Comparative effectiveness of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors for new-onset gastric cancer and gastric diseases in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the risks of gastric cancer and other gastric diseases in patients with type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) exposed to sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2I), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4I) or glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1a). DESIGN: This was a population-based cohort study of prospectively collected data on patients with T2DM prescribed SGLT2I, DPP4I or GLP1a between January 1st 2015 and December 31st 2020 from Hong Kong. The outcomes were new-onset gastric cancer, peptic ulcer (PU), acute gastritis, non-acute gastritis, and gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). Propensity score matching (1:1) using the nearest neighbour search was performed, and multivariable Cox regression was applied. A three-arm comparison between SGLT2I, DPP4I and GLP1a was conducted using propensity scores with inverse probability of treatment weighting. RESULTS: A total of 62,858 patients (median age: 62.2 years old [SD: 12.8]; 55.93% males; SGLT2I: n = 23,442; DPP4I: n = 39,416) were included. In the matched cohort, the incidence of gastric cancer was lower in SGLT2I (Incidence rate per 1000 person-year, IR: 0.32; 95% confidence interval, CI 0.23-0.43) than in DPP4I (IR per 1000 person-year: 1.22; CI 1.03-1.42) users. Multivariable Cox regression found that SGLT2I use was associated with lower risks of gastric cancer (HR 0.30; 95% CI 0.19-0.48), PU, acute gastritis, non-acute gastritis, and GERD (p < 0.05) compared to DPP4I use. In the three-arm analysis, GLP1a use was associated with higher risks of gastric cancer and GERD compared to SGLT2I use. CONCLUSIONS: The use of SGLT2I was associated with lower risks of new-onset gastric cancer, PU, acute gastritis, non-acute gastritis, and GERD after matching and adjustments compared to DPP4I use. SGLT2I use was associated with lower risks of GERD and gastric cancer compared to GLP1a use.

Lower Risks of New-Onset Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Treated With SGLT2 Inhibitors Versus DPP4 Inhibitors.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) may be a risk factor for development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The association between risk of developing HCC and treatment with sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4i) is currently unknown. This study aimed to compare the risk of new-onset HCC in patients treated with SGLT2i versus DPP4i. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients with T2DM in Hong Kong receiving either SGLT2i or DPP4i between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2020. Patients with concurrent DPP4i and SGLT2i use were excluded. Propensity score matching (1:1 ratio) was performed by using the nearest neighbor search. Multivariable Cox regression was applied to identify significant predictors. RESULTS: A total of 62,699 patients were included (SGLT2i, n=22,154; DPP4i, n=40,545). After matching (n=44,308), 166 patients (0.37%) developed HCC: 36 in the SGLT2i group and 130 in the DPP4i group over 240,269 person-years. Overall, SGLT2i use was associated with lower risks of HCC (hazard ratio [HR], 0.42; 95% CI, 0.28-0.79) compared with DPP4i after adjustments. The association between SGLT2i and HCC development remained significant in patients with cirrhosis or advanced fibrosis (HR, 0.12; 95% CI, 0.04-0.41), hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection (HR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.17-0.59), or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.22-0.80). The results were consistent in different risk models, propensity score approaches, and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: SGLT2i use was associated with a lower risk of HCC compared with DPP4i use after adjustments, and in the context of cirrhosis, advanced fibrosis, HBV infection, and HCV infection.

[Application of three-dimensional ultrasound technique in repairing dorsal foot wounds with medial sural artery perforator flaps].

Objective: To investigate the accuracy of positioning perforator of medial sural artery with three-dimensional ultrasound technique guided by a wide band linear matrix array volume transducer probe before operation, and the effectiveness of the flap design based on this in repairing the dorsal foot wounds. Methods: Between January 2019 and December 2022, 30 patients with skin and soft tissue defects of the dorsal foot were treated. There were 19 males and 11 females, with an average age of 43.9 years (range, 22-63 years). There were 12 cases of traffic accident injury, 15 cases of heavy crushing injury, and 3 cases of machine injury. The time from injury to hospitalization was 1-8 hours (mean, 3.5 hours). The wounds in size of 5 cm×3 cm to 17 cm×5 cm were thorough debrided and covered with vacuum sealing drainage dressing. Then the wounds were repaired with the medial sural artery perforator flaps after no obvious infection observed. To obtain the complete three-dimensional image, the number and position of the medial sural artery perforator branches and the position of the main blood vessels in the muscle were detected and recorded by wide band linear matrix array volume transducer probe before operation. Suitable perforating branches were selected to design the flap and guide the flap incision on this basis. The size of the perforating flap ranged from 6 cm×4 cm to 18 cm×6 cm. The sensitivity and positive predictive value were calculated by comparing preoperative exploration with intraoperative observation of perforating branches, so as to evaluate the positioning accuracy of three-dimensional ultrasound technique. The donor sites were sutured directly in 25 cases and repaired with free skin grafting in 5 cases. Results: The 60 perforating branches of medial sural artery were found before operation and 58 during operation in 30 patients. Among them, pre- and intra-operative perforations were consistent with 56. The sensitivity was 93.3% and positive predictive value was 96.6%. The intramuscular position and route of the main blood vessels were basically consistent with the pre- and intra-operative observation. All flaps survived and wounds healed by first intention. All incisions at the donor sites healed by first intention, and all skin grafts survived. All patients were follow up 9-24 months (mean, 14.7 months). The appearance, color, and texture of the flaps were good, and no obvious effect on wearing shoes and walking. At last follow-up, the American Orthopaedic Foot and Ankle Society (AOFAS) ankle-hind score ranged from 80 to 92, with an average of 87.5. The patient satisfaction was excellent in 29 cases and good in 1 case. Conclusion: The three-dimensional ultrasound technique guided by the wide band linear matrix array volume transducer probe can accurately locate the perforating branch of the medial sural artery, and the three-dimensional imaging is more intuitive, which can be used to guide the design and incision of the medial sural artery perforator flap.

[A prospective study of super-thin anterolateral thigh flap harvesting assisted by high-frequency color Doppler ultrasound in detecting perforators in deep adipose layers].

Objective: To investigate the clinical application of high-frequency color Doppler ultrasound (HFCDU) in detecting perforators in the deep adipose layers for harvesting super-thin anterolateral thigh flap (ALTF). Methods: Between August 2019 and January 2023, 45 patients (46 sides) with skin and soft tissue defects in the foot and ankle were treated, including 29 males and 16 females, aged from 22 to 62 years, with an average of 46.7 years. The body mass index ranged from 19.6 to 36.2 kg/m 2, with an average of 23.62 kg/m 2. The causes of injury included traffic accident injury in 15 cases, heavy object crush injury in 20 cases, mechanical injury in 8 cases, heat crush injury in 1 case, and chronic infection in 1 case. There were 20 cases on the left side, 24 cases on the right side, and 1 case on both sides. After thorough debridement, the wound size ranged from 5 cm×4 cm to 17 cm×11 cm. All patients underwent free super-thin ALTF transplantation repair. HFCDU was used to detect the location of the perforators piercing the deep and superficial fascia, as well as the direction and branches of the perforators within the deep adipose layers before operation. According to the preoperative HFCDU findings, the dimensions of the super-thin ALTF ranged from 6 cm×4 cm to 18 cm×12 cm. The donor sites of the flaps were directly sutured. Results: A total of 55 perforators were detected by HFCDU before operation, but 1 was not found during operation. During operation, a total of 56 perforators were found, and 2 perforators were not detected by HFCDU. The positive predictive value of HFCDU for identifying perforator vessels was 98.2%, and the sensitivity was 96.4%. Among the 54 perforators accurately located by HFCDU, the orientation of the perforators in the deep adipose layers was confirmed during operation. There were 21 perforators (38.9%) traveled laterally and inferiorly, 12 (22.2%) traveled medially and inferiorly, 14 (25.9%) traveled laterally and superiorly, 5 (9.3%) traveled medially and superiorly, and 2 (3.7%) ran almost vertically to the body surface. Among the 54 perforators accurately located by HFCDU, 35 were identified as type 1 perforators and 12 as type 2 perforators (HFCDU misidentified 7 type 2 perforators as type 1 perforators). The sensitivity of HFCDU in identifying type 1 perforators was 100%, with a positive predictive value of 83.3%. For type 2 perforators, the sensitivity was 63.2%, and the positive predictive value was 100%. The surgeries were successfully completed. The super-thin ALTF had a thickness ranging from 2 to 6 mm, with an average of 3.56 mm. All super-thin ALTF survived, however, 1 flap experienced a venous crisis at 1 day after operation, but it survived after emergency exploration and re-anastomosis of the veins; 1 flap developed venous crisis at 3 days after operation but survived after bleeding with several small incisions; 3 flaps had necrosis at the distal edge of the epidermis, which healed after undergoing dressing changes. All 45 patients were followed up 6-18 months (mean, 13.6 months). Three flaps required secondary defatting procedures, while the rest had the appropriate thickness, and the overall appearance was satisfactory. Conclusion: Preoperative application of HFCDU to detect the perforator in the deep adipose layers can improve the success and safety of the procedure by facilitating the harvest of super-thin ALTF.

Super-thin anterolateral thigh flap for reconstruction of the medial plantar artery perforator flap donor site.

BACKGROUND: The medial plantar artery perforator (MPAP) flap is widely used to reconstruct the weight-bearing area of the foot. Traditionally, its donor site is closed using a skin graft, which is associated with several complications, including walking disability. This study aimed to examine our experience with using a super-thin anterolateral thigh (ALT) flap to reconstruct the MPAP flap donor site. METHODS: We examined 10 patients who underwent reconstruction of the MPAP flap donor site using a super-thin ALT flap between August 2019 and March 2021. The vascular pedicle was anastomosed to the proximal end of the medial plantar vessels or the end of the posterior tibial vessels. RESULTS: All reconstruction flaps survived and all patients were satisfied with the aesthetic appearance. No blisters, ulcerations, hyperpigmentation, or contractures occurred. All patients gained protective sensation in the super-thin ALT flap. The average visual analog scale score for the aesthetic appearance of the reconstructed foot was 8.5 ± 0.7 (range, 8-10). All patients were able to ambulate without aids and could wear regular shoes. The average revised Foot Function Index score was 26.4 ± 4.1 (range, 22-34). CONCLUSION: Reconstruction of the MPAP flap donor site using a super-thin ALT flap is reliable and provides satisfactory functional recovery, aesthetic appearance, and protective sensation while minimizing postoperative morbidity.

Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors versus dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitors on new-onset overall cancer in Type 2 diabetes mellitus: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Cancer is currently the second leading cause of death globally. There is much uncertainty regarding the comparative risks of new-onset overall cancer and pre-specified cancer for Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients on sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2I) versus DPP4I. METHODS: This population-based cohort study patients included patients who were diagnosed with T2DM and administered either SGLT2 or DPP4 inhibitors between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2020 in public hospitals of Hong Kong. RESULTS: This study included 60,112 T2DM patients (mean baseline age: 62.1 ± 12.4 years, male: 56.36%), of which 18,167 patients were SGLT2I users and 41,945 patients were dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor (DPP4I) users. Multivariable Cox regression found that SGLT2I use was associated with lower risks of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.84-0.99; p= 0.04), cancer-related mortality (HR: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.42-0.80; p ≤ 0.001) and new diagnoses of any cancer (HR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.59-0.84; p ≤ 0.001). SGLT2I use was associated with a lower risk of new-onset breast cancer (HR: 0.51; 95% CI: 0.32-0.80; p ≤ 0.001), but not of other malignancies. Subgroup analysis on the type of SGLT2I, dapagliflozin (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.64-0.95; p = 0.01) and ertugliflozin (HR: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.43-0.98; p = 0.04) use was associated with lower risks of new cancer diagnosis. Dapagliflozin use was also linked to lower risks of breast cancer (HR: 0.48; 95% CI: 0.27-0.83; p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor use was associated with lower risks of all-cause mortality, cancer-related mortality and new-onset overall cancer compared to DPP4I use after propensity score matching and multivariable adjustment.

Clinical characteristics, risk factors and outcomes of cancer patients with COVID-19: A population-based study.

INTRODUCTION: Cancer patients may be susceptible to poorer outcomes in COVID-19 infection owing to the immunosuppressant effect of chemotherapy/radiotherapy and cancer growth, along with the potential for nosocomial transmission due to frequent hospital admissions. METHODS: This was a population-based retrospective cohort study of COVID-19 patients who presented to Hong Kong public hospitals between 1 January 2020 and 8 December 2020. The primary outcome was a composite endpoint of requirement for intubation, ICU admission and 30-day mortality. RESULTS: The following study consisted of 6089 COVID-19 patients (median age 45.9 [27.8.1-62.7] years; 50% male), of which 142 were cancer subjects. COVID-19 cancer patients were older at baseline and tended to present with a higher frequency of comorbidities, including diabetes mellitus, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, ischemic heart disease, ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation and gastrointestinal bleeding (p < 0.05). These subjects also likewise tended to present with higher serum levels of inflammatory markers, including D-dimer, lactate dehydrogenase, high sensitivity troponin-I and C-reactive protein. Multivariate Cox regression showed that any type of cancer presented with an almost four-fold increased risk of the primary outcome (HR: 3.77; 95% CI: 1.63-8.72; p < 0.002) after adjusting for significant demographics, Charlson comorbidity index, number of comorbidities, past comorbidities and medication history. This association remained significant when assessing those with colorectal (HR: 5.07; 95% CI: 1.50-17.17; p < 0.009) and gastrointestinal malignancies (HR: 3.79; 95% CI: 1.12-12.88; p < 0.03), but not with lung, genitourinary, or breast malignancies, relative to their respective cancer-free COVID-19 counterparts. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 cancer patients are associated with a significantly higher risk of intubation, ICU admission and/or mortality.

Lower risk of gout in sodium glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP4) inhibitors in type-2 diabetes.

OBJECTIVES: The effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2I) vs dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP4I) on the risk of new-onset gout remains unknown. This study aims to compare the effects of SGLT2I against DPP4I on gout risks. METHODS: This was a retrospective population-based cohort study of patients with type-2 diabetes mellitus treated with SGLT2I or DPP4I between 1 January 2015 and 31 December 2020 in Hong Kong. The study outcomes are new-onset gout and all-cause mortality. Propensity score matching (1:1 ratio) between SGLT2I and DPP4I was performed. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression models were conducted. Competing risks models and multiple approaches based on the propensity score were applied. RESULTS: This study included 43 201 patients [median age: 63.23 years old (Interquartile range, IQR): 55.21-71.95, 53.74% males; SGLT2I group: n = 16 144; DPP4I group: n = 27 057] with a median follow-up of 5.59 years (IQR: 5.27-5.81 years) since initial drug exposure. The incidence rate of developing gout [Incidence rate (IR): 2.5; 95% CI: 2.2, 2.9] among SGLT2I users was significantly lower than DPP4I users (IR: 5.2; 95% CI: 4.8, 5.8). SGLT2I was associated with 51% lower risks of gout (HR: 0.49; 95% CI: 0.42, 0.58; P-value < 0.0001) and 51% lower risks of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.49; 95% CI: 0.42, 0.58; P-value < 0.0001) after adjusting for significant demographics, past comorbidities, medications and laboratory results. The results remained consistent on competing risk and other propensity score approaches. CONCLUSIONS: SGLT2I use was associated with lower risks of new gout diagnosis compared with DPP4I use.

Association Between Visit-to-Visit Lipid Variability and Incident Cancer: A Population-based Cohort Study.

Dyslipidemia is associated with increased cancer risk. However, the prognostic value of visit-to-visit lipid variability (VVLV) is unexplored in this regard. To investigate the associations between the VVLV and the risk of incident cancer, we conducted a retrospective cohort study on adult patients attending a family medicine clinic in Hong Kong during 2000-2003, excluding those with <3 tests for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), triglycerides, and total cholesterol (TC) each, those with prior cancer diagnosis, and those with <1 year of follow-up. Visit-to-visit LDL-C, HDL-C, TC, and triglycerides variabilities were measured by the coefficient of variation (CV). Patients were followed up until 31st December 2019 for the primary outcome of incident cancer. Altogether, 69,186 patients were included (26,679 males (38.6%); mean age 60 ± 13 years; mean follow-up 16 ± 3 years); 7958 patients (11.5%) had incident cancer. Higher variability of LDL-C, HDL-C, TC, and TG was associated with higher risk of incident cancer. Patients in the third tercile of the CV of LDL-C (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) against first tercile 1.06 [1.00, 1.12], P = 0.049), HDL-C (aHR 1.37 [1.29, 1.44], P< 0.001), TC (aHR 1.10 [1.04, 1.17], P = 0.001), and TG (aHR 1.11 [1.06, 1.18], P < 0.001) had the highest risks of incident cancer. Among these, only HDL-C variability remained associated with the risk of incident cancer in users of statins/fibrates. To conclude, higher VVLV was associated with significantly higher long-term risks of incident cancer. VVLV may be a clinically useful tool for cancer risk stratification.

Predicting prognosis and immune responses in hepatocellular carcinoma based on N7-methylguanosine-related long noncoding RNAs.

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which has high rates of recurrence and metastasis and is the main reason and the most common tumor for cancer mortality worldwide, has an unfavorable prognosis. N7-methylguanosine (m7G) modification can affect the formation and development of tumors by affecting gene expression and other biological processes. In addition, many previous studies have confirmed the unique function of long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) in tumor progression; however, studies exploring the functions of m7G-related lncRNAs in HCC patients has been limited. Methods: Relevant RNA expression information was acquired from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA, https://portal.gdc.cancer.gov), and m7G-related lncRNAs were identified via gene coexpression analysis. Afterward, univariate Cox regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, and multivariate regression analyses were implemented to construct an ideal risk model whose validity was verified using Kaplan-Meier survival, principal component, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and nomogram analyses. In addition, the potential functions of lncRNAs in the novel signature were explored through Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA). At last, in both risk groups and subtypes classified based on the expression of the risk-related lncRNAs, we analyzed the immune characteristics and drug sensitivity of patients. Results: After rigorous screening processes, we built a model based on 11 m7G-related lncRNAs for predicting patient overall survival (OS). The results suggested that the survival status of patients with high-risk scores was lower than that of patients with low-risk scores, and a high-risk score was related to malignant clinical features. Cox regression analysis showed that the m7G risk score was an independent prognostic parameter. Moreover, immune cell infiltration and immunotherapy sensitivity differed between the risk groups. Conclusion: The m7G risk score model constructed based on 11 m7G-related lncRNAs can effectively assess the OS of HCC patients and may offer support for making individualized treatment and immunotherapy decisions for HCC patients.

Risk of New-Onset Prostate Cancer for Metformin Versus Sulfonylurea Use in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Propensity Score-Matched Study.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to compare the risks of new-onset prostate cancer between metformin and sulfonylurea users with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: This population-based retrospective cohort study included male patients with T2DM presenting to public hospitals/clinics in Hong Kong between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2009. We only included patients prescribed either, but not both, metformin or sulfonylurea. All patients were followed up until December 31, 2019. The primary outcome was new-onset prostate cancer and the secondary outcome was all-cause mortality. One-to-one propensity score matching was performed between metformin and sulfonylurea users based on demographics, comorbidities, antidiabetic and cardiovascular medications, fasting blood glucose level, and hemoglobin A1c level. Subgroup analyses based on age and use of androgen deprivation therapy were performed. RESULTS: The final study cohort consisted of 25,695 metformin users (mean [SD] age, 65.2 [11.8] years) and 25,695 matched sulfonylurea users (mean [SD] age, 65.3 [11.8] years) with a median follow-up duration of 119.6 months (interquartile range, 91.7-139.6 months) after 1:1 propensity score matching of 66,411 patients. Metformin users had lower risks of new-onset prostate cancer (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.69-0.93; P=.0031) and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.86-0.92; P<.0001) than sulfonylurea users. Metformin use was more protective against prostate cancer but less protective against all-cause mortality in patients aged <65 years (P for trend <.0001 for both) compared with patients aged ≥65 years. Metformin users had lower risk of all-cause mortality than sulfonylurea users, regardless of the use of androgen deprivation therapy (P for trend <.0001) among patients who developed prostate cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Metformin use was associated with significantly lower risks of new-onset prostate cancer and all-cause mortality than sulfonylurea use in male patients with T2DM.

Reconstruction of complex plantar forefoot defects using free tissue flaps combined with contralateral instep thick skin grafts.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the clinical efficacy of using free tissue flap combined with contralateral instep thick plantar skin in reconstructing complex plantar forefoot defects. METHODS: During the past 8 years, 15 patients, aged 25-60 years, with defects in the soft-tissue and composite bone of the forefoot were treated. Their defects were caused by trauma. These defects were all located on the plantar forefoot. The free tissue flaps transposed to reconstruct defects were anterolateral thigh flaps, groin flaps, and latissimus dorsi flaps. Flap size varied in width 4-cm and length (6-16 cm). The mean size of flaps was 80.3 cm2. The follow-up period ranged from 12 to 90 months (mean, 25.5 months). RESULTS: Partial flap loss was observed in one anterolateral thigh flap and one latissimus dorsi flap. One patient showed skin graft loss at the defect site, and the wound was re-epithelialized by changing dressings. Hyperkeratosis was not observed in any of the cases. All patients were able to walk near-normally within 2.5 months after surgery, and there was no recurrence of ulceration. CONCLUSION: We advocate using a free tissue flap combined with contralateral instep thick plantar skin for reconstruction of moderate or large complex plantar forefoot defects.

Adverse Cardiovascular Complications following prescription of programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) and programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors: a propensity-score matched Cohort Study with competing risk analysis.

BACKGROUND: Programmed death-1 (PD-1) and programmed death- ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors, such as pembrolizumab, nivolumab and atezolizumab, are major classes of immune checkpoint inhibitors that are increasingly used for cancer treatment. However, their use is associated with adverse cardiovascular events. We examined the incidence of new-onset cardiac complications in patients receiving PD-1 or PD-L1 inhibitors. METHODS: Patients receiving PD-1 or PD-L1 inhibitors since their launch up to 31st December 2019 at publicly funded hospitals of Hong Kong, China, without pre-existing cardiac complications were included. The primary outcome was a composite of incident heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, or atrial flutter with the last follow-up date of 31st December 2020. Propensity score matching between PD-L1 inhibitor use and PD-1 inhibitor use with a 1:2 ratio for patient demographics, past comorbidities and non-PD-1/PD-L1 medications was performed with nearest neighbour search strategy (0.1 caliper). Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis models were conducted. Competing risks models and multiple propensity matching approaches were considered for sensitivity analysis. RESULTS: A total of 1959 patients were included. Over a median follow-up of 247 days (interquartile range [IQR]: 72-506), 320 (incidence rate [IR]: 16.31%) patients met the primary outcome after PD-1/PD-L1 treatment: 244 (IR: 12.57%) with heart failure, 38 (IR: 1.93%) with acute myocardial infarction, 54 (IR: 2.75%) with atrial fibrillation, 6 (IR: 0.31%) with atrial flutter. Compared with PD-1 inhibitor treatment, PD-L1 inhibitor treatment was significantly associated with lower risks of the composite outcome both before (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.32, 95% CI: [0.18-0.59], P value=0.0002) and after matching (HR: 0.34, 95% CI: [0.18-0.65], P value=0.001), and lower all-cause mortality risks before matching (HR: 0.77, 95% CI: [0.64-0.93], P value=0.0078) and after matching (HR: 0.80, 95% CI: [0.65-1.00], P value=0.0463). Patients who developed cardiac complications had shorter average readmission intervals and a higher number of hospitalizations after treatment with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors in both the unmatched and matched cohorts (P value<0.0001). Multivariable Cox regression models, competing risk analysis with cause-specific and subdistribution hazard models, and multiple propensity approaches confirmed these observations. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with PD-1 treatment, PD-L1 treatment was significantly associated with lower risk of new onset cardiac complications and all-cause mortality both before and after propensity score matching.

The effect of fish oil on inflammation markers in adult patients undergoing hemodialysis: A meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: This meta-analysis was to assess the effect of fish oil supplementation on inflammation markers in adult patients receiving hemodialysis. METHODS: CENTRAL, EMBASE, MEDLINE databases were searched from inception to 10 April 2020. Two authors independently searched, selected, and screened the literature. The pooled results are represented by WMD or SMD with 95% confidence intervals. Subgroup analysis and meta-regression were used to explore sources of heterogeneity, and sensitivity analysis was used to assess the robustness of the pooled results. Funnel plots were used to assess publication bias. RESULTS: Eleven RCT (randomized control trials) studies were included. The pooled results showed that fish oil supplementation caused a significant reduction of the CRP(C-reactive protein) level (random model: WMD, -3.36, 95%CI: -5.46 to -1.26, P = .002), especially in patients with baseline CRP ≥ 5 mg/L (random model: WMD, -4.43, 95%CI: -6.10 to -2.76, P = .00001, I2  = 41%). Meta-regression analyses showed that CRP baseline level (CRP < 5 mg/L) was the main source of heterogeneity (P = .036). Sensitive analyses revealed that the result was hardly changed. Fish oil supplementation might not reduce the level of IL-6 (random model: WMD, -2.26, 95%CI: -19.61 to 15.09, P = .80) in four studies or the level of TNF-α (random model: SMD, -2.51, 95%CI: -6.08 to 1.06, P = .17) in three studies. CONCLUSIONS: Fish oil supplementation could reduce the level of CRP in hemodialysis patients, especially in patients with CRP ≥ 5 mg/L, but had no effects on IL-6 and TNF-α.

Development of a multivariable prediction model for severe COVID-19 disease: a population-based study from Hong Kong.

Recent studies have reported numerous predictors for adverse outcomes in COVID-19 disease. However, there have been few simple clinical risk scores available for prompt risk stratification. The objective is to develop a simple risk score for predicting severe COVID-19 disease using territory-wide data based on simple clinical and laboratory variables. Consecutive patients admitted to Hong Kong's public hospitals between 1 January and 22 August 2020 and diagnosed with COVID-19, as confirmed by RT-PCR, were included. The primary outcome was composite intensive care unit admission, need for intubation or death with follow-up until 8 September 2020. An external independent cohort from Wuhan was used for model validation. COVID-19 testing was performed in 237,493 patients and 4442 patients (median age 44.8 years old, 95% confidence interval (CI): [28.9, 60.8]); 50% males) were tested positive. Of these, 209 patients (4.8%) met the primary outcome. A risk score including the following components was derived from Cox regression: gender, age, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, ischemic heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, stroke, dementia, liver diseases, gastrointestinal bleeding, cancer, increases in neutrophil count, potassium, urea, creatinine, aspartate transaminase, alanine transaminase, bilirubin, D-dimer, high sensitive troponin-I, lactate dehydrogenase, activated partial thromboplastin time, prothrombin time, and C-reactive protein, as well as decreases in lymphocyte count, platelet, hematocrit, albumin, sodium, low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, cholesterol, glucose, and base excess. The model based on test results taken on the day of admission demonstrated an excellent predictive value. Incorporation of test results on successive time points did not further improve risk prediction. The derived score system was evaluated with out-of-sample five-cross-validation (AUC: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.82-0.91) and external validation (N = 202, AUC: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.85-0.93). A simple clinical score accurately predicted severe COVID-19 disease, even without including symptoms, blood pressure or oxygen status on presentation, or chest radiograph results.

Identification of important risk factors for all-cause mortality of acquired long QT syndrome patients using random survival forests and non-negative matrix factorization.

BACKGROUND: Acquired long QT syndrome (aLQTS) is often associated with poor clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine the important predictors of all-cause mortality of aLQTS patients by applying both random survival forest (RSF) and non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) analyses. METHODS: Clinical characteristics and manually measured electrocardiographic (ECG) parameters were initially entered into the RSF model. Subsequently, latent variables identified using NMF were entered into the RSF as additional variables. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 327 aLQTS patients were included. The RSF model identified 16 predictive factors with positive variable importance values: cancer, potassium, RR interval, calcium, age, JT interval, diabetes mellitus, QRS duration, QTp interval, chronic kidney disease, QTc interval, hypertension, QT interval, female, JTc interval, and cerebral hemorrhage. Increasing the number of latent features between ECG indices, which incorporated from n = 0 to n = 4 by NMF, maximally improved the prediction ability of the RSF-NMF model (C-statistic 0.77 vs 0.89). CONCLUSION: Cancer and serum potassium and calcium levels can predict all-cause mortality of aLQTS patients, as can ECG indicators including JTc and QRS. The present RSF-NMF model significantly improved mortality prediction.

Multi-modality machine learning approach for risk stratification in heart failure with left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 45.

AIMS: Heart failure (HF) involves complex remodelling leading to electrical and mechanical dysfunction. We hypothesized that machine learning approaches incorporating data obtained from different investigative modalities including atrial and ventricular measurements from electrocardiography and echocardiography, blood inflammatory marker [neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR)], and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) will improve risk stratification for adverse outcomes in HF compared to logistic regression. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive Chinese patients referred to our centre for transthoracic echocardiography and subsequently diagnosed with HF, between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2016, were included in this study. Two machine learning techniques, multilayer perceptron and multi-task learning, were compared with logistic regression for their ability to predict incident atrial fibrillation (AF), transient ischaemic attack (TIA)/stroke, and all-cause mortality. This study included 312 HF patients [mean age: 64 (55-73) years, 75% male]. There were 76 cases of new-onset AF, 62 cases of incident TIA/stroke, and 117 deaths during follow-up. Univariate analysis revealed that age, left atrial reservoir strain (LARS) and contractile strain (LACS) were significant predictors of new-onset AF. Age and smoking predicted incident stroke. Age, hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, mitral or aortic regurgitation, P-wave terminal force in V1, the presence of partial inter-atrial block, left atrial diameter, ejection fraction, global longitudinal strain, serum creatinine and albumin, high NLR, low PNI, and LARS and LACS predicted all-cause mortality. Machine learning techniques achieved better prediction performance than logistic regression. CONCLUSIONS: Multi-modality assessment is important for risk stratification in HF. A machine learning approach provides additional value for improving outcome prediction.

Multi-parametric system for risk stratification in mitral regurgitation: A multi-task Gaussian prediction approach.

BACKGROUND: We hypothesized that a multi-parametric approach incorporating medical comorbidity information, electrocardiographic P-wave indices, echocardiographic assessment, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) calculated from laboratory data can improve risk stratification in mitral regurgitation (MR). METHODS: Patients diagnosed with mitral regurgitation between 1 March 2005 and 30 October 2018 from a single centre were retrospectively analysed. Outcomes analysed were incident atrial fibrillation (AF), transient ischemic attack (TIA)/stroke and mortality. RESULTS: This study cohort included 706 patients, of whom 171 had normal inter-atrial conduction, 257 had inter-atrial block (IAB) and 266 had AF at baseline. Logistic regression analysis showed that age, hypertension and mean P-wave duration (PWD) were significant predictors of new-onset AF. Low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), abnormal P-wave terminal force in V1 (PTFV1) predicted TIA/stroke. Age, smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolaemia, ischemic heart disease, secondary mitral regurgitation, urea, creatinine, NLR, PNI, left atrial diameter (LAD), left ventricular end-diastolic dimension, LVEF, pulmonary arterial systolic pressure, IAB, baseline AF and heart failure predicted all-cause mortality. A multi-task Gaussian process learning model demonstrated significant improvement in risk stratification compared to logistic regression and a decision tree method. CONCLUSIONS: A multi-parametric approach incorporating multi-modality clinical data improves risk stratification in mitral regurgitation. Multi-task machine learning can significantly improve overall risk stratification performance.

Effect of tendon hydrogel on healing of tendon injury.

Hand trauma arising from postoperative acute or chronic tendon injuries leads to delayed union and is one of the greatest challenges in clinical practice. The present study hypothesized that an extracellular matrix hydrogel made from tendons can promote tendon healing and improve tissue regeneration. To verify this, 36 Wistar rats were subjected to bilateral full-thickness injury of their Achilles tendons, starting from the heel bone along the center line to remove a segment of 5 mm in length and 0.5 mm in width. On the sites of injury, hydrogel was injected on one side, while the contralateral side was injected with an equal volume of normal saline. At 2, 4 and 8 weeks after the operation, bilateral tendons were subjected to biomechanical tests to determine the ultimate failure load, tensile strength and toughness, and cross-sectional slices of the tendons were subjected to histological analysis. The results indicated that after 2 weeks, the hydrogel and control group showed no significant difference in terms of ultimate load (P=0.15) ultimate tensile stress (P=0.42) and toughness (P=0.76). At 4 weeks following surgery, the failure load in the hydrogel group was significantly higher than that in the control group (74.8±14.2 vs. 58.4±11.6; P=0.02), while there were no significant differences in the ultimate tensile stress (P=0.63) and toughness (P=0.08). At 8 postoperative weeks, the abovementioned parameters showed no significant difference between the groups (P=0.15, 0.39 and 0.75, respectively). In conclusion, the tendon-derived extracellular matrix hydrogel was able to significantly improve tendon strength at 4 weeks after injury in terms of increasing the ultimate failure load. Hydrogel applied immediately after tendon injury can enhance the type-I collagen content. The present study therefore provided a basis for further exploration of the application of extracellular matrix hydrogel to promote tendon healing in the clinic.