Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic target attainment analyses to support intravenous and oral lefamulin dose selection for the treatment of patients with community-acquired bacterial pneumonia.

OBJECTIVES: Lefamulin is a semi-synthetic intravenous (iv) and oral pleuromutilin antibiotic active against community-acquired bacterial pneumonia (CABP) pathogens. Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) target attainment analyses were carried out to evaluate lefamulin 150 mg iv q12h and 600 mg orally q12h under fed and fasted conditions for the treatment of patients with CABP. METHODS: The analyses undertaken used a population PK model based on Phase 1 PK data, non-clinical PK/PD targets for efficacy and in vitro surveillance data for Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP) and Staphylococcus aureus (SA), and Monte Carlo simulation. Percentage probabilities of PK/PD target attainment by MIC on day 1 were determined using median total-drug epithelial lining fluid (ELF) and free-drug plasma AUC:MIC ratio targets associated with 1 and 2 log10 cfu reductions from baseline. RESULTS: Percentage probabilities of attaining the total-drug ELF AUC:MIC ratio target for a 1 log10 cfu reduction from baseline for SP were ≥99.2% at the MIC90 of 0.12 mg/L and 96.7%, 82.1% and 96.3% for iv and oral dosing regimens under fed and fasted conditions, respectively, at the MIC99 of 0.25 mg/L. Percentage probabilities of attaining the free-drug plasma AUC:MIC target for the same endpoint at the SP MIC99 were 100% for each regimen. For the SA MIC90 of 0.12 mg/L and AUC:MIC ratio targets for the same endpoint, percentage probabilities were 92.7%-100% for iv and oral dosing regimens. CONCLUSIONS: These data provide support for lefamulin 150 mg iv q12h and 600 mg orally q12h for the treatment of patients with CABP and suggest that doses may not need to be taken under fasted conditions.

Gatifloxacin Pharmacokinetics/Pharmacodynamics-based Optimal Dosing for Pulmonary and Meningeal Multidrug-resistant Tuberculosis.

Background: Gatifloxacin is used for the treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). The optimal dose is unknown. Methods: We performed a 28-day gatifloxacin hollow-fiber system model of tuberculosis (HFS-TB) study in order to identify the target exposures associated with optimal kill rates and resistance suppression. Monte Carlo experiments (MCE) were used to identify the dose that would achieve the target exposure in 10000 adult patients with meningeal or pulmonary MDR-TB. The optimal doses identified were validated using probit analyses of clinical data from 2 prospective clinical trials of patients with pulmonary and meningeal tuberculosis. Classification and regression-tree (CART) analyses were used to identify the gatifloxacin minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) below which patients failed or relapsed on combination therapy. Results: The target exposure associated with optimal microbial kill rates and resistance suppression in the HFS-TB was a 0-24 hour area under the concentration-time curve-to-MIC of 184. MCE identified an optimal gatifloxacin dose of 800 mg/day for pulmonary and 1200 mg/day for meningeal MDR-TB, and a clinical susceptibility breakpoint of MIC ≤ 0.5 mg/L. In clinical trials, CART identified that 79% patients failed therapy if MIC was >2 mg/L, but 98% were cured if MIC was ≤0.5 mg/L. Probit analysis of clinical data demonstrated a >90% probability of a cure in patients if treated with 800 mg/day for pulmonary tuberculosis and 1200 mg/day for meningeal tuberculosis. Doses ≤400 mg/day were suboptimal. Conclusions: Gatifloxacin doses of 800 mg/day and 1200 mg/day are recommended for pulmonary and meningeal MDR-TB treatment, respectively. Gatifloxacin has a susceptible dose-dependent zone at MICs 0.5-2 mg/L.

Levofloxacin Pharmacokinetics/Pharmacodynamics, Dosing, Susceptibility Breakpoints, and Artificial Intelligence in the Treatment of Multidrug-resistant Tuberculosis.

Background: Levofloxacin is used for the treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis; however the optimal dose is unknown. Methods: We used the hollow fiber system model of tuberculosis (HFS-TB) to identify 0-24 hour area under the concentration-time curve (AUC0-24) to minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) ratios associated with maximal microbial kill and suppression of acquired drug resistance (ADR) of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb). Levofloxacin-resistant isolates underwent whole-genome sequencing. Ten thousands patient Monte Carlo experiments (MCEs) were used to identify doses best able to achieve the HFS-TB-derived target exposures in cavitary tuberculosis and tuberculous meningitis. Next, we used an ensemble of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to identify the most important predictors of sputum conversion, ADR, and death in Tanzanian patients with pulmonary multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treated with a levofloxacin-containing regimen. We also performed probit regression to identify optimal levofloxacin doses in Vietnamese tuberculous meningitis patients. Results: In the HFS-TB, the AUC0-24/MIC associated with maximal Mtb kill was 146, while that associated with suppression of resistance was 360. The most common gyrA mutations in resistant Mtb were Asp94Gly, Asp94Asn, and Asp94Tyr. The minimum dose to achieve target exposures in MCEs was 1500 mg/day. AI algorithms identified an AUC0-24/MIC of 160 as predictive of microbiologic cure, followed by levofloxacin 2-hour peak concentration and body weight. Probit regression identified an optimal dose of 25 mg/kg as associated with >90% favorable response in adults with pulmonary tuberculosis. Conclusions: The levofloxacin dose of 25 mg/kg or 1500 mg/day was adequate for replacement of high-dose moxifloxacin in treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis.

Overcoming the Resistance Hurdle: Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacodynamic Target Attainment Analyses for Rezafungin (CD101) against Candida albicans and Candida glabrata.

Rezafungin (CD101) is a novel echinocandin antifungal agent with activity against Aspergillus and Candida species, including azole- and echinocandin-resistant isolates. The objective of these analyses was to conduct pharmacokinetic (PK)-pharmacodynamic (PD) target attainment analyses to evaluate single and once-weekly rezafungin dosing to provide dose selection support for future clinical studies. Using a previously developed rezafungin population PK model, Monte Carlo simulations were conducted utilizing the following three intravenous rezafungin regimens: (i) a single 400 mg dose, (ii) 400 mg for week 1 followed by 200 mg weekly for 5 weeks, and (iii) 400 mg weekly for 6 weeks. Percent probabilities of achieving the nonclinical PK-PD targets associated with net fungal stasis and 1-log10 CFU reductions from baseline for Candida albicans and Candida glabrata were calculated for each rezafungin regimen. At the MIC90 for C. albicans and C. glabrata, a single 400 mg dose of rezafungin achieved probabilities of PK-PD target attainment of ≥90% through week 3 of therapy for all PK-PD targets evaluated. When evaluating the multiple-dose (i.e., weekly) regimens under these conditions, percent probabilities of PK-PD target attainment of 100% were achieved through week 6. Moreover, high (>90%) probabilities of PK-PD target attainment were achieved through week 6 following administration of the weekly regimens at or above the MIC100 values for C. albicans and C. glabrata based on contemporary in vitro surveillance data. These analyses support the use of single and once-weekly rezafungin regimens for the treatment of patients with candidemia and/or candidiasis due to C. albicans or C. glabrata.

Use of Monte Carlo simulation and considerations for PK-PD targets to support antibacterial dose selection.

Monte Carlo simulation is used to generate data for pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) target attainment analyses to assess antibacterial dosing regimens in early and late stage drug development. Careful consideration of the quality of data for pharmacokinetics, non-clinical PK-PD targets for efficacy, the choice of the bacterial reduction endpoint upon which the PK-PD target is based, variability in the PK-PD target, and effect site exposures ensures optimal dose selection. Relationships between drug exposure and efficacy and/or safety endpoints based on clinical data can also be applied to simulated data to support dose selection. These in silico analyses, conducted throughout drug development, provide the greatest opportunity to de-risk the development of antibacterial agents.

PK-PD Compass: bringing infectious diseases pharmacometrics to the patient's bedside.

Antimicrobial stewardship programs face many challenges, one of which is a lack of guidance regarding antimicrobial dose, interval, and duration. There is no tool that considers patient demographic, pathogen susceptibility, and pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) targets for efficacy in order to evaluate appropriate antimicrobial dosing regimens. The PK-PD Compass, an educational mobile application, was developed to address this unmet need. The application consists of a Monte Carlo simulation algorithm which integrates pharmacokinetic (PK) and PK-PD data, patient-specific characteristics, and pathogen susceptibility data. Through the integration of these data, the application allows practitioners to assess the percent probability of PK-PD target attainment for 35 intravenous antimicrobial agents across 29 infection categories. Population PK models for each drug were identified, evaluated, and refined as needed. Susceptibility breakpoints were based upon FDA and CLSI criteria. By incorporating these data into one interface, clinicians can select the infection, pathogen, and antimicrobial agents of interest and obtain the percent probability of PK-PD target attainment for each regimen based upon patient-specific characteristics. The antimicrobial dosing regimens provided include those recommended by standard guidelines and reference texts. However, unlike these references, potential choices are prioritized based on percent probabilities of PK-PD target attainment. Such data will educate clinicians on selecting optimized antibiotic regimens through the lens of PK-PD.

Evaluation of Daptomycin Exposure and Efficacy and Safety Endpoints To Support Risk-versus-Benefit Considerations.

The choice of an antimicrobial agent must balance optimization of efficacy endpoints with the minimization of safety events. The risk versus benefit of daptomycin for patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia with or without infective endocarditis receiving daptomycin at 6, 8, and 10 mg/kg of body weight/day was assessed. The relationships between the area under the concentration-time curve over 24 h (AUC)/MIC ratio and both clinical response and time to decreased susceptibility were evaluated using data from patients with such infections who received daptomycin at 6 mg/kg/day. Using these relationships, plus the previously identified relationship between the minimum concentration and an elevation in the creatine phosphokinase (CPK) concentration (CPK elevation) (S. M. Bhavnani, C. M. Rubino, P. G. Ambrose, and G. L. Drusano, Clin Infect Dis 50:1568-1574, 2010) and Monte Carlo simulation, the probability of each outcome by MIC for daptomycin at 6, 8, and 10 mg/kg/day was calculated. The function for exposure-response relationships for clinical response (P = 0.06) and time to decreased susceptibility (P = 0.01) resembled U and inverted U shapes, respectively. Multivariable analyses demonstrated AUC/MIC ratio, creatinine clearance, albumin concentration, and disease category to be predictors of clinical response. The results of simulations failed to demonstrate large improvements in the probabilities of clinical success among cohorts of simulated patients defined by the above-described predictive factors or the probability of decreased susceptibility at 30 days when the daptomycin dose was increased from 6 to 10 mg/kg/day. The probability of CPK elevation increased from 0.073 to 0.156 over this dose range. These data can be used to inform risk-versus-benefit decisions for daptomycin dose selection in patients with S. aureus bacteremia with or without infective endocarditis. The risk of CPK elevation, which is reversible, should be weighed in the context of the mortality and severe morbidity associated with these types of serious staphylococcal infections.

Pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic target attainment analyses to evaluate in vitro susceptibility test interpretive criteria for ceftaroline against Staphylococcus aureus and Streptococcus pneumoniae.

To provide support for in vitro susceptibility test interpretive criteria decisions for ceftaroline against Staphylococcus aureus and Streptococcus pneumoniae, as well as dose adjustment recommendations for renal impairment, pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) target attainment was evaluated for simulated patients administered intravenous (i.v.) ceftaroline fosamil at 600 mg twice daily (q12h) and simulated patients with renal impairment administered various dosing regimens. Using a previously developed population PK model, Monte Carlo simulation was used to generate ceftaroline plasma concentration profiles for simulated patients with normal renal function or mild, moderate, or severe renal impairment. Using these profiles, the percentage of time during the dosing interval that free-drug concentrations remained above the MIC (f%T>MIC) for ceftaroline at steady state was calculated. Percentages of simulated patients achieving f %T>MIC targets for S. aureus and S. pneumoniae based on murine infection models were calculated by MIC. At MICs of 2 mg/liter for S. aureus and 1 mg/liter for S. pneumoniae, the percentages of simulated patients with normal renal function and mild renal impairment following administration of ceftaroline fosamil at 600 mg q12h, moderate renal impairment following administration of ceftaroline fosamil at 400 mg q12h, and severe renal impairment following administration of ceftaroline fosamil at 300 mg q12h achieving f %T>MIC targets (≥26 for S. aureus and ≥44 for S. pneumoniae) exceeded 90%. The results of these analyses, which suggested that in vitro susceptibility test interpretive criteria defining susceptible could be as high as MICs of ≤2 and ≤1 mg/liter for ceftaroline against S. aureus and S. pneumoniae, respectively, provide support for current FDA and CLSI criteria, which define susceptible as MICs of 1 and 0.5 mg/liter, respectively. Recommendations for dose adjustments for patients with renal impairment were also supported by the results of these analyses.

Application of pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic modeling and the justification of a novel fusidic acid dosing regimen: raising Lazarus from the dead.

Perhaps the most crucial step in the clinical development of an antimicrobial agent is the selection of a dosing regimen. Such decisions impact not only the success of a program but also the well being of individual patients, the emergence of resistance, and society as a whole. For fusidic acid, the selection of a dosing regimen for the treatment of patients with acute bacterial skin and skin-structure infection (ABSSSI) was based on the integration of knowledge gained from human population pharmacokinetic, in vitro infection, and mathematical models. The overarching goal of these studies was to identify a dosing regimen that would maximize the probabilities of positive clinical outcomes and limit the emergence of bacterial resistance during therapy. Novel dosing regimens identified included 1500 mg twice daily on day 1 followed by 600 mg twice daily for 10-14 days, a regimen that was subsequently found to be effective in a phase 2 clinical study of patients with ABSSSI. Herein, we review the data supporting the use of this novel fusidic acid dosing regimen, which will undergo further clinical evaluation in phase 3 clinical trials.

Use of pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic analyses to optimize therapy with the systemic antifungal micafungin for invasive candidiasis or candidemia.

Echinocandins have become a first-line therapy for invasive candidiasis (IC). Using phase 3 trial data for patients with IC, pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) relationships for efficacy for micafungin were examined. Micafungin exposures were estimated using a population pharmacokinetic model, and univariable and multivariable logistic regressions were used to identify factors associated with outcome, including the micafungin area under the concentration-time curve (AUC)/MIC ratio. Monte Carlo simulation was used to evaluate the probability of achieving AUC/MIC ratios associated with efficacy. Mycological and clinical success rates for evaluable cases were 89.4 and 90.9, respectively. MIC50s and MIC90s for Candida species inhibition were 0.008 and 0.5 mg/liter, respectively. The median AUC/MIC ratio was 15,511 (range, 41.28 to 98,716). Univariable analyses revealed a significant relationship between the AUC/MIC ratio and mycological response, with the worst response being among patients with lower (≤3,000) AUC/MIC ratios (P=0.005). For patients with Candida parapsilosis, AUC/MIC ratios of ≥285 were predictive of a higher mycological response (P=0.11). Multivariable logistic regression demonstrated the AUC/MIC ratio, APACHE II score, and history of corticosteroid use to be significant independent predictors of a favorable response. PK-PD target attainment analyses suggested that 76.7% and 100% of patients would achieve an AUC/MIC ratio of ≥3,000 for an MIC of 0.03 mg/liter and an AUC/MIC ratio of ≥285 for an MIC of <0.5 mg/liter, respectively. The identification of a lower AUC/MIC ratio target for C. parapsilosis than other Candida species suggests consideration of species-specific echinocandin susceptibility breakpoints and values that are lower than those currently approved by regulatory agencies.

Pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic assessment of faropenem in a lethal murine Bacillus anthracis inhalation postexposure prophylaxis model.

There are few options for prophylaxis after exposure to Bacillus anthracis, especially in children and women of childbearing potential. Faropenem is a beta-lactam in the penem subclass that is being developed as an oral prodrug, faropenem medoxomil, for the treatment of respiratory tract infections. Faropenem was shown to have in vitro activity against B. anthracis strains that variably express the bla1 beta-lactamase (MIC range,

Application of patient population-derived pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic relationships to tigecycline breakpoint determination for staphylococci and streptococci.

Correctly determined susceptibility breakpoints are important to both the individual patient and to society at large. A previously derived patient population pharmacokinetic model and Monte Carlo simulation (9999 patients) were used to create a likelihood distribution of tigecycline exposure, as measured by the area under the concentration-time curve at 24 h (AUC(24)). Each resultant AUC(24) value was paired with a clinically relevant fixed MIC value ranging from 0.12 to 2 mg/L. For each AUC(24)-MIC pair, the probability of microbiologic response was calculated using an exposure-response relationship, which was derived from patients with complicated skin and skin structure infections that involved Staphylococcus aureus or streptococci or both. The median probability of microbiologic success was 94% or greater for MIC values up to and including 0.25 mg/L. The median probability of microbiologic success was 66% or less for MIC values of 0.5 mg/L or greater. These data support a susceptibility breakpoint of 0.25 mg/L for S. aureus and streptococci.

Meropenem pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, and Monte Carlo simulation in the neonate.

BACKGROUND: Hospitalized neonates are exposed to antibiotic-resistant bacterial pathogens and develop nosocomial infections. Limited data are available regarding the neonatal pharmacokinetics of meropenem, a broad spectrum carbapenem antibiotic. METHODS: Neonates <2 months of age received a single dose of meropenem at 10 or 20 mg/kg. Meropenem serum concentrations were measured at specified times during the 24 hours postinfusion. Population pharmacokinetics (PPK) were evaluated using NONMEM. Using Monte Carlo simulation (MCS), the probability of pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic target attainment was evaluated by computer modeling from predictions extrapolated from PPK data, using "virtual" dosing regimens of 10, 20, and 40 mg/kg administered every 8 or 12 hours against community- and hospital-acquired pathogens. RESULTS: Thirty-seven neonates were enrolled, 22 were born at <36 weeks (range, 23-41 weeks) gestational age. Meropenem clearance was greater in neonates with older chronologic ages and in those born at later gestational ages. Serum creatinine and postconceptional age (PCA) were the best overall predictors of meropenem elimination: CL (L/h/kg) = 0.041 + 0.040/SCr + 0.003 x (PCA-35). MCS demonstrated that in infants during the first 2 weeks of life, a dosage of 20 mg/kg/dose every 8 hours achieved the desired PD target in 95% of preterm neonates and 91% of term neonates against Pseudomonas aeruginosa isolated from patients managed in adult and pediatric intensive care units in the United States. CONCLUSIONS: MCS based on PPK determinations demonstrated that a meropenem dose of 20 mg/kg every 8 hours should provide adequate therapy for most nosocomial Gram-negative pathogens.

Use of pharmacodynamic endpoints for the evaluation of levofloxacin for the treatment of acute maxillary sinusitis.

Sinusitis remains 1 of the most common reasons for antimicrobial prescriptions in the United States, with health care costs approaching $4 billion annually. We utilized the serial sinus aspirate sampling (SSAS) technique to obtain daily specimens to evaluate the time course of drug effect in patients with acute maxillary sinusitis. Eighteen patients with a radiologically confirmed acute maxillary sinusitis were enrolled into a study evaluating the relationship between levofloxacin exposure and the time course of antimicrobial effect using SSAS. SSAS was performed daily during therapy for bacteriologic evaluation. Six steady-state levofloxacin concentrations were obtained. Levofloxacin plasma and sinus aspirate concentrations were modeled using Monte Carlo Parametric Expectation Maximization algorithm implemented in S-ADAPT 1.53. Endpoints evaluated included time to resolution of signs and symptoms and time to sinus sterilization. Among the 18 enrolled patients, 15 were clinically evaluable. From these, 1 Streptococcus pneumoniae, 3 Haemophilus influenzae, 1 Moraxella catarrhalis, 1 Corynebacterium spp., and 1 coagulase-negative Staphylococcus organisms were isolated, with the latter 2 organisms being likely contaminants. For the pathogens, levofloxacin MIC values ranged from 0.03 to 2 mg/L. All pathogens were eradicated by the 4th day of therapy. The median and mean time to sinus sterilization (pathogens only) was 1 and 1.4 days, respectively. The median time to resolution of each sign and symptom ranged from 1.5 to 12-19 days, with the 83% of total signs and symptoms resolved by the end of therapy (day 5). The mean plasma area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) (mg x h/L) was 100.1 (n = 14, %CV = 27). Plasma AUC/MIC ratios ranged from 33.9 to 1696 for isolated pathogens. In this pilot SSAS study, levofloxacin rapidly eradicated isolated pathogens from the maxillary sinus.

Cost-effectiveness of oral gemifloxacin versus intravenous ceftriaxone followed by oral cefuroxime with/without a macrolide for the treatment of hospitalized patients with community-acquired pneumonia.

We studied the cost-effectiveness of oral gemifloxacin with intravenous ceftriaxone followed by oral cefuroxime with or without a macrolide to treat patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia. Data were prospectively collected as part of a randomized multicenter study. The costs evaluated included antimicrobial acquisition (1st level); plus preparation, dispensing, and administration costs, and treatment of antimicrobial-related adverse events and clinical failures (2nd level); plus per diem costs for hospital stay related to study drug administration (3rd level). At follow-up, clinical success was similar between gemifloxacin (76.9%)- and ceftriaxone (79.1%)-treated patients. The median 1st-level costs for gemifloxacin and ceftriaxone were $136 and $470 (P<0.001), respectively. For the 2nd level, these costs were $158 and $542 (P<0.001), and for the 3rd level, these were $5052 and $5789 (P=0.025), respectively. The median cost per expected success was $6568 for gemifloxacin and $7321 for ceftriaxone (P=0.29). Oral gemifloxacin is clinically effective and has an economic advantage over ceftriaxone, followed by oral cefuroxime with or without a macrolide.

Pharmacokinetics-pharmacodynamics of gatifloxacin in a lethal murine Bacillus anthracis inhalation infection model.

We determined the pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) measure most predictive of gatifloxacin efficacy and the magnitude of this measure necessary for survival in a murine Bacillus anthracis inhalation infection model. We then used population pharmacokinetic models for gatifloxacin and simulation to identify dosing regimens with high probabilities of attaining exposures likely to be efficacious in adults and children. In this work, 6- to 8-week-old nonneutropenic female BALB/c mice received aerosol challenges of 50 to 75 50% lethal doses of B. anthracis (Ames strain, for which the gatifloxacin MIC is 0.125 mg/liter). Gatifloxacin was administered at 6- or 8-h intervals beginning 24 h postchallenge for 21 days, and dosing was designed to produce profiles mimicking fractionated concentration-time profiles for humans. Mice were evaluated daily for survival. Hill-type models were fitted to survival data. To identify potentially effective dosing regimens, adult and pediatric population pharmacokinetic models for gatifloxacin and Monte Carlo simulation were used to generate 5,000 individual patient exposure estimates. The ratio of the area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 h (AUC(0-24)) to the MIC of the drug for the organism (AUC(0-24)/MIC ratio) was the PK-PD measure most predictive of survival (R(2) = 0.96). The 50% effective dose (ED(50)) and the ED(90) and ED(99) corresponded to AUC(0-24)/MIC ratios of 11.5, 15.8, and 30, respectively, where the maximum effect was 97% survival. Simulation results indicate that a daily gatifloxacin dose of 400 mg for adults and 10 mg/kg of body weight for children gives a 100% probability of attaining the PK-PD target (ED(99)). Sensitivity analyses suggest that the probability of PK-PD target attainment in adults and children is not affected by increases in MICs for strains of B. anthracis to levels as high as 0.5 mg/liter.

Evaluation of tigecycline penetration into colon wall tissue and epithelial lining fluid using a population pharmacokinetic model and Monte Carlo simulation.

The objective of these analyses was to assess the penetration of tigecycline into colon wall tissue and epithelial lining fluid (ELF). The analyses included data from subjects without infection (phase 1) and patients with intra-abdominal infections (phase 2/3). Steady-state serum samples were collected from all subjects/patients (n = 577), while colon wall specimens (n = 23) and ELF specimens (n = 30) were obtained from subjects without infection. Tissue and serum data were simultaneously comodeled by using the BigNPAG program, and a four-compartment, open model with zero-order intravenous input and first-order elimination was employed. To examine the full range of tissue penetration and the associated probabilities of occurrence, a 9,999-subject Monte Carlo simulation was performed with two outputs, one for ELF penetration and one for colon wall tissue penetration. Data were well fit using models described above, with all r(2) values above 0.95. For subjects without infection, the median (5th and 95th percentiles) colon wall and ELF penetration ratios were 1.73 (0.160 and 199) and 1.15 (0.561 and 5.23), respectively. Simulation results predict that tissue penetration varies considerably and likely explain unexpected clinical outcomes for those patients infected with strains at margins of the MIC distribution.

Isoniazid bactericidal activity and resistance emergence: integrating pharmacodynamics and pharmacogenomics to predict efficacy in different ethnic populations.

Isoniazid, administered as part of combination antituberculosis therapy, is responsible for most of the early bactericidal activity (EBA) of the regimen. However, the emergence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis resistance to isoniazid is a major problem. We examined the relationship between isoniazid exposure and M. tuberculosis microbial kill, as well as the emergence of resistance, in our in vitro pharmacodynamic model of tuberculosis. Since single-nucleotide polymorphisms of the N-acetyltransferase-2 gene lead to two different clearances of isoniazid from serum in patients, we simulated the isoniazid concentration-time profiles encountered in both slow and fast acetylators. Both microbial kill and the emergence of resistance during monotherapy were associated with the ratio of the area under the isoniazid concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 h (AUC(0-24)) to the isoniazid MIC. The time in mutant selection window hypothesis was rejected. Next, we utilized the in vitro relationship between the isoniazid AUC(0-24)/MIC ratio and microbial kill, the distributions of isoniazid clearance in populations with different percentages of slow and fast acetylators, and the distribution of isoniazid MICs for isonazid-susceptible M. tuberculosis clinical isolates in Monte Carlo simulations to calculate the EBA expected for approximately 10,000 patients treated with 300 mg of isoniazid. For those patient populations in which the proportion of fast acetylators and the isoniazid MICs were high, the average EBA of the standard dose was approximately 0.3 log(10) CFU/ml/day and was thus suboptimal. Our approach, which utilizes preclinical pharmacodynamics and the genetically determined multimodal distributions of serum clearances, is a preclinical tool that may be able to predict the EBAs of various doses of new antituberculosis drugs.

Use of pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic target attainment analyses to support phase 2 and 3 dosing strategies for doripenem.

A doripenem population pharmacokinetic model and Monte Carlo simulations were utilized for dose regimen decision support for future clinical development. Simulation results predict that 500 mg of doripenem administered over 1 h every 8 h would be effective against bacterial strains with MICs less than 2 microg/ml and that less susceptible strains could be treated with prolonged infusions.