Recurrent metastatic patterns and prognosis after radical surgery in patients with alpha-fetoprotein-producing gastric cancer: a retrospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT

Alpha-fetoprotein-producing gastric cancer (AFPGC) is a rare and aggressive subtype of gastric cancer associated with poor prognosis. This study aimed to investigate the recurrent metastatic patterns and prognostic factors in AFPGC patients undergoing radical surgical resection. Data from 241 AFPGC patients diagnosed between January 2017 and January 2020 who underwent surgical resection were analyzed across multiple centers. Recurrence patterns, metastatic sites, and survival outcomes were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors for recurrent metastasis, overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS). There is an annual increase in the proportion of AFPGC cases, rising from 3.45% in 2017 to 7.88% in 2023. Higher serum AFP level was associated with increased likelihood of lymph node metastasis (P=0.006), deeper invasion depth (P=0.000) and greater tumor diameter (P=0.036). Independent predictors of recurrent metastasis included T4 infiltration, lymph node metastasis, tumor diameter >5 cm, poorly differentiated-undifferentiated pathology, preoperative AFP>1000 ng/mL, and postoperative increasing trend in AFP levels. The 5-year OS and DFS rates were 36.5% and 34.2%, respectively, with poorer survival linked to higher preoperative AFP levels and postoperative increasing trend in AFP level. Independent risk factors for poor OS and DFS included T4 infiltration, lymph node metastasis, poorly differentiated-undifferentiated pathology, preoperative AFP>1000 ng/mL, and postoperative increasing trend in AFP. Serum AFP level can serve as a potential predictive and prognostic biomarker. Identifying independent risk factors informs risk stratification and personalized treatment for AFPGC patients.