Impact of preexisting autoimmune disease on myelodysplastic syndromes outcomes: a population analysis.

Preexisting autoimmune disease affects between 10% and 30% of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). Studies comparing outcomes in patients with MDS with and without autoimmune disease show discordant results. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Medicare database, we conducted a population analysis to define the impact of autoimmunity on MDS outcomes. Cases were ascertained between 2007 and 2017 and claim algorithms used to identify autoimmune disease, demographic characteristics, comorbidity scores, MDS histology, transfusion burden, treatment with hypomethylating agents, and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. Cox regression models estimated the impact on survival, and competing-risk regression models defined the effect on leukemic transformation. We analyzed 15 277 patients with MDS, including 2442 (16%) with preexisting autoimmune disease. The epidemiologic profile was distinctive in cases with preexisting autoimmunity, who were younger, were predominantly female, and had higher transfusion burden without difference in MDS histologic distribution. Autoimmune disease was associated with 11% decreased risk of death (hazard ratio [HR], 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.85-0.94; P < .001). The effect on risk of leukemic transformation differed based on MDS histology. In low-risk MDS histologies, autoimmunity was associated with a 1.9-fold increased risk of leukemia (HR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.17-2.99; P = .008), whereas no significant effect was seen in other groups. These results suggest that autoimmune disease affects survival in MDS and is associated with decreased mortality. The survival effect was evident in low-risk histologies despite higher risk of progression to leukemia. This could represent inflammation-driven hematopoiesis, simultaneously favoring less aggressive phenotypes and clonal expansion, which warrants further investigation.

Venous thromboembolism mortality and trends in older US adults, 2011-2019.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) affects 1.2 million people per year in the United States. With several clinical changes in diagnosis and treatment approaches in the past decade, we evaluated contemporary post-VTE mortality risk profiles and trends. Incident VTE cases were identified from the 2011-2019 Medicare 20% Sample, which is representative of nearly all Americans aged 65 and older. The social deprivation index was linked from public data; race/ethnicity and sex were self-reported. The all-cause mortality risk 30 days and 1 year after incident VTE was calculated in demographic subgroups and by prevalent cancer diagnosis status using model-based standardization. Risks for major cancer types, risk differences by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and socio-economic status (SES), and trends over time are also reported. The all-cause mortality risk among older US adults following incident VTE was 3.1% (95% CI 3.0-3.2) at 30 days and 19.6% (95% CI 19.2-20.1) at 1 year. For cancer-related VTE events, the age-sex-race-standardized risk was 6.0% at 30 days and 34.7% at 1 year. The standardized 30-day and 1-year risks were higher among non-White beneficiaries and among those with low SES. One-year mortality risk decreased 0.28 percentage points per year (95% CI 0.16-0.40) on average across the study period, with no trend observed for 30-day mortality risk. In sum, all-cause mortality risk following incident VTE has decreased slightly in the last decade, but racial and socio-economic disparities persist. Understanding patterns of mortality among demographic subgroups and in cancer-associated events is important for targeting efforts to improve VTE management.

Association between peripheral blood cytopenia and cancer mortality: A race-specific risk factor for cancer death.

BACKGROUND: Cytopenia is associated with cancer through mechanisms including clonal hematopoiesis and chronic inflammation. Cytopenia is more prevalent in Black people but its relationship with racial disparities in cancer mortality is unknown. METHODS: Cytopenia was defined in 19,028 Black and White participants recruited between 2003 and 2007 for the REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke cohort, based on age-, sex-, and race-adjusted ranges for blood counts. Cancer death was ascertained from Social Security Death and National Death Indexes. Multivariable Cox models estimated the risk of cancer mortality associated with cytopenia, adjusting for demographics (model1), anemia and cancer risk factors (model2), and socioeconomics (model3). Racial differences in the cytopenia-cancer death association were tested by cross-product interaction terms. RESULTS: Cytopenia was identified in 383 (2%) participants, 250 (65%) White, and 113 (35%) Black people. With median follow-up 11.3 years, 1,224 (6.4%) cancer deaths occurred. Cytopenia was associated with increased risk of cancer mortality in model1 (HR = 1.57, 95%CI 1.15-2.24), model2 (HR = 1.67, 95%CI 1.22-2.30), and model3 (HR = 1.59, 95%CI 1.17-2.17). Participants with cytopenia had twofold increased cumulative incidence of cancer death (13% vs. 6.5%, p < 0.01). Race by cytopenia interaction terms showed higher HR for cancer death in Black compared to White participants: 2.01 versus 1.41 (pinteraction  = 0.016, model1), 2.12 versus 1.45 (pinteraction  = 0.009, model2), and 1.82 versus 1.44 (pinteraction  = 0.04, model3). CONCLUSION: In this large, observational biracial prospective study, cytopenia was a risk factor for cancer death, with stronger association in Black than White people. Though race impacted the association of cytopenia with cancer mortality, cytopenia was not a mediator of the racial disparity in cancer mortality.