Development and validation of primary graft dysfunction predictive algorithm for lung transplant candidates.

BACKGROUND: Primary graft dysfunction (PGD) is the leading cause of early morbidity and mortality after lung transplantation. Accurate prediction of PGD risk could inform donor approaches and perioperative care planning. We sought to develop a clinically useful, generalizable PGD prediction model to aid in transplant decision-making. METHODS: We derived a predictive model in a prospective cohort study of subjects from 2012 to 2018, followed by a single-center external validation. We used regularized (lasso) logistic regression to evaluate the predictive ability of clinically available PGD predictors and developed a user interface for clinical application. Using decision curve analysis, we quantified the net benefit of the model across a range of PGD risk thresholds and assessed model calibration and discrimination. RESULTS: The PGD predictive model included distance from donor hospital to recipient transplant center, recipient age, predicted total lung capacity, lung allocation score (LAS), body mass index, pulmonary artery mean pressure, sex, and indication for transplant; donor age, sex, mechanism of death, and donor smoking status; and interaction terms for LAS and donor distance. The interface allows for real-time assessment of PGD risk for any donor/recipient combination. The model offers decision-making net benefit in the PGD risk range of 10% to 75% in the derivation centers and 2% to 10% in the validation cohort, a range incorporating the incidence in that cohort. CONCLUSION: We developed a clinically useful PGD predictive algorithm across a range of PGD risk thresholds to support transplant decision-making, posttransplant care, and enrich samples for PGD treatment trials.

The Impact of Donor Smoking on Primary Graft Dysfunction and Mortality after Lung Transplantation.

Rationale: Primary graft dysfunction (PGD) is the leading cause of early morbidity and mortality after lung transplantation. Prior studies implicated proxy-defined donor smoking as a risk factor for PGD and mortality. Objectives: We aimed to more accurately assess the impact of donor smoke exposure on PGD and mortality using quantitative smoke exposure biomarkers. Methods: We performed a multicenter prospective cohort study of lung transplant recipients enrolled in the Lung Transplant Outcomes Group cohort between 2012 and 2018. PGD was defined as grade 3 at 48 or 72 hours after lung reperfusion. Donor smoking was defined using accepted thresholds of urinary biomarkers of nicotine exposure (cotinine) and tobacco-specific nitrosamine (4-[methylnitrosamino]-1-[3-pyridyl]-1-butanol [NNAL]) in addition to clinical history. The donor smoking-PGD association was assessed using logistic regression, and survival analysis was performed using inverse probability of exposure weighting according to smoking category. Measurements and Main Results: Active donor smoking prevalence varied by definition, with 34-43% based on urinary cotinine, 28% by urinary NNAL, and 37% by clinical documentation. The standardized risk of PGD associated with active donor smoking was higher across all definitions, with an absolute risk increase of 11.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.8% to 19.2%) by urinary cotinine, 5.7% (95% CI, -3.4% to 14.9%) by urinary NNAL, and 6.5% (95% CI, -2.8% to 15.8%) defined clinically. Donor smoking was not associated with differential post-lung transplant survival using any definition. Conclusions: Donor smoking associates with a modest increase in PGD risk but not with increased recipient mortality. Use of lungs from smokers is likely safe and may increase lung donor availability. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT00552357).

HLA sensitization is associated with an increased risk of primary graft dysfunction after heart transplantation.

Primary graft dysfunction (PGD) is a leading cause of early morbidity and mortality following heart transplantation (HT). We sought to determine the association between pretransplant human leukocyte antigen (HLA) sensitization, as measured using the calculated panel reactive antibody (cPRA) value, and the risk of PGD. METHODS: Consecutive adult HT recipients (n = 596) from 1/2015 to 12/2019 at 2 US centers were included. Severity of PGD was based on the 2014 International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation consensus statement. For each recipient, unacceptable HLA antigens were obtained and locus-specific cPRA (cPRA-LS) and pre-HT donor-specific antibodies (DSA) were assessed. RESULTS: Univariable logistic modeling showed that peak cPRA-LS for all loci and HLA-A was associated with increased severity of PGD as an ordinal variable (all loci: OR 1.78, 95% CI: 1.01-1.14, p = 0.025, HLA-A: OR 1.14, 95% CI: 1.03-1.26, p = 0.011). Multivariable analysis showed peak cPRA-LS for HLA-A, recipient beta-blocker use, total ischemic time, donor age, prior cardiac surgery, and United Network for Organ Sharing status 1 or 2 were associated with increased severity of PGD. The presence of DSA to HLA-B was associated with trend toward increased risk of mild-to-moderate PGD (OR 2.56, 95% CI: 0.99-6.63, p = 0.053), but DSA to other HLA loci was not associated with PGD. CONCLUSIONS: Sensitization for all HLA loci, and specifically HLA-A, is associated with an increased severity of PGD. These factors should be included in pre-HT risk stratification to minimize the risk of PGD.

Cardiac Transplantation: Physiology and Natural History of the Transplanted Heart.

Heart transplantation (HT) is one of the prodigious achievements in modern medicine and remains the cornerstone in the treatment of patients with advanced heart failure. Advances in surgical techniques, immunosuppression, organ preservation, infection control, and allograft surveillance have improved short- and long-term outcomes thereby contributing to greater clinical success of HT. However, prolonged allograft and patient survival following HT are still largely restricted by the development of late complications, including allograft rejection, infection, cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV), and malignancy. The introduction of mTOR inhibitors early after HT has demonstrated multiple protective effects against CAV progression, renal dysfunction, and tumorigenesis. Therefore, several HT programs increasingly use mTOR inhibitors with partial or complete withdrawal of calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) in stable HT patients to reduce complications risk and improve long-term outcomes. Furthermore, despite a substantial improvement in exercise capacity and health-related quality of life after HT as compared to advanced heart failure patients, most HT recipients remain with a 30% to 50% lower peak oxygen consumption (Vo 2 ) than that of age-matched healthy subjects. Several factors, including alterations in central hemodynamics, HT-related complications and alterations in the musculoskeletal system, and peripheral physiological abnormalities, presumably contribute to the reduced exercise capacity following HT. Cardiac denervation and subsequent loss of sympathetic and parasympathetic regulation are responsible for various physiological alterations in the cardiovascular system, which contributes to restricted exercise tolerance. Restoration of cardiac innervation may improve exercise capacity and quality of life, but the reinnervation process is only partial even several years after HT. Multiple studies have shown that aerobic and strengthening exercise interventions improve exercise capacity by increasing maximal heart rate, chronotropic response, and peak Vo 2 after HT. Novel exercise modalities, such as high-intensity interval training (HIT), have been proven as safe and effective for further improvement in exercise capacity, including among de novo HT recipients. Further developments have recently emerged, including donor heart preservation techniques, noninvasive CAV and rejection surveillance methods, and improvements in immunosuppressive therapies, all aiming at increasing donor availability and improving late survival after HT. © 2023 American Physiological Society. Compr Physiol 13:4719-4765, 2023.

Impact of total ischaemic time and disease severity class on graft function after bilateral lung transplantation.

OBJECTIVES: Total ischaemic time (IT) is considered a limiting factor in lung transplantation. In this retrospective study, we investigate effects of IT and disease burden on outcomes after bilateral lung transplantation. METHODS: A total of 1298 patients undergoing bilateral lung transplantation between January 2010 and May 2022 (follow-up 100%, median 54 months) were included. Pre-transplant diseases' severity (recipient body mass index, recipient age, previous lung transplantation, Tacrolimus immunosuppression, preoperative recipient extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support, lung volume reduction) for graft failure was individually calculated and-as IT-categorized. Vice versa adjusted Cox models were calculated. Considering competing risks, we assessed cumulative incidences of airway obstructive complications and chronic lung allograft dysfunction with death as competing risk factors for primary graft dysfunction were assessed by binary logistic regression. RESULTS: Higher disease burden significantly accelerated chronic lung allograft dysfunction and death occurrence (P < 0.001); IT did not. IT-adjusted disease burden strata showed 50% graft survival differences at 11 years after transplantation (range 24-74%), disease burden-adjusted IT strata 18% for all and 6% (54-60%) among those above 7 h. All significant primary graft dysfunction risk factors were diagnoses related, IT was not significantly important and odds ratios did not increase with IT. CONCLUSIONS: The eventual graft survival disadvantage that results from an IT between 7 and at least 11 h is negligible in contrast to frequent recipients' disease-based risk levels.

Intraoperative Red Blood Cell Transfusion and Primary Graft Dysfunction After Lung Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: In this international, multicenter study of patients undergoing lung transplantation (LT), we explored the association between the amount of intraoperative packed red blood cell (PRBC) transfusion and occurrence of primary graft dysfunction (PGD) and associated outcomes. METHODS: The Extracorporeal Life Support in LT Registry includes data on LT recipients from 9 high-volume (>40 transplants/y) transplant centers (2 from Europe, 7 from the United States). Adult patients who underwent bilateral orthotopic lung transplant from January 2016 to January 2020 were included. The primary outcome of interest was the occurrence of grade 3 PGD in the first 72 h after LT. RESULTS: We included 729 patients who underwent bilateral orthotopic lung transplant between January 2016 and November 2020. LT recipient population tertiles based on the amount of intraoperative PRBC transfusion (0, 1-4, and >4 units) were significantly different in terms of diagnosis, age, gender, body mass index, mean pulmonary artery pressure, lung allocation score, hemoglobin, prior chest surgery, preoperative hospitalization, and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation requirement. Inverse probability treatment weighting logistic regression showed that intraoperative PRBC transfusion of >4 units was significantly ( P < 0.001) associated with grade 3 PGD within 72 h (odds ratio [95% confidence interval], 2.2 [1.6-3.1]). Inverse probability treatment weighting analysis excluding patients with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support produced similar findings (odds ratio [95% confidence interval], 2.4 [1.7-3.4], P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this multicenter, international registry study of LT patients, intraoperative transfusion of >4 units of PRBCs was associated with an increased risk of grade 3 PGD within 72 h. Efforts to improve post-LT outcomes should include perioperative blood conservation measures.

Primary graft dysfunction grade 3 following pediatric lung transplantation is associated with chronic lung allograft dysfunction.

BACKGROUND: Severe primary graft dysfunction (PGD) is associated with the development of bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS), the most common form of chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD), in adults. However, PGD associations with long-term outcomes following pediatric lung transplantation are unknown. We hypothesized that PGD grade 3 (PGD 3) at 48- or 72-hours would be associated with shorter CLAD-free survival following pediatric lung transplantation. METHODS: This was a single center retrospective cohort study of patients ≤ 21 years of age who underwent bilateral lung transplantation between 2005 and 2019 with ≥ 1 year of follow-up. PGD and CLAD were defined by published criteria. We evaluated the association of PGD 3 at 48- or 72-hours with CLAD-free survival by using time-to-event analyses. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients were included (median age 12.7 years; 51% female). The most common transplant indications were cystic fibrosis (29%) and pulmonary hypertension (20%). Seventeen patients (33%) had PGD 3 at either 48- or 72-hours. In unadjusted analysis, PGD 3 was associated with an increased risk of CLAD or mortality (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.01-4.37, p=0.047). This association remained when adjusting individually for multiple potential confounders. There was evidence of effect modification by sex (interaction p = 0.055) with the association of PGD 3 and shorter CLAD-free survival driven predominantly by males (HR 4.73, 95% CI 1.44-15.6) rather than females (HR 1.23, 95% CI 0.47-3.20). CONCLUSIONS: PGD 3 at 48- or 72-hours following pediatric lung transplantation was associated with shorter CLAD-free survival. Sex may be a modifier of this association.

Severe and Moderate Primary Graft Dysfunction in Adult Heart Recipients.

INTRODUCTION: The aims of this study were to determine the incidence of severe and moderate primary graft dysfunction (PGD) in our center, to identify, retrospectively, donors' and recipients' risk factors for PGD development, and to evaluate the impact of PGD within 30 days after heart transplantation. METHODS: Donors' and recipients' medical records of 64 consecutive adult cardiac transplantations performed between January 2016 and June 2017 were reviewed. The International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) criteria were used to diagnose moderate and severe PGD. Associations of risk factors for combined moderate/severe PGD were assessed with appropriate statistical analyses. RESULTS: Sixty-four patients underwent heart transplantation in this period. Twelve recipients (18.7%) developed severe or moderate PGD. Development of PGD was associated with previous donor cardiopulmonary resuscitation and a history of prior heart surgery in the recipient (P=0.01 and P=0.02, respectively). The 30-day in hospital mortality was similar in both PGD and non-PGD patients. CONCLUSION: The use of the ISHLT criteria for PGD is important to identify potential risk factor. The development of PGD did not affect short-term survival in our study. More studies should be done to better understand the pathophysiology of PGD.

Recipient Comorbidities for Prediction of Primary Graft Dysfunction, Chronic Allograft Dysfunction and Survival After Lung Transplantation.

Since candidates with comorbidities are increasingly referred for lung transplantation, knowledge about comorbidities and their cumulative effect on outcomes is scarce. We retrospectively collected pretransplant comorbidities of all 513 adult recipients transplanted at our center between 1992-2019. Multiple logistic- and Cox regression models, adjusted for donor-, pre- and peri-operative variables, were used to detect independent risk factors for primary graft dysfunction grade-3 at 72 h (PGD3-T72), onset of chronic allograft dysfunction grade-3 (CLAD-3) and survival. An increasing comorbidity burden measured by Charleston-Deyo-Index was a multivariable risk for survival and PGD3-T72, but not for CLAD-3. Among comorbidities, congestive right heart failure or a mean pulmonary artery pressure >25 mmHg were independent risk factors for PGD3-T72 and survival, and a borderline risk for CLAD-3. Left heart failure, chronic atrial fibrillation, arterial hypertension, moderate liver disease, peptic ulcer disease, gastroesophageal reflux, diabetes with end organ damage, moderate to severe renal disease, osteoporosis, and diverticulosis were also independent risk factors for survival. For PGD3-T72, a BMI>30 kg/m2 was an additional independent risk. Epilepsy and a smoking history of the recipient of >20packyears are additional independent risk factors for CLAD-3. The comorbidity profile should therefore be closely considered for further clinical decision making in candidate selection.

Post-Transplant Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation for Severe Primary Graft Dysfunction to Support the Use of Marginal Donor Hearts.

Severe primary graft dysfunction (PGD) is the leading cause of early postoperative mortality following orthotopic heart transplantation (OHT). Veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) has been used as salvage therapy. This study aimed to evaluate the outcomes in adult OHT recipients who underwent VA-ECMO for severe PGD. We retrospectively reviewed 899 adult (≥18 years) patients who underwent primary OHT at our institution between 1997 and 2017. Recipients treated with VA-ECMO (19, 2.1%) exhibited a higher incidence of previous cardiac surgery (p = .0220), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (p = .0352), and treatment with a calcium channel blocker (p = .0018) and amiodarone (p = .0148). Cardiopulmonary bypass (p = .0410) and aortic cross-clamp times (p = .0477) were longer in the VA-ECMO cohort and they were more likely to have received postoperative transfusion (p = .0013); intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP, p < .0001), and reoperation for bleeding or tamponade (p < .0001). The 30-day, 1-year, and overall survival after transplantation of non-ECMO patients were 95.9, 88.8, and 67.4%, respectively, compared to 73.7, 57.9, and 47.4%, respectively in the ECMO cohort. Fourteen (73.7%) of the ECMO patients were weaned after a median of 7 days following OHT (range: 1-12 days). Following OHT, VA-ECMO may be a useful salvage therapy for severe PGD and can potentially support the usage of marginal donor hearts.

Long-term effects of primary graft dysfunction after heart transplantation.

BACKGROUND: We studied the incidence of primary graft dysfunction (PGD), its impact on in-hospital and follow-up outcomes and searched for independent risk factors. METHODS: During an 18-year period, 508 individuals underwent heart transplantation at our institution. Patients were diagnosed with none, mild, moderate or severe PGD according to ISHLT criteria. RESULTS: Thirty-eight patients (7.5%) met the ISHLT criteria for mild PGD, 92 (18.1%) for moderate PGD and 23 (4.5%) for severe PGD. Patients were classified into none/mild PGD (77.4%) and moderate/severe PGD (22.6%) groups. In-hospital mortality was 12.4% (7.8% for none/mild PGD and 28.7% for moderate/severe PGD; p < .001). Survival at 1, 5, and 15 years was 85.5 ± 1.9% versus 67.2 ± 4.5%, 80 ± 2.2% versus 63.5 ± 4.7%, and 60.4 ± 3.6% versus 45.9 ± 8.4%, respectively (p < .001). Excluding the events occurring during the first month of follow-up, survival was comparable between the two groups (93.1 ± 1.4% vs. 94.7 ± 2.6 at 1 year and 65.6 ± 3.8% vs. 70.4 ± 10.4% at 15 years, respectively; p = .88). Upon multivariate logistic regression analysis preoperative mechanical circulatory support (odds ratio [OR] = 5.86) and preoperative intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) (OR = 9.58) were independently associated with moderate/severe PGD. CONCLUSIONS: Our results confirm that PGD is associated with poor in-hospital outcome. The poor outcome does not extend beyond the first month of follow-up, with comparable survival between patients with none/mild PGD and moderate/severe PGD in the short and long-term. Mechanical circulatory support and preoperative IABP were found to be independent risk factors for moderate/severe PGD.

Life impact of VA-ECMO due to primary graft dysfunction in patients after orthotopic heart transplantation.

AIMS: Primary graft dysfunction (PGD) is a feared complication after heart transplantation (HTX). HTX patients frequently receive veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) until graft recovery. Long-term mortality of patients weaned from VA-ECMO after HTX is comparable with non-ECMO patients. However, impact on quality of life is unknown. This study investigated days alive and out of hospital (DAOH) as patient-centred outcome in HTX patients at 1 year after surgery. METHODS AND RESULTS: This retrospective single-centre cohort study included patients who underwent HTX at the University Hospital Düsseldorf, Germany, from 2010 to 2020. Main exposure was VA-ECMO due to PGD. VA-ECMO and non-VA-ECMO patients were compared regarding the primary endpoint DAOH at 1 year after HTX. Subgroup analysis for patients weaned from VA-ECMO was performed. In total, 144 patients were included into analysis; 1 year mortality was significantly lower in non-ECMO patients [non-ECMO 14.3% (14/98) vs. VA-ECMO 34.8% (16/46), adjusted hazard ratio: 0.32, 95% confidence interval: 0.15-0.74; P = 0.002]. Mortality did not differ significantly between patients weaned from VA-ECMO and non-ECMO patients [non-ECMO 14.3% (14/98) vs. VA-ECMO (weaned) 18.9% (7/37), adjusted hazard ratio: 0.72, 95% confidence interval: 0.27-1.90; P = 0.48]. DAOH were significantly higher in non-ECMO patients compared with VA-ECMO patients and patients weaned from VA-ECMO [non-ECMO vs. VA-ECMO: median 310 (inter-quartile range 277-327) days vs. 243 (0-288) days; P < 0.0001; non-ECMO vs. VA-ECMO (weaned): 310 (277-327) days vs. 253 (208-299) days; P < 0.0001]. These results were still significant after multivariable adjustment with forced entry of predefined covariables. CONCLUSIONS: Despite similar survival rates, VA-ECMO due to PGD has a relevant life impact as defined by DAOH in the first year after HTX. As a more patient-centred endpoint, DAOH may contribute to a more comprehensive assessment of outcome in HTX patients.

Circulating anti-human leukocyte antigen IgM antibodies as a potential early predictor of allograft rejection and a negative clinical outcome after lung transplantation.

PURPOSE: Anti-human leukocyte antigen (HLA) immunoglobulin (Ig) M production stimulated by an alloantigen is sensitive, making IgM a novel potential marker of allorejection after organ transplantation. This study examined the relationship between the serum levels of anti-HLA IgM early after clinical lung transplantation (LTx) and the post-transplant outcomes. METHODS: Thirty-one consecutive patients who underwent deceased LTx were included. Immunoreactivity against HLA was retrospectively analyzed by measuring the anti-HLA IgM levels in the serum sampled for the first 14 days after LTx. The flow panel reactive antibody technique was used. The ratio of the anti-class I IgM level at each day to baseline was obtained, and the peak IgM level was determined for each case. The correlation between the peak IgM level and subsequent development of acute rejection (AR), chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD), and survival outcomes were examined. RESULTS: The peak IgM level was a significant risk factor for AR within 90 days in univariate and multivariate analyses. In the long term, the patients with positive IgM (peak level > 1.8) tended to have a poorer CLAD-free and overall survival than those with negative IgM. CONCLUSION: Elevation of anti-HLA IgM levels early after LTx may be correlated with a higher incidence of rejection and negative clinical outcomes.

Blood Lactate During Double-Lung Transplantation: A Predictor of Grade-3 Primary Graft Dysfunction.

OBJECTIVE: Many prognostic factors of grade-3 primary graft dysfunction at postoperative day 3 (PGD3-T72) have been reported, but intraoperative blood lactate level has not been studied. The present retrospective study was done to test the hypothesis that intraoperative blood lactate level (BLL) could be a predictor of PGD3-T72 after double-lung transplantation. DESIGN: Retrospective monocentric cohort study. SETTING: Foch University Hospital, Suresnes, France. PARTICIPANTS: Patients having received a double-lung transplantation between 2012 and 2019. Patients transplanted twice during the study period, having undergone a multiorgan transplantation, or cardiopulmonary bypass, and those under preoperative extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, were excluded. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Analysis was performed on a cohort of 449 patients. Seventy-two (16%) patients had a PGD3-T72. Blood lactate level increased throughout surgery to reach a median value of 2.2 (1.6-3.2) mmol/L in the No-PGD3-T72 group and 3.4 (2.3-5.0) mmol/L in the PGD3-T72 group after second lung implantation. The best predictive model for PGD3-T72 was obtained adding a lactate threshold of 2.6 mmol/L at the end of surgery to the clinical model, and the area under the curve was 0.867, with a sensitivity = 76.9% and specificity = 85.4%. Repeated-measures mixed model of BLL during surgery remained significant after adjustment for covariates (F ratio= 4.22, p < 0.001 for interaction). CONCLUSIONS: Blood lactate level increases during surgery and reaches a maximum after the second lung implantation. A value below the threshold of 2.6 mmol/L at the end of surgery has a high negative predictive value for the occurrence of a grade-3 primary graft dysfunction at postoperative day 3.

Use of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation for heart graft dysfunction in adults: incidence, risk factors and outcomes in a multicentric study.

BACKGROUND: The decision about whether to use venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) in patients with cardiac graft dysfunction (GD) is usually made on a case-by-case basis and is guided by the team's experience. We aimed to determine the incidence of VA-ECMO use after heart transplantation (HT), to assess early- and long-term outcomes and to assess risk factors for the need for VA-ECMO and early mortality in these patients. METHODS: We included adults who underwent heart transplantation at 3 cardiac centres who met the most recent International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation definition of graft dysfunction (GD) over a 10-year period. Pre-transplant, intraoperative and posttransplant characteristics of the heart recipients as well as donor characteristics were analyzed and compared among recipients with GD treated with and without VA-ECMO. RESULTS: There were 135 patients with GD in this study, of whom 66 were treated with VA-ECMO and 69 were not. The mean follow-up averaged 81.2 months (standard deviation 36 mo, range 0-184 mo); follow-up was complete in 100% of patients. The overall incidence of GD (30%) and of VA-ECMO use increased over the study period. We did not identify any predictive pre-transplantation factors for VA-ECMO use, but patients who required VA-ECMO had higher serum lactate levels and higher inotropes doses after HT. The overall survival rates were 83% and 42% at 1 year and 78% and 40% at 5 years among patients who received only medical treatment and those who received VA-ECMO, respectively. Delayed initiation of VA-ECMO and postoperative bleeding were strongly associated with increased in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: The incidence of GD increased over the study period, and the need for VA-ECMO among patients with GD remains difficult to predict. In-hospital mortality decreased over time but remained high among patients who required VA-ECMO, especially among patients with delayed initiation of VA-ECMO.

Abnormal one-year post-lung transplant spirometry is a significant predictor of increased mortality and chronic lung allograft dysfunction.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of evaluating spirometry at a fixed time point using standardized population reference has not previously been evaluated. Our aim was to assess the association between spirometric phenotype at 12 months (Spiro12M), survival and incidence of chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD) in bilateral lung transplant recipients. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of bilateral lung transplant recipients transplanted between January 2003 and September 2012. We defined Spiro12M as the mean of the 2 prebronchodilator FEV1 measurements 12-month post-transplant. Normal spirometry was defined as FEV1/FVC ≥0.7 and FEV1≥80% and FVC≥80% predicted population-based values for that recipient. Abnormal spirometry was defined as failure to attain normal function by 12-months. We used a Cox regression model to assess the association between Spiro12M, survival, and CLAD. We used logistic regression to assess potential pretransplant donor and recipient factors associated with abnormal Spiro12M RESULTS: One hundred and eleven (51%) lung transplant recipients normalized their Spiro12M. Normal Spiro12M was associated improved survival (hazard ratio [HR] 0.60, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.41-0.88], p = 0.009. Each 10% decrement in FEV1 increased the risk of death in a stepwise fashion. Additionally, CLAD was reduced in those with normal Spiro12M (HR:0.65, 95%CI:0.46-0.92, p = 0.016). Donor smoking history (OR:2.93, 95% CI:1.21-7.09; p = 0.018) and mechanical ventilation time in hours (OR:1.03, 95% CI:1.004-1.05; p = 0.02) were identified as independent predictors of abnormal Spiro12M. CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal Spiro12M is associated with increased mortality and the development of CLAD. The effect is dose dependent with increased dysfunction corresponding to increased risk. This assessment of phenotype at 12-months can easily be incorporated into standard of care.

Donor Hepatic Occult Collagen Deposition Predisposes to Peritransplant Stress and Impacts Human Liver Transplantation.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Environmentally triggered chronic liver inflammation can cause collagen deposits, whereas early stages of fibrosis without any specific symptoms could hardly be detectable. We hypothesized that some of the human donor grafts in clinical liver transplantation (LT) might possess unrecognizable fibrosis, affecting their susceptibility to LT-induced stress and hepatocellular damage. This retrospective study aimed to assess the impact of occult hepatic fibrosis on clinical LT outcomes. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Human (194) donor liver biopsies were stained for collagen with Sirius red, and positive areas (Sirius red-positive area; SRA) were measured. The body mass index, aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio, diabetes score was calculated using 962 cases of the donor data at the procurement. LT outcomes, including ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI), early allograft dysfunction (EAD), and survival rates, were analyzed according to SRA and BARD scores. With the median SRA in 194 grafts of 9.4%, grafts were classified into low-SRA (<15%; n = 140) and high-SRA (≥15%; n = 54) groups. Grafts with high SRA suffered from higher rates of IRI and EAD (P < 0.05) as compared to those with low SRA. Interestingly, high SRA was identified as an independent risk factor for EAD and positively correlated with the donor BARD score. When comparing low-BARD (n = 692) with high-BARD (n = 270) grafts in the same period, those with high BARD showed significantly higher post-LT transaminase levels and higher rates of IRI and EAD. CONCLUSIONS: These findings from the largest clinical study cohort to date document the essential role of occult collagen deposition in donor livers on LT outcomes. High-SRA and donor BARD scores correlated with an increased incidence of hepatic IRI and EAD in LT recipients. This study provides the rationale for in-depth and prospective assessment of occult fibrosis for refined personalized LT management.

Long-term outcomes of patients with primary graft dysfunction after cardiac transplantation.

OBJECTIVES: The International Society of Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) criteria for primary graft dysfunction (PGD) after cardiac transplantation have been shown to stratify patient outcomes up to 1 year after transplantation, but scarce data are available regarding outcomes beyond the 1st year. We sought to characterize survival of patients with PGD following cardiac transplantation beyond the 1st year. METHODS: A retrospective review of consecutive patients undergoing isolated cardiac transplantation at a single centre between 2012 and 2015 was performed. Patients were diagnosed with none, mild, moderate or severe PGD by the ISHLT criteria. Survival was ascertained from the United Network for Organ Sharing database and chart review. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to compare survival. The hazard ratio for mortality associated with PGD severity was estimated using Cox-proportional hazards modelling, with a pre-specified conditional survival analysis at 90 days. RESULTS: A total of 257 consecutive patients underwent cardiac transplantation during the study period, of whom 73 (28%) met ISHLT criteria for PGD: 43 (17%) mild, 12 (5%) moderate and 18 (7%) severe. Patients with moderate or severe PGD had decreased survival up to 5 years after transplantation (log-rank P < 0.001). Landmark analyses demonstrated that patients with moderate or severe PGD were at increased risk of mortality during the first 90-days after transplantation as compared to those with none or mild PGD [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 18.9 (7.1-50.5); P < 0.001], but this hazard did not persist beyond 90-days in survivors (P = 0.64). CONCLUSIONS: A diagnosis of moderate or severe PGD is associated with increased mortality up to 5 years after cardiac transplantation. However, patients with moderate or severe PGD who survive to post-transplantation day 90 are no longer at increased risk for mortality as compared to those with none or mild PGD.

Importance of the preoperative prognostic nutritional index score as a predictor of chronic lung allograft dysfunction after lung transplantation: a Japanese single-institution study.

PURPOSES: Numerous indicators have been discussed as predictive markers for the incidence of chronic allograft dysfunction (CLAD) after lung transplantation (LTX). The aim of this study was to evaluate whether or not the preoperative prognostic nutrition index (PNI) correlated with the development of CLAD. METHOD: This study is a single-center and retrospective cohort study. Forty-six patients underwent cadaveric lung transplantation between 2000 and 2016 at our institution. The primary endpoint of this study was the CLAD-free survival of the patients. RESULT: CLAD was diagnosed in 11 patients (23%) during the follow-up period. Potential risk factors included recipient factors, donor factors, number of HLA mismatches, operation-related factors, and preoperative blood test results, including the preoperative PNI. The patients with a higher PNI showed a longer CLAD-free survival after LTX than those with lower values according to univariate and multivariate analyses (p = 0.01, 0.04, respectively). The 5-year CLAD-free survival rates in the higher-PNI patients and lower-PNI patients were 94% and 62%, respectively. CONCLUSION: We found that a lower preoperative PNI of the recipient was significantly associated with a higher incidence rate of CLAD. The preoperative PNI may, therefore, be useful as a predictor of the development of CLAD.

Prediction of donor related lung injury in clinical lung transplantation using a validated ex vivo lung perfusion inflammation score.

BACKGROUND: Ex vivo lung perfusion (EVLP) is an isolated organ assessment technique that has revolutionized the field of lung transplantation and enabled a safe increase in the number of organs transplanted. The objective of this study was to develop a protein-based assay that would provide a precision medicine approach to lung injury assessment during EVLP. METHODS: Perfusate samples collected from clinical EVLP cases performed from 2009 to 2019 were separated into development (n = 281) and validation (n = 57) sets to derive and validate an inflammation score based on IL-6 and IL-8 protein levels in perfusate. The ability of an inflammation score to predict lungs suitable for transplantation and likely to produce excellent recipient outcomes (time on ventilator ≤ 3 days) was assessed. Inflammation scores were compared to conventional clinical EVLP assessment parameters and associated with outcomes, including primary graft dysfunction and patient care in the ICU. RESULTS: An inflammation score accurately predicted the decision to transplant (AUROC 68% [95% CI 62-74]) at the end of EVLP and those transplants associated with short ventilator times (AUROC 73% [95% CI 66-80]). The score identified lungs more likely to develop primary graft dysfunction at 72-hours post-transplant (OR 4.0, p = 0.03). A model comprised of the inflammation score and ∆PO2 was able to determine EVLP transplants that were likely to have excellent recipient outcomes, with an accuracy of 87% [95% CI 83-92]. CONCLUSIONS: The adoption of an inflammation score will improve accuracy of EVLP decision-making and increase confidence of surgical teams to determine lungs that are suitable for transplantation, thereby improving organ utilization rates and patient outcomes.