Clinicians' roles and necessary levels of understanding in the use of artificial intelligence: A qualitative interview study with German medical students.

BACKGROUND: Artificial intelligence-driven Clinical Decision Support Systems (AI-CDSS) are being increasingly introduced into various domains of health care for diagnostic, prognostic, therapeutic and other purposes. A significant part of the discourse on ethically appropriate conditions relate to the levels of understanding and explicability needed for ensuring responsible clinical decision-making when using AI-CDSS. Empirical evidence on stakeholders' viewpoints on these issues is scarce so far. The present study complements the empirical-ethical body of research by, on the one hand, investigating the requirements for understanding and explicability in depth with regard to the rationale behind them. On the other hand, it surveys medical students at the end of their studies as stakeholders, of whom little data is available so far, but for whom AI-CDSS will be an important part of their medical practice. METHODS: Fifteen semi-structured qualitative interviews (each lasting an average of 56 min) were conducted with German medical students to investigate their perspectives and attitudes on the use of AI-CDSS. The problem-centred interviews draw on two hypothetical case vignettes of AI-CDSS employed in nephrology and surgery. Interviewees' perceptions and convictions of their own clinical role and responsibilities in dealing with AI-CDSS were elicited as well as viewpoints on explicability as well as the necessary level of understanding and competencies needed on the clinicians' side. The qualitative data were analysed according to key principles of qualitative content analysis (Kuckartz). RESULTS: In response to the central question about the necessary understanding of AI-CDSS tools and the emergence of their outputs as well as the reasons for the requirements placed on them, two types of argumentation could be differentiated inductively from the interviewees' statements: the first type, the clinician as a systemic trustee (or "the one relying"), highlights that there needs to be empirical evidence and adequate approval processes that guarantee minimised harm and a clinical benefit from the employment of an AI-CDSS. Based on proof of these requirements, the use of an AI-CDSS would be appropriate, as according to "the one relying", clinicians should choose those measures that statistically cause the least harm. The second type, the clinician as an individual expert (or "the one controlling"), sets higher prerequisites that go beyond ensuring empirical evidence and adequate approval processes. These higher prerequisites relate to the clinician's necessary level of competence and understanding of how a specific AI-CDSS works and how to use it properly in order to evaluate its outputs and to mitigate potential risks for the individual patient. Both types are unified in their high esteem of evidence-based clinical practice and the need to communicate with the patient on the use of medical AI. However, the interviewees' different conceptions of the clinician's role and responsibilities cause them to have different requirements regarding the clinician's understanding and explicability of an AI-CDSS beyond the proof of benefit. CONCLUSIONS: The study results highlight two different types among (future) clinicians regarding their view of the necessary levels of understanding and competence. These findings should inform the debate on appropriate training programmes and professional standards (e.g. clinical practice guidelines) that enable the safe and effective clinical employment of AI-CDSS in various clinical fields. While current approaches search for appropriate minimum requirements of the necessary understanding and competence, the differences between (future) clinicians in terms of their information and understanding needs described here can lead to more differentiated approaches to solutions.

Patients with type 2 diabetes and surgical foot wounds: Overtrust in primary care physicians, isolation, and difficulties contemplating the future.

AIMS: In Europe, 27 % of patients with a podiatric complication of diabetes are referred to a specialized structure for surgery after more than 3 months' disease progression. Our study aimed to analyze access to healthcare and future self-projection in patients with severe diabetic foot conditions. METHODS: We performed a qualitative study with semi-structured interviews in patients hospitalized with diabetic foot conditions requiring surgical treatment. We collected quantitative data on the diabetes characteristics, levels of social precariousness, anxiety and depression. RESULTS: We conducted 13 interviews with 2 females and 11 males; mean age 62.7 years. Five had undergone surgical debridement, six toe amputation, and two mid-tarsal amputation. Most were socioeconomically deprived and/or isolated. Three discourse themes emerged: 1) heterogeneity in the care pathway, with systemic barriers, negligence or overtrust 2) relationship between social support and the ability to project oneself into the future, 3) poverty of speech. CONCLUSIONS: Education should emphasize the importance of prompt referral to a specialized structure after the onset of a wound. The lack of support from loved ones and social support appeared to be associated with patients' failure to plan for their future. We advocate for a psychological evaluation and support for all these patients.

A review of portal vein embolization prior to hepatic resection.

Primary and metastatic liver cancers are increasing in incidence, and the approaches with the longest survival are resection and transplantation. Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is the leading cause of mortality following liver resection. PHLF is largely due to liver insufficiency due to the insufficient size of the future liver remnant (FLR). In this review, we will describe portal vein embolization, which is a neoadjuvant therapy used to induce hypertrophy in the FLR before resection.

Interactions of the CSF3R polymorphism and early stress on future orientation: evidence for the differential model of stress-related growth.

AIMS: This study aims to explore the concept of future orientation, which encompasses individuals' thoughts about the future, goal-setting, planning, response to challenges and behavioural adjustments in evolving situations. Often viewed as a psychological resource, future orientation is believed to be developed from psychological resilience. The study investigates the curvilinear relationship between childhood maltreatment and future orientation while examining the moderating effects of genotype. METHODS: A total of 14,675 Chinese adults self-reported their experiences of childhood maltreatment and their future orientation. The influence of genetic polymorphism was evaluated through genome-wide interaction studies (GWIS; genome-wide association study [GWAS] using gene × environment interaction) and a candidate genes approach. RESULTS: Both GWAS and candidate genes analyses consistently indicated that rs4498771 and its linked single-nucleotide polymorphisms, located in the intergenic area surrounding CSF3R, significantly interacted with early trauma to influence future orientation. Nonlinear regression analyses identified a quadratic or cubic association between future orientation and childhood maltreatment across some genotypes. Specifically, as levels of childhood maltreatment increased, future orientation declined for all genotypes. However, upon reaching a certain threshold, future orientation exhibited a rebound in individuals with specific genotypes. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that individuals with certain genotypes exhibit greater resilience to childhood maltreatment. Based on these results, we propose a new threshold model of stress-related growth.

An anatomical analysis of liver volume and quality by ethnicity in a New Zealand population.

BACKGROUND: Post-hepatectomy liver failure is a major cause of mortality, where future liver remnant (FLR) is the key controllable factor. Recommended minimum FLR is influenced by quality of liver parenchyma. Historical research has often failed to include Maori and Pacific Island (PI) populations despite worse health outcomes. Liver analysis by ethnicity is one such example of this. The aims were to determine digital FLR for various anatomical hepatectomies, investigate any correlations between computed tomography (CT) hepatic textural analysis and body mass index (BMI); and assess the variance of these relationships for different ethnicities. METHOD: One hundred and fifty-one patients who underwent abdominal CT scans at Burwood Hospital, Christchurch were retrospectively analysed. Maori and PI patients were selectively recruited to represent New Zealand's diversity. Liver volumetry, segmental ratio, and intra-hepatic fat deposits (IHFD) per ethnicity were examined. RESULTS: Median age of the cohort was 66 (19-95) and 75 (50%) were males. 68%, 23% and 9% patients identified as being European, Maori/PI and Asian, respectively. No statistically significant difference in volume or segment/total volume ratio were noted across different ethnicities. Obese patients had higher IHFD compared with overweight and normal BMI groups. When stratified across ethnic groups, higher IHFD were observed in Asian compared with Maori/PI populations, despite lower BMI. CONCLUSION: No significant variances in liver volumetry were found across different ethnic groups in New Zealand. However association between BMI and IHFD varied across different ethnic cohorts. Consequently, knowledge of liver volumetry is not enough; patient liver quality and ethnicity should considered for hepatic-surgery planning.

[Working conditions in surgery and their impact : Results of a national survey]. / Arbeitsbedingungen in der Chirurgie und deren Auswirkungen : Ergebnisse einer nationalen Umfrage.

BACKGROUND: In surgical disciplines poor working conditions and a high level of dissatisfaction among surgeons in the various disciplines have been reported. The psychological consequences of these conditions on the surgeons themselves and the effects on their families have so far been inadequately considered. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this national survey of the Professional Association of German Surgery (Berufsverband der Deutschen Chirurgie e. V.) was to determine the current status of working conditions in surgical departments of German hospitals and to demonstrate their psychological and familial effects. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In the period January-February 2024 a questionnaire with 26 questions focusing on psychological stress, work-related partnership and family problems as well as addictive behavior was sent to all members of the Berufsverband der Deutschen Chirurgie e. V. and to all German surgical societies. RESULTS: A total of 2221 questionnaires could be analyzed. Among the survey participants, bureaucracy (84.4%) and inadequate compensation for overtime (68.1%) were seen as the main stress factors. Alcohol (20.3%), nicotine (8.9%) and medication (8.3%) were cited as ways of managing the workload. Of the surgeons 60% reported a negative impact on their relationship with their partner and 40% on their relationship with their children. DISCUSSION: The surgeons reported poor working conditions. These have a massive impact on the mental health of surgeons and on their family relationships. Consequently, many surgeons consider leaving the surgical profession. To improve this situation and to make the surgical profession attractive again, a drastic rethinking is needed.

Gastric Cancer in One-Anastomosis Mini-gastric Bypass: Case Report and Systematic Review.

In the last years, one-anastomosis gastric bypass (OAGB) has been proposed more frequently as obesity surgery technique. Several trials have demonstrated that the easier technical feasibility does not affect the long-term surgical result. However, concern about increased risk of gastric and esophageal cancers has been expressed by several bariatric surgeons. The present study reports the 2nd case of cancer of the gastrointestinal-jejunal anastomosis in a OAGB patient focusing the attention on some technical issues correlated and offering a systematic review of the literature.

Breast cancer survivorship care: a narrative review of challenges and future directions.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Breast cancer (BC) is the most prevalent cancer among women worldwide. With a growing number of BC survivors (BCSs), the number of survivors who require highquality survivorship care is increasing. Various recommendations have been proposed for survivorship care plans (SCPs). However, globally, limited progress has been made to implement these recommendations consistently in cancer care centers. This review explores the gaps and challenges that exist in BC survivorship care (BCSC) and proposes future directions for improving survivorship care for patients and the healthcare system. METHODS: Current literature on BCSC was searched using PubMed and Google Scholar. The search strategy utilized a combination of keywords related to BCSC, gaps in survivorship care, and health promotion. Retrievable and English articles from January 2000 to March 2024 were included in the review. KEY CONTENT AND FINDINGS: Despite the large number of guidelines and recommendations on best BCSC practices, only a small number of these have been translated into clinical practices that help streamline patient care. There are many gaps to the provision of high-quality survivorship care, all of which negatively affect patient outcomes. Some of these gaps include but are not limited to: the limited role of primary care providers (PCPs), lack of coordination of care, lack of evidence-based research, insufficient data on health promotion, and challenges implementing comprehensive care. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate the need for a holistic and personalized approach to BCSC. The importance of implementing a multi-disciplinary and coordinated approach to survivorship care has been emphasized. This includes further involvement of PCPs, through increased training for PCPs in survivorship care. Despite available models of survivorship care, further research is needed to determine optimal BCSC that improves patient outcomes while decreasing the strain on the healthcare system. Additionally, technology can play a beneficial role in survivorship care, especially through telehealth and artificial intelligence (AI). Nonetheless, further research is needed on BCSC.

A Comprehensive Review of Molecular Mechanisms, Pharmacokinetics, Toxicology and Plant Sources of Juglanin: Current Landscape and Future Perspectives.

Juglanin (kaempferol 3-O-α-L-arabinofuranoside) is a flavonol glycoside occurring in many plants, including its commercial sources Juglans regia, Polygonum aviculare and Selliguea hastata. Recent extensive studies have explored the potential of using juglanin in various pathological conditions, including cardiovascular disorders, central nervous and skeletal system disorders, metabolic syndrome, hepatic injury, and cancers. The results indicated a wide range of effects, like anti-inflammatory, anti-oxidant, anti-fibrotic, anti-thrombotic, anti-angiogenic, hepatoprotective, hypolipidemic, hypoglycemic, anti-apoptotic (normal cells), and pro-apoptotic (cancer cells). The health-promoting properties of juglanin can be attributed to its influence on many signaling pathways, associated with SIRT1, AMPK, Nrf2, STING, TLR4, MAPKs, NF-κB, AKT, JAK, and their downstream genes. This review primarily summarizes the current knowledge of molecular mechanisms, pharmacokinetics, biocompatibility, and human use safety of juglanin. In addition, the most promising new plant sources and other existing challenges and prospects have also been reviewed and discussed, aiming to provide direction and rationale for the further development and broader pharmaceutical application of juglanin.

Assessing and Charting the Future Path : Addressing the Decline of Brain Tumor Specialists in Korea - Insights from the Korea Brain Tumor Society (KBTS) Future Strategy Committee of 2023.

Objective: Although Republic of Korea is an advanced country in medical technology with a successful treatment rate for serious diseases, such as cancer, and has improved technology for highly difficult surgery, many excellent medical doctors and physicians are struggling due to the recent unreasonable medical environment. Specialization in brain tumor surgery also faces challenges in Republic of Korea, including low financial incentives, legal threats, and limited career prospects. In response, the Korea Brain Tumor Society (KBTS) formed the Future Strategy Committee to assess these obstacles and propose solutions. Methods: A survey was conducted among the KBTS members to understand their perceptions and concerns across different career stages. Results: The findings revealed a decline in interest among chief residents in brain tumor surgery, owing to limited job opportunities and income prospects. Neurosurgical fellows expressed neutral satisfaction but highlighted challenges, such as low patient numbers and income. Faculty members with varying levels of experience echoed similar concerns, emphasizing the need for improved financial incentives and job stability. Despite these challenges, the respondents expressed dedication to the field and suggested strategies for improvement. Conclusion: The KBTS outlines a vision that focuses on practical excellence, comprehensive research, professional education, responsibilities, and member satisfaction. Addressing these challenges requires collaborative efforts among healthcare institutions, professional societies, and policymakers to support brain tumor specialists and enhance patient care.

Comprehensive Review of Future Liver Remnant (FLR) Assessment and Hypertrophy Techniques Before Major Hepatectomy: How to Assess and Manage the FLR.

BACKGROUND: The regenerative capacities of the liver and improvements in surgical techniques have expanded the possibilities of resectability. Liver resection is often the only curative treatment for primary and secondary malignancies, despite the risk of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). This serious complication (with a 50% mortality rate) can be avoided by better assessment of liver volume and function of the future liver remnant (FLR). OBJECTIVE: The aim of this review was to understand and assess clinical, biological, and imaging predictors of PHLF risk, as well as the various hypertrophy techniques, to achieve an adequate FLR before hepatectomy. METHOD: We reviewed the state of the art in liver regeneration and FLR hypertrophy techniques. RESULTS: The use of new biological scores (such as the aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index + albumin-bilirubin [APRI+ALBI] score), concurrent utilization of 99mTc-mebrofenin scintigraphy (HBS), or dynamic hepatocyte contrast-enhanced MRI (DHCE-MRI) for liver volumetry helps predict the risk of PHLF. Besides portal vein embolization, there are other FLR optimization techniques that have their indications in case of risk of failure (e.g., associating liver partition and portal vein ligation for staged hepatectomy, liver venous deprivation) or in specific situations (transarterial radioembolization). CONCLUSION: There is a need to standardize volumetry and function measurement techniques, as well as FLR hypertrophy techniques, to limit the risk of PHLF.

Bicuspid Aortic Valve Disease: From Pathophysiology to Treatment.

The Bicuspid Aortic Valve (BAV) is the most common congenital anomaly in adults, with a global incidence of 1.3%. Despite being well documented, BAV presents significant clinical challenges due to its phenotypic heterogeneity, diverse clinical manifestations, and variable outcomes. Pathophysiologically, BAV differs from tricuspid valves in calcification patterns and hemodynamic effects, leading to increased shear stress and aortic root dilatation, while it is influenced by genetic and hemodynamic factors. This is why therapeutically, BAV presents challenges for both surgical and transcatheter interventions, with surgical approaches being traditionally preferred, especially when aortopathy is present. However, transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has emerged as a viable option, with studies showing comparable outcomes to surgery in selected patients, while advancements in TAVI and a better understanding of BAV's genetic and pathophysiological nuances are expanding treatment options. The choice between mechanical and bioprosthetic valves also presents considerations, particularly regarding long-term durability and the need for anticoagulation. Future research should focus on long-term registries and genetic studies to refine therapeutic strategies and improve patient outcomes. This review aims to evaluate current approaches in the surgical and interventional management of BAV, focusing on its anatomy, pathogenesis, pathophysiology, and therapeutic strategies.

Use of selective internal radiation therapy with yttrium-90 as a bridge to liver resection: a 5-year single-center experience.

BACKGROUND: Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) with yttrium-90 (Y-90) has been historically reserved for unresectable liver malignancy. Evidence is emerging for the use of SIRT to increase future liver remnant (FLR), allowing for the resection of previously inoperable disease. METHODS: This was a 5-year retrospective review of all patients undergoing SIRT with Y-90 at a tertiary institute. Patient demographics, clinicopathologic data, surgical details, and postoperative outcomes were reviewed. The primary outcome, safety of liver resection after SIRT, was evaluated with 90-day morbidity and mortality. RESULTS: A total of 134 SIRT procedures were performed on 113 patients. Post-SIRT complications occurred in 18 patients (15.9%), with a single 30-day mortality. In addition, 17 patients underwent SIRT with the intent to augment FLR for liver resection. After SIRT, mean hepatic mebrofenin extraction and FLR increased from 2.5%/min/m2 and 30.5% to 4.2%/min/m2 and 52.5% (P = .01 and P < .0001, respectively). Ten patients underwent resection, and there were 2 intraoperative complications. The median time from SIRT to resection was 5.2 months. The 90-day postoperative morbidity was 20% (n = 2), and complications were analyzed according to the Clavien-Dindo II classification scale. There was no 30-day or 90-day postoperative mortality. CONCLUSION: Post-SIRT liver resection is a challenging procedure with low postoperative mortality and morbidity.

Robotic donor hepatectomy for living donor liver transplantation.

Robotic donor hepatectomy introduces a new era in living donor liver transplantation (LDLT), combining advancements in minimally invasive surgery with superior precision and ergonomics. The beginning of LDLT in 1989 aimed to address the scarcity of deceased donor livers, a situation intensified by the technical and ethical challenges associated with this procedure. The integration of robotic systems since 2010s has broadened the scope and impact of liver transplantation, enhancing outcomes significantly for both donors and recipients. This review discusses the significant advancements in robotic surgery, the ongoing challenges such as cost and training needs, and the future toward global standardization and the integration of artificial intelligence. As this technology continues to evolve, it holds the potential to become the new global standard, ensuring safer procedures and enhanced outcomes for patients worldwide.

Future scenarios of palliative care in health system of Iran: a multi-method study.

Background: Paying attention to palliative care has accelerated in Iran in the last 10 years. Considering the trend of aging, increasing burden of chronic diseases and increasing health costs, planning and development of palliative care is necessary in the future. This study was conducted with the aim of explaining the alternative scenarios of palliative care in the health system of Iran until the horizon of 2030. Methods: This study was a multi-method scenario planning with a qualitative using multiple methods design, which was conducted in 3 phases in 2018-2020. In the first phase, a list of driving forces was extracted using qualitative interviews and literature review. In the second phase, all factors identified in the previous phase were examined in terms of degree of uncertainty and cross-impact analysis, and two key uncertainties were extracted. In the third phase, based on two key uncertainties, four future scenarios of palliative care were formulated, validated and scenario strategies were presented. Results: The results indicate two uncertainties, including "governance of palliative care in the health system" and "acceptance of palliative care by society," based on which, four scenarios with the names "climbing to the top," "excruciating climb," "edge of the abyss" and "The bottom of the valley" were compiled. Conclusion: The development of palliative care in health system of Iran is faced with serious uncertainties that it is necessary to focus the developmental activities of palliative care on the two axes of acceptance by society and need for coherent governance by considering all the dimensions and influential components by ministry of health. The application of the results of this research can provide reasonable options for effective interventions and implementation of this category of services to the beneficiaries of palliative care.

Which therapy in biliary tract cancer? Review of main concerns in diagnosis and choice of therapy in advanced setting, current standard, and new options.

The incidence of biliary tract cancer is increasing in developed countries and is generating renewed interest in the scientific community due to the evidence of a high percentage (approximately 40%) of potentially targetable molecular alterations. However, to date, patient selection and the development of therapeutic approaches remain challenging due to the need for accurate diagnosis, adequate sampling, a specialized team for molecular analysis, centralization of patients in high-volume centers capable of supporting the high cost of these methods, and the feasibility of clinical studies on diseases with aggressive onset and poor prognosis. In this article, we would like to provide a detailed overview of the necessary tools for diagnostic framing and the various therapeutic scenarios being investigated concerning the most frequently detected molecular alterations.

Non-cosmetic use of botulinum toxin in surgical conditions.

Botulinum toxin (BTX) is a neurotoxin that has an ability to create a fully reversible relaxation of muscles through decreased release of acethylcholin. It also has an effect on the cholinergic autoimmune nervous system, and it can reduce pain sensitization. BTX is widely used in cosmetic treatments. In recent years, BTX has increasingly been used to treat several medical and surgical conditions. In many cases, this is despite weak evidence and without approval from the European Medicine Agency (EMA). This narrative review describes how BTX is used in the different surgical specialties and provides a brief overview of the use of BTX for non-cosmetic surgical conditions.

Does Real Option Value Influence Oncologists' Treatment Recommendations? A Survey of US Oncologists.

OBJECTIVES: Survival benefit from anticancer treatments, even if modest, improves a patient's chances of accessing future innovations, thereby creating real option value. There is no empirical evidence on the impact of potential future innovations on oncologists' treatment recommendations. METHODS: We conducted a national online survey of practicing medical and hematological oncologists. We presented a hypothetical metastatic cancer patient with median survival of 6 months under 4 decision-making scenarios with varying expected efficacy and time to arrival of future innovations. We assessed the likelihood of discussing future innovations with their patients and the likelihood that future innovations would influence their current treatment recommendation, as well as factors associated with these 2 outcomes using multivariate logistic regressions. RESULTS: A total of 201 oncologists completed the survey. When future innovations were expected to improve survival by 6 months and be available in 6 months, 76% of oncologists were likely or very likely to discuss the innovations with their patients, and 68% reported they would influence their current treatment recommendations. A 1-month increase in the expected survival improvement of future innovation was associated with a 1.17 greater odds (95% CI 1.1-1.25) of reporting likely or very likely to discuss future innovations with their patients, whereas a 1-month increase in the expected time to arrival was associated with a 0.91 lower odds (95% CI 0.88-0.94). CONCLUSIONS: Given that potential future innovations seem to influence oncologists' treatments recommendations, evidence to inform clinical guidelines and value assessments should consider data on real option value impacts to support informed treatment decision making.

Far-infrared radiation and its therapeutic parameters: A superior alternative for future regenerative medicine?

In future regenerative medicine, far-infrared radiation (FIR) may be an essential component of optical therapy. Many studies have confirmed or validated the efficacy and safety of FIR in various diseases, benefiting from new insights into FIR mechanisms and the excellent performance of many applications. However, the lack of consensus on the biological effects and therapeutic parameters of FIR limits its practical applications in the clinic. In this review, the definition, characteristics, and underlying principles of the FIR are systematically illustrated. We outline the therapeutic parameters of FIR, including the wavelength range, power density, irradiation time, and distance. In addition, the biological effects, potential molecular mechanisms, and preclinical and clinical applications of FIR are discussed. Furthermore, the future development and applications of FIR are described in this review. By applying optimal therapeutic parameters, FIR can influence various cells, animal models, and patients, eliciting diverse underlying mechanisms and offering therapeutic potential for many diseases. FIR could represent a superior alternative with broad prospects for application in future regenerative medicine.

Range dynamics of Anopheles mosquitoes in Africa suggest a significant increase in the malaria transmission risk.

Despite a more than 100-year effort to combat malaria, it remains one of the most malignant infectious diseases globally, especially in Africa. Malaria is transmitted by several Anopheles mosquitoes. However, until now few studies have investigated future range dynamics of major An. mosquitoes in Africa through a unified scheme. Through a unified scheme, we developed 21 species distribution models to predict the range dynamics of 21 major An. species in Africa under future scenarios and also examined their overall range dynamic patterns mainly through suitability overlap index and range overlap index. Although future range dynamics varied substantially among the 21 An. species, we predicted large future range expansions for all 21 An. species, and increases in suitability overlap index were detected in more than 90% of the African continent for all future scenarios. Additionally, we predicted high range overlap index in West Africa, East Africa, South Sudan, Angola, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo under future scenarios. Although the relative impacts of land use, topography and climate variables on the range dynamics depended on species and spatial scale, climate played the strongest roles in the range dynamics of most species. Africa might face an increasing risk of malaria transmissions in the future, and better strategies are required to address this problem. Mitigating climate change and human disturbance of natural ecosystems might be essential to reduce the proliferation of An. species and the risk of malaria transmissions in Africa in the future. Our strategies against their impacts should be species-specific.