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1.
Med Image Anal ; 18(7): 977-88, 2014 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24972376

RESUMO

With the widespread use of time-lapse data to understand cellular function, there is a need for tools which facilitate high-throughput analysis of data. Fluorescence microscopy of genetically engineered cell lines in culture can be used to visualise the progression of these cells through the cell cycle, including distinctly identifiable sequential stages of cell division (mitotic phases). We present a system for automated segmentation and mitotic phase labelling using temporal models. This work takes the novel approach of using temporal features evaluated over the whole of the mitotic phases rather than over single frames, thereby capturing the distinctive behaviour over the phases. We compare and contrast three different temporal models: Dynamic Time Warping, Hidden Markov Models, and Semi Markov Models. A new loss function is proposed for the Semi Markov model to make it more robust to inconsistencies in data annotation near transition boundaries. The models are tested under two different experimental conditions to explore robustness to changes in biological conditions.


Assuntos
Rastreamento de Células/métodos , Aumento da Imagem/métodos , Microscopia de Fluorescência , Mitose/fisiologia , Imagem com Lapso de Tempo/métodos , Algoritmos , Inteligência Artificial , Cadeias de Markov , Modelos Biológicos , Modelos Estatísticos , Reconhecimento Automatizado de Padrão/métodos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Sensibilidade e Especificidade
2.
Health Technol Assess ; 15(26): 1-200, iii-iv, 2011 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21729632

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A bone-anchored hearing aid (BAHA) consists of a permanent titanium fixture, which is surgically implanted into the skull bone behind the ear, and a small detachable sound processor that clips onto the fixture. BAHAs are suitable for people with conductive or mixed hearing loss who cannot benefit fully from conventional hearing aids. OBJECTIVES: To assess the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of BAHAs for people who are bilaterally deaf. DATA SOURCES: Nineteen electronic resources, including MEDLINE, EMBASE and The Cochrane Library (inception to November 2009). Additional studies were sought from reference lists and clinical experts. REVIEW METHODS: Inclusion criteria were applied by two reviewers independently. Data extraction and quality assessment were undertaken by one reviewer and checked by a second. Prospective studies of adults or children with bilateral hearing loss were eligible. Comparisons were BAHAs versus conventional hearing aids [air conduction hearing aid (ACHA) or bone conduction hearing aid (BCHA)], unaided hearing and ear surgery; and unilateral versus bilateral BAHAs. Outcomes included hearing measures, validated measures of quality of life (QoL), adverse events and measures of cost-effectiveness. For the review of cost-effectiveness, full economic evaluations were eligible. RESULTS: Twelve studies were included (seven cohort pre-post studies and five cross-sectional 'audiological comparison' studies). No prospective studies comparing BAHAs with ear surgery were identified. Overall quality was rated as weak for all included studies and meta-analysis was not possible due to differences in outcome measures and patient populations. There appeared to be some audiological benefits of BAHAs compared with BCHAs and improvements in speech understanding in noise compared with ACHAs; however, ACHAs may produce better audiological results for other outcomes. The limited evidence reduces certainty. Hearing is improved with BAHAs compared with unaided hearing. Improvements in QoL with BAHAs were identified by a hearing-specific instrument but not generic QoL measures. Studies comparing unilateral with bilateral BAHAs suggested benefits of bilateral BAHAs in many, but not all, situations. Prospective case series reported between 6.1% and 19.4% loss of implants. Most participants experienced no or minor skin reactions. A decision analytic model was developed. Costs and benefits of unilateral BAHAs were estimated over a 10-year time horizon, applying discount rates of 3.5%. The incremental cost per user receiving BAHA, compared with BCHA, was £ 16,409 for children and £ 13,449 for adults. In an exploratory analysis the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained was between £ 55,642 and £ 119,367 for children and between £ 46,628 and £ 100,029 for adults for BAHAs compared with BCHA, depending on the assumed QoL gain and proportion of each modelled cohort using their hearing aid for ≥ 8 or more hours per day. Deterministic sensitivity analysis suggested that the results were highly sensitive to the assumed proportion of people using BCHA for ≥ 8 hours per day, with very high incremental cost-effectiveness ratio values (£ 500,000-1,200,000 per QALY gained) associated with a high proportion of people using BCHA. More acceptable values (£ 15,000-37,000 per QALY gained) were associated with a low proportion of people using BCHA for ≥ 8 hours per day (compared with BAHA). LIMITATIONS: The economic evaluation presented in this report is severely limited by a lack of robust evidence on the outcome of hearing aid provision. This has lead to a more restricted analysis than was originally anticipated (limited to a comparison of BAHA and BCHA). In the absence of useable QoL data, the cost-effectiveness analysis is based on potential utility gains from hearing, that been inferred using a QoL instrument rather than measures reported by hearing aid users themselves. As a result the analysis is regarded as exploratory and the reported results should be interpreted with caution. CONCLUSIONS: Exploratory cost-effectiveness analysis suggests that BAHAs are unlikely to be a cost-effective option where the benefits (in terms of hearing gain and probability of using of alternative aids) are similar for BAHAs and their comparators. The greater the benefit from aided hearing and the greater the difference in the proportion of people using the hearing aid for ≥ 8 hours per day, the more likely BAHAs are to be a cost-effective option. The inclusion of other dimensions of QoL may also increase the likelihood of BAHAs being a cost-effective option. A national audit of BAHAs is needed to provide clarity on the many areas of uncertainty surrounding BAHAs. Further research into the non-audiological benefits of BAHAs, including QoL, is required.


Assuntos
Auxiliares de Audição/economia , Perda Auditiva Bilateral/economia , Perda Auditiva Condutiva/economia , Âncoras de Sutura/economia , Fatores Etários , Audiometria/economia , Audiometria/instrumentação , Condução Óssea , Análise Custo-Benefício , Tomada de Decisões , Perda Auditiva Bilateral/terapia , Perda Auditiva Condutiva/terapia , Humanos , Modelos Econômicos , Prevalência , Qualidade de Vida/psicologia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Reino Unido/epidemiologia
3.
Health Technol Assess ; 14(42): 1-209, iii-iv, 2010 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20849734

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Recombinant human growth hormone (rhGH) is licensed for short stature associated with growth hormone deficiency (GHD), Turner syndrome (TS), Prader-Willi syndrome (PWS), chronic renal insufficiency (CRI), short stature homeobox-containing gene deficiency (SHOX-D) and being born small for gestational age (SGA). OBJECTIVES: To assess the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of rhGH compared with treatment strategies without rhGH for children with GHD, TS, PWS, CRI, SHOX-D and those born SGA. DATA SOURCES: The systematic review used a priori methods. Key databases were searched (e.g. MEDLINE, EMBASE, NHS Economic Evaluation Database and eight others) for relevant studies from their inception to June 2009. A decision-analytical model was developed to determine cost-effectiveness in the UK. STUDY SELECTION: Two reviewers assessed titles and abstracts of studies identified by the search strategy, obtained the full text of relevant papers, and screened them against inclusion criteria. STUDY APPRAISAL: Data from included studies were extracted by one reviewer and checked by a second. Quality of included studies was assessed using standard criteria, applied by one reviewer and checked by a second. Clinical effectiveness studies were synthesised through a narrative review. RESULTS: Twenty-eight randomised controlled trials (RCTs) in 34 publications were included in the systematic review. GHD: Children in the rhGH group grew 2.7 cm/year faster than untreated children and had a statistically significantly higher height standard deviation score (HtSDS) after 1 year: -2.3 ± 0.45 versus -2.8 ± 0.45. TS: In one study, treated girls grew 9.3 cm more than untreated girls. In a study of younger children, the difference was 7.6 cm after 2 years. HtSDS values were statistically significantly higher in treated girls. PWS: Infants receiving rhGH for 1 year grew significantly taller (6.2 cm more) than those untreated. Two studies reported a statistically significant difference in HtSDS in favour of rhGH. CRI: rhGH-treated children in a 1-year study grew an average of 3.6 cm more than untreated children. HtSDS was statistically significantly higher in treated children in two studies. SGA: Criteria were amended to include children of 3+ years with no catch-up growth, with no reference to mid-parental height. Only one of the RCTs used the licensed dose; the others used higher doses. Adult height (AH) was approximately 4 cm higher in rhGH-treated patients in the one study to report this outcome, and AH-gain SDS was also statistically significantly higher in this group. Mean HtSDS was higher in treated than untreated patients in four other studies (significant in two). SHOX-D: After 2 years' treatment, children were approximately 6 cm taller than the control group and HtSDS was statistically significantly higher in treated children. The incremental cost per quality adjusted life-year (QALY) estimates of rhGH compared with no treatment were: 23,196 pounds for GHD, 39,460 pounds for TS, 135,311 pounds for PWS, 39,273 pounds for CRI, 33,079 pounds for SGA and 40,531 pounds for SHOX-D. The probability of treatment of each of the conditions being cost-effective at 30,000 pounds was: 95% for GHD, 19% for TS, 1% for PWS, 16% for CRI, 38% for SGA and 15% for SHOX-D. LIMITATIONS: Generally poorly reported studies, some of short duration. CONCLUSIONS: Statistically significantly larger HtSDS values were reported for rhGH-treated children with GHD, TS, PWS, CRI, SGA and SHOX-D. rhGH-treated children with PWS also showed statistically significant improvements in body composition measures. Only treatment of GHD would be considered cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of 20,000 to 30,000 pounds per QALY gained. This analysis suggests future research should include studies of longer than 2 years reporting near-final height or final adult height.


Assuntos
Nanismo Hipofisário/tratamento farmacológico , Transtornos do Crescimento/tratamento farmacológico , Hormônio do Crescimento Humano/uso terapêutico , Biomarcadores , Composição Corporal , Análise Custo-Benefício , Nanismo Hipofisário/economia , Transtornos do Crescimento/economia , Hormônio do Crescimento Humano/economia , Humanos , Incidência , Modelos Lineares , Modelos Econômicos , Prevalência , Prognóstico , Garantia da Qualidade dos Cuidados de Saúde , Qualidade de Vida/psicologia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Estados Unidos
4.
Health Technol Assess ; 14(28): 1-192, 2010 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20546687

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Build-up of earwax is a common reason for attendance in primary care. Current practice for earwax removal generally involves the use of a softening agent, followed by irrigation of the ear if required. However, the safety and benefits of the different methods of removal are not known for certain. OBJECTIVES: To conduct evidence synthesis of the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of the interventions currently available for softening and/or removing earwax and any adverse events (AEs) associated with the interventions. DATA SOURCES: Eleven electronic resources were searched from inception to November 2008, including: The Cochrane Library; MEDLINE (OVID), PREMEDLINE In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations (OVID), EMBASE (OVID); and CINAHL. METHODS: Two reviewers screened titles and abstracts for eligibility. Inclusion criteria were applied to the full text or retrieved papers and data were extracted by two reviewers using data extraction forms developed a priori. Any differences were resolved by discussion or by a third reviewer. Study criteria included: interventions - all methods of earwax removal available and combinations of these methods; participants - adults/children presenting requiring earwax removal; outcomes - measures of hearing, adequacy of clearance of wax, quality of life, time to recurrence or further treatment, AEs and measures of cost-effectiveness; design - randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and controlled clinical trials (CCTs) for clinical effectiveness, cohort studies for AEs and cost-effectiveness, and costing studies for cost-effectiveness. For the economic evaluation, a deterministic decision tree model was developed to evaluate three options: (1) the use of softeners followed by irrigation in primary care; (2) softeners followed by self-irrigation; and (3) a 'no treatment' option. Outcomes were assessed in terms of benefits to patients and costs incurred, with costs presented by exploratory cost-utility analysis. RESULTS: Twenty-six clinical trials conducted in primary care (14 studies), secondary care (8 studies) or other care settings (4 studies), met the inclusion criteria for the review - 22 RCTs and 4 CCTs. The range of interventions included 16 different softeners, with or without irrigation, and in various different comparisons. Participants, outcomes, timing of intervention, follow-up and methodological quality varied between studies. On measures of wax clearance Cerumol, sodium bicarbonate, olive oil and water are all more effective than no treatment; triethanolamine polypeptide (TP) is better than olive oil; wet irrigation is better than dry irrigation; sodium bicarbonate drops followed by irrigation by nurse is more effective than sodium bicarbonate drops followed by self-irrigation; softening with TP and self-irrigation is more effective than self-irrigation only; and endoscopic de-waxing is better than microscopic de-waxing. AEs appeared to be minor and of limited extent. Resuts of the exploratory economic model found that softeners followed by self-irrigation were more likely to be cost-effective [24,433 pounds per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY)] than softeners followed by irrigation at primary care (32,130 pounds per QALY) when compared with no treatment. Comparison of the two active treatments showed that the additional gain associated with softeners followed by irrigation at primary care over softeners followed by self-irrigation was at a cost of 340,000 pounds per QALY. When compared over a lifetime horizon to the 'no treatment' option, the ICERs for softeners followed by self-irrigation and of softeners followed by irrigation at primary care were 24,450 pounds per QALY and 32,136 pounds per QALY, respectively. LIMITATIONS: The systematic review found limited good-quality evidence of the safety, benefits and costs of the different strategies, making it difficult to differentiate between the various methods for removing earwax and rendering the economic evaluation as speculative. CONCLUSIONS: Although softeners are effective, which specific softeners are most effective remains uncertain. Evidence on the effectiveness of methods of irrigation or mechanical removal was equivocal. Further research is required to improve the evidence base, such as a RCT incorporating an economic evaluation to assess the different ways of providing the service, the effectiveness of the different methods of removal and the acceptability of the different approaches to patients and practitioners.


Assuntos
Cerume , Óleos de Plantas/uso terapêutico , Bicarbonato de Sódio/uso terapêutico , Irrigação Terapêutica/métodos , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Modelos Econômicos , Óleos de Plantas/efeitos adversos , Óleos de Plantas/economia , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Bicarbonato de Sódio/efeitos adversos , Bicarbonato de Sódio/economia , Irrigação Terapêutica/efeitos adversos , Irrigação Terapêutica/economia
5.
Health Technol Assess ; 14(19): 1-204, 2010 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20356561

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To assess the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of topotecan as second-line treatment for small cell lung cancer (SCLC). DATA SOURCES: Bibliographic databases were searched from 1990 to February 2009, including the Cochrane library, MEDLINE (Ovid), EMBASE (Ovid), PREMEDLINE In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations. Bibliographies of related papers were assessed and experts were contacted to identify additional references and the manufacturer's submission to NICE was also searched. REVIEW METHODS: Two reviewers independently screened titles and abstracts for eligibility. Inclusion criteria were applied to the full text of retrieved papers using a standard form. For the clinical effectiveness review, the studies were randomised controlled trials (RCTs), which included adult participants with relapsed SCLC who responded to first-line treatment and for whom re-treatment with first-line therapy was inappropriate. The treatment was topotecan (oral or intravenous, i.v.) compared with one another, best supportive care (BSC) or other chemotherapy regimens. Outcomes included measures of response or disease progression and measures of survival. For the cost-effectiveness review studies were eligible for inclusion if they reported cost-effectiveness, cost-utility, cost-benefit or cost-consequence analyses. Data extraction and quality assessment of included studies was undertaken by one reviewer and checked by a second. Studies were synthesised through a narrative review with full tabulation of results. An independent economic model estimated the cost-effectiveness of topotecan (oral or i.v.) compared with BSC. The model used survival analysis methods to derive estimates of mean survival for patients treated with topotecan or receiving BSC alone. These were combined with quality of life (QoL) weights to derive estimates of mean quality-adjusted life expectancy for patients receiving BSC alone or topotecan plus BSC. Categories of costs included in the model included drug use, chemotherapy administration and on-treatment monitoring, management of adverse events, monitoring for disease progression and palliative care. RESULTS: A total of 434 references were identified of which five were included in the clinical effectiveness review. In these trials topotecan was compared with BSC, CAV [cyclophosphamide, Adriamycin (doxorubicin) and vincristine] or amrubicin, or oral topotecan was compared with i.v. topotecan. No economic evaluations were identified. There were no statistically significant differences between groups when i.v. topotecan was compared with either CAV or oral topotecan for overall response rate (ORR). Response rate was significantly better in participants receiving i.v. amrubicin than in those receiving a low dose of i.v. topotecan (38% versus 13%, respectively, p = 0.039). There was a statistically significant benefit in favour of oral topotecan compared with BSC (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.43 to 0.87, p = 0.01). Drug acquisition costs for four cycles of treatment were estimated at 2550 pounds for oral topotecan and 5979 pounds for i.v. topotecan. Non-drug treatment costs accounted for an additional 1097 pounds for oral topotecan and 4289 pounds for i.v. topotecan. Total costs for the modelled time horizon of 5 years were 4854 pounds for BSC, 11,048 pounds for oral topotecan and between 16,914 pounds and 17,369 pounds for i.v. topotecan (depending on assumptions regarding time progression). Life expectancy was 0.4735, 0.7984 and 0.7784 years for BSC, oral topotecan and i.v. topotecan respectively. Total quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were 0.2247 and 0.4077, for BSC and oral topotecan respectively, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of 33,851 pounds per QALY gained. Total QALYs for i.v. topotecan were between 0.3875 and 0.4157 (depending on assumptions regarding time progression) resulting in an ICER between 74,074 pounds and 65,507 pounds per QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: Topotecan appeared to be better than BSC alone in terms of improved survival, and was as effective as CAV and less favourable than i.v. amrubicin in terms of response. Oral topotecan and i.v. topotecan were similar in efficacy. Topotecan offers additional benefit over BSC, but at increased cost. ICERs for i.v. topotecan, compared with BSC, were high and suggest that it is unlikely to be a cost-effective option. The ICER for oral topotecan is at the upper extreme of the range conventionally regarded as cost-effective from an NHS decision-making perspective. Further research into the QoL of patients with relapsed SCLC could identify the impacts of disease progression and treatment response.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Pulmonares/tratamento farmacológico , Carcinoma de Pequenas Células do Pulmão/tratamento farmacológico , Topotecan/economia , Topotecan/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Antineoplásicos/efeitos adversos , Antineoplásicos/economia , Antineoplásicos/uso terapêutico , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/economia , Carcinoma de Pequenas Células do Pulmão/economia , Topotecan/efeitos adversos
6.
Health Technol Assess ; 12(27): iii-iv, ix-124, 2008 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18513468

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of screening for age-related macular degeneration (AMD) by developing a decision analytic model that incorporated and assessed all of the National Screening Committee criteria. A further objective was to identify the major areas of uncertainty in the model, and so inform future research priorities in this disease area. DATA SOURCES: Major databases were searched in March 2004 and updated in January 2005. REVIEW METHODS: Systematic literature reviews covered the epidemiology and natural history of AMD, the screening and treatment effectiveness and health-related quality of life relating to AMD. A hybrid cohort-individual sampling model was implemented to describe the range of pathways between the incidence of age-related maculopathy (ARM) and death via clinical presentation and treatment at different stages of the disease. As significant shortfalls in the data available from the literature were apparent, so a range of primary data sources were also used to populate the model. To obtain estimates for the value of parameters deemed to be within an expert's remit, data describing some parameters were elicited from relevant experts. The data identified informed probability distributions describing the uncertainty around the model parameters. To incorporate joint parameter uncertainty (i.e. correlations between parameters), the AMD natural history model was calibrated probabilistically. Randomly sampled sets of input parameters were assigned weights representing the accuracy of their predictions of a set of observed model outputs. The analysis of the AMD screening model estimated the costs, numbers of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and cases of blindness in a general population sample of 50-year-olds over the remainder of their lifetime, for 16 alternative screening options (including no screening). The reference case analysis incorporated current treatment options of laser photocoagulation and photodynamic therapy. Sensitivity analyses describing six alternative sets of intervention strategies, based on horizon scanning of potential future treatments for AMD, were also undertaken. RESULTS: There remains significant uncertainty about whether any form of screening for AMD is cost-effective. However, annual screening from age 60 years seems to provide the highest mean net benefits, but this is based on a cost-effectiveness estimate that has very poor precision (high levels of uncertainty). The probabilistic sensitivity analysis shows that the 95% credible interval for annual screening from age 60 years ranges from this option dominating the previous option to an incremental cost per QALY of over 0.5 million pounds sterling. Plotting a cost-effectiveness acceptability frontier shows that although annual screening from age 60 years has the highest net benefits at a value of QALY of 30,000 pounds sterling, the associated probability of this option being the most cost-effective option is only around 20%. The sensitivity analyses around potential future treatment options indicate that screening may become more cost-effective with the new treatments. CONCLUSIONS: The conclusions focus on the interpretation of the results from the perspective of defining the major areas of uncertainty, which were defined as disease progression, rates of clinical presentation, screening test and optician effectiveness, treatment effectiveness, and costs of blindness. Future research may be best targeted at assessing how routine data may be used to describe clinical presentation rates of ARM. Other potential studies include a pilot study of the effectiveness of screening and opticians' referral patterns for AMD and a costing study of blindness as a continuum of association with deterioration in vision.


Assuntos
Atitude do Pessoal de Saúde , Análise Custo-Benefício , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Degeneração Macular/diagnóstico , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Avaliação da Tecnologia Biomédica/economia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Humanos , Incidência , Degeneração Macular/epidemiologia , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Literatura de Revisão como Assunto , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários , Avaliação da Tecnologia Biomédica/métodos
7.
Radiat Prot Dosimetry ; 115(1-4): 403-7, 2005.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16381755

RESUMO

MCBEND 10 is the latest release of the general radiation transport Monte Carlo code from the ANSWERS Software Service of Serco Assurance. MCBEND is developed within a Nuclear Code Development (NCD) partnership between Serco Assurance and BNFL. The ANSWERS vision is 'to provide easy-to-use software that meets the current and emerging needs of the user community'. In the case of MCBEND, this vision focuses on the key areas of accuracy, understanding of uncertainties, efficiency and user-friendliness. MCBEND 10 is a major launch of the code with many new and enhanced features. New developments in MCBEND 10 include automatic splitting mesh generation, point energy adjoint for neutrons, calculation of uncertainty in the results due to material cross section uncertainties and a unified source facility. Enhanced features include improved temperature treatment, extended scoring of sensitivity to geometry perturbations, geometry improvements, extensions to formulae and improved user guide image. The user-friendliness of the MCBEND code has been further enhanced by recent developments to the visualisation tools, VISAGE and VISTA-RAY. Developments have been made to the three-dimensional visualisation tool, VISTA-RAY, to simplify the detailed checking of a model, with the option to use a mouse-pointer to select regions of interest for further detail and to visually highlight incorrectly defined areas. A further development to VISTA-RAY is the inclusion of the capability to overlay a representation of a user-designated set of results from a MCBEND analysis on the model. Improvements have also been made to the graphical user interface LaunchPad for submitting and controlling calculation submission, with a common user-image across all the systems. Recent enhancements to LaunchPad include a job-scheduler to simplify processing multiple tasks. A selection of the new developments in MCBEND 10, VISTA-RAY and LaunchPad will be described in this paper.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Desenho Assistido por Computador , Método de Monte Carlo , Proteção Radiológica/instrumentação , Proteção Radiológica/métodos , Radiometria/métodos , Software , Simulação por Computador , Desenho de Equipamento/métodos , Análise de Falha de Equipamento/métodos , Modelos Estatísticos , Doses de Radiação , Design de Software
8.
Curr Pharm Des ; 11(1): 37-53, 2005.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15638751

RESUMO

Although the epicentres of probiotic research in the past decade have been Japan and Europe, researchers in the Asia-Pacific region have actively contributed to the growing understanding of the intestinal microbial ecosystem, and interactions between gut bacteria, diet and health of the human host. A number of new probiotic strains have been developed in the region that have been demonstrated to have beneficial impacts on health in animal and human trials, including improved protection against intestinal pathogens and modulation of the immune system. Probiotics targeted to animals, including aquaculture, feature heavily in many Asian countries. Developments in probiotic technologies have included microencapsulation techniques, antimicrobial production in fermented meats, and synbiotic combinations. In particular, the impact of resistant starch on the intestinal environment and fermentation by intestinal bacteria has been intensively studied and new probiotic strains selected specifically for synbiotic combinations with resistant starch. This paper provides an overview of probiotic research within Australia, New Zealand and a number of Asian countries, and lists scientists in the Asia-Pacific region involved in various aspects of probiotic research and development.


Assuntos
Academias e Institutos/organização & administração , Probióticos/uso terapêutico , Tecnologia Farmacêutica/organização & administração , Academias e Institutos/tendências , Animais , Ásia , Austrália , Humanos , Nova Zelândia , Ilhas do Pacífico , Probióticos/economia , Tecnologia Farmacêutica/tendências
11.
Arch Intern Med ; 159(18): 2177-83, 1999 Oct 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10527295

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Obesity is an established risk factor for several chronic diseases. The lifetime health and economic consequences of obesity for individual patients have not been documented. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the lifetime health and economic consequences of obesity. METHODS: We developed a dynamic model of the relationship between body mass index and the risks and associated costs of 5 obesity-related diseases: hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, type 2 diabetes mellitus, coronary heart disease, and stroke. The model was estimated using data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, the Framingham Heart Study, and other secondary sources. We used this model to estimate (1) risks of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and type 2 diabetes mellitus at future ages; (2) lifetime risks of coronary heart disease and stroke; (3) life expectancy; and (4) expected lifetime medical care costs of these 5 diseases for men and women aged 35 to 64 years with body mass indexes of 22.5, 27.5, 32.5, and 37.5 kg/m2 (nonobese and mildly, moderately, and severely obese, respectively). RESULTS: Disease risks and costs increase substantially with increased body mass index. The risk of hypertension for moderately obese 45- to 54-year-old men, for example, is roughly 2-fold higher than for their nonobese peers (38.1% vs 17.7%), whereas the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus is almost 3-fold higher (8.1% vs 3.0%). Lifetime risks of coronary heart disease and stroke are similarly elevated (41.8% vs 34.9% and 16.2% vs 13.9%, respectively), whereas life expectancy is reduced by 1 year (26.5 vs 27.5 years). Total discounted lifetime medical care costs for the treatment of these 5 diseases are estimated to differ by $10,000 ($29,600 vs $19,600). Similar results were obtained for women. CONCLUSIONS: The lifetime health and economic consequences of obesity are substantial and suggest that efforts to prevent or reduce this problem might yield significant benefits.


Assuntos
Índice de Massa Corporal , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hipercolesterolemia/etiologia , Hipertensão/etiologia , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/economia , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Doença das Coronárias/etiologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/etiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Expectativa de Vida , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etiologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
12.
Am J Public Health ; 89(10): 1536-42, 1999 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10511836

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: This study estimated the lifetime health and economic benefits of sustained modest weight loss among obese persons. METHODS: We developed a dynamic model of the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and the risks and costs of 5 obesity-related diseases: hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, type 2 diabetes, coronary heart disease (CHD), and stroke. We then calculated the lifetime health and economic benefits of a sustained 10% reduction in body weight for men and women aged 35 to 64 years with mild, moderate, and severe obesity. RESULTS: Depending on age, gender, and initial BMI, a sustained 10% weight loss would (1) reduce the expected number of years of life with hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and type 2 diabetes by 1.2 to 2.9, 0.3 to 0.8, and 0.5 to 1.7, respectively; (2) reduce the expected lifetime incidence of CHD and stroke by 12 to 38 cases per 1000 and 1 to 13 cases per 1000, respectively; (3) increase life expectancy by 2 to 7 months; and (4) reduce expected lifetime medical care costs of these 5 diseases by $2200 to $5300. CONCLUSIONS: Sustained modest weight loss among obese persons would yield substantial health and economic benefits.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Expectativa de Vida , Obesidade/reabilitação , Redução de Peso , Adulto , Doenças Cardiovasculares/economia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Transtornos Cerebrovasculares/economia , Transtornos Cerebrovasculares/epidemiologia , Transtornos Cerebrovasculares/prevenção & controle , Doença das Coronárias/economia , Doença das Coronárias/epidemiologia , Doença das Coronárias/prevenção & controle , Análise Custo-Benefício , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/economia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Humanos , Hipercolesterolemia/economia , Hipercolesterolemia/epidemiologia , Hipercolesterolemia/prevenção & controle , Hipertensão/economia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/prevenção & controle , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Econométricos , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/economia , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
13.
Commun Dis Public Health ; 2(3): 193-5, 1999 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10491874

RESUMO

Transmission of HIV and hepatitis B virus infection has been recognised in prisons, and injecting drug use is a major route of infection. Combined results of two pilot health care surveys showed that 47% of prisoners with a history of injecting drug use wanted help to give up class A drugs but only 11% of non-injecting drug users expressed a similar wish. It would therefore seem appropriate for prisons to estimate the number of inmates with a history of injecting drug use and provide drug rehabilitation places for half that number (47% rounded up). Data from three prisons in England and Scotland for which the numbers of drug rehabilitation places were known showed that they provided less than quarter of the minimum requirement based on this formula. The proportion of inmates with a history of injecting or of non-injecting drug use who want help to give up class A drugs requires further investigation in order to refine the needs formula.


Assuntos
Patógenos Transmitidos pelo Sangue , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde , Prisioneiros , Centros de Tratamento de Abuso de Substâncias , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/reabilitação , Adulto , Inglaterra , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Prisões/organização & administração , Escócia , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/virologia
14.
Arch Ophthalmol ; 115(7): 904-10, 1997 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9230832

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Using molecular genetics as the basis for diagnosis, to assess the phenotype in the family originally described as having dominantly inherited Doyne honeycomb retinal dystrophy (DHRD) linked to chromosome 2p16. DESIGN: Clinical examination including fluorescein angiography was undertaken in 107 family members. Nine affected patients underwent electroretinography, perimetry, dark adaptometry, color-contrast sensitivity measurement, and autofluorescent fundus imaging. PATIENTS: The disease-associated haplotype used to allocate disease status was based on our further refinement of the DHRD locus to between loci D2S2739 and D2S378. The study identified 50 affected patients. In addition, previously published information on a further 8 individuals was used. The study population represented 6 generations of a 9-generation pedigree. RESULTS: Three types of deposits were seen: large, soft drusen at the macula and abutting the optic nerve head; small, hard deposits that in some patients radiated from the macula; and autofluorescent deposits. Most younger affected individuals exhibited small hard drusen only at the macula and had normal visual function. Information on 2 patients suggested that DHRD can be a cause of childhood-onset blindness. Advanced disease was associated with severe visual loss and posterior pole atrophy without signs of drusen. Advanced age was not invariably associated with severe visual loss. CONCLUSIONS: Previously identified characteristics of DHRD were confirmed and new features identified. Contrary to previous reports, the constancy and severity of radial (basal laminar) drusen seen clinically are the only features that can be used to differentiate between DHRD and malattia leventinese. The highly variable phenotype suggests that the influence of the DHRD-mutant gene may be modulated by other genetic and/or environmental factors.


Assuntos
Cromossomos Humanos Par 2/genética , Genes Dominantes/genética , Degeneração Retiniana/genética , Degeneração Retiniana/patologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Sensibilidades de Contraste , Eletrorretinografia , Feminino , Angiofluoresceinografia , Seguimentos , Fundo de Olho , Ligação Genética , Genótipo , Humanos , Macula Lutea/patologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Disco Óptico/patologia , Linhagem , Fenótipo , Degeneração Retiniana/fisiopatologia , Testes de Campo Visual
15.
Lancet ; 348(9035): 1124-7, 1996 Oct 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8888165

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Compulsory urine testing of prisoners for drugs, a control initiative, was introduced in eight prisons in England and Wales early in 1995. Despite no evidence of effectiveness, testing was extended to all prisons in England and Wales by March 1996. We consider the cost of testing. METHODS: We combined the costs of refusals, confirmatory tests, punishment of confirmed positives for cannabis or for class A drugs to estimate the average costs of random compulsory drugs testing. These costs were then compared to: i) the healthcare budget for a prison; and ii) the cost of putting in place a credible prisons' drugs reduction programme. We then used Scottish data on incarceration and regional prevalence of injecting drug users to estimate the extent of the injecting drug use problem that prisons face. FINDINGS: Costs per 28 days of the random mandatory drugs testing control initiative in an establishment for 500 inmates where refusal rate is a) 10% or b) nil; and 35% of urine samples test positive, one tenth of them for class A drugs were estimated at between a) 22,800 UK pounds and b) 16,000 UK pounds per 28 days [a) $US35,100 and b) $US24,600]. This cost was equivalent to twice the cost of running a credible drugs reduction and rehabilitation programme, and around half the total healthcare expenditure for a prison of 500 which averaged 41,114 UK pounds per 28 days [$US64,860]. Major cost-generating events were the punishment of refusals--over one third of cost a)--and testing positive for cannabis--over 50% of cost a). In Scotland, around 5% of injecting drug users (IDUs) are incarcerated at any time: 5% of Lothian's drugs care, treatment and prevention costs and 2.5% of its HIV/AIDS prevention budget in 1993-94 amounted to 101,300 UK pounds per annum--or 7770 UK pounds per 28 days ($US11,970)--and about 35% of monthly MDT costs. INTERPRETATION: We suggest that 5% of current resources for drugs prevention and treatment and for IDU-targetted HIV/AIDS prevention should be directed towards the prisons because in the prisons, where 5% of the clients are at any time, injectors have less access to harm reduction measures than on the outside.


Assuntos
Prisioneiros , Detecção do Abuso de Substâncias/economia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/diagnóstico , Custos e Análise de Custo , Feminino , Cromatografia Gasosa-Espectrometria de Massas , Humanos , Masculino , Prevalência , Punição , Distribuição Aleatória , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/epidemiologia , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/urina , Reino Unido/epidemiologia
19.
J Immunol Methods ; 71(1): 97-105, 1984 Jun 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-6327828

RESUMO

Murine monoclonal antibodies ( McAbs ) with specificity for subclass-specific or subclass-restricted determinants on human IgG have been coupled to Sepharose to generate affinity columns. The judicial use of positive and negative chromatography and the exploitation of the special properties of individual McAb affinity columns has allowed the preparation of individual IgG subclasses from polyclonal IgG containing less than 1% contamination by any other IgG subclass. The specificity of the antibodies present in each polyclonal IgG subclass preparation has been assayed against a bacterial toxoid (tetanus), 2 bacterial cell wall antigens (E. coli and pneumococcal) and coat antigen(s) of a DNA virus (CMV). Antibodies were predominantly IgG1 to tetanus toxoid, IgG2 to pneumovax and E. coli cell walls, and IgG1, 2 and 3 to CMV coat antigens.


Assuntos
Especificidade de Anticorpos , Cromatografia de Afinidade/métodos , Imunoglobulina G/isolamento & purificação , Adulto , Anticorpos Monoclonais/classificação , Proteínas da Membrana Bacteriana Externa , Fracionamento Químico , Citomegalovirus/imunologia , Humanos , Imunoglobulina G/classificação , Imunoglobulina G/imunologia , Proteínas de Membrana/imunologia , Toxoide Tetânico/imunologia
20.
Psychol Med ; 11(3): 617-36, 1981 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-7267891

RESUMO

This study examines the role that clinical and social factors play in compulsory admissions to hospital in a London borough. 150 patients compulsorily admitted under a section of the Mental Health Act 1959 were compared with 100 informally admitted patients. Significant differences in social-demographic and clinical characteristics are described as well as differences in outcome on follow-up. A long-term unwillingness on the part of the compulsory patients to engage in follow-up services was evident. These differences still held when the compulsory patients were compared with a group of informal patients matched for age, sex and diagnosis. Patients referred by the police and admitted under Section 136 of the Mental Health Act showed those features associated with compulsory admission in general to the most severe degree.


Assuntos
Internação Compulsória de Doente Mental , Psiquiatria Legal , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto , Serviços Comunitários de Saúde Mental/estatística & dados numéricos , Crime , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Tempo de Internação , Londres , Masculino , Transtornos Mentais/psicologia , Transtornos Mentais/reabilitação , Escalas de Graduação Psiquiátrica , Ajustamento Social , Violência
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