A radiomics nomogram for invasiveness prediction in lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as part-solid nodules with solid components smaller than 6 mm.

ABSTRACT

Objective: To investigate whether radiomics can help radiologists and thoracic surgeons accurately predict invasive adenocarcinoma (IAC) manifesting as part-solid nodules (PSNs) with solid components <6 mm and provide a basis for rational clinical decision-making. Materials and Methods: In total, 1,210 patients (mean age ± standard deviation 54.28 ± 11.38 years, 374 men and 836 women) from our hospital and another hospital with 1,248 PSNs pathologically diagnosed with adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS), minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA), or IAC were enrolled in this study. Among them, 1,050 cases from our hospital were randomly divided into a derivation set (n = 735) and an internal validation set (n = 315), 198 cases from another hospital were used for external validation. Each labeled nodule was segmented, and 105 radiomics features were extracted. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to calculate Rad-score and build the radiomics model. Multivariable logistic regression was conducted to identify the clinicoradiological predictors and establish the clinical-radiographic model. The combined model and predictive nomogram were developed based on identified clinicoradiological independent predictors and Rad-score using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The predictive performances of the three models were compared via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed on both the internal and external validation sets to evaluate the clinical utility of the nomogram. Results: The radiomics model showed superior predictive performance than the clinical-radiographic model in both internal and external validation sets (Az values, 0.884 vs. 0.810, p = 0.001; 0.924 vs. 0.855, p < 0.001, respectively). The combined model showed comparable predictive performance to the radiomics model (Az values, 0.887 vs. 0.884, p = 0.398; 0.917 vs. 0.924, p = 0.271, respectively). The clinical application value of the nomogram developed based on the Rad-score, maximum diameter, and lesion shape was confirmed, and DCA demonstrated that application of the Rad-score would be beneficial for radiologists predicting invasive lesions. Conclusions: Radiomics has the potential as an independent diagnostic tool to predict the invasiveness of PSNs with solid components <6 mm.