Factores pronósticos de mortalidad en pacientes graves con sangramiento digestivo alto no variceal / Prognostic factors of mortality in seriously-III patients with high nonvariceal gastrointestinal bleeding

Introducción: El pronóstico de morir por sangrado digestivo permite individualizar el tratamiento y disminuir la letalidad. Objetivos: Identificar los factores pronósticos de mortalidad por sangramiento digestivo no variceal en pacientes graves. Métodos: Se estudiaron casos y controles en pacientes ingresados en la Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos del Hospital Docente Clínico Quirúrgico Joaquín Albarrán Domínguez entre el 1ro de enero 2018 al 31 de diciembre de 2019. El universo estuvo constituido por 1060 pacientes, se seleccionaron 154 pacientes (137 controles y 17 casos). Se aplicó el Chi cuadrado y el Odds ratio (IC= 95 por ciento). Resultados: Del total de pacientes estudiados, 11,3 por ciento fallecieron, la edad promedio fue 69 ± 11,58 (grupo control) y 75± 11,42 (grupo casos). Las alteraciones del equilibrio ácido-base tuvieron 7,4 riesgo de morir con (IC 95 por ciento 2,5-21,9), la hipoxia 1,1 (IC 95 por ciento 0,41-3,2), las variaciones del potasio 4,9 (IC 95 por ciento 1,54-16,1), hiperlactemia 16,9 (IC 95 por ciento 5,3-52,0), las desviaciones del sodio 6,5 (IC 95 % 0,8-51,4). Con ventilación mecánica 2,17 (IC 95 por ciento 0,6-7,0), el apoyo de aminas vasoactivas 16,9 (IC 95 por ciento5,30-52,0), la trasfusión de glóbulos rojos, 11,7 (IC 95 por ciento 3,1-4,3) y con tratamiento dialítico 47,5 (IC 95 por ciento 8,6-258.0), las complicaciones 3,4 (IC 95 por ciento 1,15-10,4). El tratamiento endoscópico fue 93,5 por ciento de grupo control y 41,3 por ciento del grupo de casos, con OR en 0,04 (IC 95 por ciento 0,01-0,15). Conclusiones: Los factores pronósticos identificados fueron: alteraciones del pH, del sodio, el potasio, elevación del lactato, la ventilación mecánica, transfusiones más de 250 mL de glóbulos rojos, apoyo de aminas vasoactivas, tratamiento dialítico, y complicaciones relacionadas con el sangrado. El tratamiento endoscópico fue un factor de protección(AU)

Introduction: The prognosis of dying from digestive bleeding allows individualizing treatment and reducing mortality. Objectives: To identify the prognostic factors of mortality due to nonvariceal gastrointestinal bleeding in seriously-ill patients. Methods: Cases and controls were studied in patients admitted to the intensive care unit of Joaquín Albarrán Domínguez Clinical-Surgical Teaching Hospital, between January 1, 2018 and December 31, 2019. The universe consisted of 1060 patients, 154 of which were selected to make up the sample (137 controls and 17 cases). Chi-square and odds ratio (CI: 95 percent) were applied. Results: Of the total of patients studied, 11.3 percent died, the average age was 69±11.58 (control group) and 75±11.42 (case group). Alterations in acid-base balance accounted for 7.4 as risk of dying (CI: 95 percent; 2.5-21.9), hypoxia accounted for 1.1 (CI: 95 percent; 0.41-3.2), variations in potassium accounted for 4.9 (CI: 95 percent; 1.54-16.1), hyperlacthemia accounted for 16.9 (CI: 95 percent; 5.3-52.0), and sodium deviations accounted for 6.5 (CI: 95 percent; 0.8-51, 4), mechanical ventilation accounted for 2.17 (CI: 95 percent; 0.6-7.0), vasoactive amines support accounted for 16.9 (CI: 95 percent; 5.30-52.0), red blood cell transfusion accounted for 11.7 (CI: 95 percent; 3.1-4.3), dialysis treatment accounted for 47.5 (CI: 95 percent; 8.6-258.0), and complications accounted for 3.4 (CI: 95 percent; 1.15-10.4). Endoscopic treatment was 93.5 percent in the control group and 41.3 percent in the case group, with odds ratio at 0.04 (CI: 95 percent; 0.01-0.15). Conclusions: The prognostic factors identified were alterations in pH, sodium, potassium, elevated lactate, mechanical ventilation, transfusions of more than 250 mL of red blood cells, vasoactive amine support, dialysis treatment, and complications related to bleeding. Endoscopic treatment was a protective factor(AU)

Postoperative complications and mortality following emergency digestive surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic: A multicenter collaborative retrospective cohort study protocol (COVID-CIR).

ABSTRACT: Infection with the SARS-CoV-2 virus seems to contribute significantly to increased postoperative complications and mortality after emergency surgical procedures. Additionally, the fear of COVID-19 contagion delays the consultation of patients, resulting in the deterioration of their acute diseases by the time of consultation. In the specific case of urgent digestive surgery patients, both factors significantly worsen the postoperative course and prognosis. Main working hypothesis: infection by COVID-19 increases postoperative 30-day-mortality for any cause in patients submitted to emergency/urgent general or gastrointestinal surgery. Likewise, hospital collapse during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic increased 30-day-mortality for any cause. Hence, the main objective of this study is to estimate the cumulative incidence of mortality at 30-days-after-surgery. Secondary objectives are: to estimate the cumulative incidence of postoperative complications and to develop a specific postoperative risk propensity model for COVID-19-infected patients.A multicenter, observational retrospective cohort study (COVID-CIR-study) will be carried out in consecutive patients operated on for urgent digestive pathology. Two cohorts will be defined: the "pandemic" cohort, which will include all patients (classified as COVID-19-positive or -negative) operated on for emergency digestive pathology during the months of March to June 2020; and the "control" cohort, which will include all patients operated on for emergency digestive pathology during the months of March to June 2019. Information will be gathered on demographic characteristics, clinical and analytical parameters, scores on the usual prognostic scales for quality management in a General Surgery service (POSSUM, P-POSSUM and LUCENTUM scores), prognostic factors applicable to all patients, specific prognostic factors for patients infected with SARS-CoV-2, postoperative morbidity and mortality (at 30 and 90 postoperative days). The main objective is to estimate the cumulative incidence of mortality at 30 days after surgery. As secondary objectives, to estimate the cumulative incidence of postoperative complications and to develop a specific postoperative risk propensity model for SARS-CoV-2 infected patients.The protocol (version1.0, April 20th 2020) was approved by the local Institutional Review Board (Ethic-and-Clinical-Investigation-Committee, code PR169/20, date 05/05/20). The study findings will be submitted to peer-reviewed journals and presented at relevant national and international scientific meetings.ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04479150 (July 21, 2020).

Opioid Use Disorder is Associated With Complications and Increased Length of Stay After Major Abdominal Surgery.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to determine the impact of opioid use disorder (OUD) on perioperative outcomes after major upper abdominal surgeries. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: OUD, defined as dependence/abuse, is a national health epidemic. Its impact on outcomes after major abdominal surgery has not been well characterized. METHODS: Patients who underwent elective esophagectomy, total/partial gastrectomy, major hepatectomy, and pancreatectomy were identified using the National Inpatient Sample (2003-2015). Propensity score matching by baseline characteristics was performed for patients with and without OUD. Outcomes measured were in-hospital complications, mortality, length of stay (LOS), and discharge disposition. RESULTS: Of 376,467 patients, 1096 (0.3%) had OUD. Patients with OUD were younger (mean 53 vs 61 years, P < 0.001) and more often male (55.1% vs 53.2%, P < 0.001), black (15.0% vs 7.6%, P < 0.001), Medicaid beneficiaries (22.0% vs 6.4%, P < 0.001), and in the lowest income quartile (32.6% vs 21.3%, P < 0.001). They also had a higher rate of alcohol (17.2% vs 2.8%, P < 0.001) and nonopioid drug (2.2% vs 0.2%, P = 0.023) dependence/abuse. After matching (N = 1077 OUD, N = 2164 no OUD), OUD was associated with a higher complication rate (52.9% vs 37.3%, P < 0.001), including increased pain [odds ratio (OR) 3.5, P < 0.001], delirium (OR 3.0, P = 0.004), and pulmonary complications (OR 2.0, P = 0.006). Additionally, OUD was associated with increased LOS (mean 12.4 vs 10.6 days, P = 0.015) and nonroutine discharge (OR 1.6, P < 0.001). In-hospital mortality did not differ (OR 2.4, P = 0.10). CONCLUSION: Patients with OUD more frequently experienced complications and increased LOS. Close postoperative monitoring may mitigate adverse outcomes.

Impact of Multidisciplinary Audit of Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS)® Programs at a Single Institution.

BACKGROUND: As Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS®) programs expand across numerous subspecialties, growth and sustainability on a system level becomes increasingly important and may benefit from reporting multidisciplinary and financial data. However, the literature on multidisciplinary outcome analysis in ERAS is sparse. This study aims to demonstrate the impact of multidisciplinary ERAS auditing in a hospital system. Additionally, we describe developing a financial metric for use in gaining support for system-wide ERAS adoption and sustainability. METHODS: Data from HPB, colorectal and urology ERAS programs at a single institution were analyzed from a prospective ERAS Interactive Audit System (EIAS) database from September 2015 to June 2019. Clinical 30-day outcomes for the ERAS cohort (n = 1374) were compared to the EIAS pre-ERAS control (n = 311). Association between improved ERAS compliance and improved outcomes were also assessed for the ERAS cohort. The potential multidisciplinary financial impact was estimated from hospital bed charges. RESULTS: Multidisciplinary auditing demonstrated a significant reduction in postoperative length of stay (LOS) (1.5 days, p < 0.001) for ERAS patients in aggregate and improved ERAS compliance was associated with reduced LOS (coefficient - 0.04, p = 0.004). Improved ERAS compliance in aggregate also significantly associated with improved 30-day survival (odds ratio 1.04, p = 0.001). Multidisciplinary analysis also demonstrated a potential financial impact of 44% savings (p < 0.001) by reducing hospital bed charges across all specialties. CONCLUSIONS: Multidisciplinary auditing of ERAS programs may improve ERAS program support and expansion. Analysis across subspecialties demonstrated associations between improved ERAS compliance and postoperative LOS as well as 30-day survival, and further suggested a substantial combined financial impact.

Análise do perfil socioeconômico, demográfico e epidemiológico da população do município de Feira de Santana (BA) / Analysis of the socioeconomic, demographic and epidemiological profile of the population of Feira de Santana, Bahia / Análisis del perfil socioeconómico, demográfico y epidemiológico de la población de la cuidad de Feria de Santana, BA, Brasil

O conhecimento do perfil populacional, com suas características demográficas, sociais, econômicas e epidemiológicas, é importante para elaboração e avaliação da efetividade de políticas públicas, auxiliando também no planejamento, dimensionamento das demandas por serviços e destinação de recursos financeiros. Dessa forma, este estudo teve como objetivo analisar o perfil socioeconômico, demográfico e epidemiológico da população do município de Feira de Santana (BA). Trata-se de um estudo ecológico que utilizou dados secundários de domínio público, referentes ao período de janeiro de 2000 a dezembro de 2019. As análises dos dados foram descritivas, mediante cálculo dos indicadores, distribuição de frequências e percentuais, com organização dos resultados em tabelas e gráficos, comparando-os com a literatura específica. Os resultados apresentaram que a cobertura de esgotamento sanitário foi inferior a 50% dos domicílios. Do total de estabelecimentos de saúde existentes, 71% eram da rede privada. A principal causa de morbidade foram as doenças do aparelho digestivo. As causas mal definidas constituíram a principal causa de mortalidade. Destaca-se a importância da qualificação e corresponsabilização das equipes de saúde para a relevância da notificação e preenchimento de informações referentes à construção dos indicadores de saúde, que devem representar a realidade do município, intensificando, assim, as ações de vigilância em saúde.

Knowledge of the population profile, covering its demographic, social, economic, and epidemiological characteristics, is crucial for elaborating and evaluating the effectiveness of public policies, and in planning and sizing demands for services and allocation of financial resources. As such, this ecological study analyzes the socioeconomic, demographic and epidemiological profile of the population of Feira de Santana, Bahia, Brazil. The public domain secondary data collected from January 2000 to December 2019 underwent descriptive analysis, by calculating indicators, frequencies and percentage distributions. Results were organized in tables and charts and later compared with the specific literature. The findings showed that less than 50% of the households have sanitary sewage. Of the total number of healthcare facilities, 71% were private. Main cause of morbidity were digestive tract diseases. Poorly defined causes were the leading cause of mortality. In conclusion, health teams must be qualified and sensitize to the relevance of notifying and filling in information related to the construction of health indicators, which should represent the reality of the municipality, thus improving health surveillance actions.

El conocimiento del perfil de la población, con sus características demográficas, sociales, económicas y epidemiológicas es importante para el desarrollo y la evaluación de la efectividad de políticas públicas, asistiendo también en la planificación, dimensionamiento de las demandas de servicios y la asignación de recursos financieros. Así, este estudio tuvo como objetivo analizar el perfil económico, demográfico, epidemiológico de la población de la ciudad de Feria de Santana, en Bahía, Brasil. Se Trata de un estudio ecológico, que utilizó datos secundarios de dominio público, referente al período de enero de 2000 a diciembre de 2019. El análisis de los datos fue descriptivo mediante el cálculo de los indicadores, de distribución de la frecuencia y el porcentaje, con la organización de los resultados en tablas y gráficos, comparándolos con la literatura específica. Los resultados mostraron que la cobertura de aguas residuales era inferior al 50% de los hogares. De todos los establecimientos de salud existentes, el 71% eran de la red privada. La principal causa de morbilidad fue las enfermedades del sistema digestivo. Las causas mal definidas fueron la principal causa de mortalidad. Se destaca la importancia de calificar a los equipos de salud para que sean conscientes de la importancia de la notificación y la presentación de información relativa a la construcción de los indicadores de salud, que deben representar la realidad de la ciudad, mejorando así las acciones de vigilancia sanitaria.

[Current trends in emergency abdominal surgery in the Russian Federation]. / Sovremennye tendentsii v neotlozhnoi abdominal'noi khirurgii v Rossiiskoi Federatsii.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze morbidity and factors affecting mortality in emergency abdominal surgery in the Russian Federation. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The study included patients with acute abdominal diseases aged 18 years and older. All patients were hospitalized in emergency surgical care departments of 3.194 state healthcare institutions in 84 regions of the Russian Federation in 2018. Morbidity, surgical activity and mortality were analyzed. RESULTS: There were 680.337 cases of hospitalization in emergency surgical department, morbidity rate was 582 cases per 100 000. The most common emergency surgical diseases were acute appendicitis (142.3 cases per 100 000), acute cholecystitis (139.0 cases per 100 000) and acute pancreatitis (131.2 cases per 100 000). Surgery was performed in 399.051 (58.7%) patients. In-hospital mortality rate was 2.4% (16 051 cases). CONCLUSION: There are certain factors affecting mortality rate in acute abdominal diseases. The leading problems in organizing emergency surgical care in Russia are insufficient equipment of rural and small municipal surgical hospitals, different staffing with surgeons in rural areas and large cities and late hospitalization of patients.

Outcome of interventional radiology for delayed postoperative hemorrhage in hepatobiliary and pancreatic surgery.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Postoperative hemorrhage is a rare but potentially lethal complication of hepatobiliary and pancreatic surgeries. This study aimed to retrospectively evaluate the clinical outcome of patients with delayed postoperative hemorrhage and compare the results according to the surgical procedure. METHODS: Overall, 4220 patients underwent surgery for hepatobiliary and pancreatic diseases. Delayed postoperative hemorrhage (observed more than 24 h postoperatively) occurred in 62 patients. Of these, 61 underwent interventional radiology to achieve hemostasis. Patients' clinical data were analyzed retrospectively. The chi-squared or Fisher's exact test was used in data analysis. RESULTS: A total of 62 patients (1.5%) developed delayed postoperative hemorrhage; 61 (1.4%) of them underwent interventional radiology to achieve hemostasis. Median duration from surgery to interventional radiology was 19 days (range: 5-252 days). Sentinel bleeding was detected in 31 patients; Clinical success was achieved in 54 patients (88.5%) by interventional radiology. Overall mortality rate was 26.2%. Causes of 16 in-hospital deaths were uncontrollable hemorrhage (n = 4) and worsening of general condition after hemostasis (n = 12). Mortality rates were 50.0% (11/22) and 12.8% (5/39) after hepatobiliary surgery and pancreatic resection, respectively. Mortality rate was significantly higher after hepatobiliary surgery than after pancreatic surgery (P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Interventional radiology can be successfully performed to achieve hemostasis for delayed hemorrhage after hepatobiliary and pancreatic surgeries. Because successful interventional radiology does not necessarily lead to survival, particularly after hepatobiliary surgery, meticulous attention to prevent surgical complications and intensive treatments before and after interventional radiology are required to improve outcomes.

Associations of regular glucosamine use with all-cause and cause-specific mortality: a large prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the associations of regular glucosamine use with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a large prospective cohort. METHODS: This population-based prospective cohort study included 495 077 women and men (mean (SD) age, 56.6 (8.1) years) from the UK Biobank study. Participants were recruited from 2006 to 2010 and were followed up through 2018. We evaluated all-cause mortality and mortality due to cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, respiratory and digestive disease. HRs and 95% CIs for all-cause and cause-specific mortality were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models with adjustment for potential confounding variables. RESULTS: At baseline, 19.1% of the participants reported regular use of glucosamine supplements. During a median follow-up of 8.9 years (IQR 8.3-9.7 years), 19 882 all-cause deaths were recorded, including 3802 CVD deaths, 8090 cancer deaths, 3380 respiratory disease deaths and 1061 digestive disease deaths. In multivariable adjusted analyses, the HRs associated with glucosamine use were 0.85 (95% CI 0.82 to 0.89) for all-cause mortality, 0.82 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.90) for CVD mortality, 0.94 (95% CI 0.88 to 0.99) for cancer mortality, 0.73 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.81) for respiratory mortality and 0.74 (95% CI 0.62 to 0.90) for digestive mortality. The inverse associations of glucosamine use with all-cause mortality seemed to be somewhat stronger among current than non-current smokers (p for interaction=0.00080). CONCLUSIONS: Regular glucosamine supplementation was associated with lower mortality due to all causes, cancer, CVD, respiratory and digestive diseases.

Changes in inequalities of mortality by education level in Lithuania between 2001 and 2014.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study is to analyse the changes in inequalities of mortality by education level in Lithuania between 2001 and 2014. STUDY DESIGN: This is a record-linked cohort study. METHODS: Information on deaths (in the population aged ≥30 years) from all causes and cardiovascular diseases, cancer, external causes and diseases of the digestive system was obtained from Statistics Lithuania. Mortality rates for these causes were calculated by the level of education per 100,000 person-years. Inequalities in mortality were assessed using a rate ratio and a relative index of inequality with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Joinpoint regression analysis was used to assess inequality trends between 2001 and 2014. RESULTS: During the study period, mortality from all causes and from cardiovascular diseases, cancer, external causes and diseases of the digestive system was statistically significantly higher in the group with less education for both men and women, with the exception for female mortality from cancer in 2001. The highest decline was observed in the inequalities of mortality from external causes, whereas a major increase was observed in the inequalities of mortality from diseases of the digestive system. A large increase in inequalities was observed in mortality from external causes for men (on average by 3.5% per year [95% CI = 2-5.1]), whereas, for women, the highest increase in inequalities was observed in mortality from diseases of the digestive system (on average by 3% per year [95% CI = 0.6-5.5]). The slowest increase in mortality inequalities was noted for cardiovascular diseases for both men (on average by 1.1% per year [95% CI = 0.4-1.9]) and women (on average by 0.8% per year [95% CI = 0.3-1.3]). CONCLUSION: Between 2001 and 2014, the inequalities in mortality by level of education in Lithuania significantly increased in terms of mortality from all causes, cardiovascular diseases, cancer, external causes and diseases of the digestive system.

Circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration and cause-specific mortality in the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study.

Vitamin D deficiency is associated with higher all-cause mortality, but associations with specific causes of death are unclear. We investigated the association between circulating 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentration and cause-specific mortality using a case-cohort study within the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study (MCCS). Eligibility for the case-cohort study was restricted to participants with baseline dried blood spot samples and no pre-baseline diagnosis of cancer. These analyses included participants who died (n = 2307) during a mean follow-up of 14 years and a sex-stratified random sample of eligible cohort participants ('subcohort', n = 2923). Concentration of 25(OH)D was measured using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Cox regression, with Barlow weights and robust standard errors to account for the case-cohort design, was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) for cause-specific mortality in relation to 25(OH)D concentration with adjustment for confounders. Circulating 25(OH)D concentration was inversely associated with risk of death due to cancer (HR per 25 nmol/L increment = 0.88, 95 % CI 0.78-0.99), particularly colorectal cancer (HR = 0.75, 95 % CI 0.57-0.99). Higher 25(OH)D concentrations were also associated with a lower risk of death due to diseases of the respiratory system (HR = 0.62, 95 % CI 0.43-0.88), particularly chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HR = 0.53, 95 % CI 0.30-0.94), and diseases of the digestive system (HR = 0.44, 95 % CI 0.26-0.76). Estimates for diabetes mortality (HR = 0.64, 95 % CI 0.33-1.26) and cardiovascular disease mortality (HR = 0.90, 95 % CI 0.76-1.07) lacked precision. The findings suggest that vitamin D might be important for preventing death due to some cancers, respiratory diseases, and digestive diseases.

Increased mortality from somatic multimorbidity in patients with schizophrenia: a Danish nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of single- and multimorbidity with mortality rates in patients with schizophrenia compared to the general population. METHOD: A nationwide cohort study including residents in Denmark between 1995 and 2015. The cohort was dichotomously divided by a diagnosis of schizophrenia. Somatic diseases included infections, cancer, endocrine, neurologic, cardiovascular, respiratory, digestive, skin, musculoskeletal, and urogenital diseases. Hazard ratios (HRs) and population attributable fractions (PAFs) were calculated. RESULTS: The cohort included 30 210 patients with schizophrenia [mean age (SD) = 32.6 (11.4), males = 57.2%], and 5 402 611 from the general population [mean age (SD) = 33.0 (14.5), males = 50.4%]. All number of somatic diseases were associated with an increased mortality in schizophrenia [HR = 16.3 (95% CI = 15.4-17.3) for 1 disease to 21.0 (95% CI = 19.1-23.0) for ≥5 diseases], using the general population with no somatic disease as reference. Across all somatic diseases, patients with schizophrenia showed a HR > 2, compared to the general population, and respiratory (PAF = 9.3%), digestive (PAF = 8.2%), and cardiovascular (PAF = 7.9%) diseases showed largest contributions to death. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with schizophrenia showed higher mortality on all levels of multimorbidity, and a doubled mortality rate across all somatic diseases, compared to the general population. The findings suggest that the clusters and trajectories of symptoms associated with schizophrenia is the main driver of the excess mortality.

Cause-Specific Mortality in Gout: Novel Findings of Elevated Risk of Non-Cardiovascular-Related Deaths.

OBJECTIVE: To examine cause-specific mortality beyond cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) in patients with gout compared to the general population. METHODS: We included all residents of Skåne (Sweden) age ≥18 years in the year 2002. Using the Skåne Healthcare Register, we identified subjects with a new diagnosis of gout (2003-2013) and matched each person with gout with 10 comparators free of gout, by age and sex. We used information on the underlying cause of death from the Swedish Cause of Death Register (through December 31, 2014) to estimate hazard ratios (HRs, with 95% confidence intervals [95% CIs]) of mortality for specific causes of death in a multi-state Cox model, with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: Among 832,258 persons, 19,497 had a new diagnosis of gout (32% women) and were matched with 194,947 comparators. Subjects with gout had higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease, metabolic disease, and CVD. Gout was associated with 17% increased hazard of all-cause mortality overall (HR 1.17 [95% CI 1.14-1.21]), 23% in women (HR 1.23 [95% CI 1.17-1.30]), and 15% in men (HR 1.15 [95% CI 1.10-1.19]). In terms of cause-specific mortality, the strongest associations were seen in the relationship of gout to the risk of death due to renal disease (HR 1.78 [95% CI 1.34-2.35]), diseases of the digestive system (HR 1.56 [95% 1.34-1.83]), CVD (HR 1.27 [95% CI 1.22-1.33]), infections (HR 1.20 [95% CI 1.06-1.35]), and dementia (HR 0.83 [95% CI 0.72-0.97]). CONCLUSION: Several non-CV causes of mortality are increased in persons with gout, emphasizing the need for improved management of comorbidities.

Associations between coffee consumption and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a Japanese city: the Takayama study.

OBJECTIVE: Epidemiological studies suggest that coffee consumption is inversely associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Evidence from studies targeting non-white, non-Western populations is still sparse, although coffee is popular and widely consumed in Asian countries. DESIGN: Population-based, prospective cohort study. We used Cox proportional hazards models with adjustment for dietary and lifestyle factors to estimate associations between coffee consumption and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Dietary intake including coffee consumption was assessed only at baseline using a validated FFQ. SETTING: A Japanese city. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals aged 35 years or older without cancer, CHD and stroke at baseline (n 29 079) and followed from 1992 to 2008. RESULTS: From 410 352 person-years, 5339 deaths were identified (mean follow-up = 14·1 years). Coffee consumption was inversely associated with mortality from all causes and CVD among all participants, but not from cancer. Compared with the category of 'none', the multivariate hazard ratio (95 % CI) for all-cause mortality was 0·93 (0·86, 1·00) for <1 cup/d, 0·84 (0·76, 0·93) for 1 cup/d and 0·81 (0·71, 0·92) for 2-3 cups/d. The multivariate hazard ratio (95 % CI) for cardiovascular mortality were 0·87 (0·77, 0·99) for <1 cup/d, 0·76 (0·63, 0·92) for 1 cup/d and 0·67 (0·50, 0·89) for 2-3 cups/d. Inverse associations were also observed for mortality from other causes, specifically infectious and digestive diseases. CONCLUSION: Drinking coffee, even 1 cup/d, was inversely associated with all-cause mortality and mortality from cardiovascular, infectious and digestive diseases.

Chronic hepatitis B virus infection and total and cause-specific mortality: a prospective cohort study of 0.5 million people.

OBJECTIVES: Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is associated with a higher risk of liver diseases. Substantial uncertainty remains, however, about the associations of HBV infection with mortality from extrahepatic causes, especially from subtypes of cardiovascular diseases. We prospectively examined the association of chronic HBV infection with total and cause-specific mortality. DESIGN: Population-based prospective cohort study. SETTING: China Kadoorie Biobank in which participants from 10 geographically diverse areas across China were enrolled between 2004 and 2008. PARTICIPANTS: 475 801 participants 30-79 years of age without reporting major chronic diseases at baseline were enrolled. Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) was tested using an on-site rapid test strip at baseline. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Total and cause-specific mortality. RESULTS: A total of 35 822 deaths were recorded during ~10 years of follow-up. In multivariable-adjusted analyses, compared with HBsAg-negative participants, HBsAg-positive participants had an increased risk of total mortality (HR=2.01, 95% CI: 1.91 to 2.12), which was higher in men (HR=2.16, 95% CI: 2.01 to 2.31) than in women (HR=1.74, 95% CI: 1.60 to 1.90). Presence of HBsAg was associated with increased mortality from liver cancer (1339 deaths, HR=13.95, 95% CI: 12.46 to 15.62), infections (410 deaths, HR=10.30, 95% CI: 8.21 to 12.94), digestive diseases (688 deaths, HR=6.83, 95% CI: 5.49 to 8.50), intracerebral haemorrhage (4077 deaths, HR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.14 to 1.68) and ischaemic heart diseases (4624 deaths, HR=1.31, 95% CI: 1.09 to 1.58). The positive association between HBsAg status and risk of death was stronger in participants younger than 50 years, smokers, physically active or non-hypertensive participants. CONCLUSIONS: Among Chinese adults, chronic HBV infection was associated with increased mortality from a range of hepatic and extrahepatic diseases.

[Emergency surgery in Russian Federation (in Russian only)]. / Sostoianie ékstrennoi khirurgicheskoi pomoshchi v Rossiiskoi Federatsii.

In the following article, we present the key trends in emergency surgical care in the Russian Federation between 2000 and 2017. The study used data from federal statistical observations and a survey of state medical institutions in 80 regions encompassing 99.3% of the country's population. We discovered a change in the correlation between acute abdominal diseases, particularly a significant reduction in the occurrence of acute appendicitis and perforated peptic ulcer. Reduction in the number of emergency surgeries by 27.8% annually was also observed. Mortality rate decreased in cases of strangulated hernia, acute cholecystitis and acute pancreatitis, while it is stable for bowel obstruction and acute appendicitis and increasing in perforated peptic ulcer cases. The total annual number of lethal outcomes due to acute abdominal diseases was decreased by 1900 cases. Significant changes were observed in mortality rate and minimally invasive surgeries proportions between federal districts and individual regions of the country. The range of administrative measures was proposed.

Cause-specific mortality in osteoarthritis of peripheral joints.

PURPOSE: To estimate cause-specific mortality in osteoarthritis patients compared to the general population. METHODS: We identified all residents in southern Sweden aged 45-84 years in 2003. Through the Skåne Healthcare Register (SHR) we identified those diagnosed with osteoarthritis in peripheral joints between 1998 and 2003. We followed all residents from 2004 until relocation outside of the region, death, or end of 2014. We classified the underlying cause of death from death certificates into: cardiovascular and neoplasms, diabetes, infections, dementia, diseases of digestive system, or other causes. For estimation, we used multi-state adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: We identified 15,901 patients (mean age [SD] 67 years [10], 41% men) with prevalent doctor-diagnosed osteoarthritis in knee, 9347 in hip, 4004 in hand and 5447 in other peripheral joints among 469,177 residents. For most causes of death in osteoarthritis patients, we found no increased mortality, with hazard ratios (HRs) close to 1, similar for men and women. However, for knee and hip osteoarthritis and cardiovascular death, HRs were non proportional and increased to 1.19 (95%CI 1.10, 1.28) and 1.13 (1.03, 1.24) during 9-11 years of follow-up, mostly due to excess mortality from chronic ischemic heart diseases and heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of cardiovascular excess deaths increases with duration of knee and hip osteoarthritis. The major contributors are chronic ischemic heart diseases and heart failure. Our results call for improved implementation of osteoarthritis treatment guidelines, with major focus on interventions to address mobility limitations and maintaining or increase physical activity level.

Employment characteristics and cause-specific mortality at automotive electronics manufacturing plants in Huntsville, Alabama.

BACKGROUND: This study was carried out in response to worker concerns over their exposure to lead solder and chlorinated solvents at automotive electronics manufacturing plants in Huntsville, Alabama. METHODS: A study of 4396 United Autoworkers members ever-employed at the plants between 1972 and 1993 was conducted with mortality follow-up through 2016. Poisson regression was used to estimate mortality rate ratios (RR) according to employment characteristics, including calendar period of employment. RESULTS: Pre-1977 hires exhibited elevated adjusted rates of all-cause (RR, 1.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-1.52), cardiovascular (RR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.03-1.86), and digestive system (RR, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.04-5.10) disease mortality relative to the most recent hire group (1984-1993). Never- versus ever-employment in a skilled trade job was associated with elevated adjusted rates of all-cause, all-cancer, and cardiovascular disease mortality. Nervous system disorder mortality was greatest among 1977-1983 hires. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated mortality among pre-1977 hires is consistent with worker concerns over greater exposure to hazards at the original plant building.

Incidence and trends of cardiac complications in major abdominal surgery.

INTRODUCTION: Cardiovascular complications are the leading cause of death after noncardiac surgery. Major abdominal operations represent the largest category of procedures considered to have an increased risk of cardiovascular complications. The current aim was to examine trends in the incidence of mortality, perioperative myocardial infarction, and cardiac arrest to determine the presence of potential volume-outcome relationships. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of the Nationwide Inpatient Sample for patients undergoing elective, open abdominal esophagectomy, gastrectomy, pancreatectomy, nephrectomy, hepatectomy, splenectomy, and colectomy (major abdominal surgery) during 2008-2014. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the impact of operative volume on rates of myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest, and mortality. RESULTS: Of the 962,754 elective admissions for major abdominal surgery, 1.4% experienced in-hospital mortality, 0.7% myocardial infarction, and 0.35% cardiac arrest. Myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest were associated with a 24-fold increase in risk of perioperative mortality. Compared with institutions that have a very low volume of operations, those hospitals with larger volumes of operations had a decreased risk of cardiac arrest and incident mortality after cardiovascular complications, but the odds of myocardial infarction were greatest at higher operative-volume hospitals. The annual all-cause mortality and myocardial infarction rates decreased over time, but the incidence of cardiac arrest increased. CONCLUSION: Myocardial infarction or cardiac arrest after major abdominal surgery increased the odds of mortality with superior rescue after cardiovascular complications at higher volume institutions. Across all US hospitals performing major abdominal surgery, the rate of cardiac arrest increased without a concomitant increase in myocardial infarction or mortality. Novel targets for risk modification of myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest as well as investigation of processes that facilitate rescue after these complications at higher operative-volume hospitals are needed to delineate quality improvement opportunities.

Cancer incidence and mortality risks in a large US Barrett's oesophagus cohort.

OBJECTIVE: Barrett's oesophagus (BE) increases the risk of oesophageal adenocarcinoma by 10-55 times that of the general population, but no community-based cancer-specific incidence and cause-specific mortality risk estimates exist for large cohorts in the USA. DESIGN: Within Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), we identified patients with BE diagnosed during 1995-2012. KPNC cancer registry and mortality files were used to estimate standardised incidence ratios (SIR), standardised mortality ratios (SMR) and excess absolute risks. RESULTS: There were 8929 patients with BE providing 50 147 person-years of follow-up. Compared with the greater KPNC population, patients with BE had increased risks of any cancer (SIR=1.40, 95% CI 1.31 to 1.49), which slightly decreased after excluding oesophageal cancer. Oesophageal adenocarcinoma risk was increased 24 times, which translated into an excess absolute risk of 24 cases per 10 000 person-years. Although oesophageal adenocarcinoma risk decreased with time since BE diagnosis, oesophageal cancer mortality did not, indicating that the true risk is stable and persistent with time. Relative risks of cardia and stomach cancers were increased, but excess absolute risks were modest. Risks of colorectal, lung and prostate cancers were unaltered. All-cause mortality was slightly increased after excluding oesophageal cancer (SMR=1.24, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.31), but time-stratified analyses indicated that this was likely attributable to diagnostic bias. Cause-specific SMRs were elevated for ischaemic heart disease (SMR=1.39, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.63), respiratory system diseases (SMR=1.51, 95% CI 1.29 to 1.75) and digestive system diseases (SMR=2.20 95% CI 1.75 to 2.75). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with BE had a persistent excess risk of oesophageal adenocarcinoma over time, although their absolute excess risks for this cancer, any cancer and overall mortality were modest.