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1.
Int J Infect Dis ; 103: 389-394, 2021 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33212260

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Migrant worker dormitories-residential complexes where 10-24 workers share living spaces-account for the majority of cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Singapore. To prevent overspill of transmission to the wider population, starting in early April 2020, residents were confined to their dormitories while measures were put in place to arrest the spread of infection. This descriptive study presents epidemiological data for a population of more than 60 000 migrant workers living in two barracks-style and four apartment-style dormitories located in western Singapore from April 3 to June 10, 2020. METHODS: Our report draws from data obtained over the first 50 days of outbreak management in order to describe SARS-CoV-2 transmission in high-density housing environments. Cumulative counts of SARS-CoV-2 cases and numbers of housing units affected were analyzed to report the harmonic means of harmonic means of doubling times and their 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Multiple transmission peaks were identified involving at least 5467 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection across six dormitories. Our geospatial heat maps gave an early indication of outbreak severity in affected buildings. We found that the number of cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection doubled every 1.56 days (95% CI 1.29-1.96) in barracks-style buildings. The corresponding doubling time for apartment-style buildings was 2.65 days (95% CI 2.01-3.87). CONCLUSIONS: Geospatial epidemiology was useful in shaping outbreak management strategies in dormitories. Our results indicate that building design plays an integral role in transmission and should be considered in the prevention of future outbreaks.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , Habitação , Migrantes , Adulto , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , SARS-CoV-2 , Singapura/epidemiologia , Análise Espaço-Temporal , Adulto Jovem
2.
BMC Med ; 18(1): 179, 2020 06 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32507112

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: On January 30, COVID-19 was declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern-a week after Singapore's first imported case and 5 days before local transmission. The National University Hospital (NUH) is Singapore's third largest hospital with 1200 beds, heavy clinical workloads, and major roles in research and teaching. MAIN BODY: With memories of SARS still vivid, there was an urgent requirement for the NUH Division of Infectious Diseases to adapt-undergoing major reorganization to face rapidly changing priorities while ensuring usual essential services and standards. Leveraging on individual strengths, our division mobilized to meet the demands of COVID-19 while engaging in high-level coordination, strategy, and advocacy. We present our experience of the 60 days since the nation's first case. During this time, our hospital has managed 3030 suspect cases, including 1300 inpatients, 37 confirmed cases, and overseen 4384 samples tested for COVID-19. CONCLUSION: Complex hospital adaptations were supported by an unprecedented number of workflows and coordination channels essential to safe and effective operations. The actions we describe, aligned with international recommendations and emerging evidence-based best practices, may serve as a framework for other divisions and institutions facing the spread of COVID-19 globally.


Assuntos
Infecções por Coronavirus , Hospitais Universitários , Inovação Organizacional , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral , Saúde Pública , Centros Médicos Acadêmicos , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Doenças Transmissíveis , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Atenção à Saúde , Hospitais Universitários/organização & administração , Humanos , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Singapura/epidemiologia , Carga de Trabalho
3.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 40(3): 341-349, 2019 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30786941

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the clinical, cost-efficiency, and budgetary implications of universal versus targeted latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) screening strategies among healthcare workers (HCWs) in an intermediate tuberculosis (TB)-burden country. DESIGN: Pragmatic cost-effectiveness and budget impact analysis using decision-analytic modeling. SETTING: A tertiary-care hospital in Singapore. METHODS: We compared 7 potentially implementable LTBI screening programs including universal and targeted strategies with different screening frequencies. Feasible targeting methods included stratification by country of origin (a proxy for risk of prior TB exposure) and by high-risk occupation. The clinical and financial consequences of each strategy were estimated relative to "no screening" (current practice) and compared to locally appropriate cost-effectiveness thresholds. All analyses were conducted from the hospital's perspective over a 3-year time horizon, based on the typical hospital planning period. Parameter uncertainties were accounted for using sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: In our model, relative to current practice, screening new international hires and triennial screening of existing high-risk workers is most cost-effective (US$58 per quality adjusted life year [QALY]) and decreases active TB cases from 19 to 14. Screening all new hires combined with triennial universal screening, with or without annual high-risk screening or annual universal screening, reduced active TB to a range of 19 to 6 cases, but these strategies are less cost-effective and require substantially higher expenditures. CONCLUSIONS: Targeted LTBI screening for HCWs can be highly cost-effective for hospitals in settings similar to Singapore. More inclusive screening strategies (including regular universal screening) can yield better outcomes but are less efficient and may even be unaffordable.


Assuntos
Análise Custo-Benefício , Tuberculose Latente/diagnóstico , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Teste Tuberculínico/economia , Análise Custo-Benefício/economia , Análise Custo-Benefício/estatística & dados numéricos , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Pessoal de Saúde , Humanos , Tuberculose Latente/economia , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Teste Tuberculínico/estatística & dados numéricos
4.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 24(8): 1565-1568, 2018 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30016242

RESUMO

Dengue virus and Zika virus coexist in tropical regions in Asia where healthcare resources are limited; differentiating the 2 viruses is challenging. We showed in a case-control discovery cohort, and replicated in a validation cohort, that the diagnostic indices of conjunctivitis, platelet count, and monocyte count reliably distinguished between these viruses.


Assuntos
Dengue/diagnóstico , Infecção por Zika virus/diagnóstico , Adulto , Aedes/virologia , Idoso , Animais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Estudos de Coortes , Conjuntivite Viral/diagnóstico , Conjuntivite Viral/fisiopatologia , Conjuntivite Viral/virologia , Dengue/fisiopatologia , Dengue/transmissão , Dengue/virologia , Vírus da Dengue , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Feminino , Febre/diagnóstico , Febre/fisiopatologia , Febre/virologia , Humanos , Contagem de Leucócitos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mosquitos Vetores/virologia , Mialgia/diagnóstico , Mialgia/fisiopatologia , Mialgia/virologia , Contagem de Plaquetas , Curva ROC , Singapura , Zika virus , Infecção por Zika virus/fisiopatologia , Infecção por Zika virus/transmissão , Infecção por Zika virus/virologia
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