Multidrug-resistant bacterial infections after liver transplantation: Prevalence, impact, and risk factors.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Infections by multidrug-resistant bacteria (MDRB) are an increasing healthcare problem worldwide. This study analyzes the incidence, burden, and risk factors associated with MDRB infections after liver transplant(ation) (LT). METHODS: This retrospective, multicenter cohort study included adult patients who underwent LT between January 2017 and January 2020. Risk factors related to pre-LT disease, surgical procedure, and postoperative stay were analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors of MDRB infections within the first 90 days after LT. RESULTS: We included 1,045 LT procedures (960 patients) performed at nine centers across Spain. The mean age of our cohort was 56.8 ± 9.3 years; 75.4% (n = 782) were male. Alcohol-related liver disease was the most prevalent underlying etiology (43.2.%, n = 451). Bacterial infections occurred in 432 patients (41.3%) who presented with a total of 679 episodes of infection (respiratory infections, 19.3%; urinary tract infections, 18.5%; bacteremia, 13.2% and cholangitis 11%, among others). MDRB were isolated in 227 LT cases (21.7%) (348 episodes). Enterococcus faecium (22.1%), Escherichia coli (18.4%), and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (15.2%) were the most frequently isolated microorganisms. In multivariate analysis, previous intensive care unit admission (0-3 months before LT), previous MDRB infections (0-3 months before LT), and an increasing number of packed red blood cell units transfused during surgery were identified as independent predictors of MDRB infections. Mortality at 30, 90, 180, and 365 days was significantly higher in patients with MDRB isolates. CONCLUSION: MDRB infections are highly prevalent after LT and have a significant impact on prognosis. Enterococcus faecium is the most frequently isolated multi-resistant microorganism. New pharmacological and surveillance strategies aimed at preventing MDRB infections after LT should be considered for patients with risk factors. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Multidrug-resistant bacterial infections have a deep impact on morbidity and mortality after liver transplantation. Strategies aimed at improving prophylaxis, early identification, and empirical treatment are paramount. Our study unveiled the prevalence and main risk factors associated with these infections, and demonstrated that gram-positive bacteria, particularly Enterococcus faecium, are frequent in this clinical scenario. These findings provide valuable insights for the development of prophylactic and empirical antibiotic treatment protocols after liver transplantation.

Smoking cessation intervention in the community pharmacy: Cost-effectiveness of a non-randomized cluster-controlled trial at 12-months' follow-up.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of an intervention based on a training course for community pharmacists and a smoking cessation service (CESAR©), using limited societal and the health provider perspectives. METHODS: Non-randomized controlled trial of 12-months' follow-up. Spanish community pharmacists who were previously trained with CESAR© formed the intervention group (n = 102), and control group delivered usual care (n = 80). CESAR Patients were smokers identified by the community pharmacists when they attended the pharmacy. Data were self-reported. Outcomes were smoking cessation and quality-of-life (EQ-5D-3L) and were collected at baseline, 6, and 12 months. Costs data included direct health costs, work loss, and intervention costs. Smoking cessation was analyzed through logistic regression models. Generalized linear models were carried out for quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and costs. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and cost-utility ratio (ICUR) were calculated. RESULTS: In total, 800 smoking patients were included in the intervention group and 278 in the control group. Of these, 487 and 151 patients completed the study, respectively. Costs were lower in the intervention group compared to the control group in both perspectives. At 12 months, 54.3% and 37.1% patients from the intervention and the control groups reported smoking cessation, respectively. The difference in probability of cessation in the intervention compared to the control group was 17.6% (CI:0.05; 0.25). The mean QALY was higher in the intervention group [0.03(CI: 0.01; 0.07)]. The ICER and the ICUR were dominant for the intervention group. CONCLUSION: This intervention for smoking cessation showed that the CESAR© intervention, that combined a training for community pharmacists with a smoking cessation service was efficient for smoking cessation and QALY at 12 months' follow-up. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT05461066, retrospectively registered (July 15, 2022).

Confusion Assessment Method for the Intensive Care Unit (CAM-ICU) for the diagnosis of delirium in adults in critical care settings.

BACKGROUND: Delirium is an underdiagnosed clinical syndrome typified by an acute alteration of mental state. It is an important problem in critical care and intensive care units (ICU) due to its high prevalence and its association with adverse outcomes. Delirium is a very distressing condition for patients, with a huge impact on their well-being. Diagnosis of delirium in the critical care setting is challenging. This is especially true for patients who are mechanically ventilated and are therefore unable to engage in a verbal interview. The Confusion Assessment Method for the Intensive Care Unit (CAM-ICU) is a tool specifically designed to assess for delirium in the context of ICU patients, including those on mechanical ventilation. CAM-ICU can be administered by non-specialists to give a dichotomous delirium present/absent result. OBJECTIVES: To determine the diagnostic accuracy of the CAM-ICU for the diagnosis of delirium in adult patients in critical care units. SEARCH METHODS: We searched MEDLINE (Ovid SP, 1946 to 8 July 2022), Embase (Ovid SP, 1982 to 8 July 2022), Web of Science Core Collection (ISI Web of Knowledge, 1945 to 8 July 2022), PsycINFO (Ovid SP, 1806 to 8 July 2022), and LILACS (BIREME, 1982 to 8 July 2022). We checked the reference lists of included studies and other resources for additional potentially relevant studies. We also searched the Health Technology Assessment database, the Cochrane Library, Aggressive Research Intelligence Facility database, WHO ICTRP, ClinicalTrials.gov, and websites of scientific associations to access any annual meetings and abstracts of conference proceedings in the field. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included diagnostic studies enrolling adult ICU patients assessed using the CAM-ICU tool, regardless of language or publication status and reporting sufficient data on delirium diagnosis for the construction of 2 x 2 tables. Eligible studies evaluated the diagnostic performance of the CAM-ICU versus a clinical reference standard based on any iteration of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) criteria applied by a clinical expert. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently selected and collated study data. We assessed the methodological quality of studies using the QUADAS-2 tool. We used two univariate fixed-effect or random-effects models to determine summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity. We performed sensitivity analyses that excluded studies considered to be at high risk of bias and high concerns in applicability, due mainly to the target population included (e.g. patients with traumatic brain injury). We also investigated potential sources of heterogeneity, assessing the effect of reference standard diagnosis and proportion of patients ventilated. MAIN RESULTS: We included 25 studies (2817 participants). The mean age of participants ranged from 48 to 69 years; 15 of the studies included critical care units admitting mixed populations (e.g. medical, trauma, surgery patients). The percentage of patients receiving mechanical ventilation ranged from 11.8% to 100%. The prevalence of delirium in the studies included ranged from 12.5% to 83.9%. Presence of delirium was determined by the application of DSM-IV criteria in 13 out of 25 included studies. We assessed 13 studies as at low risk of bias and low applicability concerns for all QUADAS-2 domains. The most common issue of concern was flow and timing of the tests, followed by patient selection. Overall, we estimated a pooled sensitivity of 0.78 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72 to 0.83) and a pooled specificity of 0.95 (95% CI 0.92 to 0.97). Sensitivity analysis restricted to studies at low risk of bias and without any applicability concerns (n = 13 studies) gave similar summary accuracy indices (sensitivity 0.80 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.86), specificity 0.95 (95% CI 0.93 to 0.97)). Subgroup analyses based on diagnostic assessment found summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity for studies using DSM-IV of 0.79 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.85) and 0.94 (95% CI 0.90 to 0.96). For studies that used DSM-5 criteria, summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity were 0.75 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.82) and 0.98 (95% CI 0.95 to 0.99). DSM criteria had no significant effect on sensitivity (P = 0.421), but the specificity for detection of delirium was higher when DSM-5 criteria were used (P = 0.024). The relative specificity comparing DSM-5 versus DSM-IV criteria was 1.05 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.08). Summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity for studies recruiting < 100% of patients with mechanical ventilation were 0.81 (95% CI 0.75 to 0.85) and 0.95 (95% CI 0.91 to 0.98). For studies that exclusively recruited patients with mechanical ventilation, summary estimates of sensitivity and specificity were 0.91 (95% CI 0.76 to 0.97) and 0.98 (95% CI 0.92 to 0.99). Although there was a suggestion of differential performance of CAM-ICU in ventilated patients, the differences were not significant in sensitivity (P = 0.316) or in specificity (P = 0.493). AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: The CAM-ICU tool may have a role in the early identification of delirium, in adult patients hospitalized in intensive care units, including those on mechanical ventilation, when non-specialized, properly trained clinical personnel apply the CAM-ICU. The test is most useful for exclusion of delirium. The test may miss a proportion of patients with incident delirium, therefore in situations where detection of all delirium cases is desirable, it may be best to repeat the test or combine CAM-ICU with another assessment. Future studies should compare different screening tests proposed for bedside assessment of delirium, as this approach will reveal which tool yields superior accuracy. In addition, future studies should consider and report the flow and timing of the tests and clearly report key characteristics related to patient selection. Finally, future research should focus on the impact of CAM-ICU screening on patient outcomes.

Contribution of Low CD4 Cell Counts and High Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Viral Load to the Efficacy of Preferred First-Line Antiretroviral Regimens for Treating HIV Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

We assessed whether low CD4 count and high viral load (VL) affect the response to currently preferred ART. We performed a systematic review of randomized, controlled clinical trials that analyzed preferred first-line ART and a subgroup analysis by CD4 count (≤ or >200 CD4/µL) or VL (≤ or >100 000 copies/mL). We computed the odds ratio (OR) of treatment failure (TF) for each subgroup and individual treatment arm. Patients with ≤200 CD4 cells or VL ≥100 000 copies/mL showed an increased likelihood of TF at 48 weeks: OR, 1.94; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.45-2.61 and OR, 1.75; 95% CI: 1.30-2.35, respectively. A similar increase in the risk of TF was observed at 96 weeks. There was no significant heterogeneity regarding integrase strand transfer inhibitor or nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor backbone. Our results show that CD4 <200 cells/µL and VL ≥100,000 copies/mL impair ART efficacy in all preferred regimens.

Myocardial injury after major non-cardiac surgery evaluated with advanced cardiac imaging: a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery (MINS) is a frequent complication caused by cardiac and non-cardiac pathophysiological mechanisms, but often it is subclinical. MINS is associated with increased morbidity and mortality, justifying the need to its diagnose and the investigation of their causes for its potential prevention. METHODS: Prospective, observational, pilot study, aiming to detect MINS, its relationship with silent coronary artery disease and its effect on future adverse outcomes in patients undergoing major non-cardiac surgery and without postoperative signs or symptoms of myocardial ischemia. MINS was defined by a high-sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) concentration > 14 ng/L at 48-72 h after surgery and exceeding by 50% the preoperative value; controls were the operated patients without MINS. Within 1-month after discharge, cardiac computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies were performed in MINS and control subjects. Significant coronary artery disease (CAD) was defined by a CAD-RADS category ≥ 3. The primary outcomes were prevalence of CAD among MINS and controls and incidence of major cardiovascular events (MACE) at 1-year after surgery. Secondary outcomes were the incidence of individual MACE components and mortality. RESULTS: We included 52 MINS and 12 controls. The small number of included patients could be attributed to the study design complexity and the dates of later follow-ups (amid COVID-19 waves). Significant CAD by CCTA was equally found in 20 MINS and controls (30% vs 33%, respectively). Ischemic patterns (n = 5) and ischemic segments (n = 2) depicted by cardiac MRI were only observed in patients with MINS. One-year MACE were also only observed in MINS patients (15.4%). CONCLUSION: This study with advanced imaging methods found a similar CAD frequency in MINS and control patients, but that cardiac ischemic findings by MRI and worse prognosis were only observed in MINS patients. Our results, obtained in a pilot study, suggest the need of further, extended studies that screened systematically MINS and evaluated its relationship with cardiac ischemia and poor outcomes. Trial registration Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT03438448 (19/02/2018).

Prediction of significant coronary artery disease in acute chest pain without infarction in emergency department: MAPAC Cardio-PreTest model.

Acute nontraumatic chest pain is a frequent reaso n for consultation in emergency departments and represents a diagnostic challenge. The objective is to estimate the risk of significant coronary artery disease (CAD) in patients with cardiogenic acute chest pain for whom the diagnosis of infarction was ruled out in the emergency department with a nondiagnostic ECG and negative high-sensitivity troponins. We prospectively recruited 1625 patients from emergency departments of seven Spanish hospitals. The outcome was presence of significant CAD determined by presence of ischaemia in functional tests or more than 70% stenosis in imaging tests. In this study, we developed a predictive model and evaluated its performance and clinical utility. The prevalence of significant CAD was 14% [227/1625; 95% confidence interval (CI), 12-16]. MAPAC Cardio-PreTest model included seven predictors: age, sex, smoking, history of hypertension, family history of CAD, history of hyperuricaemia, and type of chest pain. The optimism-adjusted model discrimination was C-statistic 0.654 (95% CI, 0.618-0.693). Calibration plot showed good agreement between the predicted and observed risks, and calibration slope was 0.880 (95% CI, 0.731-1.108) and calibration-in-the-large -0.001 (95% CI, -0.141 to 0.132). The model increased net benefit and improved risk classification over the recommended approach by the European Society of Cardiology [Net Reclassification Index (NRI) of events = 5.3%, NRI of nonevents = 7.0%]. MAPAC Cardio-PreTest model is an online prediction tool to estimate the individualised probability of significant CAD in patients with acute chest pain without a diagnosis of infarction in emergency department. The model was more useful than the current alternatives in helping patients and clinicians make individually tailored choices about the intensity of monitoring or additional coronary tests.

Performance and validation of the Healthy Heart Score model for predicting 12-year cardiovascular mortality in a nationwide Mediterranean population.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The Healthy Heart Score (HHS) is a lifestyle-based equation for predicting cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and may serve as a tool in primordial prevention. However, its performance outside North American populations is unknown. This study assessed the performance of the HHS for estimating CVD mortality in the adult population of Spain. METHODS: We analyzed data from the ENRICA cohort, comprising 10 228 participants free of chronic disease and representative of the Spanish population aged ≥ 18-years, who were recruited from 2008 to 2010 and were followed up to 2020. The HHS includes body mass index, alcohol, physical activity, smoking, and a 5-component dietary score. The HHS was calculated at baseline using the sex-specific beta coefficients from the original development cohorts. Model discrimination was assessed using the Harrell c-statistic and Gonen-Heller c-statistic for survival data, and calibration was evaluated through calibration plots. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 11.8 years, 110 CVD deaths were ascertained. The discrimination of the HHS was similar for women (Harrell c, 0.91; 95%CI, 0.87-0.95; Gonen-Heller-c, 0.85; 95%CI, 0.83-0.88) and men (Harrell c, 0.91; 95%CI, 0.88-0.94; Gonen-Heller c: 0.85; 95%CI, 0.83-0.88). After recalibration by the sex-specific baseline survival function, the calibration became optimal for: a) all deciles of predicted CVD risk except the highest decile, where HHS underestimated the risk, and b) all age groups except 70 years and older, where there was an underestimation. CONCLUSIONS: In this Spanish cohort, the HHS showed good discrimination and calibration for predicting CVD death. The performance of HHS in other European populations and its implementation in the clinical setting warrants further investigation.

Evaluación de la eficacia en la colecta de plaquetas por un separador celular / Evaluation of the efficacy in the collection of platelets by a cell separator / Avaliação da eficiência da coleta de plaquetas por um separador de células separador de células

La aféresis es el procedimiento más utilizado para la obtención de concentrados plaquetarios de alto rendimiento, calidad y para mejorar las terapias transfusionales en pacientes trombocitopénicos, oncohematológicos,cirugias e incluso, en pacientes con factores clínicos adversos a la refractariedad. Objetivo. Determinar la eficacia de un separador celular en la colecta de plaquetas en un Instituto Nacional de Salud de Lima. Material y métodos. Estudio descriptivo; la muestra fue de 80 concentrados plaquetarios, obtenidos por plaquetoaferesis y utilizando el equipo de separador celular americano. La colecta de plaquetas se realizó en un servicio de Hemoterapia y Banco de Sangre de una institución de salud de Lima, durante los meses de febrero a julio de 2018. La eficacia se realizó evaluando el rendimiento, la eficiencia y el cumplimiento de estándares de calidad aprobados. Uno de los parámetros utilizados fue el recuento de plaquetas y leucocitos residuales, procesados en el analizador hematológico. Resultados. Las evaluaciones fueron: concentración promedio de plaquetas por concentrado plaquetario (rendimiento)= 3,4 x 1011 plaquetas /ml, recuento de leucocitos residuales = 0,07 x 10 6 leucocitos/ml, volumen promedio de sangre procesado = 2480 ml, volumen final promedio = 217,5 ml, eficiencia en la colecta = 56,9 a 63,9 %, el tiempo medio por procedimiento de colecta = 72 minutos. Conclusiones. Los concentrados plaquetarios obtenidos con el procedimiento de plaquetoaferesis cumplen con los estándares de calidad nacional e internacionales, por lo que, se concluye que este procedimiento es eficaz en la colecta de productos de alta calidad que logran la eficacia en la transfusión.

Apheresis is the most widely used procedure to obtain high yield and quality platelet concentrates and to improve transfusion therapies in thrombocytopenic patients, oncohematological patients, surgical patients and even patients with adverse clinical factors to refractoriness. Objective. To determine the efficacy of a cell separator in the collection of platelets in a National Health Institute in Lima. Material and methods. Descriptive study; the sample consisted of 80 platelet concentrates, obtained by plateletpheresis and using American cell separator equipment. The platelet collection was performed in a Hemotherapy and Blood Bank service of a health institution in Lima, during the months of February to July 2018. Effectiveness was performed by evaluating performance, efficiency and compliance with approved quality standards. One of the parameters used was the residual platelet and leukocyte count, processed in the hematological analyzer. Results. The evaluations were: average platelet concentration per platelet concentrate (yield)= 3.4 x 1011 platelets/ml, residual leukocyte count = 0.07 x 10 6 leukocytes/ml, average volume of blood processed = 2480 ml, average final volume = 217.5 ml, collection efficiency = 56.9 to 63.9 %, average time per collection procedure = 72 minutes. Conclusions. The platelet concentrates obtained with the plateletpheresis procedure comply with national and international quality standards, therefore, it is concluded that this procedure is effective in the collection of high quality products that achieve transfusion efficiency.

A aférese é o procedimento mais utilizado para obter concentrados plaquetários de alto rendimento e alta qualidade e para melhorar as terapias transfusionais em pacientes trombocitopênicos, oncohematológicos, cirúrgicos e até mesmo pacientes com fatores clínicos adversos à refratariedade. Objetivo. Para determinar a eficácia de um separador de células na coleta de plaquetas em um Instituto Nacional de Saúde em Lima. Material e métodos. Estudo descritivo; a amostra consistiu de 80 concentrados de plaquetas, obtidos por plaquetaferese e utilizando equipamento separador de células americano. A coleta de plaquetas foi realizada em um serviço de Hemoterapia e Banco de Sangue de uma instituição de saúde em Lima, durante os meses de fevereiro a julho de 2018. A eficácia foi avaliada através da avaliação do desempenho, eficiência e conformidade com os padrões de qualidade aprovados. Um dos parâmetros utilizados foi a contagem residual de plaquetas e leucócitos, processada no analisador hematológico. Resultados. As avaliações foram: concentração média de plaquetas por concentrado de plaquetas (rendimento) = 3,4 x 1011 plaquetas/ml, contagem de leucócitos residuais = 0,07 x 10 6 leucócitos/ml, volume médio de sangue processado = 2480 ml, volume final médio = 217,5 ml, eficiência da coleta = 56,9 a 63,9%, tempo médio por procedimento de coleta = 72 minutos. Conclusões. Os concentrados de plaquetas obtidos com o procedimento de plaquetférese atendem aos padrões de qualidade nacionais e internacionais, portanto, conclui-se que este procedimento é eficaz na coleta de produtos de alta qualidade que alcançam eficiência transfusional.

Statistical Evaluation of Metaproteomics and 16S rRNA Amplicon Sequencing Techniques for Study of Gut Microbiota Establishment in Infants with Cystic Fibrosis.

Newborn screening for cystic fibrosis (CF) can identify affected but asymptomatic infants. The selection of omic technique for gut microbiota study is crucial due to both the small amount of feces available and the low microorganism load. Our aims were to compare the agreement between 16S rRNA amplicon sequencing and metaproteomics by a robust statistical analysis, including both presence and abundance of taxa, to describe the sequential establishment of the gut microbiota during the first year of life in a small size sample (8 infants and 28 fecal samples). The taxonomic assignations by the two techniques were similar, whereas certain discrepancies were observed in the abundance detection, mostly the lower predicted relative abundance of Bifidobacterium and the higher predicted relative abundance of certain Firmicutes and Proteobacteria by amplicon sequencing. During the first months of life, the CF gut microbiota is characterized by a significant enrichment of Ruminococcus gnavus, the expression of certain virulent bacterial traits, and the detection of human inflammation-related proteins. Metaproteomics provides information on composition and functionality, as well as data on host-microbiome interactions. Its strength is the identification and quantification of Actinobacteria and certain classes of Firmicutes, but alpha diversity indices are not comparable to those of amplicon sequencing. Both techniques detected an aberrant microbiota in our small cohort of infants with CF during their first year of life, dominated by the enrichment of R. gnavus within a human inflammatory environment. IMPORTANCE In recent years, some techniques have been incorporated for the study of microbial ecosystems, being 16S rRNA gene sequencing being the most widely used. Metaproteomics provides the advantage of identifying the interaction between microorganisms and human cells, but the available databases are less extensive as well as imprecise. Few studies compare the statistical differences between the two techniques to define the composition of an ecosystem. Our work shows that the two methods are comparable in terms of microorganism identification but provide different results in alpha diversity analysis. On the other hand, we have studied newborns with cystic fibrosis, for whom we have described the establishment of an intestinal ecosystem marked by the inflammatory response of the host and the enrichment of Ruminococcus gnavus.

Follow-up care of 12 months of patients with bladder cancer in Spain: A multicenter prospective cohort study.

The therapeutic approach of bladder cancer strongly determines its prognosis. We describe the treatments and outcomes for a Spanish cohort of patients with bladder cancer for the first 12 months after diagnosis and identify the factors that influenced the decision to undergo the treatment received. We conducted a multicenter, prospective, cohort study including primary bladder cancer patients during the first 12 months after diagnosis. The clinical outcomes were performance status (ECOG), adverse events and any cause of mortality. We stratified the analysis by factors that might influence the treatments received. We conducted univariate and multivariable logistic regression models to assess which patient and tumor characteristics were associated with receiving adjuvant treatment in the subgroup of noninvasive bladder cancer patients. In total, 314 patients were included (85% men; 53.8% >70 years) in 7 tertiary Spanish hospitals; 82.2% had a noninvasive urothelial bladder cancer (NMIBC). Patients received mostly surgery plus adjuvant therapy (67.7%). BCG (32.8% patients) was the most frequently administered adjuvant therapy, followed by intravesical chemotherapy (17.8% patients) and radiotherapy (10.8%). The variability of administered treatments among hospitals was low. Patients with NMIBC were more likely to receive adjuvant therapy if they had a higher educational level, some comorbidities and a high-grade tumor. The number of fully active patients (ECOG 0) significantly decreased during the first year of follow-up from 58% to 36 % (OR: 2.41, 95%CI 1.82-3.20); at 12-month follow-up 10.8% patients had died from any cause. In conclusion, most of the patients had a NMIBC. Surgery alone or plus adjuvant therapy were the commonest curative options of bladder cancer. BCG therapy was the adjuvant therapy most frequently administered. Higher educational level, presence of comorbidities and a high-grade tumor were associated with adjuvant therapy. Patient performance status was worsening over time. Almost 1 of 10 patients died during the first year of follow-up.

Predicting major complications in patients undergoing laparoscopic and open hysterectomy for benign indications.

BACKGROUND: Hysterectomy, the most common gynecological operation, requires surgeons to counsel women about their operative risks. We aimed to develop and validate multivariable logistic regression models to predict major complications of laparoscopic or abdominal hysterectomy for benign conditions. METHODS: We obtained routinely collected health administrative data from the English National Health Service (NHS) from 2011 to 2018. We defined major complications based on core outcomes for postoperative complications including ureteric, gastrointestinal and vascular injury, and wound complications. We specified 11 predictors a priori. We used internal-external cross-validation to evaluate discrimination and calibration across 7 NHS regions in the development cohort. We validated the final models using data from an additional NHS region. RESULTS: We found that major complications occurred in 4.4% (3037/68 599) of laparoscopic and 4.9% (6201/125 971) of abdominal hysterectomies. Our models showed consistent discrimination in the development cohort (laparoscopic, C-statistic 0.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60 to 0.62; abdominal, C-statistic 0.67, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.70) and similar or better discrimination in the validation cohort (laparoscopic, C-statistic 0.67, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.69; abdominal, C-statistic 0.67, 95% CI 0.65 to 0.69). Adhesions were most predictive of complications in both models (laparoscopic, odds ratio [OR] 1.92, 95% CI 1.73 to 2.13; abdominal, OR 2.46, 95% CI 2.27 to 2.66). Other factors predictive of complications included adenomyosis in the laparoscopic model, and Asian ethnicity and diabetes in the abdominal model. Protective factors included age and diagnoses of menstrual disorders or benign adnexal mass in both models and diagnosis of fibroids in the abdominal model. INTERPRETATION: Personalized risk estimates from these models, which showed moderate discrimination, can inform clinical decision-making for people with benign conditions who may require hysterectomy.

Fecal Metabolome and Bacterial Composition in Severe Obesity: Impact of Diet and Bariatric Surgery.

The aim of this study was to monitor the impact of a preoperative low-calorie diet and bariatric surgery on the bacterial gut microbiota composition and functionality in severe obesity and to compare sleeve gastrectomy (SG) versus Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB). The study also aimed to incorporate big data analysis for the omics results and machine learning by a Lasso-based analysis to detect the potential markers for excess weight loss. Forty patients who underwent bariatric surgery were recruited (14 underwent SG, and 26 underwent RYGB). Each participant contributed 4 fecal samples (baseline, post-diet, 1 month after surgery and 3 months after surgery). The bacterial composition was determined by 16S rDNA massive sequencing using MiSeq (Illumina). Metabolic signatures associated to fecal concentrations of short-chain fatty acids, amino acids, biogenic amines, gamma-aminobutyric acid and ammonium were determined by gas and liquid chromatography. Orange 3 software was employed to correlate the variables, and a Lasso analysis was employed to predict the weight loss at the baseline samples. A correlation between Bacillota (formerly Firmicutes) abundance and excess weight was observed only for the highest body mass indexes. The low-calorie diet had little impact on composition and targeted metabolic activity. RYGB had a deeper impact on bacterial composition and putrefactive metabolism than SG, although the excess weight loss was comparable in the two groups. Significantly higher ammonium concentrations were detected in the feces of the RYGB group. We detected individual signatures of composition and functionality, rather than a gut microbiota characteristic of severe obesity, with opposing tendencies for almost all measured variables in the two surgical approaches. The gut microbiota of the baseline samples was not useful for predicting excess weight loss after the bariatric process.

Prevalence of PCOS and related hyperandrogenic traits in premenopausal women with type 1 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: An increased prevalence of functional hyperandrogenism-including polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS)-has been described in women with type 1 diabetes (T1D). However, heterogeneity between studies is frequent, and prevalence rates vary according to different criteria used for the diagnosis of PCOS and the population studied. OBJECTIVE AND RATIONALE: We aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of PCOS and related hyperandrogenic traits in premenopausal women with T1D. This way, we intend to increase the precision of the estimates of prevalence of PCOS and related traits in women with T1D, and to explore sources of heterogeneity while providing prevalence estimates for clinically relevant subgroups such as the different phenotypes. SEARCH METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of the literature using Medline-OVID and Embase databases (Open Science Framework registry for systematic review protocols, https://osf.io/6cv9p/). Studies published up to 29 March 2021 were considered. We selected cross-sectional or prospective studies that reported, in patients with T1D, prevalence data on PCOS according to current definitions and different phenotypes, and/or prevalence rates of other related traits (hirsutism, hyperandrogenaemia, oligo-amenorrhoea and/or polycystic ovarian morphology: PCOM). Exclusion criteria for the review were studies addressing types of diabetes other than T1D; and studies using diagnostic definitions of PCOS different than those mentioned above. Two independent researchers performed data extraction. To assess the risk of bias, we used a tool developed specifically to appraise population-based prevalence studies. OUTCOMES: We selected 19 studies (1042 women) reporting the prevalence of PCOS and/or other hyperandrogenic traits. Regarding bias, 12 studies were considered of low-risk, and the remaining seven studies were considered intermediate risk. The pooled prevalence of PCOS when considering all possible phenotypes (ESHRE- American Society for Reproductive Medicine criteria) in T1D was 26% (95% CI: 19-34%; 13 studies, 684 women). Pooled prevalence of classic PCOS (US National Institutes of Health criteria) was 16% (95% CI: 10-22%; 9 studies, 614 women). Pooled prevalence of hyperandrogenic PCOS (Androgen Excess and PCOS Society criteria) was 26% (95% CI: 16-41%; 5 studies, 329 women). Hirsutism (24%), hyperandrogenaemia (29%), oligomenorrhoea (24%) and PCOM (34%) were also prevalent. Heterogeneity was high in almost all these meta-analyses. WIDER IMPLICATIONS: This systematic review and meta-analysis showed that PCOS and related hyperandrogenic traits are present in approximately one in every four women with T1D. Larger studies are needed to confirm this association, to address the effect of different variables on the occurrence of PCOS.

Endoscopy-Related Bleeding and Thromboembolic Events in Patients on Direct Oral Anticoagulants or Vitamin K Antagonists.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Few prospective studies have assessed the safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in elective endoscopy. Our primary aim was to compare the risks of endoscopy-related gastrointestinal bleeding and thromboembolic events in patients on DOACs or vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) in this setting. Secondarily, we examined the impact of the timing of anticoagulant resumption on the risk of delayed bleeding in high-risk therapeutic procedures. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter, prospective, observational study from January 2018 to March 2020 of 1602 patients on oral anticoagulants (1004 on VKAs and 598 on DOACs) undergoing 1874 elective endoscopic procedures. Our primary outcomes were 90-day thromboembolic events and 30-day endoscopy-related gastrointestinal bleeding. The inverse probability of treatment weighting propensity score method was used for baseline covariate adjustment. RESULTS: The 2 groups had similar risks of endoscopy-related gastrointestinal bleeding (VKAs vs DOACs, 6.2% vs 6.7%; adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.05; 95% CI, 0.67-1.65) and thromboembolic events (VKAs vs DOACs, 1.3% vs 1.5%; adjusted OR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.34-2.38). In high bleeding risk procedures (n = 747), delayed anticoagulant resumption (> 48 hours or 24-48 hours vs < 24 hours) did not reduce the risk of postprocedural bleeding (10.3%, 9%, and 5.8%, respectively; adjusted P = .43). Hot and cold snare polypectomy were the most frequent high-risk interventions (41.8% and 39.8%, respectively). CONCLUSION: In a prospective study of patients on DOACs or VKAs undergoing elective endoscopy, endoscopy-related bleeding and thromboembolic events showed similar risk. Our study suggests that early anticoagulant resumption is safe in most patients, but more data are needed for advanced high-risk therapeutic procedures.

Personalising the risk of conversion from laparoscopic to open hysterectomy in benign conditions: Development and external validation of risk prediction models.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate novel prediction models to personalise the risk of conversion from laparoscopic to open hysterectomy in benign conditions. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTINGS: English NHS Hospitals between 2011 and 2018. POPULATION: 68 752 women undergoing laparoscopic hysterectomy for benign conditions. METHODS: We developed two multivariable logistic models using readily available clinical information, one for the pre-operative setting and another for operative decision-making using additional surgical information, using 2011-2016 data in five regions (24 806 women). We validated them (a) temporally in the same regions using 2017-2018 data (12 438 women); (b) geographically in the same time-period using data from three different regions (22 024 women); and (c) temporally and geographically using 2017-2018 data in three different regions (9484 women). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Conversion from laparoscopic to open hysterectomy. RESULTS: Conversions occurred in 6.8% (1687/24 806) of hysterectomies in the development group, and in 5.5% (681/12 438) in the temporal, 5.9% (1297/22 204) in the geographical and 5.2% (488/9484) in the temporal and geographical validation groups. In the development cohort, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values for the pre-operative and operative models were 0.65 and 0.67, respectively. In the validation cohorts the corresponding values were 0.65 and 0.66 (temporal), 0.66 and 0.68 (geographical) and 0.65 and 0.68 (temporal and geographical), respectively. Factors predictive of conversion included age, Asian ethnicity, obesity, fibroids, adenomyosis, endometriosis and adhesions. Adhesions were the most predictive (odds ratio 2.54, 95% confidence interval 2.22-2.90). CONCLUSION: The models for predicting conversions showed acceptable performance and transferability. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Novel tool to personalise the risk of conversion from laparoscopic to open hysterectomy in benign conditions.

Follow-up care over 12 months of patients with prostate cancer in Spain: A multicenter prospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT: The therapeutic approach is crucial to prostate cancer prognosis. We describe treatments and outcomes for a Spanish cohort of patients with prostate cancer during the first 12 months after diagnosis and identify the factors that influenced the treatment they received.This multicenter prospective cohort study included patients with prostate cancer followed up for 12 months after diagnosis. Treatment was stratified by factors such as hospital, age group (<70 and ≥70 years), and D'Amico cancer risk classification. The outcomes were Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status, adverse events (AEs), and mortality. The patient characteristics associated with the different treatment modalities were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression.We included 470 men from 7 Spanish tertiary hospitals (mean (standard deviation) age 67.8 (7.6) years), 373 (79.4%) of which received treatment (alone or in combination) as follows: surgery (n = 163; 34.7%); radiotherapy (RT) (n = 149; 31.7%); and hormone therapy (HT) (n = 142; 30.2%). The remaining patients (n = 97) were allocated to no treatment, that is, watchful waiting (14.0%) or active surveillance (5.7%). HT was the most frequently administered treatment during follow-up and RT plus HT was the most common therapeutic combination. Surgery was more frequent in patients aged <70, with lower histologic tumor grades, Gleason scores <7, and lower prostate-specific antigen levels; while RT was more frequent in patients aged ≥70 with histologic tumor grade 4, and higher ECOG scores. HT was more frequent in patients aged ≥70, with histologic tumor grades 3 to 4, Gleason score ≥8, ECOG ≥1, and higher prostate-specific antigen levels. The number of fully active patients (ECOG score 0) decreased significantly during follow-up, from 75.3% at diagnosis to 65.1% at 12 months (P < .001); 230 (48.9%) patients had at least 1 AE, and 12 (2.6%) patients died.Surgery or RT were the main curative options. A fifth of the patients received no treatment. Palliative HT was more frequently administered to older patients with higher tumor grades and higher Gleason scores. Close to half of the patients experienced an AE related to their treatment.

Prognostic models for mortality after cardiac surgery in patients with infective endocarditis: a systematic review and aggregation of prediction models.

BACKGROUND: There are several prognostic models to estimate the risk of mortality after surgery for active infective endocarditis (IE). However, these models incorporate different predictors and their performance is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: We systematically reviewed and critically appraised all available prediction models of postoperative mortality in patients undergoing surgery for IE, and aggregated them into a meta-model. DATA SOURCES: We searched Medline and EMBASE databases from inception to June 2020. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included studies that developed or updated a prognostic model of postoperative mortality in patient with IE. METHODS: We assessed the risk of bias of the models using PROBAST (Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool) and we aggregated them into an aggregate meta-model based on stacked regressions and optimized it for a nationwide registry of IE patients. The meta-model performance was assessed using bootstrap validation methods and adjusted for optimism. RESULTS: We identified 11 prognostic models for postoperative mortality. Eight models had a high risk of bias. The meta-model included weighted predictors from the remaining three models (EndoSCORE, specific ES-I and specific ES-II), which were not rated as high risk of bias and provided full model equations. Additionally, two variables (age and infectious agent) that had been modelled differently across studies, were estimated based on the nationwide registry. The performance of the meta-model was better than the original three models, with the corresponding performance measures: C-statistics 0.79 (95% CI 0.76-0.82), calibration slope 0.98 (95% CI 0.86-1.13) and calibration-in-the-large -0.05 (95% CI -0.20 to 0.11). CONCLUSIONS: The meta-model outperformed published models and showed a robust predictive capacity for predicting the individualized risk of postoperative mortality in patients with IE. PROTOCOL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO (registration number CRD42020192602).

Preoperative clinical model to predict myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery: a retrospective analysis from the MANAGE cohort in a Spanish hospital.

OBJECTIVES: To determine preoperative factors associated to myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery (MINS) and to develop a prediction model of MINS. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis. SETTING: Tertiary hospital in Spain. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged ≥45 years undergoing major non-cardiac surgery and with at least two measures of troponin levels within the first 3 days of the postoperative period. All patients were screened for the MANAGE trial. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to study risk factors associated with MINS and created a score predicting the preoperative risk for MINS and a nomogram to facilitate bed-side use. We used Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator method to choose the factors included in the predictive model with MINS as dependent variable. The predictive ability of the model was evaluated. Discrimination was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration was visually assessed using calibration plots representing deciles of predicted probability of MINS against the observed rate in each risk group and the calibration-in-the-large (CITL) and the calibration slope. We created a nomogram to facilitate obtaining risk estimates for patients at pre-anaesthesia evaluation. RESULTS: Our cohort included 3633 patients recruited from 9 September 2014 to 17 July 2017. The incidence of MINS was 9%. Preoperative risk factors that increased the risk of MINS were age, American Status Anaesthesiology classification and vascular surgery. The predictive model showed good performance in terms of discrimination (AUC=0.720; 95% CI: 0.69 to 0.75) and calibration slope=1.043 (95% CI: 0.90 to 1.18) and CITL=0.00 (95% CI: -0.12 to 0.12). CONCLUSIONS: Our predictive model based on routinely preoperative information is highly affordable and might be a useful tool to identify moderate-high risk patients before surgery. However, external validation is needed before implementation.

Anti-biofilm activity of murepavadin against cystic fibrosis Pseudomonas aeruginosa isolates.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the activity of murepavadin in comparison with tobramycin, colistin and aztreonam, against cystic fibrosis (CF) Pseudomonas aeruginosa isolates growing in biofilms. The biofilm-epidemiological cut-off (ECOFF) values that include intrinsic resistance mechanisms present in biofilms were estimated. METHODS: Fifty-three CF P. aeruginosa isolates from respiratory samples were tested using the Calgary (closed system) device, while 4 [2 clinical (one smooth, one mucoid) and 2 reference strains] were tested using the BioFlux, a microfluidic open model of biofilm testing. Biofilm was stained with SYTO9® and propidium iodide. The minimal biofilm inhibitory concentration (MBIC) and the minimal biofilm eradication concentration (MBEC) were determined. The MBIC-ECOFF and the MBEC-ECOFF were calculated. RESULTS: Colistin, tobramycin and murepavadin presented similar MBIC50/MBIC90 values (4/32, 8/64 and 2/32, respectively). Murepavadin exhibited the lowest MBEC90 (64 mg/L). Aztreonam MBIC and MBEC values were higher than those of the other antibiotics tested. Tobramycin and murepavadin had the lowest MBEC-ECOFF (64 and 128 mg/L, respectively), while those of aztreonam and colistin exceeded 512 mg/L. Using the BioFlux, for the PAO1, PAO mutS and the smooth clinical strain, a significant difference (P < 0.0125) was observed when comparing the fluorescence of treated and untreated biofilms. For the mucoid strain, only the biofilm treated with aztreonam (MBIC and MBEC) and tobramycin (MBEC) showed differences with respect to the untreated biofilm. CONCLUSIONS: Murepavadin demonstrated good activity against P. aeruginosa biofilms both in open and closed systems. The MBIC-ECOFF and the MBEC-ECOFF are proposed as new parameters to estimate the activity of antibiotics on biofilms.

Iron preparations for women of reproductive age with iron deficiency anaemia in pregnancy (FRIDA): a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Numerous iron preparations are available for the treatment of iron deficiency anaemia in pregnancy. We aimed to provide a summary of the effectiveness and safety of iron preparations used in this setting. METHODS: We did a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised trials. We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, trial registers, and grey literature for trials published in any language from Jan 1, 2011, to Feb 28, 2021. We included trials including pregnant women with iron deficiency anaemia and evaluating iron preparations, irrespective of administration route, with at least 60 mg of elemental iron, in comparison with another iron or non-iron preparation. Three authors independently selected studies, extracted data, and did a risk of bias assessment using the Cochrane tool (version 1.0). The primary outcome was the effectiveness of iron preparations, evaluated by changes in haemoglobin concentration at 4 weeks from baseline. The secondary outcomes were change in serum ferritin concentration at 4 weeks from baseline and treatment-related severe and non-severe adverse events. We did random-effects pairwise and network meta-analyses. Side-effects were reported descriptively for each trial. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018100822. FINDINGS: Among 3037 records screened, 128 full-text articles were further assessed for eligibility. Of the 53 eligible trials (reporting on 9145 women), 30 (15 interventions; 3243 women) contributed data to the network meta-analysis for haemoglobin and 15 (nine interventions; 1396 women) for serum ferritin. The risk of bias varied across the trials contributing to network meta-analysis, with 22 of 30 trials in the network meta-analysis for haemoglobin judged to have a high or medium global risk of bias. Compared with oral ferrous sulfate, intravenous iron sucrose improved both haemoglobin (mean difference 7·17 g/L, 95% CI 2·62-11·73; seven trials) and serum ferritin (mean difference 49·66 µg/L, 13·63-85·69; four trials), and intravenous ferric carboxymaltose improved haemoglobin (mean difference 8·52 g/L, 0·51-16·53; one trial). The evidence for other interventions compared with ferrous sulfate was insufficient. The most common side-effects with oral iron preparations were gastrointestinal effects (nausea, vomiting, and altered bowel movements). Side-effects were less common with parenteral iron preparations, although these included local pain, skin irratation, and, on rare occasions, allergic reactions. INTERPRETATION: Iron preparations for treatment of iron deficiency anaemia in pregnancy vary in effectiveness, with good evidence of benefit for intravenous iron sucrose and some evidence for intravenous ferric carboxymaltose. Clinicians and policy makers should consider the effectiveness of individual preparations before administration, to ensure effective treatment. FUNDING: None.