas the dates with the same day of the week within the same calendar month and year were selected as control days. Data analysis was conducted from September 1 to December 31, 2021. Exposures: Daily air pollutant levels (particulate matter with diameter ≤2.5 µm [PM2.5], particulate matter with diameter ≤10 µm [PM10], black carbon [BC], and nitrogen oxides [NOx]) at residential addresses were estimated using dispersion models with high spatiotemporal resolution. Main Outcomes and Measures: Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection among participants within the BAMSE cohort. Distributed-lag models combined with conditional logistic regression models were used to estimate the association. Results: A total of 425 cases were identified, of whom 229 (53.9%) were women, and the median age was 25.6 (IQR, 24.9-26.3) years. The median exposure level for PM2.5 was 4.4 [IQR, 2.6-6.8] µg/m3 on case days; for PM10, 7.7 [IQR, 4.6-11.3] µg/m3 on case days; for BC, 0.3 [IQR, 0.2-0.5] µg/m3 on case days; and for NOx, 8.2 [5.6-14.1] µg/m3 on case days. Median exposure levels on control days were 3.8 [IQR, 2.4-5.9] µg/m3 for PM2.5, 6.6 [IQR, 4.5-10.4] µg/m3 for PM10, 0.2 [IQR, 0.2-0.4] µg/m3 for BC, and 7.7 [IQR, 5.3-12.8] µg/m3 for NOx. Each IQR increase in short-term exposure to PM2.5 on lag 2 was associated with a relative increase in positive results of SARS-CoV-2 PCR testing of 6.8% (95% CI, 2.1%-11.8%); exposure to PM10 on lag 2, 6.9% (95% CI, 2.0%-12.1%); and exposure to BC on lag 1, 5.8% (95% CI, 0.3%-11.6%). These findings were not associated with NOx, nor were they modified by sex, smoking, or having asthma, overweight, or self-reported COVID-19 respiratory symptoms. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this case-crossover study of Swedish young adults suggest that short-term exposure to particulate matter and BC was associated with increased risk of positive PRC test results for SARS-CoV-2, supporting the broad public health benefits of reducing ambient air pollution levels.

Long-term exposure to ambient air pollution and incidence of depression: A population-based cohort study in China.

BACKGROUND: Long-term exposure to ambient air pollution was linked to depression incidence, although the results were limited and inconsistent. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effects of long-term air pollution exposure on depression risk prospectively in China. METHODS: The present study used data from Yinzhou Cohort on adults without depression at baseline, and followed up until April 2020. Two-year moving average concentrations of particulate matter with a diameter ≤ 2.5 µm (PM2.5), ≤10 µm (PM10) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) were measured using land-use regression (LUR) models for each participant. Depression cases were ascertained using the Health Information System (HIS) of the local health administration by linking the unique identifiers. We conducted Cox regression models with time-varying exposures to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of depression with each pollutant, after adjusting for a sequence of individual covariates as demographic characteristics, lifestyles, and comorbidity. Besides, physical activity, baseline potential depressive symptoms, cancer status, COVID-19 pandemic, different outcome definitions and air pollution exposure windows were considered in sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Among the 30,712 adults with a mean age of 62.22 ± 11.25, 1024 incident depression cases were identified over totaling 98,619 person-years of observation. Interquartile range increments of the air pollutants were associated with increased risks of depression, and the corresponding HRs were 1.59 (95%CI: 1.46, 1.72) for PM2.5, 1.49 (95%CI: 1.35, 1.64) for PM10 and 1.58 (95%CI: 1.42, 1.77) for NO2. Subgroup analyses suggested that participants without taking any protective measures towards air pollution were more susceptible. The results remained robust in all sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term exposure to ambient air pollution was identified as a risk factor for depression onset. Strategies to reduce air pollution are necessary to decrease the disease burden of depression.

HDL-C, longitudinal change and risk of mortality in a Chinese cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) concentration and variability are both important factors of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. We aimed to explore the associations of HDL-C and longitudinal change in HDL-C with risk of mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: We recruited a total of 69,163 participants aged ≥40 years and had medical examination records of HDL-C during 2010-2014 from the Yinzhou District, Ningbo, China. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. We observed a non-linear association of HDL-C with risks of non-accidental and CVD mortality. Compared with the moderate concentration group (1.4-1.6 mmol/L), HDL-C <1 mmol/L was associated with a higher risk of non-accidental mortality (HR: 1.13 (95% CI: 1.01-1.27)) and both HDL-C <1 mmol/L and ≥2 mmol/L were associated with a higher risk of CVD mortality (HRs: 1.23 (95% CI: 1.01-1.50) and 1.37 (95% CI: 1.03-1.82), respectively). Compared with the stable group ([-0.1, +0.1 mmol/L]), a large decrease ([-0.5, -0.3 mmol/L]) and very large decrease (<-0.5 mmol/L) in HDL-C were associated with a higher risk of non-accidental mortality (HRs: 1.40 (95% CI: 1.21-1.63) and 1.78 (95% CI: 1.44-2.20), respectively). Similar results were observed for CVD mortality and cancer mortality. CONCLUSION: Extremely low or high HDL-C and a large decrease or very large decrease in HDL-C were associated with a higher risk of cause-specific mortality. Monitoring of HDL-C may have utility in identifying individuals at higher risk of mortality.

Longitudinal changes in fasting plasma glucose are associated with risk of cancer mortality: A Chinese cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have suggested that fasting plasma glucose (FPG) was associated with the risk of mortality. However, relationship on longitudinal changes of FPG with the risk of mortality remained inconsistent. METHODS: We examined the association of FPG at baseline and its longitudinal changes with risk of mortality based on a cohort study in Yinzhou, China, during 2010-2018. Cox regression models and competing risk models were separately used to examine the association of FPG levels and long-term fluctuation with risk of total and cause-specific mortality. RESULTS: Subjects who had an impaired fasting glucose or diabetes suffered a higher risk of total mortality than subjects who had a normal fasting glucose (HRs and 95% CIs: 1.17 [1.01-1.35], 1.30 [1.10-1.53], respectively). The HR for total mortality was 1.54 (95% CI: 1.29-1.84) and for cancer mortality was 1.41 (95% CI: 1.04-1.92) in the highest quartile of coefficient of variation of FPG. Trajectory analysis indicated that subjects with a significantly changed FPG suffered a higher risk of total mortality. CONCLUSION: According to this cohort study, we found that long-term fluctuation of FPG was significantly associated with the risk of total and cancer mortality. Our findings suggest that long-term fluctuation of FPG could be used as an efficient indicator for predicting the subsequent risk of mortality.

Low LDL-C levels are associated with risk of mortality in a Chinese cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) has been considered as a risk factor of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, limited studies can be available to evaluate the association of LDL-C with risk of mortality in the general population. This study aimed to examine the association of LDL-C level with risk of mortality using a propensity-score weighting method in a Chinese population, based on the health examination data. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study with 65,517 participants aged 40 years or older in Ningbo city, Zhejiang. LDL-C levels were categorized as five groups according to the Chinese dyslipidemia guidelines in adults. To minimize potential biases resulting from a complex array of covariates, we implemented a generalized boosted model to generate propensity-score weights on covariates. Then, we used Cox proportional hazard regression models with all-cause and cause-specific mortality as the dependent variables to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). RESULTS: During the 439,186.5 person years of follow-up, 2403 deaths occurred. Compared with the median LDL-C group (100-130 mg/dL), subjects with extremely low LDL-C levels (group 1) had a higher risk of deaths from all-cause (HR = 2.53, 95% CI:1.80-3.53), CVD (HR = 1.84, 95% CI: 1.28-2.61), ischemic stroke (HR = 2.29, 95% CI:1.32-3.94), hemorrhagic stroke (HR = 3.49, 95% CI: 1.57-7.85), and cancer (HR = 2.12, 95% CI: 1.04-4.31) while the corresponding HRs in LDL-C group 2 were relatively lower than that in group 1. CONCLUSIONS: Low LDL-C levels were associated with an increased risk of all-cause, CVD, ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and cancer mortality in the Chinese population.

Linking peripheral IL-6, IL-1ß and hypocretin-1 with cognitive impairment from major depression.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment has long challenged the patients with major depressive disorder (MDD), hypocretins and inflammation have recently been implicated in cognitive function. However, limited studies have compressively assessed their associations with cognitive impairment in MDD. METHODS: A total of 100 MDD patients and 100 healthy controls (HC) were recruited for this study. They were tested with HAMD, HAMA, and MCCB scales. The plasma level of selected inflammatory factors (IL-1ß, IL-6, and TNF-α) and hypocretin-1 were determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Correlation analysis was performed to explore the relationship between the plasma level of the factors and clinical performances. RESULTS: Patients with MDD showed cognitive impairment in each MCCB subdomain except working memory compared with HC. The levels of IL-6, IL-1ß and hypocretin-1 in MDD patients were higher than HC. Besides, IL-1ß levels was negatively correlated with overall cognitive function in the combined group. Hypocretin-1 was positively correlated with socially cognitive impairment in MDD patients. A negative correlation between plasma hypocretin-1 levels and HAMA scales was also observed in MDD patients. LIMITATION: The study was cross-sectional, thereby limiting causal inference, and had a relatively small sample size. There are no subcategories for MDD based on characteristics. CONCLUSION: IL-1ß, IL-6 and Hypocretin-1 were reported as potential factors involved in MDD pathology. Hypocretin-1 could contribute to the biological mechanisms of anxiety relief. Hypocretin-1, therefore, may be important in exploring the pathological mechanisms of social cognitive impairment in MDD patients. Conclusively, this study provides new insights for exploring cognitive impairment in depression.

Impact of Individual and Combined Lifestyle Factors on Mortality in China: A Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Although numerous studies have suggested that lifestyle-related factors are associated with chronic diseases and preventable deaths, limited evidence is available for the Chinese population. METHODS: This study established a prospective cohort of >360,000 residents on the basis of the Yinzhou Health Information System in China during 2004-2017 and calculated the combined effects of lifestyle-related factors, including BMI, smoking, alcohol consumption, and physical activity, using a points system. A Cox regression model estimated the combined effects of lifestyle-related factors on total mortality, and a competing risk model estimated the combined effects on cancer and cardiovascular disease mortality. All data analyses were conducted in 2018‒2019. RESULTS: During 3,755,879 person-years of follow-up, 11,791 deaths were identified, including 4,983 from cancer and 3,143 from cardiovascular disease. Having a standard BMI, never smoking, never drinking, and engaging in physical activity more than 4 times per week had protective effects on total mortality. Overall, the risk of total and cause-specific mortality increased with the increment of risk score. Compared with subjects in the lowest quartile, the risk of total and cause-specific mortality peaked among individuals in the fourth quartile (total mortality: hazard ratio=1.87, 95% CI=1.77, 1.98; cancer mortality: hazard ratio=2.05, 95% CI=1.87, 2.25; cardiovascular disease mortality: hazard ratio=1.51, 95% CI=1.35, 1.68). Sensitivity analyses excluding individuals with follow-up <3 years did not materially change the results. CONCLUSIONS: The combined effects of lifestyle-related factors, including BMI, smoking, alcohol drinking, and physical activity, are associated with total, cancer, and cardiovascular disease mortality among the Chinese population.

Association between visit-to-visit variability of HbA1c and cognitive decline: a pooled analysis of two prospective population-based cohorts.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between visit-to-visit variability in HbA1c and cognitive function decline in the elderly population. METHODS: We performed a pooled analysis of two prospective population-based cohorts (the Health Retirement Study [HRS] and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing [ELSA]). Cognitive function, including memory and executive function, were assessed at baseline and every 2 years, while HbA1c levels were assessed at baseline and every 4 years. Visit-to-visit variability (VVV) in HbA1c was calculated using the CV, SD and variation independent of the mean (VIM) during the follow-up period. Linear mixed models were used to evaluate the association between HbA1c variability and cognitive function decline with adjustment for demographics, mean HbA1c, education, smoking, alcohol consumption, BMI, baseline hypertension, baseline diabetes status and HDL-cholesterol. RESULTS: The study enrolled 6237 participants (58.23% women, mean age 63.38 ± 8.62 years) with at least three measurements of HbA1c. The median follow-up duration was 10.56 ± 1.86 years. In the overall sample, compared with the lowest quartile of HbA1c variability, participants in the highest quartile of HbA1c variability had a significantly worse memory decline rate (-0.094 SD/year, 95% CI -0.185, -0.003) and executive function decline rate (-0.083 SD/year, 95% CI -0.125, -0.041), irrespective of mean HbA1c values over time. Among individuals without diabetes, each 1-SD increment in HbA1c CV was associated with a significantly higher rate of memory z score decline (-0.029, 95% CI -0.052, -0.005) and executive function z score decline (-0.049, 95% CI -0.079, -0.018) in the fully adjusted model. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: We observed a significant association between long-term HbA1c variability and cognitive decline among the non-diabetic population in this study. The effect of maintaining steady glucose control on the rate of cognitive decline merits further investigation.

Intra-individual variability of total cholesterol is associated with cardiovascular disease mortality: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The relationship between serum total cholesterol (TC) and mortality remains inconsistent. Additionally, intra-individual variability of cholesterol has been of increasing interest as a new indicator for health outcomes. We aimed to examine the association between TC and its variability and risk of mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a retrospective cohort study with 122,645 individuals aged over 40 years in Ningbo, China. The intra-individual variability was calculated using four metrics including standard deviation, coefficient variation, variation independent of mean and average successive variability. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated for the associations of baseline and variability in TC with risk of mortality by Cox proportional hazards regression models. During 591,585.3 person-years of follow-up, 4563 deaths (including 1365 from cardiovascular disease, 788 from stroke and 1514 from cancer) occurred. A U-shaped association was observed for baseline TC level and risk of total, cardiovascular and cancer mortality, with lowest mortality at 5.46 mmol/L, 5.04 mmol/L and 5.51 mmol/L, respectively. As compared with subjects with TC variability in the lowest quartile, individuals in the highest quartile had 21% higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.40), and 41% higher risk of CVD mortality (HR = 1.41, 95%CI: 1.10 to 1.81). CONCLUSION: Both too low and too high baseline TC level were associated with higher risk of total, cardiovascular disease and cancer mortality. Variability of TC could be a risk factor of total and CVD mortality, independent of mean TC level. Future studies are needed to confirm these findings.

[A community-based survey on risk factors of type 2 diabetic kidney disease in Ningbo, China].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prevalence and risk factors of diabetic nephropathy in Ningbo Yinzhou district. METHODS: Nephropathy screening was conducted among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) registered in Ningbo Yinzhou district. Demographic information, clinical examination information, diabetes complications and behavioral risk factors of enrolled patients were collected. Logistic regression model was used to identify possible risk factors for the occurrence of diabetic nephropathy. RESULTS: Among 10 604 T2DM patients included in this study, there were 3744 cases of diabetic nephropathy(35.31%). Univariate analysis showed that gender, age, education level, diabetes duration, glycemic control, hypertension, stroke, smoking and waist circumference were associated with diabetic nephropathy (P<0.05 or P<0.01). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that male, elders, long diabetes duration, hypertension and smoking were independent risk factors of diabetic nephropathy (P<0.05 or P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: sDiabetic nephropathy is of high prevalence in T2DM patients. Male patients, elders, and those with long diabetes duration, hypertension and smoking habits are more likely to have diabetic nephropathy.