d-dimer Level as a Predictor of Recurrent Stroke in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source.

Background and Purpose: This study aimed to investigate the value of d-dimer levels in predicting recurrent stroke in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. We also evaluated the underlying causes of recurrent stroke according to d-dimer levels. Methods: A total of 1431 patients with undetermined source were enrolled in this study and divided into quartiles according to their baseline plasma d-dimer levels. The primary outcome measure was the occurrence of recurrent stroke (ischemic or hemorrhagic) in the year following the stroke event. Results: The risk of recurrent stroke increased significantly with the increasing d-dimer quartile (log-rank P=0.001). Patients in the higher d-dimer quartiles had a higher probability of recurrent embolic stroke because of covert atrial fibrillation, hidden malignancy, or undetermined sources. Most recurrent strokes in Q3 and Q4 were embolic but not in Q1 or Q2. Multivariate analysis revealed that patients in Q3 and Q4 had a significantly increased risk of recurrent stroke compared with those in Q1 (hazard ratio, 3.12 [95% CI, 1.07−9.07], P=0.036; hazard ratio, 7.29 [95% CI, 2.59−20.52], P<0.001, respectively; Ptrend<0.001). Binary analyses showed a significant association between a high d-dimer level above normal range and the risk of recurrent stroke (hazard ratio, 2.48 [95% CI, 1.31−4.70], P=0.005). In subgroup analyses, a high d-dimer level was associated with a significantly higher risk of recurrent stroke in men than in women (P=0.039). Conclusions: Our findings suggest that d-dimer levels can be a useful risk assessment biomarker for predicting recurrent stroke, especially embolic ischemic stroke, in patients with undetermined source.

The Utility of the Markers of Coagulation and Hemostatic Activation Profile in the Management of Embolic Strokes of Undetermined Source.

BACKGROUND: Potential causes of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) include occult malignancy, venous thrombosis (VTE) with paradoxical embolism, and hypercoagulable disorders. Given the association of markers of coagulation and hemostatic activation (MOCHA) with these causes, the objective of this study was to validate the utility of the MOCHA profile in identifying the underlying cause of stroke. METHODS: We prospectively identified ESUS patients from January 1, 2017 to December 1, 2019 who underwent MOCHA profile (plasma d-dimer, prothrombin fragment 1.2, thrombin-antithrombin complex, fibrin monomer) testing. Abnormal MOCHA profile was defined as ≥ 2 abnormal markers. New diagnoses of malignancy, VTE, hypercoagulable disorders and recurrent stroke were identified during routine clinical follow-up. RESULTS: Of 236 ESUS patients, 104 (44%) patients had an abnormal MOCHA profile. In multivariable analyses the number of MOCHA abnormalities was significantly associated with malignancy, VTE, and hypercoagulable disorders (OR 2.59, CI 95% 1.78-3.76, p<0.001). Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of an abnormal MOCHA profile for the combined outcome of malignancy, VTE, and hypercoagulability was 96%, 62%, 23%, and 99% respectively. DISCUSSION: The MOCHA profile was able to identify ESUS patients more likely to have malignancy, VTE, and hypercoagulable disorders during follow-up. Our results show that a normal MOCHA profile in ESUS patients can effectively rule out these potential causes of ESUS.