CT-based radiomics for prediction of therapeutic response to Everolimus in metastatic neuroendocrine tumors.

ABSTRACT

AIM: To test radiomic approach in patients with metastatic neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) treated with Everolimus, with the aim to predict progression-free survival (PFS) and death. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty-five patients with metastatic neuroendocrine tumors, 15/25 pancreatic (60%), 9/25 ileal (36%), 1/25 lung (4%), were retrospectively enrolled between August 2013 and December 2020. All patients underwent contrast-enhanced CT before starting Everolimus, histological diagnosis, tumor grading, PFS, overall survival (OS), death, and clinical data collected. Population was divided into two groups responders (PFS ≤ 11 months) and non-responders (PFS > 11 months). 3D segmentation was performed on whole liver of naïve CT scans in arterial and venous phases, using a dedicated software (3DSlicer v4.10.2). A total of 107 radiomic features were extracted and compared between two groups (T test or Mann-Whitney), radiomics performance assessed with receiver operating characteristic curve, Kaplan-Meyer curves used for survival analysis, univariate and multivariate logistic regression performed to predict death, and interobserver variability assessed. All significant radiomic comparisons were validated by using a synthetic external cohort. P < 0.05 is considered significant. RESULTS: 15/25 patients were classified as responders (median PFS 25 months and OS 29 months) and 10/25 as non-responders (median PFS 4.5 months and OS 23 months). Among radiomic parameters, Correlation and Imc1 showed significant differences between two groups (P < 0.05) with the best performance (internal cohort AUC 0.86-0.84, P < 0.0001; external cohort AUC 0.84-0.90; P < 0.0001). Correlation < 0.21 resulted correlated with death at Kaplan-Meyer analysis (P = 0.02). Univariate analysis showed three radiomic features independently correlated with death, and in multivariate analysis radiomic model showed good performance with AUC 0.87, sensitivity 100%, and specificity 66.7%. Three features achieved 0.77 ≤ ICC < 0.83 and one ICC = 0.92. CONCLUSIONS: In patients affected by metastatic NETs eligible for Everolimus treatment, radiomics could be used as imaging biomarker able to predict PFS and death.