Population PBPK modeling using parametric and nonparametric methods of the Simcyp Simulator, and Bayesian samplers.

Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models usually include a large number of parameters whose values are obtained using in vitro to in vivo extrapolation. However, such extrapolations can be uncertain and may benefit from inclusion of evidence from clinical observations via parametric inference. When clinical interindividual variability is high, or the data sparse, it is essential to use a population pharmacokinetics inferential framework to estimate unknown or uncertain parameters. Several approaches are available for that purpose, but their relative advantages for PBPK modeling are unclear. We compare the results obtained using a minimal PBPK model of a canonical theophylline dataset with quasi-random parametric expectation maximization (QRPEM), nonparametric adaptive grid estimation (NPAG), Bayesian Metropolis-Hastings (MH), and Hamiltonian Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. QRPEM and NPAG gave consistent population and individual parameter estimates, mostly agreeing with Bayesian estimates. MH simulations ran faster than the others methods, which together had similar performance.

Assessment of Maternal and Fetal Dolutegravir Exposure by Integrating Ex Vivo Placental Perfusion Data and Physiologically-Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling.

Antiretroviral therapy during pregnancy reduces the risk of vertical HIV-1 transmission. However, drug dosing is challenging as pharmacokinetics (PK) may be altered during pregnancy. We combined a pregnancy physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling approach with data on placental drug transfer to simulate maternal and fetal exposure to dolutegravir (DTG). First, a PBPK model for DTG exposure in healthy volunteers was established based on physiological and DTG PK data. Next, the model was extended with a fetoplacental unit using transplacental kinetics obtained by performing ex vivo dual-side human cotyledon perfusion experiments. Simulations of fetal exposure after maternal dosing in the third trimester were in accordance with clinically observed DTG cord blood data. Furthermore, the predicted fetal trough plasma concentration (Ctrough ) following 50 mg q.d. dosing remained above the concentration that results in 90% of viral inhibition. Our integrated approach enables simulation of maternal and fetal DTG exposure, illustrating this to be a promising way to assess DTG PK during pregnancy.