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1.
Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) ; 15: 1433930, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39381444

RESUMO

Objective: While infertility affects about 15% of women during their reproductive years, its long-term impact on stroke mortality after this period remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the association between infertility and stroke mortality in women using data from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian (PLCO) cancer screening trial. Methods: We analyzed data from 75,778 female participants aged 55-74 years with a median follow-up of 16.84 years. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for stroke mortality, adjusting for potential confounders. Results: Among participants, 14.53% reported infertility. During follow-up, 1,159 women died from stroke. Compared to women without infertility, those with infertility had a higher risk of stroke mortality (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.04-1.41, p = 0.016). This association remained statistically significant after adjusting for age, race, education level, marital status, smoking status, body mass index, history of hypertension, history of heart attack, history of diabetes mellitus, birth control pill use, hormone replacement therapy, endometriosis, first menstrual period and pregnancy history (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.02-1.42, p = 0.029). Sensitivity and subgroup analyses yielded consistent results. Conclusion: The findings of this study indicate that infertility is associated with an increased risk of stroke mortality in women. Further research is needed to confirm these findings and elucidate the underlying mechanisms.


Assuntos
Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Infertilidade Feminina , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/mortalidade , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Idoso , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Infertilidade Feminina/mortalidade , Infertilidade Feminina/complicações , Fatores de Risco , Seguimentos , Neoplasias Colorretais/mortalidade , Neoplasias Colorretais/complicações , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico
2.
Neurology ; 103(10): e209990, 2024 Nov 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39442069

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Mounting evidence points to a strong connection between cardiovascular risk during middle age and brain health later in life. The American Heart Association's Life's Essential 8 (LE8) constitutes a research and public health construct capturing key determinants of cardiovascular health. However, the overall effect of the LE8 on global, clinically relevant metrics of brain health is still unknown. We tested the hypothesis that worse LE8 profiles are associated with higher composite risk of the most important clinical endpoints related to poor brain health. METHODS: We conducted a two-stage (discovery and replication) prospective study using data from the UK Biobank (UKB) and All of Us (AoU), 2 large population studies in the United Kingdom and the United States, respectively. The primary exposure was the LE8 score, a validated tool that captures 8 modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (blood pressure, glucose, cholesterol, body mass index, smoking, physical activity, diet, and sleep duration), organized in 3 categories (optimal, intermediate, and poor). The primary outcome was a composite of stroke, dementia, or late-life depression. We evaluated associations using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: The discovery stage included 316,127 UKB participants (mean age 56, 52% female). Over a mean (SD) follow-up time of 4.9 (0.4) years, the unadjusted risk of the composite outcome was 0.7% (95% CI 0.61-0.74), 1.2% (95% CI 1.11-1.22), and 1.8% (95% CI 1.70-1.91) in participants with optimal, intermediate, and poor cardiovascular health, respectively (p < 0.001). This association remained significant in multivariable Cox models (intermediate vs optimal cardiovascular health hazard ratio [HR], 1.37; 95% CI 1.24-1.52, and poor vs optimal cardiovascular health HR, 2.11; 95% CI 1.88-2.36, p trend <0.001). The replication stage included 68,407 AoU participants (mean age 56, 60% female). Over a mean (SD) follow-up time of 2.9 (1.41) years, the unadjusted risk of the composite outcome was 2.8% (95% CI 2.49-3.05), 6% (95% CI 5.76-6.22), and 9.7% (95% CI 9.24-10.24) in participants with optimal, intermediate, and poor cardiovascular health, respectively (p < 0.001). This association remained significant in multivariable Cox models (intermediate vs optimal cardiovascular health, HR 1.35; 95% CI 1.21-1.51, and poor vs optimal cardiovascular health, HR 1.94; 95% CI 1.72-2.18; p trend <0.001). DISCUSSION: Among middle-aged adults enrolled in 2 large population studies, poor cardiovascular health profiles were associated with two-fold higher risk of developing a composite outcome that captures the most important diseases related to poor brain health. Because the evaluated risk factors are all modifiable, our findings highlight the potential brain health benefits of using the Life's Essential 8 to guide cardiovascular health optimization.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Demência/epidemiologia , Idoso , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Depressão/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco de Doenças Cardíacas , Fatores de Risco , Encéfalo
3.
PLoS One ; 19(10): e0310309, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39356681

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Stroke is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide. In India, it is the fourth leading cause of death and fifth leading cause of disability, posing a major public health concern. National surveys reveal an increasing trend in stroke risk factors such as tobacco use, physical activity, alcohol use, hypertension, and dyslipidemia. However, knowledge regarding the combined effect of these risk factors and their various combinations is limited. Understanding the individual, combined, and synergistic effects of known risk factors, along with new risk factors, is essential to address gaps in stroke epidemiology. This study aims to examine the effect of various risk factors of acute stroke and their association with stroke occurrence and its outcomes (survival, disability and quality of life). METHODS: This retrospective-prospective cohort will be conducted in one taluka of Kolara district and two urban wards of Bengaluru with a total population of ~400,000. All stroke-free individuals above 30 years of age ~200,000 individuals in the selected sites will be participants of stroke-free period and all first ever stroke patients in the community will be part of stroke and post-stroke period respectively. The study subjects will be recruited through a complete house-to-house survey at baseline and undergo annual follow-ups during the stroke-free period, with specific assessments at defined time points during the stroke and post-stroke period for a period of one year. Efforts are implemented to minimize loss to follow-up, including community engagement, a helpline number, and hospital-based surveillance. DISCUSSION: This large population-based cohort study addressing stroke epidemiology in the country, is one -of-its-kind, attempting to fill certain critical gaps in the natural history, management, and outcomes of stroke in India. This research has the potential to provide important insights into the effect of novel risk factors of stroke and various combinations of risk factors of stroke. Furthermore, the development of a stroke risk predictability calculator will add value to the existing Indian National Programme for Prevention & Control of Non-Communicable Diseases (NP-NCD) and offers a model for similar countries once developed.


Assuntos
Qualidade de Vida , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Estudos Prospectivos , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos de Coortes , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Idoso
4.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord ; 24(1): 601, 2024 Oct 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39468444

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Few studies describe the use of the Post-Stroke Checklist (PSC) as a tool for longitudinal stroke follow-up in clinical practice. We mapped the prevalence of stroke-related health problems and targeted interventions at 3 and 12 months post-stroke by using the PSC. METHODS: Patients with acute stroke discharged home in 2018-2019 at Skåne University Hospital, Sweden, were invited to participate in a comprehensive nurse-led follow-up based on a 14-item PSC 3 and 12 months post-stroke. We measured time consumption, screened for stroke-related health problems, compared the findings, and recorded targeted healthcare interventions. Problems at 12 months were grouped into new, persistent, or none compared to the 3-month evaluation. RESULTS: Of 200 consecutively included patients, 146 (77%) completed both the 3- and 12-month follow-ups. At 12-month follow-up, 36% of patients reported no stroke-related health problems, 24% reported persistent problems, and 40% reported new problems since the 3-month evaluation. New problems at 12 months were most common within the domains: secondary prevention (23%) and life after stroke (10%). Stroke recurrence rate was 7.5%, 43% had high blood pressure, and few smokers had quit smoking. At 12 months, 53% received at least one new healthcare intervention, compared to 84% at 3 months. CONCLUSIONS: Stroke-related health problems decreased beyond 3 months but were still present in two-thirds of patients at 1 year. This emphasizes the relevance of continuous structured follow-up using the PCS. However, the follow-up alone was insufficient to adequately achieve treatment targets for secondary prevention, which require intensified focus. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT04295226, (04/03/2020).


Assuntos
Lista de Checagem , Recidiva , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Idoso , Suécia/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/terapia , Fatores de Tempo , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Fatores de Risco , Estudos Longitudinais , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prevenção Secundária , Resultado do Tratamento , Prevalência , Reabilitação do Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Nível de Saúde
5.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 24400, 2024 10 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39420039

RESUMO

The safety and efficacy of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination in patients diagnosed with Moyamoya disease (MMD) have not been established. Using National Health Insurance Service data, this study analyzed the occurrence of stroke-related events and mortality following COVID-19 vaccination among patients diagnosed with MMD from 2008 to 2020. Among 10,297 MMD patients, 296 (2.9%) experienced events and 175 (1.7%) died in 2021. Significant risk factors for events included ages 50-59 (Odds Ratio [OR] 3.29; P = 0.022) and 60 or above (OR 5.20; P = 0.001) (reference group: age in 20s), low BMI (OR 2.00; P = 0.011), previous stroke (OR 1.96; P < 0.001), and COVID-19 infection (OR 2.28; P = 0.034). Female (OR 0.64 [95% CI 0.50-0.82]; p = 0.011), revascularization surgery (RS) (OR 0.38 [95% CI 0.21-0.70]; p < 0.001), and vaccination (OR 0.17 [95% CI 0.13-0.22]; p < 0.001) were associated with reduced odds of stroke-related events. For mortality, significant risks were age over 60 (OR 7.09; P = 0.008), low BMI (OR 3.87; P = 0.001), and prior stroke (OR 1.74; p = 0.004), while being female, RS (OR 0.41; P = 0.022), and vaccination (OR 0.12; P < 0.001) were associated with a lower frequency of mortality. mRNA vaccines were associated with a significantly lower incidence of events, mortality, and COVID-19 infections compared to vector vaccines. COVID-19 vaccination is linked to reduced stroke-related events and mortality in MMD patients, with mRNA vaccines showing a significantly lower incidence compared to vector vaccines. COVID-19 infection raises the risk of events, underscoring the benefit of vaccination.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Doença de Moyamoya , Vacinação , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vacinas contra COVID-19/efeitos adversos , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Adulto , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Idoso , Fatores de Risco , Adulto Jovem , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Adolescente
6.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 22640, 2024 09 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39349946

RESUMO

Stroke remains a critical global health issue, significantly impacting India with substantial contributions to mortality and disability. This study comprehensively analyses stroke incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) across India from 1990 to 2021, using the latest Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 data. We evaluate how Universal Health Coverage (UHC), health expenditure, human development index (HDI), and gross national income (GNI) influence stroke outcomes. Our findings reveal significant regional disparities, with higher stroke rates in urban areas and states like Goa and Kerala. Higher health expenditure and HDI are linked to lower stroke rates, while higher GNI per capita correlates with increased stroke incidence, likely due to lifestyle changes. Risk factors include air pollution, tobacco use, dietary risks, and high blood pressure. Air pollution notably impacts stroke mortality in Bihar and Jharkhand, while tobacco use is a major risk factor in Mizoram and Manipur. Dietary risks and hypertension are prevalent in Maharashtra and Jammu & Kashmir. The study highlights the need for targeted public health strategies addressing regional disparities and socioeconomic factors. Policymakers should focus on lifestyle modification programs, public awareness campaigns, and enhanced access to quality stroke care to reduce stroke-related morbidity and mortality effectively.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Índia/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Feminino , Masculino , Incidência , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Deficiência , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Idoso , Adulto , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos
7.
PLoS One ; 19(9): e0286845, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39226314

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Stroke is a non-communicable disease that causes sudden global or focal neurological disorders. It is one of the major public causes of morbidity and mortality in low- and middle-income countries, including Ethiopia. Early identification of the determinants and prompt intervention remains critical to reduce morbidity and mortality from stroke. OBJECTIVE: The study aimed to identify determinants of stroke among adult hypertensive patients on follow up in Addis Ababa public hospitals, Ethiopia. METHODS: Unmatched case-control study design was conducted among 326(109 cases and 217 controls) study participants in Addis Ababa public hospitals from September 1-30, 2021. The cases were adult hypertensive patients who developed a stroke and the controls were adult hypertensive patients. The study participants were selected by consecutive sampling technique. Pretested structured interviewer assisted questionnaire and checklist were used to collect data. Data were entered into Epi data version 3.1; exported and analysed by SPSS version 23. All independent variables with p-value < 0.25 in the bi-variable logistic regression analysis were entered into multivariable logistic regression analysis. Finally, variables with p-value <0.05 were considered as determinants of the stroke. RESULTS: In this study, current cigarette smoker(AOR = 5.55, 95% CI: 2.48, 12.43), current alcohol drinker(AOR = 4.27, 95% CI: 1.94, 9.38), medication non-compliance(AOR = 3.23, 95% CI: 1.62, 6.44), uncontrolled systolic blood pressure (AOR = 3.42, 95% CI: 1.64, 7.16), uncontrolled diastolic blood pressure(AOR = 4.29, 95% CI: 2.06, 8.93), high low density lipoprotein(AOR = 6.89, 95% CI: 3.57, 13.35) and diabetic mellitus(AOR = 3.25, 95% CI: 1.58, 6.69) were more likely to develop a stroke. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION: Cigarette smoking, alcohol use, non-adherence to medication, uncontrolled systolic pressure, uncontrolled diastolic blood pressure, high low-density lipoprotein, and diabetic mellitus were determinants of stroke. Providing health education about lifestyle changes and the consequences of hypertension at all follow-up is very important.


Assuntos
Hospitais Públicos , Hipertensão , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Etiópia/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/complicações , Feminino , Masculino , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Fatores de Risco , Seguimentos , Idoso , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/efeitos adversos , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/epidemiologia
8.
J Korean Med Sci ; 39(34): e278, 2024 Sep 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39228188

RESUMO

This report presents the latest statistics on the stroke population in South Korea, sourced from the Clinical Research Collaborations for Stroke in Korea-National Institute for Health (CRCS-K-NIH), a comprehensive, nationwide, multicenter stroke registry. The Korean cohort, unlike western populations, shows a male-to-female ratio of 1.5, attributed to lower risk factors in Korean women. The average ages for men and women are 67 and 73 years, respectively. Hypertension is the most common risk factor (67%), consistent with global trends, but there is a higher prevalence of diabetes (35%) and smoking (21%). The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (19%) is lower than in western populations, suggesting effective prevention strategies in the general population. A high incidence of large artery atherosclerosis (38%) is observed, likely due to prevalent intracranial arterial disease in East Asians and advanced imaging techniques. There has been a decrease in intravenous thrombolysis rates, from 12% in 2017-2019 to 10% in 2021, with no improvements in door-to-needle and door-to-puncture times, worsened by the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. While the use of aspirin plus clopidogrel for non-cardioembolic stroke and direct oral anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation is well-established, the application of direct oral anticoagulants for non-atrial fibrillation cardioembolic strokes in the acute phase requires further research. The incidence of early neurological deterioration (13%) and the cumulative incidence of recurrent stroke at 3 months (3%) align with global figures. Favorable outcomes at 3 months (63%) are comparable internationally, yet the lack of improvement in dependency at 3 months highlights the need for advancements in acute stroke care.


Assuntos
Ataque Isquêmico Transitório , AVC Isquêmico , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , Feminino , Ataque Isquêmico Transitório/epidemiologia , AVC Isquêmico/epidemiologia , Masculino , Idoso , Fatores de Risco , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Incidência , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , SARS-CoV-2 , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/complicações , Prevalência
9.
Lancet Neurol ; 23(10): 973-1003, 2024 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39304265

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Up-to-date estimates of stroke burden and attributable risks and their trends at global, regional, and national levels are essential for evidence-based health care, prevention, and resource allocation planning. We aimed to provide such estimates for the period 1990-2021. METHODS: We estimated incidence, prevalence, death, and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) counts and age-standardised rates per 100 000 people per year for overall stroke, ischaemic stroke, intracerebral haemorrhage, and subarachnoid haemorrhage, for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2021. We also calculated burden of stroke attributable to 23 risk factors and six risk clusters (air pollution, tobacco smoking, behavioural, dietary, environmental, and metabolic risks) at the global and regional levels (21 GBD regions and Socio-demographic Index [SDI] quintiles), using the standard GBD methodology. 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for each individual future estimate were derived from the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of distributions generated from propagating 500 draws through the multistage computational pipeline. FINDINGS: In 2021, stroke was the third most common GBD level 3 cause of death (7·3 million [95% UI 6·6-7·8] deaths; 10·7% [9·8-11·3] of all deaths) after ischaemic heart disease and COVID-19, and the fourth most common cause of DALYs (160·5 million [147·8-171·6] DALYs; 5·6% [5·0-6·1] of all DALYs). In 2021, there were 93·8 million (89·0-99·3) prevalent and 11·9 million (10·7-13·2) incident strokes. We found disparities in stroke burden and risk factors by GBD region, country or territory, and SDI, as well as a stagnation in the reduction of incidence from 2015 onwards, and even some increases in the stroke incidence, death, prevalence, and DALY rates in southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania, countries with lower SDI, and people younger than 70 years. Globally, ischaemic stroke constituted 65·3% (62·4-67·7), intracerebral haemorrhage constituted 28·8% (28·3-28·8), and subarachnoid haemorrhage constituted 5·8% (5·7-6·0) of incident strokes. There were substantial increases in DALYs attributable to high BMI (88·2% [53·4-117·7]), high ambient temperature (72·4% [51·1 to 179·5]), high fasting plasma glucose (32·1% [26·7-38·1]), diet high in sugar-sweetened beverages (23·4% [12·7-35·7]), low physical activity (11·3% [1·8-34·9]), high systolic blood pressure (6·7% [2·5-11·6]), lead exposure (6·5% [4·5-11·2]), and diet low in omega-6 polyunsaturated fatty acids (5·3% [0·5-10·5]). INTERPRETATION: Stroke burden has increased from 1990 to 2021, and the contribution of several risk factors has also increased. Effective, accessible, and affordable measures to improve stroke surveillance, prevention (with the emphasis on blood pressure, lifestyle, and environmental factors), acute care, and rehabilitation need to be urgently implemented across all countries to reduce stroke burden. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Saúde Global , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Deficiência , Incidência , Prevalência , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Masculino , Feminino
10.
J Cardiothorac Surg ; 19(1): 518, 2024 Sep 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39252115

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Stroke is a potentially debilitating complication of heart valve replacement surgery, with rates ranging from 1 to 10%. Despite advancements in surgical techniques, the incidence of postoperative stroke remains a significant concern, impacting patient outcomes and healthcare resources. This study aims to investigate the incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of in-hospital adverse neurologic events, particularly stroke, following valve replacement. The analysis focuses on identifying patient characteristics and procedural factors associated with increased stroke risk. METHODS: This retrospective study involves a review of 417 consecutive patients who underwent SVR between January 2004 and December 2022. The study cohort was extracted from a prospectively recorded cardiac intensive care unit database. Preoperative and perioperative data were collected, and subjects with specific exclusion criteria were omitted from the analysis. The analysis includes demographic information, preoperative risk factors, and perioperative variables. RESULTS: The study identified a 4.3% incidence of postoperative stroke among SVR patients. Risk factors associated with increased stroke susceptibility included prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass time, aortic cross-clamp duration exceeding 90 min, prior stroke history, diabetes mellitus, and mitral valve annulus calcification. Patients undergoing combined procedures, such as aortic valve replacement with mitral valve replacement or coronary artery bypass grafting with AVR and MVR, (OR = 10.74, CI:2.65-43.44, p-value = < 0.001) and (OR = 11.66, CI:1.02-132.70, p-value = 0.048) respectively, exhibited elevated risks. Internal carotid artery stenosis (< 75%) and requiring prolonged inotropic support were also associated with increased stroke risk(OR = 3.04, CI:1.13-8.12, P-value = 0.026). The occurrence of stroke correlated with extended intensive care unit stay (OR = 1.12, CI: 1.04-1.20, P-value = 0.002) and heightened in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, our study identifies key risk factors and underscores the importance of proactive measures to reduce postoperative stroke incidence in surgical valve replacement patients.


Assuntos
Implante de Prótese de Valva Cardíaca , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Incidência , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Implante de Prótese de Valva Cardíaca/efeitos adversos , Idoso , Doenças das Valvas Cardíacas/cirurgia
11.
BMC Nephrol ; 25(1): 305, 2024 Sep 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39272061

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with higher incidence of major surgery. No studies have evaluated the association between preoperative kidney function and postoperative outcomes across a wide spectrum of procedures. We aimed to evaluate the association between CKD and 30-day postoperative outcomes across surgical specialties. METHODS: We selected adult patients undergoing surgery across eight specialties. The primary study endpoint was major complications, defined as death, unplanned reoperation, cardiac complication, or stroke within 30 days following surgery. Secondary outcomes included Clavien-Dindo high-grade complications, as well as cardiac, pulmonary, infectious, and thromboembolic complications. Multivariable regression was performed to evaluate the association between CKD and 30-day postoperative complications, adjusted for baseline characteristics, surgical specialty, and operative time. RESULTS: In total, 1,912,682 patients were included. The odds of major complications (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.14 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.07, 2.21]), death (aOR 3.03 [95% CI: 2.88, 3.19]), unplanned reoperation (aOR 1.57 [95% CI: 1.51, 1.64]), cardiac complication (aOR 3.51 [95% CI: 3.25, 3.80]), and stroke (aOR 1.89 [95% CI: 1.64, 2.17]) were greater for patients with CKD stage 5 vs. stage 1. A similar pattern was observed for the secondary endpoints. CONCLUSION: This population-based study demonstrates the negative impact of CKD on operative outcomes across a diverse range of procedures and patients.


Assuntos
Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Melhoria de Qualidade , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Reoperação/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Especialidades Cirúrgicas , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos
12.
Stroke ; 55(10): 2472-2481, 2024 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39234759

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Existing data suggested a rural-urban disparity in thrombolytic utilization for ischemic stroke. Here, we examined the use of guideline-recommended stroke care and outcomes in rural hospitals to identify targets for improvement. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included patients (aged ≥18 years) treated for acute ischemic stroke at Get With The Guidelines-Stroke hospitals from 2017 to 2019. Multivariable mixed-effect logistic regression was used to compare thrombolysis rates, speed of treatment, secondary stroke prevention metrics, and outcomes after adjusting for patient- and hospital-level characteristics and stroke severity. RESULTS: Among the 1 127 607 patients admitted to Get With The Guidelines-Stroke hospitals in 2017 to 2019, 692 839 patients met the inclusion criteria. Patients who presented within 4.5 hours were less likely to receive thrombolysis in rural stroke centers compared with urban stroke centers (31.7% versus 43.5%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.72 [95% CI, 0.68-0.76]) but exceeded rural nonstroke centers (22.1%; aOR, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.15-1.37]). Rural stroke centers were less likely than urban stroke centers to achieve door-to-needle times of ≤45 minutes (33% versus 44.7%; aOR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.76-0.96]) but more likely than rural nonstroke centers (aOR, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.04-1.49]). For secondary stroke prevention metrics, rural stroke centers were comparable to urban stroke centers but exceeded rural nonstroke centers (aOR of 1.66, 1.94, 2.44, 1.5, and 1.72, for antithrombotics within 48 hours of admission, antithrombotics at discharge, anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation/flutter, statin treatment, and smoking cessation, respectively). In-hospital mortality was similar between rural and urban stroke centers (aOR, 1.11 [95% CI, 0.99-1.24]) or nonstroke centers (aOR, 1.00 [95% CI, 0.84-1.18]). CONCLUSIONS: Rural hospitals had lower thrombolysis utilization and slower treatment times than urban hospitals. Rural stroke centers provided comparable secondary stroke prevention treatment to urban stroke centers and exceeded rural nonstroke centers. These results reveal important opportunities and specific targets for rural health equity interventions.


Assuntos
Hospitais Rurais , AVC Isquêmico , Prevenção Secundária , Terapia Trombolítica , Humanos , Hospitais Rurais/normas , Hospitais Rurais/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Masculino , Terapia Trombolítica/normas , Terapia Trombolítica/métodos , Idoso , Prevenção Secundária/normas , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , AVC Isquêmico/prevenção & controle , AVC Isquêmico/tratamento farmacológico , AVC Isquêmico/epidemiologia , AVC Isquêmico/terapia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto/normas , Fibrinolíticos/uso terapêutico , Estudos de Coortes , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/tratamento farmacológico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/terapia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia
13.
J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis ; 33(11): 107994, 2024 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39241846

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Insulin Resistance (IR) is associated with stroke. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) level, a new biomarker for assessing IR, and stroke. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study based on data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2020 and included participants aged ≥ 20 years. All participants provided complete stroke and METS-IR related data. The study employed statistical techniques, including multivariate logistic regression analysis, restricted cubic splines (RCS), and stratified analyses to evaluate the relationship between the amounts of METS-IR and the risk of stroke. RESULTS: The study included 14,029 participants aged 20 years or older. The fully adjusted model revealed a statistically significant correlation between METS-IR and stroke (OR=1.21, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.46; P<0.05). Specifically, for every 10-unit increase in METS-IR, there was a 21% increase in the prevalence of stroke. The prevalence of stroke was 60% higher in the Q4 group compared to the Q1 group, as indicated by a significant association with METS-IR (OR=1.60, 95% CI: 1.01, 2.54; P<0.05). The RCS analysis revealed a strong linear correlation between METS-IR and the incidence of stroke (P<0.05). Subgroup analyses showed that gender, age, race, alcohol consumption, smoking, diabetes, and hypertension exhibited correlation with this positive association, and a significant interaction was observed in age (P for interaction < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study indicate that elevated METS-IR levels are strongly linked to a greater risk of stroke in adults.


Assuntos
Resistência à Insulina , Síndrome Metabólica , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco , Prevalência , Idoso , Fatores de Risco , Síndrome Metabólica/epidemiologia , Síndrome Metabólica/diagnóstico , Adulto Jovem , Bases de Dados Factuais , Biomarcadores/sangue , Prognóstico
14.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 20682, 2024 09 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39237599

RESUMO

We provide an update regarding the differences between men and women in short-term postoperative mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and highlight the differences in postoperative risk of stroke, myocardial infarction, and new onset atrial fibrillation. We included 23 studies, with a total of 3,971,267 patients (70.7% men, 29.3% women), and provided results for groups of unbalanced studies and propensity matched studies. For short-term mortality, the pooled odds ratio (OR) from unbalanced studies was 1.71 (with 95% CI 1.69-1.74, I2 = 0%, p = 0.7), and from propensity matched studies was 1.32 (95% CI 1.14-1.52, I2 = 76%, p < 0.01). For postoperative stroke, the pooled effects were OR = 1.50 (95% CI 1.35-1.66, I2 = 83%, p < 0.01) and OR = 1.31 (95% CI 1.02-1.67, I2 = 81%, p < 0.01). For myocardial infarction, the pooled effects were OR = 1.09 (95% CI = 0.78-1.53, I2 = 70%, p < 0.01) and OR = 1.03 (95% CI = 0.86-1.24, I2 = 43%, p = 0.18). For postoperative atrial fibrillation, the pooled effect from unbalanced studies was OR = 0.89 (95% CI = 0.82-0.96, I2 = 34%, p = 0.18). The short-term mortality risk after CABG is higher in women, compared to men. Women are at higher risk of postoperative stroke. There is no significant difference in the likelihood of postoperative myocardial infarction in women compared to men. Men are at higher risk of postoperative atrial fibrillation after CABG.


Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial , Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Infarto do Miocárdio , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Humanos , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/efeitos adversos , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/mortalidade , Masculino , Feminino , Infarto do Miocárdio/etiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Fibrilação Atrial/etiologia , Fibrilação Atrial/cirurgia , Fatores Sexuais , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Resultado do Tratamento
15.
Am J Cardiovasc Drugs ; 24(6): 813-821, 2024 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39240455

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), the association between cancer and cardioembolic or bleeding risk during oral anticoagulant therapy still remains unclear. PURPOSE: We aimed to assess the impact of cancer present at baseline (CB) or diagnosed during follow-up (CFU) on bleeding events in patients treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for non-valvular AF (NVAF) compared with patients without CB or CFU, respectively. METHODS: All consecutive patients with NVAF treated with DOACs for stroke prevention were enrolled between January 2017 and March 2019. Primary outcomes were bleeding events or cardiovascular death, non-fatal stroke and non-fatal myocardial infarction, and the composite endpoint between patients with and without CB and between patients with and without CB. RESULTS: The study population comprised 1170 patients who were followed for a mean time of 21.6 ± 9.5 months. Overall, 81 patients (6.9%) were affected by CB, while 81 (6.9%) were diagnosed with CFU. Patients with CFU were associated with a higher risk of bleeding events and major bleeding compared with patients without CFU. Such an association was not observed between the CB and no CB populations. In multivariate analysis adjusted for anemia, age, creatinine, CB and CFU, CFU but not CB remained an independent predictor of overall and major bleeding (hazard ratio [HR] 2.67, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.8-3.89, p < 0.001; HR 3.02, 95% CI 1.6-3.81, p = 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSION: During follow-up, newly diagnosed primitive or metastatic cancer in patients with NVAF taking DOACs is a strong predictor of major bleeding regardless of baseline hemorrhagic risk assessment. In contrast, such an association is not observed with malignancy at baseline. Appropriate diagnosis and treatment could therefore reduce the risk of cancer-related bleeding.


Assuntos
Anticoagulantes , Fibrilação Atrial , Hemorragia , Neoplasias , Humanos , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Masculino , Feminino , Hemorragia/induzido quimicamente , Hemorragia/epidemiologia , Idoso , Neoplasias/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias/complicações , Anticoagulantes/efeitos adversos , Anticoagulantes/administração & dosagem , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Administração Oral , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Inibidores do Fator Xa/efeitos adversos , Inibidores do Fator Xa/uso terapêutico , Inibidores do Fator Xa/administração & dosagem , Estudos Retrospectivos
16.
Circ Cardiovasc Interv ; 17(10): e014296, 2024 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39258365

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The role of left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) in patients without previous atrial fibrillation (AF) is not established. This meta-analysis was conducted on patients with normal sinus rhythm who underwent cardiac surgery, with and without concomitant LAAO, to evaluate its effect on the incidence of cerebrovascular accidents (CVAs). METHODS: A systematic review was conducted from inception until December 2023 for randomized and propensity-score studies comparing CVA in patients without AF undergoing cardiac surgery with or without LAAO. RESULTS: Six studies met our inclusion criteria with a total of 4130 patients: 2146 in the LAAO group and 1984 in the no-LAAO group. The risk ratio of postoperative AF was 1.05 (95% CI, 0.86-1.28); P=0.628. The CVA rates at 5 years were 6.8±1.0% in the no-LAAO group and 4.3±0.8% in the LAAO group (log-rank P=0.021). The Cox regression analysis for CVA in patients undergoing LAAO reported a hazard ratio of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.45-0.94); P=0.022. Landmark analysis at 4 years highlighted a significant difference in overall survival between no-LAAO and LAAO groups, 86±12.2% versus 89.6±11.0%; P=0.041. CONCLUSIONS: In this meta-analysis of patients without previous AF undergoing cardiac surgery, LAAO was associated with a decreased risk of CVA, no difference in the incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation, and a significant overall survival benefit at a 4-year landmark analysis. Although these findings support LAAO, the randomized LeAAPS trial (Left Atrial Appendage Exclusion for Prophylactic Stroke Reduction Trial), LAA-CLOSURE trial (A Randomized Prospective Multicenter Trial for Stroke Prevention by Prophylactic Surgical Closure of the Left Atrial Appendage in Patients Undergoing Bioprosthetic Aortic Valve Surgery), and LAACS-2 trial (Left Atrial Appendage Closure by Surgery-2) will help define the effectiveness of LAAO in patients undergoing cardiac surgery who have risk factors for AF and CVA. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/; Unique identifier: CRD42024496366.


Assuntos
Apêndice Atrial , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Apêndice Atrial/cirurgia , Apêndice Atrial/fisiopatologia , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Fibrilação Atrial/etiologia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/efeitos adversos , Incidência , Pontuação de Propensão , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
17.
J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis ; 33(11): 107958, 2024 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39159904

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Perioperative Large Vessel Occlusions (LVOs) occurring during and following surgery are of immense clinical importance. As such, we aim to present risk factors and test if the Society of Thoracic Surgery (STS) mortality and stroke risk scores can be used to assess operative risk. METHODS: Using data containing 7 index cardiac operations at a single tertiary referral center from 2010 to 2022, logistic and multivariate regression analysis was performed to identify factors that correlate to higher operative LVO and stroke rate. Odds ratios and confidence intervals were also obtained to test if the STS-Predicted Risk of Mortality (PROM) and -Predicted Risk of Stroke (PROS) scores were positively correlated to operative LVO and stroke rate. RESULTS: Multivariate modeling showed primary risk factors for an operative LVO were diabetes (OR: 1.727 [95 % CI: 1.060-2.815]), intracranial or extracranial carotid stenosis (OR: 3.661 [95 % CI: 2.126-6.305]), and heart failure as defined by NYHA class (Class 4, OR: 3.951 [95 % CI: 2.092-7.461]; compared to Class 1). As the STS-PROM increased, the relative rate of LVO occurrence increased (very high risk, OR: 6.576 [95 % CI: 2.92-14.812], high risk, OR: 2.667 [1.125-6.322], medium risk, OR: 2.858 [1.594-5.125]; all compared to low risk). STS-PROS quartiles showed a similar relation with LVO risk (quartile 4, OR: 7.768 [95 % CI: 2.740-22.027], quartile 3, OR: 5.249 [1.800-15.306], quartile 2, OR:2.980 [0.960-9.248]; all compared to quartile 1). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with diabetes, carotid disease and heart failure are at high risk for operative LVO. Both STS-PROM and -PROS can be useful metrics for preoperative measuring of LVO risks.


Assuntos
Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Medição de Risco , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/mortalidade , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/efeitos adversos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/mortalidade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento , Fatores de Tempo , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Estenose das Carótidas/cirurgia , Estenose das Carótidas/mortalidade , Estenose das Carótidas/diagnóstico por imagem , Estenose das Carótidas/complicações , Bases de Dados Factuais
18.
J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis ; 33(11): 107984, 2024 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39216710

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Hospital readmissions are associated with poor health outcomes including illness severity and medical complications. The objective of this study was to identify characteristics associated with 30-day post-stroke readmission in an academic urban hospital network. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We collected data on patients admitted with stroke from 2017 through 2022 who were readmitted within 30 days of discharge and compared them to a subset of non-readmitted stroke patients. Chart review was used to collect demographics, characteristics of the stroke, co-morbid conditions, in-hospital complications, and post-discharge care. Univariate analyses followed by regression analysis were used to assess characteristics associated with post-stroke readmission. RESULTS: We identified 4743 patients with stroke (18 % hemorrhagic, mean age 70.1 (standard deviation (SD) 17.2), 47.3 % female) discharged from the stroke services, of whom 282 (5.9 %) patients were readmitted within 30 days of index hospitalization. Univariate analyses identified 18 significantly different features between admitted and readmitted patients. Regression analysis revealed characteristics associated with readmission included private insurance (odds ratio (OR) 0.4, confidence interval (CI) 0.3-0.6, p < 0.001), comorbid peripheral vascular disease (PVD) (OR 2.7, CI 1.3-5.5, p = 0.009), malignancy (OR 1.6, CI 1.0-2.6, p = 0.04), seizure (OR 3.4, CI 1.4-8.2, p = 0.007), thrombolytic administration (OR 0.4, CI 0.2-0.7, p = 0.003), undergoing thrombectomy (OR 5.4, CI 2.9-10.1, p < 0.001), and higher discharge modified Rankin Scale score (OR 1.2, CI 1.0-1.3, p = 0.047). CONCLUSIONS: Our data demonstrate that thrombectomy, high discharge Rankin score, comorbid malignancy, seizure or PVD, and lack of thrombolytic administration or private insurance predict readmission.


Assuntos
Centros Médicos Acadêmicos , Comorbidade , Hospitais Urbanos , Alta do Paciente , Readmissão do Paciente , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/terapia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Resultado do Tratamento , Seguro Saúde
19.
Eur Heart J ; 45(27): 2396-2406, 2024 Jul 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39193886

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: It has been reported that patients without standard modifiable cardiovascular (CV) risk factors (SMuRFs-diabetes, dyslipidaemia, hypertension, and smoking) presenting with first myocardial infarction (MI), especially women, have a higher in-hospital mortality than patients with risk factors, and possibly a lower long-term risk provided they survive the post-infarct period. This study aims to explore the long-term outcomes of SMuRF-less patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS: CLARIFY is an observational cohort of 32 703 outpatients with stable CAD enrolled between 2009 and 2010 in 45 countries. The baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes of patients with and without SMuRFs were compared. The primary outcome was a composite of 5-year CV death or non-fatal MI. Secondary outcomes were 5-year all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE-CV death, non-fatal MI, or non-fatal stroke). RESULTS: Among 22 132 patients with complete risk factor and outcome information, 977 (4.4%) were SMuRF-less. Age, sex, and time since CAD diagnosis were similar across groups. SMuRF-less patients had a lower 5-year rate of CV death or non-fatal MI (5.43% [95% CI 4.08-7.19] vs. 7.68% [95% CI 7.30-8.08], P = 0.012), all-cause mortality, and MACE. Similar results were found after adjustments. Clinical event rates increased steadily with the number of SMuRFs. The benefit of SMuRF-less status was particularly pronounced in women. CONCLUSIONS: SMuRF-less patients with stable CAD have a substantial but significantly lower 5-year rate of CV death or non-fatal MI than patients with risk factors. The risk of CV outcomes increases steadily with the number of risk factors.


Assuntos
Fatores de Risco de Doenças Cardíacas , Infarto do Miocárdio , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Hipertensão/complicações , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Fumar/epidemiologia , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/mortalidade , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/epidemiologia , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/complicações , Dislipidemias/epidemiologia , Dislipidemias/complicações , Doença Crônica , Fatores de Risco , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/mortalidade , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle
20.
J Clin Neurosci ; 128: 110801, 2024 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39168063

RESUMO

PURPOSE: There are currently no models for predicting hip fractures after stroke. This study wanted to investigate the risk factors leading to hip fracture in stroke patients and to establish a risk prediction model to visualize this risk. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We reviewed 439 stroke patients with or without hip fractures admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from June 2014 to June 2017 as the training set, and collected 83 patients of the same type from the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University and the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from June 2020 to June 2023 as the testing set. Patients were divided into fracture group and non-fracture group based on the presence of hip fractures. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen for meaningful factors. Nomogram predicting the risk of hip fracture occurrence were created based on the multifactor analysis, and performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). A web calculator was created to facilitate a more convenient interactive experience for clinicians. RESULTS: In training set, there were 35 cases (7.9 %) of hip fractures after stroke, while in testing set, this data was 13 cases (15.6 %). In training set, univariate analysis showed significant differences between the two groups in the number of falls, smoking, hypertension, glucocorticoids, number of strokes, Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), visual acuity level, National Institute of Health stroke scale (NIHSS), Berg Balance Scale (BBS), and Stop Walking When Talking (SWWT) (P<0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that number of falls [OR=17.104, 95 % CI (3.727-78.489), P = 0.000], NIHSS [OR=1.565, 95 % CI (1.193-2.052), P = 0.001], SWWT [OR=12.080, 95 % CI (2.398-60.851), P = 0.003] were independent risk factors positively associated with new fractures. BMD [OR = 0.155, 95 % CI (0.044-0.546), P = 0.012] and BBS [OR = 0.840, 95 % CI (0.739-0.954), P = 0.007] were negatively associated with new fractures. The area under the curve (AUC) of nomogram were 0.939 (95 % CI: 0.748-0.943) and 0.980 (95 % CI: 0.886-1.000) in training and testing sets, respectively, and the calibration curves showed a high agreement between predicted and actual status with an area under the decision curve of 0.034 and 0.109, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The number of falls, fracture history, low BBS score, high NIHSS score, and positive SWWT are risk factors for hip fracture after stroke. Based on this, a nomogram with high accuracy was developed and a web calculator (https://stroke.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/) was created.


Assuntos
Fraturas do Quadril , Nomogramas , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Fraturas do Quadril/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Idoso , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/diagnóstico , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/complicações , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Medição de Risco/métodos
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