A Nationwide Enumeration of the Surgical Workforce, its Production and Disparities in Operative Productivity in Liberia.

BACKGROUND: Any health care system that strives to deliver good health and well-being to its population relies on a trained workforce. The aim of this study was to enumerate surgical provider density, describe operative productivity and assess the association between key surgical system characteristics and surgical provider productivity in Liberia. METHODS: A nationwide survey of operation theatre logbooks, available human resources and facility infrastructure was conducted in 2018. Surgical providers were counted, and their productivity was calculated based on operative numbers and full-time equivalent positions. RESULTS: A total of 286 surgical providers were counted, of whom 67 were accredited specialists. This translated into a national density of 1.6 specialist providers per 100,000 population. Non-specialist physicians performed 58.3 percent (3607 of 6188) of all operations. Overall, surgical providers performed a median of 1.0 (IQR 0.5-2.7) operation per week, and there were large disparities in operative productivity within the workforce. Most operations (5483 of 6188) were categorized as essential, and each surgical provider performed a median of 2.0 (IQR 1.0-5.0) different types of essential procedures. Surgical providers who performed 7-14 different types of essential procedures were more than eight times as productive as providers who performed 0-1 essential procedure (operative productivity ratio = 8.66, 95% CI 6.27-11.97, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The Liberian health care system struggles with an alarming combination of few surgical providers and low provider productivity. Disaggregated data can provide a high-resolution picture of local challenges that can lead to local solutions.

Direct evaluation of the force constant matrix in quantum Monte Carlo.

We develop a formalism to directly evaluate the matrix of force constants within a Quantum Monte Carlo calculation. We utilize the matrix of force constants to accurately relax the positions of atoms in molecules and determine their vibrational modes, using a combination of variational and diffusion Monte Carlo. The computed bond lengths differ by less than 0.007 Šfrom the experimental results for all four tested molecules. For hydrogen and hydrogen chloride, we obtain fundamental vibrational frequencies within 0.1% of experimental results and ∼10 times more accurate than leading computational methods. For carbon dioxide and methane, the vibrational frequency obtained is on average within 1.1% of the experimental result, which is at least 3 times closer than results using restricted Hartree-Fock and density functional theory with a Perdew-Burke-Ernzerhof functional and comparable or better than density functional theory with a semi-empirical functional.

Minimally important difference in diffuse systemic sclerosis: results from the D-penicillamine study.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate minimally important differences (MIDs) in scores for the modified Rodnan Skin Score (mRSS) and Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI) in a clinical trial on diffuse systemic sclerosis (SSc). PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: 134 people participated in a 2-year, double-blind, randomised clinical trial comparing efficacy of low-dose and high-dose D-penicillamine in diffuse SSc. At 6, 12, 18 and 24 months, the investigator was asked to rate the change in the patient's health since entering the study: markedly worsened, moderately worsened, slightly worsened, unchanged, slightly improved, moderately improved or markedly improved. Patients who were rated as slightly improved were defined as the minimally changed subgroup and compared with patients rated as moderately or markedly improved. RESULTS: The MID estimates for the mRSS improvement ranged from 3.2 to 5.3 (0.40-0.66 effect size) and for the HAQ-DI from 0.10 to 0.14 (0.15-0.21 effect size). Patients who were rated to improve more than slightly were found to improve by 6.9-14.2 (0.86-1.77 effect size) on the mRSS and 0.21-0.55 (0.32-0.83 effect size) on the HAQ-DI score. CONCLUSION: MID estimates are provided for improvement in the mRSS and HAQ-DI scores, which can help in interpreting clinical trials on patients with SSc and be used for sample size calculation for future clinical trials on diffuse SSc.

The Disability Index of the Health Assessment Questionnaire is a predictor and correlate of outcome in the high-dose versus low-dose penicillamine in systemic sclerosis trial.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the clinical implications of a score of > or =1.0 on the Disability Index of the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ DI) at the first patient visit, and to examine the implications of improvement in HAQ DI score over 2 years in a cohort of systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients with diffuse cutaneous scleroderma. METHODS: SSc skin and visceral involvement was assessed in 134 SSc patients with diffuse scleroderma (mean +/- SD disease duration of 10 +/- 4 months) when they entered a multicenter drug trial and again 2 years later. Mortality and the occurrence of scleroderma renal crisis were assessed for a mean +/- SD of 4.0 +/- 1.1 years. Logistic and linear regression analyses were used to examine the relationship of the baseline HAQ DI score to morbidity, mortality, and visceral involvement, as well as the relationship of changes in the HAQ DI score to changes in physical examination, laboratory, and functional variables over 2 years. RESULTS: A baseline HAQ DI score of > or =1.0 was predictive of mortality (odds ratio 3.22, 95% confidence interval 1.097-9.468) over 4 years. Multivariate linear regression demonstrated that a model which included the erythrocyte sedimentation rate at baseline (P = 0.005) and changes at 2 years in the swollen joint count (P = 0.002), total skin score (P = 0.005), and white blood cell count (P = 0.005) best explained the change in HAQ DI score over 2 years (R2 = 0.528). The HAQ DI score and total skin score at baseline were highly correlated (correlation coefficient 0.368), as were changes in the HAQ DI score and the total skin score over 2 years (correlation coefficient 0.492). Although the HAQ DI score was heavily influenced by hand dysfunction at baseline and at 2 years, improvement (reduction) in the HAQ DI score over 2 years was related to factors other than hand dysfunction. CONCLUSION: A baseline HAQ DI score of > or =1.0 predicted mortality over 4 years. Improvement in the HAQ DI score in these patients with diffuse scleroderma was associated with improvement in skin thickening, hand function, oral aperture, lung function, signs of arthritis, serum creatinine level, and the investigator's global assessment of improvement. The HAQ DI is a self-administered questionnaire that SSc patients can complete easily and rapidly and that gives the practicing physician important information about prognosis, patient status, and changes in disease course over time.

Correlates of the disability index of the health assessment questionnaire: a measure of functional impairment in systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate functional impairment in systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients with diffuse cutaneous scleroderma at the time of entry into a trial of a therapeutic intervention (D-penicillamine). METHODS: The 20-item Disability Index of the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ-DI) was administered to 134 patients as they entered a multicenter trial of high-dose versus low-dose D-penicillamine. All patients had diffuse SSc of < 18 months' duration. SSc patients who had severe organ system involvement and recent renal crisis and who were receiving prednisone > 10 mg/day were excluded from entry. Logistic regression modeling was used to examine the relationship of HAQ-DI scores to SSc skin and organ system involvement. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were used to estimate effects. RESULTS: The mean (+/-SD) HAQ-DI score at entry was 1.04 +/- 0.67. Fifty-three percent of patients had HAQ-DI scores > or = 1.0 (signifying moderate-to-severe functional impairment). Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that impaired fist closure > or = 23 mm (OR 4.24, 95% CI 1.68-10.70), reduced handspread < or = 175 mm (OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.80-11.24), joint tenderness count > or = 1.0 (OR 2.93, 95% CI 1.16-7.40), age > or = 43 years (OR 2.44, 95% CI 1.01-5.95), platelet count > or = 330,000/mm3 (OR 2.30, 95% CI 0.96-5.57), and female sex (OR 2.43, 95% CI 0.77-7.73) were the most important correlates of HAQ-DI scores > or = 1.0. CONCLUSION: Increased HAQ-DI scores at baseline were correlated with reduced fist closure, reduced hand-spread, elevated platelet count, presence of tender joints, older age, and female sex. The most important contributor to functional impairment was hand dysfunction. Even within the first 18 months after SSc onset, moderate-severe functional impairment (HAQ-DI scores > or = 1.0) was frequent (53%) in this group of diffuse SSc patients. In early diffuse SSc, the self-administered HAQ-DI is therefore a valuable assessment of function that correlates with objective physical and laboratory measures of SSc disease involvement. Abnormal HAQ-DI scores may support patient claims of functional impairment, help to focus physician attention on implementing measures to reduce functional impairment, and be useful in reflecting the disease course over time.

Smoking among aboriginal health workers: findings of a 1995 survey in western New South Wales.

As part of the Western NSW Aboriginal Smoking Project (1995) a self-administered questionnaire surveyed regional Aboriginal health workers (AHWs) about their tobacco use and their awareness of smoking related health issues. The aim was to provide baseline information to guide the development of project interventions. The majority of respondents smoked. Among the smokers most said that they would like to quit smoking, and all said that they had tried to quit. All the smokers were interested in assistance to help them quit, and were interested in assistance to help them help others in their communities to quit. AHWs are a professional group whose smoking rates might typify that of their communities, and in the future they might provide indications of smoking trends in their communities.

Industrial atmospheric pollution, historical land use patterns and mortality.

BACKGROUND: The measurement of atmospheric pollution for epidemiological studies is problematic. This study presents a new proxy measure of atmospheric pollution of industrial origin and uses it to determine, at electoral ward level, the relationship between atmospheric pollution and all-cause mortality. METHODS: All-cause Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMR), all ages, and for persons under 65 years for the period 1984-1988, proportions of land in each ward utilized by industrial works (the proxy for atmospheric pollution) and levels of socioeconomic deprivation of the ward residents were compared in 104 electoral wards. RESULTS: The all-age SMR in the 22 wards containing the largest proportions of industrial land (113) was 9.7 per cent higher than the SMR (103) in the 60 wards with no industrial land. The under 65 years SMR in the 22 highly industrialized wards (120) was 22.4 per cent higher than the SMR (98) in the wards with no industrial land. After matching the levels of deprivation, the all-age SMR in the 15 wards containing over 10 per cent industrial land (116) was significantly higher than the SMR in 15 wards containing no industrial land (108); corresponding figures for the under 65 years SMR were 135 and 118. CONCLUSIONS: A greater proportion of industrial land in a ward is associated with a higher mortality of the ward residents, even after controlling for the level of socio-economic deprivation of the residents. The association between deprivation and mortality is stronger than the association between atmospheric pollution and mortality. There is an urgent need for better measures of atmospheric pollution which are usable in epidemiological studies.

Effects of publicity and a warning letter on illegal cigarette sales to minors.

The study aimed to assess rates of illegal cigarette sales to children and the impact on these rates of publicity and a warning letter threatening prosecution. Children aged 12 and 13 made two repeat purchasing attempts, three months apart, at 255 randomly selected tobacco retail outlets in Sydney. A randomly selected 50 per cent of retail outlets which sold cigarettes illegally at the first attempt were sent warning letters threatening prosecution. Publicity about the undercover buying operation was organised between the attempts. At the first attempts, 39 per cent of shops sold cigarettes to the children and 32 per cent sold them at the second attempt. Shops which sold on the first occasion and received warning letters reduced selling by 69 per cent compared to the 40 per cent reduction in shops which sold cigarettes on the first attempt and were not sent warning letters, a net reduction of 29 per cent seemingly attributable to the warning letters (95 per cent confidence interval 8 per cent to 50 per cent). It is extremely easy for children as young as 12 to buy cigarettes. The combined effects of publicity about undercover buying operations and warning letters threatening prosecution seem capable of reducing selling by about 29 per cent. Because of inconsistencies in selling or refusals, future attempts to measure selling rates to children should use repeat purchasing attempts and classify outlets as 'selling', 'not selling' or 'sometimes selling'.

Are the social relationships of young insulin-dependent diabetic patients affected by their condition?

In order to compare the social relationships of young adults with Type 1 diabetes with those of healthy controls, 80 young people aged 16-25 years were interviewed in-depth with a semi-structured questionnaire. Results demonstrated that subjects with diabetes had an equally high commitment to social arenas, but were significantly more likely to be socially isolated and were less likely to have very close relationships. Subjects had more attitudinal constraints with regard to having close relationships, and were more likely to report a fear of intimacy. They were less likely to have children, and many voiced their concerns regarding the impact their diabetes might have on both marriage and future parenthood. This study suggests that young adults with diabetes have more negative social experiences which may affect their feelings with regard to having close relationships. The absence of supportive relationships may impact on diabetes management; however this has yet to be fully ascertained in a young adult population.

Two-dimensional and Doppler echocardiographic assessment of neonatal arterial repair for transposition of the great arteries.

The arterial switch procedure has become an accepted reparative technique for transposition of the great arteries with or without ventricular septal defect. In this study the accuracy of prospective noninvasive imaging in detecting arterial tract obstruction and the prevalence and severity of arterial valvular regurgitation (as assessed by Doppler ultrasound) were evaluated in survivors of arterial repair. All 53 study patients underwent two-dimensional echocardiographic examination 2 days to 20 months (median 7 months) postoperatively; 43 patients also had pulsed and continuous wave Doppler studies. The accuracy of the noninvasive evaluation of arterial tract obstruction was determined by comparison of Doppler maximal instantaneous gradients with peak to peak gradients at nonsimultaneous catheterization in 26 patients. Twenty-one (81%) of the 26 patients underwent catheterization and successful pulsed and continuous wave Doppler examination of the right heart; 17 (81%) of these 21 had a maximal pressure gradient within 20 mm Hg of the peak to peak gradient obtained at catheterization. Echocardiographic identification of the stenotic site was correct in all eight of the patients in this group requiring reoperation. Twenty-three (88%) of the 26 patients who underwent catheterization had successful Doppler interrogation of the aortic tract; 22 (96%) of these 23 had a maximal instantaneous gradient within 20 mm Hg of the peak to peak catheterization gradient. Fourteen (32%) of 43 patients had mild or moderate pulmonary regurgitation by Doppler study. Three (7%) of the 43 had mild aortic regurgitation.

Absence of the booster phenomenon in serial tuberculin skin testing.

The Center for Disease has recently recommended that tuberculin skin testing of new hospital employees be done in two steps because of the so-called "booster phenomenon." To assess the feasibility of the two-step method in our hospital, we performed a pilot study using this method on all our new hospital employees during a 6-month period. From July 1, 1980, to December 31, 1980, all newly hired employees of the Strong Memorial Hospital were given a two-step tuberculin skin test as part of their preemployment health evaluation. During this time, 571 new employees were tested, 416 (73%) of whom completed both steps. The mean age of the 416 employees was 26 yr. Fourteen of 448 employees (3.1%) had positive reactions on the first test. None of the 416 employees had positive reactions on the second test. Additional visits for skin test administration, costs of informational materials, administrative expenses, and supplies added approximately $2,600 to the costs of our tuberculin skin testing program during the study period. The absence of the booster phenomenon in our employee population may be due to (1) the relatively young age of our hospital employee population who may be less likely to have remote infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis and/or (2) the relatively uncommon occurrence of nontuberculous mycobacterial infection in our area of the country. Depending on the age of employees of an institution and its geographic location, the two-step method may not detect any additional reactors. We recommend that hospitals contemplating adoption of this method first perform a similar pilot study in order to assess the frequency of the booster phenomenon in their employee populations.