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OBJECTIVES: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, with an increasing incidence and prevalence because of progressively aging populations. Costs related to AF are both direct and indirect. This systematic review aims to identify the main cost drivers of the illness, assess the potential economic impact resulting from changes in care strategies, and propose interventions where they are most needed. METHODS: A systematic literature search of the PubMed and Scopus databases was performed to identify analytical observational studies defining the cost of illness in cases of AF. The search strategy was based on the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) 2020 recommendations. RESULTS: Of the 944 articles retrieved, 24 met the inclusion criteria. These studies were conducted in several countries. All studies calculated the direct medical costs, whereas 8 of 24 studies assessed indirect costs. The median annual direct medical cost per patient, considering all studies, was 9409 (13 333 US dollars in purchasing power parities), with a very large variability due to the heterogeneity of different analyses. Hospitalization costs are generally the main cost drivers. Comorbidities and complications, such as stroke, considerably increase the average annual direct medical cost of AF. CONCLUSIONS: In most of the analyzed studies, inpatient care cost represents the main component of the mean direct medical cost per patient. Stroke and heart failure are responsible for a large share of the total costs; therefore, implementing guidelines to manage comorbidities in AF is a necessary step to improve health and mitigate healthcare costs.
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Fibrilação Atrial , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Fibrilação Atrial/economia , Fibrilação Atrial/terapia , Comorbidade , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/economiaRESUMO
In Italy, a sequential pneumococcal vaccination with conjugate vaccine (PCV) and polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) is recommended for individuals aged ≥ 65 years and those at risk for pneumococcal disease (PD) aged ≥ 6 years. The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of the new vaccines, i.e., approved 15-valent and 20-valent PCVs. A published Markov model was adapted to evaluate the lifetime cost-effectiveness of vaccination with PCV15 + PPSV23 versus PCV13 + PPSV23, PCV20 alone, PCV20 + PPSV23, and No Vaccination. Simulated cohorts representing the Italian population, including individuals aged ≥ 65 years, those at risk aged 50-100 years, and those deemed high risk aged 18-100 years were assessed. Outcomes were accrued in terms of incremental PD cases, costs, quality-adjusted life years, life years, and the cost-utility ratio relative to PCV13 + PPSV23. The conservative base case analysis, including vaccine efficacy based on PCV13 data, showed that sequential vaccination with PCV15 or PCV20 in combination with PPSV23 is preferred over sequential vaccination with PCV13 + PPSV23. Especially in the high-risk group, PCV15 + PPSV23 sequential vaccination was dominant over No Vaccination and resulted in an ICUR of 3605 per QALY gained. Including PCV20 + PPSV23 into the comparison resulted in the domination of the PCV15 + PPSV23 and No Vaccination strategies. Additionally, explorative analysis, including the geometric mean titer (GMT) informed vaccine effectiveness (VE) was performed. In the low-risk and high-risk groups, the results of the GMT scenarios showed PCV15 + PPSV23 to be dominant over the other sequential vaccines. These findings suggest that if real-world studies would confirm a difference in vaccine effectiveness of PCV15 and PCV20 versus PCV13 based on GMT ratios, PCV15 + PPSV23 could prove a highly immunogenic and effective vaccination regime for the Italian adult population.
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BACKGROUND: Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is the seventh most common neoplasm in high-income countries. New clinical pathways have been developed to deal with this tumor, which includes costly drugs that pose an economic threat to the sustainability of healthcare services. This study provides an estimate of the direct costs of care for patients with RCC by stage of disease (early vs. advanced) at diagnosis, and disease management phase along the pathway recommended by local and international guidelines. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Considering the clinical pathway for RCC adopted in the Veneto region (north-east Italy) and the latest guidelines, we developed a very detailed "whole-disease" model that covers the probabilities of all potentially necessary diagnostic and therapeutic actions involved in the management of RCC. Based on the cost of each procedure according to the Veneto Regional Authority's official reimbursement tariffs, we estimated the total and average per-patient costs by stage of disease (early or advanced) and phase of its management. RESULTS: In the first year after diagnosis, the mean expected cost of a patient with RCC is 12,991 if it is localized or locally-advanced and reaches 40,586 if it is advanced. For early disease, the main cost is incurred by surgery, whereas medical therapy (first and second line) and supportive care become increasingly important for metastatic disease. CONCLUSION: It is crucially important to examine the direct costs of care for RCC, and to predict the burden on healthcare services of new oncological therapies and treatments, as the findings could be useful for policy-makers planning the allocation of resources.
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Carcinoma de Células Renais , Neoplasias Renais , Humanos , Carcinoma de Células Renais/terapia , Carcinoma de Células Renais/tratamento farmacológico , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Neoplasias Renais/tratamento farmacológico , ItáliaAssuntos
Obesidade , Sobrepeso , Humanos , Criança , Sobrepeso/epidemiologia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Fatores EconômicosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The RCC treatment landscape has evolved dramatically over the past decade. The purpose of this study is to present a real-world data estimation of RCC's cost-of-illness for this tumour's clinical pathway. METHODS: This investigation is a population-based cohort study using real-world data, which considers all RCC incident cases diagnosed in Local Unit 6 of the Province of Padua in 2016 and 2017 as registered by the Veneto Cancer Registry. Data on drug prescriptions, the use of medical devices, hospital admissions, and visits to outpatient clinics and emergency departments were collected by means of administrative databases. We evaluated the costs of all healthcare procedures performed in the 2 years of follow-up post-RCC diagnosis. The overall and annual average real-world costs per patient, both as a whole and by single item, were calculated and stratified by stage of disease at diagnosis. RESULTS: The analysis involved a population of 148 patients with a median age of 65.8 years, 66.22% of whom were male. Two years after diagnosis, the average total costs amounted to 21,429 per patient. There is a steady increment in costs with increasing stage at diagnosis, with a total amount of 41,494 spent 2 years after diagnosis for stage IV patients, which is 2.44 times higher than the expenditure for stage I patients (17,037). In the first year, hospitalization appeared to be the most expensive item for both early and advanced disease. In the second year, however, outpatient procedures were the main cost driver in the earlier stages, whereas anticancer drugs accounted for the highest costs in the advanced stages. CONCLUSIONS: This observational study provides real-world and valuable estimates of RCC's cost-of-illness, which could enable policymakers to construct dynamic economic cost-effectiveness evaluation models based on real world costs' evaluation.
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Antineoplásicos , Carcinoma de Células Renais , Neoplasias Renais , Humanos , Masculino , Idoso , Feminino , Carcinoma de Células Renais/tratamento farmacológico , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Estudos de Coortes , Antineoplásicos/uso terapêutico , Neoplasias Renais/tratamento farmacológico , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: In Local Health Unit 7, human papilloma virus (HPV) vaccination campaigns for 12-year-olds have long been implemented by the vaccination services of the Department of Prevention. Due to the pressure of the COVID-19 pandemic on these services, an emergency vaccination campaign was directly managed by primary care pediatricians (PCPs). An initial evaluation of this experience was conducted. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data on 12-year-olds assisted by PCPs belonging to the 2006 (pre-pandemic) and 2008 (pandemic) birth cohorts were extracted, along with HPV vaccination data. Health district, gender, citizenship, socioeconomic status, and PCPs were evaluated as possible influencing factors in a two-level logistic regression (second level: single PCP). RESULTS: The HPV vaccination gap between males and females increased significantly for the 2008 birth cohort compared to the 2006 birth cohort (11 vs. 4 percentage points). As for PCPs, the vaccination uptake range was 4-71% for the 2008 birth cohort vs. 32-85% for the 2006 cohort. The proportion of variance explained at the second level was overall equal to 9.7% for the 2008 cohort vs. 3.6% for the 2006 cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The vaccination campaign carried out during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic increased the HPV vaccination gaps among Health Districts, genders, and individual PCPs, probably due to a lack of homogeneity in professional practices and attitudes toward HPV vaccination. Catch-up interventions are required in the immediate term, while an equity-lens approach should be taken for reprogramming the vaccination campaign. Greater involvement of schools and families could ensure a more equitable approach and a better uptake.
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BACKGROUND: The monoclonal antibody durvalumab, an immune-checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) antiprogrammed death ligand 1 (PD-L1), is available for unresectable stage III NSCLC patients as consolidation therapy following induction chemoradiotherapy, with very promising overall survival (OS) and progression-free survial (PFS) results in registration trials. The purpose of this study was to provide policymakers with an estimate of the cost-effectiveness of durvalumab in the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). METHODS: The study developed a Markov model covering a 5-year period to compare costs and outcomes of treating PD-L1 positive patients with or without durvalumab. We conducted a series of sensitivity analyses (Tornado analysis and Monte Carlo simulation) by varying some parameters to assess the robustness of our model and identify the parameters with the greatest impact on cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: Prior to the release of durvalumab, the management of NSCLC over a 5-year period cost 33 317 per patient, with an average life expectancy of 2.01 years. After the introduction of the drug, this increased to 37 317 per patient, with an average life expectancy of 2.13 years. Treatment with durvalumab led to an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of 35 526 per year. OS is the variable that contributes the most to the variability of the ICER. CONCLUSIONS: The study observed that durvalumab is a cost-effective treatment option for patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC.
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Antineoplásicos Imunológicos , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Anticorpos Monoclonais/uso terapêutico , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/efeitos adversos , Antígeno B7-H1/uso terapêutico , Quimiorradioterapia/efeitos adversos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Inibidores de Checkpoint ImunológicoRESUMO
The clinical treatment of soft tissue sarcoma (STS) has evolved substantially over the last decade. This population-based cohort study based on real-world data included all incidental STS recorded by the Veneto Cancer Registry in 2017. Data on hospital admissions, emergency department and outpatient visits, drug prescriptions, and use of medical devices within two years from STS diagnosis were obtained from administrative databases. The average per-patient real-world costs over this two-year period, in total and by single expenditure item, were calculated and stratified by stage of disease at diagnosis, tumor histology and tumor site. The mean total cost per patient amounted to EUR 16,793. A higher TNM stage at diagnosis was associated with higher healthcare costs, as follows: compared with stage I, the average total cost per patient was 1.32, 2.18 and 3.36 times greater for stages II, III and IV, respectively. Hospital stays generated the greatest costs (averaging EUR 7950 per patient), followed by outpatient visits (mean EUR 3947 per patient) and drug prescriptions (mean EUR 3664 per patient). Given the paucity of population-based studies, the present results can serve as a reference for further cost-effectiveness analyses on care strategies for patients with STS.
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INTRODUCTION: A number of studies have examined the impact of tumor stage on direct health care costs of patients with melanoma. This study aimed to investigate the association between the direct costs for melanoma and the patients' clinical and histological characteristics. METHODS: The present analysis included 1368 patients diagnosed with melanoma in 2017 in the Veneto Region (northeast Italy) and recorded in a regional population-based melanoma registry. The costs were assessed taking monthly and total direct costs into account. Log-linear multivariable analysis was used to identify the clinical and histological cost drivers, focusing on monthly and total direct costs per patient incurred during the first 2 years after a patient's diagnosis. RESULTS: On multivariable analysis, besides the stage of melanoma, also the presence of mitoses (> 2) was associated with higher monthly direct costs [odds ratio (OR) 1.55, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15-2.08, p = 0.004] in respect to cases with 0-2 mitoses. Vertical growth was associated with higher costs compared with radial growth (OR 1.28, 95% CI 1.00-1.64, p = 0.055). Moreover, the association between the absence of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) and higher monthly direct costs reached statistical significance (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.05-1.64, p = 0.017). There were no differences in monthly direct costs by patients' sex or age, ulceration, or tumor site. CONCLUSION: This study showed that not only tumor stage but also other clinical and histopathologic characteristics have an impact on the direct monthly and total costs of treating melanoma. Further studies on the cost-effectiveness of the various options for managing this disease should take these variables into account, as well as tumor stage, as cost drivers.
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Background: This study aims to provide a comprehensive overview of sex-related characteristics of cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM), with special reference to its incidence, clinicopathological profile, overall survival, and treatment-related costs. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included all 1,279 CMM patients who were registered in 2015 in the Veneto Cancer Registry (a population-based registry including all 4,900,000 regional residents). The by-sex comparisons included tumor stage and site, histological subtype, and other clinical-pathological variables. A Cox regression analysis was used to test the association between sex and survival, adjusting for the main covariates. Treatment costs were calculated by linking patients with several administrative regional databases. Results: Age-specific incidence rates were significantly higher for men among people >50 years old. For men, the trunk was the most common primary site (59.3%), whereas for women the lower limbs (32.1%) were the most common primary site, followed by the trunk (31.8%), which was lower than for men (p < 0.001). At presentation, the frequency of early stage CMM was higher among women, who also featured a significantly lower risk of death (p = 0.016), after adjusting for covariates. Men also incurred higher costs for melanoma treatment in the first year after their diagnosis. Conclusions: Among younger adults, CMM was more common in women, whereas among older adults, it was more common in men. Sex also influences patients' histopathological characteristics at diagnosis. Women had better overall survival after adjusting for demographic, pathological, and clinical profiles. The costs of treatment were also lower for women with CMM.
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Melanoma , Neoplasias Cutâneas , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Caracteres Sexuais , Melanoma Maligno CutâneoRESUMO
Promoting standardization and quality assurance (QA) may guarantee better outcomes for patients and ensure a better allocation of healthcare system resources. The present study tested the association between process quality indicators of the clinical pathway for melanoma and both patient short-term mortality and budget utilization. Specific indicators were selected to assess quality of processes in different phases of the pathway as well as the pathway as a whole. Cox regression models were run for each phase to test the association between adherence to the quality indicator and overall mortality. A Tobit regression analysis was used to identify any association between adherence to the quality indicators and total costs over the two years after melanoma was diagnosed. This retrospective cohort study concerned 1,222 incident cases of melanoma in the Veneto Region (north-east of Italy). Adherence to the clinical pathway as a whole was associated with a significant decrease in risk of death (HR= 0.40; 95% CI: 0,19 -0,77). Adherence to quality processes in the diagnostic phase (HR= 0.55 95% CI: 0.31- 0.95) and surgical phase (HR= 0.33 95% CI: 0.16- 0.61) significantly reduced the hazard risk. Tobit regression revealed a significant increase in overall costs for patients who adhered to the whole pathway in comparison with those who did not (ß= 2,393.24; p= 0.013). This study suggests that adherence to the quality of management of clinical pathways modifies short-term survival as well as mean cost of care for patients with cutaneous melanoma. Physicians should be encouraged to improve their compliance with clinical care pathways for their melanoma patients, and steadily growing associated costs emphasize the need for policy makers to invest exclusively in treatments of proven efficacy.
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Procedimentos Clínicos/normas , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Melanoma/economia , Melanoma/terapia , Indicadores de Qualidade em Assistência à Saúde , Neoplasias Cutâneas/economia , Neoplasias Cutâneas/terapia , Orçamentos , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Humanos , Itália , Melanoma/mortalidade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Cutâneas/mortalidade , Resultado do Tratamento , Melanoma Maligno CutâneoRESUMO
Previous research had shown the number of comorbidities is a major factor influencing the burden of care for elderly patients with obstructive lung disease (OLD). This retrospective cohort study on a large population of elderly patients (age > 65 years) with OLD in northern Italy measures the use of healthcare resources associated with the most frequent combinations of comorbidities and investigates the most common reasons for hospitalization. Total health costs, pharmacy costs, emergency department (ED) visits, outpatient visits, and hospital admissions are assessed for every subject. The most common causes of hospitalization by a number of comorbidities and the most common sets of three comorbidities are identified. For each comorbidity group, we rank a list of the most frequent causes of hospitalization, both overall and avoidable with effective ambulatory care. A small group of patients suffering from major comorbidities accounts for the use of most healthcare resources. The most frequent causes of hospitalization are respiratory failure, heart failure, chronic bronchitis, and bronchopneumonia. The most common conditions manageable with ambulatory care among causes of hospitalizations are heart failure, bacterial pneumonia, and COPD. The set of three comorbidities responsible for the highest average total costs, and the highest average number of hospitalizations and outpatient visits comprised hypertension, cardiac arrhythmias, and heart failure. The main reasons for hospitalization proved to remain linked to heart failure and acute respiratory disease, regardless of specific combinations of comorbidities. Based on these findings, specific public health interventions among patients with OLD cannot be advised on the basis of specific sets of comorbidities only.
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Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Idoso , Comorbidade , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Hospitalização , Humanos , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/epidemiologia , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/terapia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
PURPOSE: The present work aimed at conducting a real-world data analysis on the management costs and survival analysis comparing data from non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) cases diagnosed in the Veneto region before (2015) and after (2017) the implementation of a regional diagnostic and therapeutic pathway including all new diagnostic and therapeutic strategies. METHOD: This study considered 254 incidental cases of NSCLC in 2015 and 228 in 2017 within the territory of the Padua province (Italy), as recorded by the Veneto Cancer Registry. Tobit regression analysis was performed to verify if total and each item costs (2 years after NSCLC diagnosis) are associated with index year, adjusting by year of diagnosis, sex, age, and stage at diagnosis. Logistic regression models were run to study overall mortality at 2 years, adjusting by the same covariates. RESULTS: The 2017 cohort had a lower mortality odd (odds ratio, 0.93; P = .02) and a significant increase in the average overall costs (P = .009) than the 2015 cohort. The Tobit regression analysis by cost item showed a very significant increase in the average cost of drugs (coefficient = 5,953, P = .008) for the 2017 cohort, as well as a decrease in the average cost of hospice care (coefficient = -1,822.6, P = .022). CONCLUSION: Our study showed a survival improvement for patients with NSCLC as well as an economic burden growth. Physicians should therefore be encouraged to follow new clinical care pathways, while the steadily rising related costs underscore the need for policymakers and health professionals to pursue.
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Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/epidemiologia , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/terapia , Estudos de Coortes , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/terapia , Análise de SobrevidaRESUMO
AIMS: To describe the impact of diabetes comorbidities on the health care services use and costs of a cohort of elderly patients with diabetes and high health care needs (HHCN), based on real-world data. METHODS: We focused on a cohort of diabetic patients with HHCN belonging to Resource Utilization Bands 4 and 5 according to the Adjusted Clinical Group (ACG) system. Their comorbidities were assessed using the clinical diagnoses that the ACG system assigns to single patients by combining different information flows. Regression models were applied to analyze the associations between comorbidities and health care service use or costs, adjusting for age and sex. RESULTS: Our analyses showed that all health care service usage measures (e.g. access to emergency care; number of outpatient visits) and the total annual costs and pharmacy costs are associated significantly with comorbidity class. Instead, no differences in hospitalization rates by comorbidity class were revealed. CONCLUSION: The association between a larger number of comorbidities and higher total health care service usage and costs was seen mainly for primary care services. This underscores the need to strengthen primary care for today's aging and multimorbid population.
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Diabetes Mellitus , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Idoso , Atenção à Saúde , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus/terapia , Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is the first cause of cancer-related death among men and the second among women worldwide. It also poses an economic threat to the sustainability of healthcare services. This study estimated the direct costs of care for patients with NSCLC by stage at diagnosis, and management phase of pathway recommended in local and international guidelines. METHODS: Based on the most up-to-date guidelines, we developed a very detailed "whole-disease" model listing the probabilities of all potentially necessary diagnostic and therapeutic actions involved in the management of each stage of NSCLC. We assigned a cost to each procedure, and obtained an estimate of the total and average per-patient costs of each stage of the disease and phase of its management. RESULTS: The mean expected cost of a patient with NSCLC is 21,328 (95% C.I. -20 897-22 322). This cost is 16 291 in stage I, 19530 in stage II, 21938 in stage III, 22175 in stage IV, and 28 711 for a Pancoast tumor. In the early stages of the disease, the main cost is incurred by surgery, whereas in the more advanced stages radiotherapy, medical therapy, treatment for progressions, and supportive care become variously more important. CONCLUSIONS: An estimation of the direct costs of care for NSCLC is fundamental in order to predict the burden of new oncological therapies and treatments on healthcare services, and thus orient the decisions of policy-makers regarding the allocation of resources. KEY POINTS: SIGNIFICANT FINDINGS OF THE STUDY: The high costs of surgery make the early stages of the disease no less expensive than the advanced stages. WHAT THIS STUDY ADDS: An estimation of the direct costs of care is fundamental in order to orient the decisions of policy-makers regarding the allocation of resources.
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Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/economia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/economia , Gerenciamento Clínico , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estadiamento de NeoplasiasRESUMO
Background: The worldwide prevalence of obstructive lung disease (OLD) is increasing, especially among people >65 years old, and nearly three in four adults with OLD have two or more comorbid conditions. This study describes the impact of such comorbidities on the healthcare service usage and related costs in a country with universal health coverage, basing on a large cohort of elderly patients with OLD and employing real-world data. Methods: We carried out a retrospective cohort study on a large population of elderly (age >64 years) patients with OLD served by a Local Health Unit in northern Italy. Their comorbidities were assessed using the clinical diagnoses assigned by the Adjusted Clinical Group (ACG) system to individual patients by combining different information flows. Correlations between number of comorbidities and total annual healthcare service usage and costs were examined with Spearman's test. Regression models were applied to analyze the associations between the above-mentioned variables, adjusting for age and sex. Results: All types of healthcare service usage (access to emergency care; number of outpatient visits; number of hospital admissions) and pharmacy costs increased significantly with the number of comorbidities. Average total annual costs increased steadily with the number of comorbidities, ranging from 1158.84 with no comorbidities up to 9666.60 with 6 comorbidities or more. Poisson regression analyses showed an independent association between the number of comorbidities and the use of every type of healthcare service. Conclusion: These results based on real-world data provide evidence that the burden of care for OLD patients related to their comorbidities is independent of and in addition to the burden related to OLD alone and is strongly dependent on the number of comorbidities, suggesting a holistic approach to multimorbid patients with OLD is the most sound public health strategy.
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Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Adulto , Idoso , Atenção à Saúde , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Itália/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/diagnóstico , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/epidemiologia , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/terapia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: COVID-19 rapidly escalated into a pandemic, threatening 213 countries, areas, and territories the world over. We aimed to identify potential province-level socioeconomic determinants of the virus's dissemination, and explain between-province differences in the speed of its spread, based on data from 36 provinces of Northern Italy. METHODS: This is an ecological study. We included all confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 reported between February 24th and March 30th, 2020. For each province, we calculated the trend of contagion as the relative increase in the number of individuals infected between two time endpoints, assuming an exponential growth. Pearson's test was used to correlate the trend of contagion with a set of healthcare-associated, economic, and demographic parameters by province. The virus's spread was input as a dependent variable in a stepwise OLS regression model to test the association between rate of spread and province-level indicators. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis showed that the spread of COVID-19 was correlated negatively with aging index (p-value = 0.003), and positively with public transportation per capita (p-value = 0.012), the % of private long-term care hospital beds and, to a lesser extent (p-value = 0.070), the % of private acute care hospital beds (p-value = 0.006). CONCLUSION: Demographic and socioeconomic factors, and healthcare organization variables were found associated with a significant difference in the rate of COVID-19 spread in 36 provinces of Northern Italy. An aging population seemed to naturally contain social contacts. The availability of healthcare resources and their coordination could play an important part in spreading infection.
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COVID-19/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Idoso , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Atenção à Saúde , Demografia/métodos , Fatores Econômicos , Feminino , Instalações de Saúde , Recursos em Saúde , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Itália/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade , Fatores SocioeconômicosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: There have been plenty of articles published in recent decades on patient care in the form of case management (CM), but conclusions regarding health outcomes and costs have often been discordant. The objective of this study was to examine previous systematic reviews and meta-analyses with a view to assessing and pooling the overwhelming amount of data available on CM-based health outcomes and resource usage. METHODS: We conducted a review of reviews of secondary studies (meta-analyses and systematic reviews) addressing the effectiveness of CM compared with usual care (or other organizational models) in adult (18+) with long-term conditions. PubMed, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and the Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects (DARE) were searched from 2000 to the end of December 2017. The outcomes of interest are related to process of care, health measures, and resource usage. RESULTS: Twenty-two articles were ultimately considered: 4 meta-analyses and 18 systematic reviews. There is strong evidence of CM increasing adherence to treatment guidelines and improving patient satisfaction, but none of the secondary studies considered demonstrated any effect on patient survival. Based on the available literature, there is contrasting evidence regarding all the other health outcomes, such as quality of life (QOL), clinical outcomes, and functional status. Good-quality secondary studies consistently found nothing to indicate that CM prompts any reduction in the use of hospital resources. CONCLUSION: The source of variability in the literature on the consistency of the evidence for most outcomes is unclear. It may stem from the heterogeneity of CM programs in terms of what their intervention entails, the populations targeted, and the tools used to measure the results. That said, there was consistently strong evidence of CM being associated with a greater adherence to treatment guidelines and higher patient satisfaction, but not with a longer survival or better use of hospital resources.