Decision Trees for Predicting Mortality in Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation.

Current prognostic risk scores in cardiac surgery do not benefit yet from machine learning (ML). This research aims to create a machine learning model to predict one-year mortality of a patient after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). We adopt a modern gradient boosting on decision trees classifier (GBDTs), specifically designed for categorical features. In combination with a recent technique for model interpretations, we developed a feature analysis and selection stage, enabling the identification of the most important features for the prediction. We base our prediction model on the most relevant features, after interpreting and discussing the feature analysis results with clinical experts. We validated our model on 270 consecutive TAVI cases, reaching a C-statistic of 0.83 with CI [0.82, 0.84]. The model has achieved a positive predictive value ranging from 57% to 64%, suggesting that the patient selection made by the heart team of professionals can be further improved by taking into consideration the clinical data we identified as important and by exploiting ML approaches in the development of clinical risk scores. Our approach has shown promising predictive potential also with respect to widespread prognostic risk scores, such as logistic European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation (EuroSCORE II) and the society of thoracic surgeons (STS) risk score, which are broadly adopted by cardiologists worldwide.

Deep learning algorithm detection of Barrett's neoplasia with high accuracy during live endoscopic procedures: a pilot study (with video).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We assessed the preliminary diagnostic accuracy of a recently developed computer-aided detection (CAD) system for detection of Barrett's neoplasia during live endoscopic procedures. METHODS: The CAD system was tested during endoscopic procedures in 10 patients with nondysplastic Barrett's esophagus (NDBE) and 10 patients with confirmed Barrett's neoplasia. White-light endoscopy images were obtained at every 2-cm level of the Barrett's segment and immediately analyzed by the CAD system, providing instant feedback to the endoscopist. At every level, 3 images were evaluated by the CAD system. Outcome measures were diagnostic performance of the CAD system per level and per patient, defined as accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity (ground truth was established by expert assessment and corresponding histopathology), and concordance of 3 sequential CAD predictions per level. RESULTS: Accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the CAD system in a per-level analyses were 90%, 91%, and 89%, respectively. Nine of 10 neoplastic patients were correctly diagnosed. The single lesion not detected by CAD showed NDBE in the endoscopic resection specimen. In only 1 NDBE patient, the CAD system produced false-positive predictions. In 75% of all levels, the CAD system produced 3 concordant predictions. CONCLUSIONS: This is one of the first studies to evaluate a CAD system for Barrett's neoplasia during live endoscopic procedures. The system detected neoplasia with high accuracy, with only a small number of false-positive predictions and with a high concordance rate between separate predictions. The CAD system is thereby ready for testing in larger, multicenter trials. (Clinical trial registration number: NL7544.).

Deep-Learning System Detects Neoplasia in Patients With Barrett's Esophagus With Higher Accuracy Than Endoscopists in a Multistep Training and Validation Study With Benchmarking.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We aimed to develop and validate a deep-learning computer-aided detection (CAD) system, suitable for use in real time in clinical practice, to improve endoscopic detection of early neoplasia in patients with Barrett's esophagus (BE). METHODS: We developed a hybrid ResNet-UNet model CAD system using 5 independent endoscopy data sets. We performed pretraining using 494,364 labeled endoscopic images collected from all intestinal segments. Then, we used 1704 unique esophageal high-resolution images of rigorously confirmed early-stage neoplasia in BE and nondysplastic BE, derived from 669 patients. System performance was assessed by using data sets 4 and 5. Data set 5 was also scored by 53 general endoscopists with a wide range of experience from 4 countries to benchmark CAD system performance. Coupled with histopathology findings, scoring of images that contained early-stage neoplasia in data sets 2-5 were delineated in detail for neoplasm position and extent by multiple experts whose evaluations served as the ground truth for segmentation. RESULTS: The CAD system classified images as containing neoplasms or nondysplastic BE with 89% accuracy, 90% sensitivity, and 88% specificity (data set 4, 80 patients and images). In data set 5 (80 patients and images) values for the CAD system vs those of the general endoscopists were 88% vs 73% accuracy, 93% vs 72% sensitivity, and 83% vs 74% specificity. The CAD system achieved higher accuracy than any of the individual 53 nonexpert endoscopists, with comparable delineation performance. CAD delineations of the area of neoplasm overlapped with those from the BE experts in all detected neoplasia in data sets 4 and 5. The CAD system identified the optimal site for biopsy of detected neoplasia in 97% and 92% of cases (data sets 4 and 5, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: We developed, validated, and benchmarked a deep-learning computer-aided system for primary detection of neoplasia in patients with BE. The system detected neoplasia with high accuracy and near-perfect delineation performance. The Netherlands National Trials Registry, Number: NTR7072.

The Argos project: The development of a computer-aided detection system to improve detection of Barrett's neoplasia on white light endoscopy.

Background: Computer-aided detection (CAD) systems might assist endoscopists in the recognition of Barrett's neoplasia. Aim: To develop a CAD system using endoscopic images of Barrett's neoplasia. Methods: White light endoscopy (WLE) overview images of 40 neoplastic Barrett's lesions and 20 non-dysplastic Barret's oesophagus (NDBO) patients were prospectively collected. Experts delineated all neoplastic images.The overlap area of at least four delineations was labelled as the 'sweet spot'. The area with at least one delineation was labelled as the 'soft spot'. The CAD system was trained on colour and texture features. Positive features were taken from the sweet spot and negative features from NDBO images. Performance was evaluated using leave-one-out cross-validation. Outcome parameters were diagnostic accuracy of the CAD system per image, and localization of the expert soft spot by CAD delineation (localization score) and its indication of preferred biopsy location (red-flag indication score). Results: Accuracy, sensitivity and specificity for detection were 92, 95 and 85%, respectively. The system localized and red-flagged the soft spot in 100 and 90%, respectively. Conclusion: This uniquely trained and validated CAD system detected and localized early Barrett's neoplasia on WLE images with high accuracy. This is an important step towards real-time automated detection of Barrett's neoplasia.

Computer-aided detection of early Barrett's neoplasia using volumetric laser endomicroscopy.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Volumetric laser endomicroscopy (VLE) is an advanced imaging system that provides a near-microscopic resolution scan of the esophageal wall layers up to 3-mm deep. VLE has the potential to improve detection of early neoplasia in Barrett's esophagus (BE). However, interpretation of VLE images is complex because of the large amount of data that need to be interpreted in real time. The aim of this study was to investigate the feasibility of a computer algorithm to identify early BE neoplasia on ex vivo VLE images. METHODS: We used 60 VLE images from a database of high-quality ex vivo VLE-histology correlations, obtained from BE patients ± neoplasia (30 nondysplastic BE [NDBE] and 30 high-grade dysplasia/early adenocarcinoma images). VLE features from a recently developed clinical VLE prediction score for BE neoplasia served as input for the algorithm: (1) higher VLE surface than subsurface signal and (2) lack of layering. With this input, novel clinically inspired algorithm features were developed, based on signal intensity statistics and grayscale correlations. For comparison, generic image analysis methods were examined for their performance to detect neoplasia. For classification of the images in the NDBE or neoplastic group, several machine learning methods were evaluated. Leave-1-out cross-validation was used for algorithm validation. RESULTS: Three novel clinically inspired algorithm features were developed. The feature "layering and signal decay statistics" showed the optimal performance compared with the other clinically features ("layering" and "signal intensity distribution") and generic image analyses methods, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of .95. Corresponding sensitivity and specificity were 90% and 93%, respectively. In addition, the algorithm showed a better performance than the clinical VLE prediction score (AUC .81). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study in which a computer algorithm for BE neoplasia was developed based on VLE images with direct histologic correlates. The algorithm showed good performance to detect BE neoplasia in ex vivo VLE images compared with the performance of a recently developed clinical VLE prediction score. This study suggests that an automatic detection algorithm has the potential to assist endoscopists in detecting early neoplasia on VLE. Future studies on in vivo VLE scans are needed to further validate the algorithm.