Development of an umbilical cord blood transplantation-specific nonrelapse mortality risk assessment score.

ABSTRACT: Higher rate of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) remains yet to be resolved in umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT). Considering that UCBT has some unique features compared with allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation from other graft sources, a UCBT-specific NRM risk assessment system is required. Thus, in this study, we sought to develop a UCBT-specific NRM Risk Assessment (CoBRA) score. Using a nationwide registry database, we retrospectively analyzed 4437 recipients who had received their first single-unit UCBT. Using the backward elimination method, we constructed the CoBRA score in a training cohort (n = 2687), which consisted of recipients age ≥55 years (score 2), hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index ≥3 (score 2), male recipient, graft-versus-host disease prophylaxis other than tacrolimus in combination with methotrexate, performance status (PS) 2 to 4, HLA allele mismatch ≥ 2, refined Disease Risk Index high risk, myeloablative conditioning, and CD34+ cell doses < 0.82 × 105/kg (score 1 in each). The recipients were categorized into 3 groups: low (0-4 points), intermediate (5-7 points), and high (8-11 points) groups according to the CoBRA score. In the validation cohort (n = 1750), the cumulative incidence of NRM at 2 years was 14.9%, 25.5%, and 47.1% (P < .001), and 2-year overall survival (OS) was 74.2%, 52.7%, and 26.3% (P < .001) in the low, intermediate, and high groups, respectively. In summary, the CoBRA score could predict the NRM risk as well as OS after UCBT. Further external validation will be needed to confirm the significance of the CoBRA score.

Novel risk assessment for the intensity of conditioning regimen in older patients.

Reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC) regimens have long-term outcomes that are generally comparable with those of myeloablative conditioning (MAC) because of a lower risk of nonrelapse mortality (NRM) but a higher risk of relapse. However, it is unclear how we should select the conditioning intensity in individual cases. We propose the risk assessment for the intensity of conditioning regimen in elderly patients (RICE) score. We retrospectively analyzed 6147 recipients aged 50 to 69 years using a Japanese registry database. Based on the interaction analyses, advanced age (≥60 years), hematopoietic cell transplantation-specific comorbidity index (≥2), and umbilical cord blood were used to design a scoring system to predict the difference in an individual patient's risk of NRM between MAC and RIC: the RICE score, which is the sum of the 3 factors. Zero or 1 implies low RICE score and 2 or 3, high RICE score. In multivariate analyses, RIC was significantly associated with a decreased risk of NRM in patients with a high RICE score (training cohort: hazard ratio [HR], 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.60-0.90; P = .003; validation cohort: HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.43-0.77; P < .001). In contrast, we found no significant differences in NRM between MAC and RIC in patients with a low RICE score (training cohort: HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.85-1.15; P = .860; validation cohort: HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.66-1.01; P = .061). In summary, a new and simple scoring system, the RICE score, appears to be useful for personalizing the conditioning intensity and could improve transplant outcomes in older patients.

Decision Analysis for Unrelated Bone Marrow Transplantation or Immediate Cord Blood Transplantation for Patients with Philadelphia Chromosome-Negative Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia in First Complete Remission.

An HLA-matched relative is the first-choice donor for patients with Philadelphia chromosome (Ph)-negative acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) in first complete remission (CR1). The most promising alternative donor is thought to be an HLA-matched unrelated donor (MUD) in patients who do not have an HLA-matched related donor. Cord blood transplantation (CBT) is an alternative option. Higher rates of engraftment failure and nonrelapse mortality (NRM) are significant problems, but the ready availability of cord blood can be an advantage, because patients can immediately undergo transplantation before progression. This study was conducted to identify an appropriate alternative donor in patients with Ph-negative ALL in CR1 who do not have an HLA-matched related donor (MRD). Decision analyses using a Markov model were performed to compare immediate CBT, in which CBT was performed at 1 month after the achievement of CR1, with elective unrelated bone marrow transplantation (uBMT) from an 8/8 MUD (8/8 uBMT) or uBMT from a 7/8 MUD (7/8 uBMT), in which uBMT was performed at 4 months, in patients age 16 to 55 years with Ph-negative ALL in CR1 who did not have an MRD. We constructed a decision tree. The cycle length was set at 3 months, and analyses were performed for 19 cycles for uBMT and 20 cycles for CBT, resulting in evaluation of the 5-year life expectancy after both decisions. Transition probabilities (TPs) and utilities were estimated from prospective and retrospective Japanese studies and the registry database of Japan. Subgroup analyses were performed according to risk stratification based on WBC count and cytogenetics at diagnosis and according to age stratification, with a cutoff of 25 years. One-way sensitivity analyses for TPs and utilities were performed as well. The baseline analyses showed that 8/8 uBMT or 7/8 uBMT had superior results to CBT, with quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of 2.86 in 8/8 uBMT, 2.84 in 7/8 uBMT, and 2.75 in CBT. One-way sensitivity analyses showed that the results of the baseline analyses were reversed if the probability of NRM in CBT improved. Subgroup analyses showed similar results in younger, older, and high-risk patients. However, QALY was worse in 8/8 uBMT compared with CBT in standard-risk patients. In one-way sensitivity analyses, the probabilities of NRM in uBMT and CBT affected the baseline results in all analyses except for comparisons between 8/8 uBMT and CBT in younger and high-risk patients. In these 2 populations, the superiority of 8/8 uBMT was consistently demonstrated throughout the one-way sensitivity analyses. For patients with Ph-negative ALL in CR1 who decide to undergo transplantation from an alternative donor, elective uBMT from either an 8/8 MUD or a 7/8 MUD is expected to yield a better outcome than immediate CBT. Nonetheless, CBT is a viable option, and improvements to reduce the risk of NRM in CBT may change these results.

Newly proposed threshold and validation of white blood cell count at diagnosis for Philadelphia chromosome-positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia: risk assessment of relapse in patients with negative minimal residual disease at transplantation-a report from the Adult Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia Working Group of the JSTCT.

White blood cell count (WBC) at diagnosis is the conventional prognostic factor in Philadelphia chromosome-positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia (Ph+ ALL). Nevertheless, little is known about the impact of WBC at diagnosis considering the minimal residual disease (MRD) status at allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). We evaluated adult patients with Ph+ ALL who achieved negative-MRD and received HCT in first complete remission between 2006 and 2018. The entire cohort was temporally divided into derivation (n = 258) and validation cohorts (n = 366). Using a threshold of 15,000/µL, which was determined by a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis in the derivation cohort, high WBC was associated with an increased risk of hematological relapse in both the derivation cohort (25.3% vs. 11.6% at 7 years, P = 0.004) and the validation cohort (16.2% vs. 8.5% at 3 years, P = 0.025). In multivariate analyses, high WBC was a strong predictor of hematological relapse in the derivation cohort (HR, 2.52, 95%CI 1.32-4.80, P = 0.005) and in the validation cohort (HR, 2.32, 95%CI, 1.18-4.55; P = 0.015). In conclusion, WBC at diagnosis with a new threshold of 15,000/µL should contribute to better risk stratification in patients with negative-MRD at HCT.

The Global State of Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Multiple Myeloma: An Analysis of the Worldwide Network of Blood and Marrow Transplantation Database and the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Multiple myeloma (MM) is a plasma cell neoplasm characterized by destructive bony lesions, anemia, and renal impairment. Access to effective therapy is limited globally. We report the rates and utilization of hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) globally from 2006-2015 to better characterize access to HCT for patients with MM. This was an analysis of a retrospective survey of Worldwide Network of Blood and Marrow Transplant sites, conducted annually between 2006-2015. Incidence estimates were from the Global Burden of Disease study. Outcome measures included total number of autologous and allogeneic HCTs by world regions, and percentage of newly diagnosed MM patients who underwent HCT, calculated by the number of transplants per region in calendar year/gross annual incidence of MM per region. From 2006 to 2015, the number of autologous HCT performed worldwide for MM increased by 107%. Utilization of autologous HCT was highest in Northern America and European regions, increasing from 13% to 24% in Northern America, and an increase from 15% to 22% in Europe. In contrast, the utilization of autologous HCT was lower in the Africa/Mediterranean region, with utilization only changing from 1.8% in 2006 to 4% in 2015. The number of first allogeneic HCT performed globally for MM declined after a peak in 2012 by -3% since 2006. Autologous HCT utilization for MM has increased worldwide in high-income regions but remains poorly utilized in Africa and the East Mediterranean. More work is needed to improve access to HCT for MM patients, especially in low to middle income countries. © 2020 American Society for Transplantation and Cellular Therapy. Published by Elsevier Inc.

The Impact of Donor Type on Outcomes and Cost of Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Pediatric Leukemia: A Merged Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research and Pediatric Health Information System Analysis.

Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (alloHCT) may be associated with significant morbidity and mortality, resulting in increased healthcare utilization (HCU). To date, no multicenter comparative cost analyses have specifically evaluated alloHCT in children with acute leukemia. In this retrospective cohort study, we examined the relationship between survival and HCU while investigating the hypothesis that matched sibling donor (MSD) alloHCT has significantly lower inpatient HCU with unrelated donor (URD) alloHCT, and that among URDs, umbilical cord blood (UCB) alloHCT will have higher initial utilization but lower long-term utilization. Clinical and transplantation outcomes data from the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) were merged with inpatient cost data from the Pediatric Health Information System (PHIS) database using a probabilistic merge methodology. The merged dataset comprised US patients age 1 to 21 years who underwent alloHCT for acute leukemia between 2004 and 2011 with comprehensive CIBMTR data at a PHIS hospital. AlloHCT was analyzed by donor type, with specific analysis of utilization and costs using PHIS claims data. The primary outcomes of overall survival (OS), leukemia-free survival (LFS), and inpatient costs were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox and Poisson models. A total of 632 patients were identified in both the CIBMTR and PHIS data. The 5-year LFS was 60% for MSD alloHCT, 47% for well-matched matched unrelated donor bone marrow (MUD) alloHCT, 48% for mismatched unrelated donor alloHCT, and 45% for UCB alloHCT (P = .09). Total adjusted costs were significantly lower for MSD alloHCT versus MUD alloHCT by day 100 (adjusted cost ratio [ACR], .73; 95% confidence interval [CI], .62 to .86; P < .001), and higher for UCB alloHCT versus MUD alloHCT (ACR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.45; P < .001). By 2 years, total adjusted costs remained significantly lower for MSD alloHCT compared with MUD alloHCT (ACR, .67; 95% CI, .56 to .81; P < .001) and higher for UCB alloHCT compared with MUD alloHCT (ACR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.52; P = .0280). Our data show that UCB and MUD alloHCT provide similar survival outcomes; however, MUD alloHCT has a significant advantage in cost by day 100 and 2 years. More research is needed to determine whether the cost difference among URD alloHCT approaches remains significant with a larger sample size and/or beyond 2 years post-alloHCT.

Worldwide Network for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Recommendations for Establishing a Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation Program in Countries with Limited Resources, Part II: Clinical, Technical, and Socioeconomic Considerations.

The development of hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) programs can face significant challenges in most developing countries because such endeavors must compete with other government health care priorities, including the delivery of basic services. Although this is may be a limiting factor, these countries should prioritize development of the needed expertise to offer state-of-the-art treatments, including transplantation, by providing financial, technological, legal, ethical, and other needed support. This would prove beneficial in providing successful programs customized to the needs of their population and potentially provide long-term cost savings by circumventing the need for their citizens to seek care abroad. The costs of establishing an HSCT program and the costs of the HSCT procedure itself can be substantial barriers in developing countries. In addition, socioeconomic factors intrinsic to specific countries can influence access to HSCT, patient eligibility for HSCT, and timely utilization of HSCT center capabilities. This report describes recommendations from the Worldwide Network for Blood and Marrow Transplantation for establishing HSCT programs, with a specific focus on developing countries, and identifies challenges and opportunities for providing this specialized procedure in resource-constrained settings.

Country-Level Macroeconomic Indicators Predict Early Post-Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation Survival in Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia: A CIBMTR Analysis.

For patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) offers a potential cure. Life-threatening complications can arise from alloHCT that require the application of sophisticated health care delivery. The impact of country-level economic conditions on post-transplantation outcomes is not known. Our objective was to assess whether these variables were associated with outcomes for patients transplanted for ALL. Using data from the Center for Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, we included 11,261 patients who received a first alloHCT for ALL from 303 centers across 38 countries between the years of 2005 and 2013. Cox regression models were constructed using the following macroeconomic indicators as main effects: Gross national income per capita, health expenditure per capita, and Human Development Index (HDI). The outcome was overall survival at 100 days following transplantation. In each model, transplants performed within lower resourced environments were associated with inferior overall survival. In the model with the HDI as the main effect, transplants performed in the lowest HDI quartile (n = 697) were associated with increased hazard for mortality (hazard ratio, 2.42; 95% confidence interval, 1.64 to 3.57; P < .001) in comparison with transplants performed in the countries with the highest HDI quartile. This translated into an 11% survival difference at 100 days (77% for lowest HDI quartile versus 88% for all other quartiles). Country-level macroeconomic indices were associated with lower survival at 100 days after alloHCT for ALL. The reasons for this disparity require further investigation.

Risk Assessment in Adult T Cell Leukemia/Lymphoma Treated with Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation.

Disease status at allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is an important pretransplant prognostic factor of HCT in adult T cell leukemia/lymphoma (ATL); however, other prognostic factors, including comorbidities, were not predictive in small cohort analyses. Several scoring systems (HCT-specific comorbidity index [HCT-CI]/modified European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation risk score [mEBMT]) have been adopted to predict HCT outcomes in other hematologic malignancies. We retrospectively evaluated HCT-CI and mEBMT to predict nonrelapse mortality (NRM) in 824 ATL patients registered in the Japan Society for Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation TRUMP database, from 2008 until 2013. A higher HCT-CI was associated with greater NRM when comparing HCT-CI 0 versus HCT-CI 1 to 3 and HCT-CI 0 versus HCT-CI ≥ 4. A higher mEBMT score was not associated with higher NRM when comparing mEBMT 0 to 3 with 4 to 6. Because ATL patients are older and consequently at risk of additional complications, we developed an optimized prognostic index for ATL (ATL-HCT-PI) using known risk factors: age, HCT-CI, and donor-recipient sex combination. The ATL-HCT-PI scores effectively predicted the 2-year NRM (22.0%, 27.7%, and 44.4%, respectively). Therefore, the newly developed ATL-HCT-PI, in combination with other risk factors, is more useful for predicting NRM in HCT for ATL patients.

Clinical risks and healthcare utilization of hematopoietic cell transplantation for sickle cell disease in the USA using merged databases.

Advances in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation for sickle cell disease have improved outcomes, but there is limited analysis of healthcare utilization in this setting. We hypothesized that, compared to late transplantation, early transplantation (at age <10 years) improves outcomes and decreases healthcare utilization. We performed a retrospective study of children transplanted for sickle cell disease in the USA during 2000-2013 using two large databases. Univariate and Cox models were used to estimate associations of demographics, sickle cell disease severity, and transplant-related variables with mortality and chronic graft-versus-host disease, while Wilcoxon, Kruskal-Wallis, or linear trend tests were applied for the estimates of healthcare utilization. Among 161 patients with a 2-year overall survival rate of 90% (95% confidence interval [CI] 85-95%) mortality was significantly higher in those who underwent late transplantation versus early (hazard ratio (HR) 21, 95% CI 2.8-160.8, P=0.003) and unrelated compared to matched sibling donor transplantation (HR 5.9, 95% CI 1.7-20.2, P=0.005). Chronic graftversus host disease was significantly more frequent among those translanted late (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.0-3.5, P=0.034) and those who received an unrelated graft (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.2-5.4; P=0.017). Merged data for 176 patients showed that the median total adjusted transplant cost per patient was $467,747 (range: $344,029-$799,219). Healthcare utilization was lower among recipients of matched sibling donor grafts and those with low severity disease compared to those with other types of donor and disease severity types (P<0.001 and P=0.022, respectively); no association was demonstrated with late transplantation (P=0.775). Among patients with 2-year pre- and post-transplant data (n=41), early transplantation was associated with significant reductions in admissions (P<0.001), length of stay (P<0.001), and cost (P=0.008). Early transplant outcomes need to be studied prospectively in young children without severe disease and an available matched sibling to provide conclusive evidence for the superiority of this approach. Reduced post-transplant healthcare utilization inpatient care indicates that transplantation may provide a sustained decrease in healthcare costs over time.

Comparing Outcomes with Bone Marrow or Peripheral Blood Stem Cells as Graft Source for Matched Sibling Transplants in Severe Aplastic Anemia across Different Economic Regions.

Bone marrow (BM) is the preferred graft source for hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) in severe aplastic anemia (SAA) compared with mobilized peripheral blood stem cells (PBSCs). We hypothesized that this recommendation may not apply to those regions where patients present later in their disease course, with heavier transfusion load and with higher graft failure rates. Patients with SAA who received HSCT from an HLA-matched sibling donor from 1995 to 2009 and reported to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research or the Japan Society for Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation were analyzed. The study population was categorized by gross national income per capita and region/countries into 4 groups. Groups analyzed were high-income countries (HIC), which were further divided into United States-Canada (n = 486) and other HIC (n = 1264); upper middle income (UMIC) (n = 482); and combined lower-middle, low-income countries (LM-LIC) (n = 142). In multivariate analysis, overall survival (OS) was highest with BM as graft source in HIC compared with PBSCs in all countries or BM in UMIC or LM-LIC (P < .001). There was no significant difference in OS between BM and PBSCs in UMIC (P = .32) or LM-LIC (P = .23). In LM-LIC the 28-day neutrophil engraftment was higher with PBSCs compared with BM (97% versus 77%, P = .002). Chronic graft-versus-host disease was significantly higher with PBSCs in all groups. Whereas BM should definitely be the preferred graft source for HLA-matched sibling HSCT in SAA, PBSCs may be an acceptable alternative in countries with limited resources when treating patients at high risk of graft failure and infective complications.