Novel pretreatment nomograms based on pan-immune-inflammation value for predicting clinical outcome in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

ABSTRACT

Background: The prognostic value of an effective biomarker, pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV), for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients after radical surgery or chemoradiotherapy has not been well explored. This study aimed to construct and validate nomograms based on PIV to predict survival outcomes of HNSCC patients. Methods: A total of 161 HNSCC patients who underwent radical surgery were enrolled retrospectively for development cohort. The cutoff of PIV was determined using the maximally selected rank statistics method. Multivariable Cox regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analyses were performed to develop two nomograms (Model A and Model B) that predict disease-free survival (DFS). The concordance index, receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the nomograms. A cohort composed of 50 patients who received radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy (RT/CRT) alone was applied for generality testing of PIV and nomograms. Results: Patients with higher PIV (≥123.3) experienced a worse DFS (HR, 5.01; 95% CI, 3.25-7.72; p<0.0001) and overall survival (OS) (HR, 5.23; 95% CI, 3.34-8.18; p<0.0001) compared to patients with lower PIV (<123.3) in the development cohort. Predictors of Model A included age, TNM stage, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and PIV, and that of Model B included TNM stage, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), and PIV. In comparison with TNM stage alone, the two nomograms demonstrated good calibration and discrimination and showed satisfactory clinical utility in internal validation. The generality testing results showed that higher PIV was also associated with worse survival outcomes in the RT/CRT cohort and the possibility that the two nomograms may have a universal applicability for patients with different treatments. Conclusions: The nomograms based on PIV, a simple but useful indicator, can provide prognosis prediction of individual HNSCC patients after radical surgery and may be broadly applicated for patients after RT/CRT alone.