Personalizing age of gastric cancer screening based on comorbidity in China: Model estimates of benefits, affordability and cost-effectiveness optimization.

The benefits of gastric cancer screening are related to age and comorbidity status, but reliable estimates are lacking in China. This study aimed to estimate the benefits and affordability of the gastric cancer screening strategy by level of comorbidity to inform decisions to screening age. We assessed six current gastric cancer screening strategies in China using a microsimulation model with different starting and stopping ages and comorbidity profiles, for a total of 378 strategies. 1,000,000 individuals were simulated in the model and followed the alternative strategies. Primary outcomes included gastric cancer incidence, the number of endoscopy and complications, life-years, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Future costs and QALYs are discounted by 5% per year. Sensitivity analyses were used to evaluate model uncertainty. Strategies with longer screening durations were associated with higher benefits of life-year gained and gastric cancer deaths averted, but were also accompanied by a large number of endoscopy screening, and complication events. Using the threshold of US$18,575 per QALY gained, at the no, moderate, and severe comorbidity level, the leading cost-effectiveness strategies were the new gastric cancer screening scoring system strategy (NGCS) screening from age 40 years to 60 years (40-60), 40-55-NGCS, and 40-55-NGCS strategy, respectively. The results are robust in sensitivity analyses. Our study illustrates the importance of considering comorbidity conditions and age when determining the starting and stopping screening age for gastric cancer and informs the discussion on personalizing decisions. The trade-off between benefits and harms can also be referenced when necessary.

Colorectal cancer screening at age 45 years in Israel: Cost-effectiveness and global implications.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence at ages <50 years is increasing worldwide. Screening initiation was lowered to 45 years in the United States. The cost-effectiveness of initiating CRC screening at 45 years in Israel was assessed with the aim of informing national policy and addressing internationally relevant questions. METHODS: A validated CRC screening model was calibrated to Israeli data and examined annual fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) or colonoscopy every 10 years from 45 to 74 years (FIT45-74 or Colo45-74) versus from 50 to 74 years (FIT50-74 or Colo50-74). The addition of a fourth colonoscopy at 75 years was explored, subanalyses were performed by sex/ethnicity, and resource demands were estimated. RESULTS: FIT50-74 and Colo50-74 reduced CRC incidence by 57% and 70% and mortality by 70% and 77%, respectively, versus no screening, with greater absolute impact in Jews/Other versus Arabs but comparable relative impact. FIT45-74 further reduced CRC incidence and mortality by an absolute 3% and 2%, respectively. With Colo45-74 versus Colo50-74, CRC cases and deaths increased slightly as three colonoscopies per lifetime shifted to 5 years earlier but mean quality-adjusted life-years gained (QALYGs) per person increased. FIT45-74 and Colo45-74 cost 23,800-53,900 new Israeli shekels (NIS)/QALYG and 110,600-162,700 NIS/QALYG, with the lowest and highest values among Jewish/Other men and Arab women, respectively. A fourth lifetime colonoscopy cost 48,700 NIS/QALYG. Lowering FIT initiation to 45 years with modest participation required 19,300 additional colonoscopies in the first 3 years. CONCLUSIONS: Beginning CRC screening at 45 years in Israel is projected to yield modest clinical benefits at acceptable costs per QALYG. Despite different estimates by sex/ethnicity, a uniform national policy is favored. These findings can inform Israeli guidelines and serve as a case study internationally.

Screening Beyond the Evidence: Patterns of Age and Comorbidity for Breast, Cervical, and Colorectal Cancer Screening.

BACKGROUND: Little evidence exists to guide continuation of screening beyond the recommended ages of national guidelines for breast, cervical, and colorectal cancers, although increasing age and comorbidity burden is likely to reduce the screening benefit of lower mortality. OBJECTIVE: Characterize screening after recommended stopping ages, by age and comorbidities in a large, diverse sample. DESIGN: Serial cross-sectional. PARTICIPANTS: All individuals in the PROSPR-I consortium cohorts from 75 to 89 years of age for breast cancer screening, 66-89 years of age for cervical cancer screening, and 76-89 years of age for colorectal cancer screening from 2011 to 2013. The lower age thresholds were based on the guidelines for each respective cancer type. MAIN MEASURES: Proportion of annual screening by cancer type in relation to age and Charlson comorbidity score and median years of screening past guideline age. We estimated the likelihood of screening past the guideline-based age as a function of age and comorbidity using logistic regression. KEY RESULTS: The study cohorts included individuals screening for breast (n = 33,475); cervical (n = 459,318); and colorectal (n = 556,356) cancers. In the year following aging out, approximately 30% of the population was screened for breast cancer, 2% of the population was screened for cervical, and almost 5% for colorectal cancer. The median number of years screened past the guideline-based recommendation was 5, 3, and 4 for breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer, respectively. Of those screening > 10 years past the guideline-based age,15%, 46%, and 25% had ≥ 3 comorbidities respectively. Colorectal cancer screening had the smallest decline in the likelihood of screening beyond the age-based recommendation. CONCLUSIONS: The odds of screening past guideline-based age decreased with comorbidity burden for breast and cervical cancer screening but not for colorectal. These findings suggest the need to evaluate shared decision tools to help patients understand whether screening is appropriate and to generate more evidence in older populations.

The accuracy of the FIT in detecting advanced neoplasm is highest in young people aged 40 to 49 years: an analysis based on sex and age.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers and is associated with high incidence and mortality rates worldwide. CRC has caused a tremendous loss of human health and wealth. The incidence and mortality of colorectal carcinoma are increasing in young adults. Early cancer detection and prevention are made possible through screening. At present, the faecal immunochemical test (FIT) is a noninvasive method that can be used for the large-scale clinical screening of CRC status. Therefore, this study, based on CRC screening results in Tianjin from 2012 to 2020, was conducted to analyse the major differences in diagnostic performance parameters according to sex and age. METHODS: This study was based on 39,991 colonoscopies performed for individuals in the Tianjin CRC screening program from 2012 to 2020. Of these individuals, they had complete FIT and colonoscopy results. The differences in FIT results were analysed by sex and age. RESULTS: According to this study, males were generally more likely to develop advanced neoplasms (ANs) than females, and the prevalence increased with age. Males with negative FIT results were more likely to have advanced neoplasms than females with positive results. The accuracy of the FIT in detecting ANs in each age group was 54.9%, 45.5%, 48.6% and 49.5% in the 40-49, 50-59, 60-69, and ≥ 70 age groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The FIT detected ANs with highest accuracy in the 40-49 age group. Our research can provide guidance to formulate CRC screening strategies.

Commencing colorectal cancer screening at age 45 years in U.S. racial groups.

Screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) is cost-effective for reducing its mortality among the average-risk population. In the US, CRC incidence and mortality differ among racial/ethnic groups, with non-Hispanic Blacks (NHB) and American Indian/Alaska Natives showing highest incidence and mortality and earlier presentation. Since 2005, some professional societies have recommended CRC screening for NHB to commence at 45 years or earlier; this was not implemented due to lack of recommendation from key groups that influence insurance payment coverage. In 2017 the highly influential U.S. Multi-Society Task Force for Colorectal Cancer recommended screening to commence at 45 years for NHB; this recommendation was supplanted by data showing an increase in early-onset CRCs in non-Hispanic Whites approaching the under-50-year rates observed for NHB. Subsequently the American Cancer Society and the USPSTF recommended that the entire average-risk population move to commence CRC screening at 45 years. Implementing screening in 45-49-year-olds has its challenges as younger groups compared with older groups participate less in preventive care. The US had made extensive progress pre-COVID-19 in closing the disparity gap for CRC screening in NHB above age 50 years; implementing screening at younger ages will take ingenuity, foresight, and creative strategy to reach a broader-aged population while preventing widening the screening disparity gap. Approaches such as navigation for non-invasive and minimally invasive CRC screening tests, removal of financial barriers such as co-pays, and complete follow up to abnormal non-invasive screening tests will need to become the norm for broad implementation and success across all racial/ethnic groups.

The effect of age On cervical cancer screening in women aged 20-29.

No definite consensus exists currently regarding the appropriate age at which to start cervical cancer screening. We analyzed the effectiveness of age in abnormal histology outcomes in women aged 20-29. Data on women aged 20-29 having undergone opportunistic cervical cancer screening with cytology during the 2014-2019 period were retrospectively reviewed. Based on cytology outcomes, human papillomavirus test results (if present), age and clinical decision, patients underwent either colposcopy or observation. The effects of age and other epidemiologic factors on histologic diagnoses of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) or cancer [CIN (+)] were analyzed in univariate and binomial logistic regression analyses. Among 1649 women, CIN (+) lesions were observed in 61 (3.7%) women. The occurrence of CIN (+) lesions increased 1.149 times each year; thus, women aged 25-29 were more likely to have CIN (+) than those aged 20-24 (4.4% vs. 2.1%; p=0.019). A significant determinant of CIN (+) was the increase in age, i.e. women aged 20-29. Accordingly, considering age is crucial for the diagnosis of CIN (+) in cancer screening.