Assessment of reporting sites for acute flaccid paralysis surveillance in Ethiopia: implications for planning of active case search visits.

INTRODUCTION: The World Health Organization acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) surveillance standards recommend documentation of the role of each potentially reporting site for evidence -based planning and tailoring support for active surveillance visits. This study assessed the contribution of various sites as source and quality of AFP cases reported over a five -year period in Ethiopia. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of AFP surveillance data collected from 2010-2014 in Ethiopia. Analyses were done using EPI-INFO version 7 for calculating frequencies and proportions, and testing possible associations between reporting sites and key dependent variables. RESULTS: Of the 5,274 AFP cases reported, hospitals and health centers reported 4627 (88%) of the cases. Hospitals in Addis Ababa (53%) and health posts in Benishangul Gumuz (48%) regions have contributed majority of the cases reported. Only 3% of cases were reported by private clinics nationally. The stool adequacy rate for health posts (81%) was lower than the overall national rate of 88% .Cases from health posts are more likely to be reported after 14 days of onset of paralysis, and 62% less likely to be investigated within two days of notification(OR: 1.82, 95% CI OR : 1.41-2.36, p-value <0.0001). Greater proportion (2.4%) of cases reported from health posts were either compatible, VDPV or WPV compared to cases reported by health centers (1.14%) or hospitals (1.4%). CONCLUSION: Though majority of the cases were reported by health centers followed by hospitals ,our findings suggest that all potentially reporting sites should be exhaustively identified, prioritized and regularly supported for quality case detection, investigation and reporting.

Epidemiology of rubella virus cases in the pre-vaccination era of Ethiopia, 2009-2015.

BACKGROUND: Rubella is a common mild rash illness caused by rubella virus. The majority of infections occur in children and young adults. The infection is the cause of a serious birth defect known as Congenital Rubella Syndrome (CRS) when a woman acquires infection early in pregnancy. Ethiopia has not yet established rubella virus surveillance and has not yet introduced rubella vaccine into the routine immunization program. We characterize the epidemiology of laboratory confirmed rubella virus cases collected through measles surveillance from 2009 to 2015 to better understand the burden of the disease in the country. METHODS: A descriptive analysis was made to characterize rubella cases reported through the national measles case based surveillance system. The measles case definition was used to capture potential rubella cases. A suspected measles case was a person with generalized rash and fever with cough, or coryza or conjunctivitis. Those cases whose sera were negative for measles IgM antibodies were tested for rubella IgM antibody. A confirmed rubella case was a person who tested positive for rubella IgM. Only laboratory confirmed rubella cases were analyzed in this article. RESULTS: Between 2009 and 2015, a total of 28,284 serum/plasma samples were collected and tested for measles IgM antibody and 11,151 (39.4%) were found positive. A total of 17,066 measles IgM negative or indeterminate samples were tested for rubella virus IgM and 2615 (15.3%) were found positive during the same period. Of 2615 confirmed rubella cases, 52.2% were females. The age of confirmed cases ranged from one month to 42 years with a mean age of 7.3 years. Three-fourth of all confirmed rubella cases were aged less than 10 years. The number of laboratory confirmed rubella cases linearly increased from 83 in 2009 to 856 in 2013 but dropped to 222 and 319 in 2014 and 2015 respectively. Higher number of cases occurred in the hot dry season (January through June) and in the central and western part of Ethiopia with 127 lab-confirmed outbreaks in the study period. CONCLUSIONS: Based on our analysis, rubella was found to be endemic throughout Ethiopia. Children below the age of 10 years were the most affected. The burden of rubella cases varied from year to year but had a seasonal peak in March. To better understand the magnitude of rubella prior to vaccine introduction, establishing rubella surveillance system, conducting sero-prevalence studies among child bearing age females and establishing CRS sentinel surveillance among young infants are critical.