Causes and consequences of tipping points in river delta social-ecological systems.

The sustainability of social-ecological systems within river deltas globally is in question as rapid development and environmental change trigger "negative" or "positive" tipping points depending on actors' perspectives, e.g. regime shift from abundant sediment deposition to sediment shortage, agricultural sustainability to agricultural collapse or shift from rural to urban land use. Using a systematic review of the literature, we show how cascading effects across anthropogenic, ecological, and geophysical processes have triggered numerous tipping points in the governance, hydrological, and land-use management of the world's river deltas. Crossing tipping points had both positive and negative effects that generally enhanced economic development to the detriment of the environment. Assessment of deltas that featured prominently in the review revealed how outcomes of tipping points can inform the long-term trajectory of deltas towards sustainability or collapse. Management of key drivers at the delta scale can trigger positive tipping points to place social-ecological systems on a pathway towards sustainable development.

The impacts of exposure to risk factors during youth on the increasing global trend of early-onset pancreatic cancer.

OBJECTIVES: An increasing trend of pancreatic cancer in young adults has emerged in some countries. This study aimed to investigate global trends of pancreatic cancer in young adults and explore the impact of exposure to risk factors on pancreatic cancer incidence during youth. METHODS: Global and national data on pancreatic cancer incidence, disability-adjusted life-years, attributive mortality, and summary exposure values of risk factors were retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease 2019. The average annual percent change (AAPC) of incidence and mortality was calculated. Additionally, generalized additive models were applied to explore the non-linear associations between the levels and changes in the Human Development Index and AAPC. RESULTS: Global pancreatic cancer incidence increased during various periods from 1990 to 2019, particularly in adults aged <45 years from 2010 to 2019, at an average annual increase rate of 0.7% (95% confidence interval: 0.4-1.0%). The AAPC of early-onset pancreatic cancer incidence from 2010 to 2019 was negatively correlated with Human Development Index levels in both 2010 and 2019 but positively correlated with Human Development Index acceleration. Significant increases in early-onset pancreatic cancer incidence were observed over this period in 32 of 88 countries, primarily in South America, North America, Oceania, and Africa. Early-onset pancreatic cancer mortality attributed to high body mass index and fasting plasma glucose increased, while that attributed to tobacco use declined. CONCLUSIONS: An increasing trend has emerged in the global incidence and burden of early-onset pancreatic cancer over the last few decades. This rise may partly be attributed to global epidemics of high body mass index and fasting plasma glucose.

[A survey of performance of public health risk assessment in emergencies of institutions for disease control and prevention at different levels in China].

Objective: To understand the performance of public health risk assessment in emergencies of institutions for disease control and prevention at different levels in China, and provide suggestions for the improvement of public health risk assessment. Methods: A self-administered survey was conducted in professionals involved in public health risk assessment in emergencies from national institution, provincial institutions and some prefectural institutions for disease control and prevention (1-2 prefectural institutions were selected using convenience sampling in each province) between March and April in 2021. Results: A total of 79 institutions for disease control and prevention were investigated, including 1 national institution, 32 provincial institutions and 46 prefectural institutions. By April 2021, all the 79 institutions surveyed had conducted risk assessment of public health emergencies, in which 61 (77.2%) had established departments responsible for the public health risk assessment, i.e. emergency management office or communicable disease prevention and control office (section), and regular risk assessment mechanisms. The main sources of information for public health risk assessment were public health surveillance systems, including the National Notifiable Diseases Reporting System (100.0%) and Public Health Emergencies Management Information System (97.5%). Compared with the provincial institutions, the prefectural institutions were more likely to use specific disease surveillance systems (84.8% vs. 62.5%; χ2=5.09, P=0.024). The risk management recommendations made by 43 institutions for disease control and prevention (54.4%) after the risk assessment were accepted by the superior health administrative departments and used in epidemic prevention and control. Conclusions: Public health risk assessment in emergencies has been widely carried out by national, provincial and prefectural institutions for disease control and prevention in China. Specialized departments and mechanisms have been established, but the information sources are still confined to public health surveillance systems and the application of the risk assessment results still needs to be further improved.

[Research Progress on the Effect of Synthetic Cathinones on Animal Behavior].

ABSTRACT: Synthetic cathinones are a class of new psychoactive substances with a structure similar to amphetamine drugs, which can produce excitatory effects similar to drugs such as amphetamine and cocaine after being taken. In recent years, the abuse of synthetic cathinones worldwide has become increasingly serious, posing a serious threat to social security and public health. This article focuses on several common synthetic cathinones, collects their research results in animal autonomous activity experiments and drug dependence model experiments and summarizes their relevant experimental conclusions in animal body temperature regulation, learning and memory, and anxiety, in order to provide data reference and method guidance for the domestic development of related drug research.

[Assessment of the quality of life of mandibular ameloblastoma patients after reconstruction with double-barrel fibula flap].

Objective: To analyse the quality of life of patients receiving repair of bone defect with folded fibula flap after removal of mandibular ameloblastoma. Methods: The case data of 39 patients with ameloblastoma admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from August 2013 to April 2016 were retrospectively analysed, including 21 males and 18 females, from 18 to 58 years old. 3D printing and digital technology were used in flap preparation before surgery in all patients. The folded fibular flaps were used to repair mandibular defects and the implants were placed between 6-9 months after surgery. The short form-36 health survey questionnaire (SF-36) and the university of Washington quality of life questionnaire (UW-QOL) were applied to evaluate the quality of life of patients before surgery and at 6 months and 24 months after surgery. The higher the score, the better the condition. SPSS 20.0 was adopted for statistical analysis. Results: The SF-36 survey showed that the mean score of body role before surgery (72.4±11.7) was significantly higher than that at 6 months after surgery (39.6±11.1, t=23.580, P<0.05) or that at 24 months after surgery (59.8±6.4, t=8.358, P<0.001). Compared with the preoperative mean scores of Physical Pain (73.0±11.0), General Health (73.4±10.4) and Health Changes (79.2±3.9) before surgery, the mean scores Physical Pain (53.1±7.7), General Health (53.5±7.5) and Health Changes (63.9±11.7) at 6 months after surgery were decreased significantly respectively (t=13.068, 13.756 and 10.880, respectively, all P<0.05), but the mean scores Physical Pain (78.8±14.0), General Health (80.9±12.6) and Health Changes (84.4±4.6) at 24 months after surgery were increased significantly respectively (t=-2.904, -4.027 and -7.586, respectively, all P<0.05), with significant differences in the mean scores of Physical Pain, General Health and Health Changes between 6 and 24 months after surgery (t=-14.241, -16.490, -14.294, respectively, all P<0.001). The UW-QOL survey showed that the mean scores of chewing, language and taste functions decreased at 6 months after surgery (53.1±6.7, 53.0±7.7 and 62.2±9.9, respectively), but improved at 24 months after surgery (67.9±3.9, 63.9±2.9 and 68.4±11.1, respectively), with statistically significant difference (t=-16.765, -11.675 and 2.498, respectively, all P<0.001). Conclusion: The application of folded fibula flaps to repair bone defects after sugery of mandibular ameloblastoma can better meet the needs of language and chewing functions and improve the quality of life of patients.

Disease burden of hepatitis E in a rural population in China: a community-based survey.

This study aimed to estimate the disease burden of hepatitis E in a rural region in China. A total of 489 hepatitis E cases were reported according to a community-based survey in an active hepatitis surveillance system between 2008 and 2015, the questionnaire and record-review methods were constructed to evaluate the economic and health burden of hepatitis E virus infections from societal perspectives. All costs were converted to US$ in 2015. The age-standardized cumulative incidence rate was 107·9/100 000, and the median age-standardized annual incidence rate was 16·5/100 000. The median direct, indirect, and intangible cost were $1046·0, $49·1, and $77·3/patient, respectively, and the median economic burden per patient was $1836·5, which accounted for 51·2% of per capita disposable income. Moreover, the median quality-adjusted life year and visual analogue scale score were 0·7 and 70·0/case, respectively. Both economic burden and health burden of inpatients was more serious than that of outpatients (P < 0·001). Disease burden of hepatitis E is heavy on patients, their families, and society. More studies on the disease burden of hepatitis E are necessary to increase social awareness of the disease and confirm reasonable disease-control measures.

Sociodemographic disparity in the diet quality transition among Chinese adults from 1991 to 2011.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: This study investigates secular trends in diet quality distribution and related socioeconomic disparity from 1991 to 2011 in the Chinese adult population. SUBJECTS/METHODS: The analysis uses the 1991-2011 China Health and Nutrition Survey data on 13 853 participants (6876 men and 6977 women) aged 18-65 with 56 319 responses. Dietary assessment was carried out over a 3-day period with 24-h recalls combined with a household food inventory. We tailored Alternative Healthy Eating Index 2010 (named as tAHEI) to measure diet quality and performed quantile regression to investigate shifts in tAHEI scores at different percentiles and used mixed-effect linear regression to examine average diet quality trend and potential sociodemographic disparity. RESULTS: The energy-adjusted mean tAHEI scores increased from 36.9 (36.7-37.1) points in 1991 to 50.3 (50.1-50.5) in 2011 for men (P<0.001) and from 35.6 (35.4-35.8) to 46.9 (46.7-47.1) for women (P<0.001). The covariate-adjusted score of polyunsaturated fatty acids increased by 6.8 (6.6, 7.0) and 7.0 (6.9, 7.2), and the score of long-chain (ω-3) fats increased by 5.3 (5.2, 5.4) and 5.3 (5.2, 5.5) in men and women, respectively, whereas the cereal fiber and red meat scores decreased slightly. Increasing tAHEI score occurred across the entire distribution, and diet quality transition varied across sociodemographic groups. CONCLUSIONS: Chinese diet quality is far from optimal, with moderate improvement over a 21-year period. Findings suggest that nutritional intervention should give priority to low-income, low-urbanized communities and southern provincial adults with low diet quality in China.

In vitro assessment of 39 CYP2C9 variants found in the Chinese population on the metabolism of the model substrate fluoxetine and a summary of their effects on other substrates.

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE: Cytochrome P450 2C9 (CYP2C9) is a polymorphic enzyme that is responsible for clearing approximately 15% of clinically important drugs. The objective of this study was to assess the catalytic characteristics of 39 CYP2C9 isoforms found in the Chinese population and their effects on the metabolism of the model substrate fluoxetine in vitro. METHODS: Baculovirus-mediated expressing system was used to highly express wild-type and the 38 CYP2C9 allelic variants in insect cell microsomes. Then, the enzymatic characteristics of each variant were evaluated using fluoxetine as the substrate. Reactions were performed at 37 °C with the insect microsomes and 10-200 µm fluoxetine for 60 min. After termination, the products were precipitated and used for signal collection by UPLC-MS/MS. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Of the 39 tested CYP2C9 isoforms, only four variants (CYP2C9*3, CYP2C9*27, CYP2C9*34 and CYP2C9*37) exhibited similar relative clearance values to that of the wild-type CYP2C9*1. Moreover, five variants (CYP2C9*14, CYP2C9*36, CYP2C9*45, CYP2C9*48 and CYP2C9*55) showed a higher intrinsic clearance value than the wild-type protein, whereas the remaining 29 CYP2C9 isoforms exhibited significantly decreased clearance values (from 6·23% to 87·74%) compared to CYP2C9*1. In addition, 28 CYP2C9 isoforms including CYP2C9*3 exhibited a trend towards substrate inhibition for fluoxetine. WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION: This study provides the most comprehensive data on the enzymatic activities associated with all reported CYP2C9 variants in the Chinese population with regard to the widely used antidepressant drug, fluoxetine. Our data indicate that more attention should be paid to subjects carrying the corresponding infrequent CYP2C9 alleles when administering fluoxetine in the clinic.

Neighborhood socio-economic context and emergency department visits for dental care in a U.S. Midwestern metropolis.

OBJECTIVE: This study was to examine the association between emergency department (ED) visits for dental complaints and neighborhood socio-economic contexts of patients in a U.S. Midwestern metropolis. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective study. METHODS: Deidentified data of ED visits for the period 2001-2010 from all facilities serving Kansas City, Missouri and 2007-2011 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates data were used to determine odds of visit by neighborhood socio-economic characteristics at the ZIP code level. ED visits with diagnoses of International Classification of Disease 9th Revision codes related to toothache or tooth injury were included. ZIP code characteristics included percent of non-white population, median family income, percent of population 25 years and older with at least a high school degree, and percent of population with a language other than English spoken at home. Each ZIP code characteristic was divided into quartiles. Chi-square tests and two-level hierarchical linear modeling (HLM) were conducted. In the HLM, the outcome variable was whether to have an ED visit for dental complaints (yes/no), the first-level variables were characteristics of individual ED visits, and the second-level variables were ZIP code characteristics. RESULTS: The study population made 1,786,939 ED visits, of which 35,136 (1.9%) were for dental complaints. Among the patients making ED visits for dental complaints, 54.8% were female, 51.9% were younger adults aged 19-35 years, 48.7% were non-Hispanic black, and 35.5% used self-pay as the source of payment. After controlling the first-level variables, the HLM showed that the risk of ED visits for dental complaints significantly increased for individuals residing in ZIP Code Tabulation Areas with lower median family income, or a higher proportion of the population with a language rather than English spoken at home. CONCLUSIONS: Among socio-economic characteristics examined, median family income and percent of population with a language other than English spoken at home are important indicators of ED visits for dental complaints.

Impact of overweight and obesity on hospitalization: race and gender differences.

OBJECTIVE: To examine associations between weight status and number of all-cause and cause-specific hospitalizations overall, and by race and gender. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study. SUBJECTS: White and black adults (n=15 355) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study who were normal weight (body mass index: >or=18.5 to <25.0 kg m(-2); n=4997), overweight (>or=25.0 to <30.0 kg m(-2); n=6100), or obese (>or=30.0 kg m(-2); n=4258) at baseline. MEASUREMENTS: Information on hospitalizations was collected using community and cohort surveillance methods. Negative binomial models adjusted for race, gender, field center, age, physical activity, education level, smoking status, alcoholic beverage consumption and health insurance at baseline. Adjusted numbers of hospitalizations were calculated after setting covariates to the mean value (for continuous variables) or to the average distribution (for categorical variables) observed in the entire cohort and are expressed as the number of hospitalizations per 1000 adults followed over a period of 13 years. RESULTS: The covariate-adjusted average number of all-cause hospitalizations was 1316 per 1000 normal weight, 1543 per 1000 overweight and 2025 per 1000 obese. Normal weight women had significantly fewer hospitalizations than normal weight men (1173 versus 1515 per 1000), but the increase associated with being obese on the number of all-cause hospitalizations was larger in women than men (791 versus 589 per 1000). There was no significant difference detected between the number of hospitalizations in normal weight whites and blacks, and the increase in hospitalizations with overweight or obesity was also not different. Effects of weight status on several primary causes of hospitalization differed by gender and race group. CONCLUSION: Our work suggests that obesity prevention may reduce hospitalizations, a major component of rising healthcare costs. The impact of successful obesity prevention is likely to be larger in women than in men, and similar in blacks and whites.

MR grid-tagging using hyperpolarized helium-3 for regional quantitative assessment of pulmonary biomechanics and ventilation.

A new technique is demonstrated in six healthy human subjects that combines grid-tagging and hyperpolarized helium-3 MRI to assess regional lung biomechanical function and quantitative ventilation. 2D grid-tagging, achieved by applying sinc-modulated RF-pulse trains along the frequency- and phase-encoding directions, was followed by a multislice fast low-angle shot (FLASH)-based acquisition at inspiration and expiration. The displacement vectors, first and second principal strains, and quantitative ventilation were computed, and mean values were calculated for the upper, middle, and lower lung regions. Displacements in the lower region were significantly greater than those in either the middle or upper region (P < 0.005), while there were no significant differences between the three regions for the two principal strains and quantitative ventilation (P = 0.11-0.92). Variations in principal strains and ventilation were greater between subjects than between lung zones within individual subjects. This technique has the potential to provide insight into regional biomechanical alterations of lung function in a variety of lung diseases.

Redefining rate regulation in a competitive environment.

Neither rate regulation nor market competition alone is likely to contain health care spending in the long run. We need an approach to cost containment that can simultaneously address the major causes of rising health expenditures: higher prices, greater intensity, and new technologies. Whereas rate regulation and market competition have been viewed as alternative strategies, an innovative approach would include a rate-regulatory system that is compatible with an evolving competitive market. We discuss the Maryland hospital rate-setting system as an illustration of the compatibility of a regulatory approach within a competitive market. In addition, we consider the feasibility of expanding a hospital rate-setting system nationwide and to the nonhospital sectors.