Burden of Illness of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: A Five-Year Longitudinal Study.

INTRODUCTION: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is associated with huge clinical and economic burden in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) which can be curtailed by efficacious treatment. In order to achieve this, current treatment pathways for T2DM and associated costs need to be assessed. METHODS: A longitudinal cohort review was conducted to collect country-specific and patient-specific clinical data, over a minimum observation period of 5 years in the KSA. Patient demographics, clinical characteristics and treatment patterns were recorded. The IQVIA Core Diabetes Model (CDM) version 9.5 Plus was used to assess the burden of illness, which included long-term projections of clinical (life expectancy [LE], quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs], event rates of diabetes-related complications) and direct medical cost (per-patient annual or lifelong [50 years]) outcomes of the most commonly used first-line (1st-line) regimens for T2DM from a payer perspective in the KSA. RESULTS: Data were collected from a subpopulation of 638 patients from 15 participating centres. There was an equal gender representation with a majority of the patients belonging to Arabian/Saudi ethnicity (71.0%). Biguanides (81.5%), sulfonylureas (51.6%), dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitors (26.2%) and fast-acting insulins (17.2%) were the most prescribed 1st-line agents. The most frequently used 1st-line regimens resulted in an estimated LE of 25-28 years, QALYs of 18-21 years and lifelong total cost of illness of 201,377-437,371 Saudi Arabian riyal (53,700-116,632 US dollars). CONCLUSION: Our study addresses gaps in the current research by providing a complete landscape of baseline demographic, clinical characteristics and treatment patterns from a heterogeneous group of patients with T2DM in the KSA. Additionally, the burden of illness analysis using CDM showed substantially higher cost of T2DM care from a payer perspective in the KSA.

Informing a cost-effectiveness threshold for Saudi Arabia.

BACKGROUND: Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 aims to reform health care across the Kingdom, with health technology assessment being adopted as one tool promising to improve the efficiency with which resources are used. An understanding of the opportunity costs of reimbursement decisions is key to fulfilling this promise and can be used to inform a cost-effectiveness threshold. This paper is the first to provide a range of estimates of this using existing evidence extrapolated to the context of Saudi Arabia. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We use four approaches to estimate the marginal cost per unit of health produced by the healthcare system; drawing from existing evidence provided by a cross-country analysis, two alternative estimates from the UK context, and based on extrapolating a UK estimate using evidence on the income elasticity of the value of health. Consequences of estimation error are explored. RESULTS: Based on the four approaches, we find a range of SAR 42,046 per QALY gained (48% of GDP per capita) to SAR 215,120 per QALY gained (246% of GDP per capita). Calculated potential central estimates from the average of estimated health gains based on each source gives a range of SAR 50,000-75,000. The results are in line with estimates from the emerging literature from across the world. CONCLUSION: A cost-effectiveness threshold reflecting health opportunity costs can aid decision-making. Applying a cost-effectiveness threshold based on the range SAR 50,000 to 75,000 per QALY gained would ensure that resource allocation decisions in healthcare can in be informed in a way that accounts for health opportunity costs. LIMITATIONS: A limitation is that it is not based on a within-country study for Saudi Arabia, which represents a promising line of future work.

Healthcare in Saudi Arabia is undergoing wide-ranging reform through Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030. One aim of these reforms is to ensure that money spent on healthcare generates the most improvement in population health possible. To do this requires understanding the trade-offs that exist: funding one pharmaceutical drug means that same money is not available to fund another pharmaceutical drug. This is relevant whether the new drug would be funded from within the existing budget for healthcare or from an expansion of it. If the drugs apply to the same patient population and have the same price, the question is simply, "which one generates more health?" In reality, we need to compare pharmaceutical drugs for different diseases, patient populations, and at a range of potential prices to understand whether the drug in question would generate more health per riyal spent than what is currently funded by the healthcare system. This paper provides the first estimates of the amount of health, measured in terms of quality adjusted life years (QALYs), generated by the Saudi Arabian healthcare system. We find that the healthcare system generates health at a rate of one QALY produced for every 50,000­75,000 riyals spent (58­86% of GDP per capita). Using the range we estimate to inform cost-effectiveness threshold can aid decision-making.