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3.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 44(10): 1616-1621, 2023 Oct 10.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37875450

RESUMO

Objective: To explore the spatial autocorrelation and macro influencing factors of stroke mortality in Zhejiang Province in 2015-2020 and provide a scientific basis for stroke prevention and control strategy. Methods: The data on stroke death were obtained from Zhejiang Chronic Disease Surveillance System. The spatial distribution of stroke mortality was explored by mapping and spatial autocorrelation analysis. The spatial panel model analyzed the correlation between stroke mortality and socioeconomic and healthcare factors. Results: From 2015 to 2020, the average stroke mortality was 68.38/100 thousand. The standard mortality of stroke was high in the areas of east and low in the west, high in the south and low in the north. Moreover, positive spatial autocorrelation was observed (Moran's I=0.274-0.390, P<0.001). Standard mortality of stroke was negatively associated with per capita gross domestic product (GDP) (ß=-0.370, P<0.001), per capita health expenditure (ß=-0.116, P=0.021), number of beds per thousand population (ß=-0.161, P=0.030). Standard mortality of ischemic stroke was negatively associated with per capita GDP (ß=-0.310, P=0.002) and standard management rate of hypertension (ß=-0.462, P=0.011). Standard mortality of hemorrhagic stroke was negatively associated with per capita GDP (ß=-0.481, P<0.001), per capita health expenditure (ß=-0.184, P=0.001), number of beds per thousand population (ß=-0.288, P=0.001) and standard management rate of hypertension (ß=-0.336, P=0.029). Conclusions: A positive spatial correlation existed between stroke mortality in Zhejiang Province in 2015-2020. We must focus more on preventing and controlling strokes in relatively backward economic areas. Moreover, to reduce the mortality of stroke, increasing the investment of government medical and health funds, optimizing the allocation of medical resources, and improving the standard management rate of hypertension are important measures.


Assuntos
Hipertensão , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Análise Espacial , Produto Interno Bruto , Gastos em Saúde , China/epidemiologia
4.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37400401

RESUMO

Objective: To analyze the disease burden of pneumoconiosis globally and in China from 1990 to 2019 using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 data, and to provide a theoretical basis for prevention and control of pneumoconiosis. Methods: In September 2022, the data of incidence, prevalence, morality and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) of pneumoconiosis and its subtypes globally and in China from 1990 to 2019 were collected from GBD 2019, including absolute number and age-standardized rate (ASR). Joinpoint linear regression model was used to calculate average annual percent change (AAPC) and analyze the change trends of incidence, prevalence, mortality and DALY of pneumoconiosis and its subtypes. Results: From 1990 to 2019, the incident cases, prevalent cases and DALY value of pneumoconiosis showed upward trends, while the number of death cases showed downward trends. And the ASR of incidence (ASIR), the ASR of prevalence (ASPR), the ASR of mortality (ASMR) and the ASR of DALY (ASDR) showed downward trends globally and in China. China accounted for a large proportion of the global disease burden of penumoconiosis, accounting for more than 67% of the incident cases, more than 80% of the prevalent cases, more than 43% of the deaths cases and more than 60% of the absolute number of DALY in the world every year. Male were the main population of pneumoconiosis disease burden globally and in China, and the age of onset was earlier than that of female. The peak age periods of incidence, prevalence, mortality and DALY of pneumoconiosis globally and in China from 1990 to 2019 have increased. Silicosis was still the type with the highest disease burden of pneumoconiosis globally and in China. The disease burden of coal workers' pneumoconiosis had an overall improvement trend, but asbestosis had an increasing disease burden worldwide. Conclusion: The disease burden of pneumoconiosis is heavy globally and in China, which is necessary to strengthen the supervision and prevention measures according to gender, age and etiological types.


Assuntos
Antracose , Asbestose , Pneumoconiose , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Pneumoconiose/epidemiologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Asbestose/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologia , Incidência
5.
Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci ; 27(12): 5620-5626, 2023 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37401300

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the intelligent flipper (IFLIP) system in identifying binocular vision anomalies. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study comprised 70 participants aged 18 to 22. Participants underwent comprehensive eye assessments, including measurement of visual acuity, refraction, far and near cover test, stereopsis, and worth four dot test. The manual accommodation amplitude and facility, as well as the IFLIP system test, were also evaluated. The correlation between the indices of the IFLIP and manual accommodation tests was analyzed using multiple regression models, and the diagnostic ability of the IFLIP was characterized using Receiver Operating Curve (ROC) analysis. The significance level was 0.05. RESULTS: The mean age of the 70 participants was 20.03±0.78 years. The mean manual and IFLIP accommodation facilities were 12.00±3.70 cycle per minute (CPM) and 10.01±2.77 CPM, respectively. No correlation was found between the indices of the IFLIP system and manual accommodative amplitude. However, the regression model showed that the contraction/relaxation ratio of the IFLIP system was positively correlated to the manual accommodation facility, and the average contraction time was negatively correlated with the manual accommodation facility. The ROC analysis proposed a cut-off of 10.15 CPM monocularly for the IFLIP accommodation facility assessment. CONCLUSIONS: This study indicated that the parameters obtained by the IFLIP system and the manual accommodation facility were comparable, and the IFLIP system had good sensitivity and specificity in the assessment of the accommodation facility, thus may serve as a promising tool for screening and diagnosis of binocular visual function anomalies in clinical and community settings.


Assuntos
Testes Visuais , Visão Binocular , Humanos , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Acuidade Visual , Acomodação Ocular , Sensibilidade e Especificidade
6.
Public Health ; 220: 127-134, 2023 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37315498

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Estimating the total risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) using risk prediction models represents a huge improvement in identifying and treating each of the risk factors. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of the China-PAR (Prediction of atherosclerotic CVD risk in China) and Framingham risk score (FRS) in predicting the 10-year risk of CVD in Chinese hypertensive patients. The results of the study can be used to design health promotion strategies. STUDY DESIGN: A large cohort study was used to assess the validity of models by comparing model predictions with actual incidence rates. METHODS: In total, 10,498 hypertensive patients aged 30-70 years in Jiangsu Province, China, participated in the baseline survey that took place between January and December 2010 and were followed up to May 2020. China-PAR and FRS were used to calculate the predicted 10-year risk of CVD. The 10-year observed incidence of new cardiovascular events was adjusted by the Kaplan-Meier method. The ratio of the predicted risk to the actual incidence was calculated to evaluate the effectiveness of the model. The discrimination Harrell's C statistics and calibration Chi-square value were used to evaluate the predictive reliability of the models. RESULTS: Of the 10,498 participants, 4411 (42.02%) were male. During the mean follow-up of 8.30 ± 1.45 years, a total of 693 new cardiovascular events occurred. Both models overestimated the risk of morbidity to varying degrees, and the FRS overestimated to a greater extent. After adjustment for covariates, the results of Cox proportional hazards regression showed that the risk of CVD in the high-risk group was higher than in low-risk group. The degree of discrimination in both models was approximately 0.6, which showed that discrimination was not ideal in the models. In addition, Chi-square calibrations of the two models were <20 in males, which showed that calibration of the models was better for men than women. CONCLUSIONS: The China-PAR and FRS models overestimated the risk of CVD for participants in this study. In addition, the degree of discrimination was not ideal, and both models performed better in males than in females in terms of calibration. The results of this study suggest that a more suitable risk prediction model should be established according to the characteristics of the hypertensive population in Jiangsu Province.


Assuntos
Hipertensão , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , População do Leste Asiático , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Promoção da Saúde , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Modelos Cardiovasculares
8.
J Biopharm Stat ; 33(4): 452-465, 2023 Jul 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36755379

RESUMO

ICH E9(R1) introduces the estimand framework to strengthen dialogues between sponsors and regulators during drug development. A well-structured benefit-risk assessment (BRA) framework also intends to facilitate communication among stakeholders. However, the estimand in ICH E9(R1) is written mainly from the perspective of a single measure of treatment effect in clinical trials. There is lack of systematic discussion on estimand in the context of BRA. This paper initiates the BRA discussion under the estimand framework. By identifying two types of BRA approaches, we summarize and discuss completed clinical trials, using the estimand language for BRA. Benefits and challenges of using estimand for BRA are also discussed.


Assuntos
Desenvolvimento de Medicamentos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Humanos , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Medição de Risco
9.
Zhonghua Fu Chan Ke Za Zhi ; 58(1): 26-36, 2023 Jan 25.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36720612

RESUMO

Objective: To study the risk factors of adverse pregnancy outcomes for the diagnosis and treatment of pregnancy after cesarean section complicated with placenta previa. Methods: A national multicenter retrospective study was conducted to select a total of 747 pregnant women with the third trimester singleton pregnancy after cesarean section complicated with placenta previa from 12 tertiary hospitals in January 1st to December 31st, 2018. The risk factors of severe adverse outcomes [hysterectomy, intraoperative blood loss ≥1 000 ml, intraoperative diagnosis of placenta accreta spectrum disorders (PAS)] in pregnant women with second pregnancy complicated with placenta previa after cesarean section were investigated by logistic regression analysis. The roles of prenatal ultrasonography and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in the prediction of PAS and severe adverse outcomes were observed. According to whether vascular intervention was performed (uterine artery embolization or abdominal aortic balloon occlusion), the pregnant women were divided into the blocked group and the unblocked group, and the maternal and infant perinatal outcomes between the two groups were compared. Results: (1) General information: the hysterectomy rate of 747 pregnant women with second pregnancy complicated with placenta previa after cesarean section was 10.4% (78/747), the intraoperative blood loss ≥1 000 ml in 55.8% (417/747), and PAS was confirmed in 47.5% (355/747). The incidence of uterine rupture was 0.8% (6/747). (2) Analysis of risk factors for severe adverse outcomes: based on binary unconditioned logistic regression univariate and multivariate analysis, the risk factors for hysterectomy were the mode of vascular embolization and intraoperative blood loss. The probability of hysterectomy with uterine artery embolization was 5.319 times higher than that with abdominal aortic balloon occlusion (95%CI: 1.346-21.018). The risk factors of intraoperative blood loss ≥1 000 ml were the number of cesarean section delivery, ultrasonography indicated PAS and suspected PAS, intraoperative PAS and complete placenta previa. The risk factors for intraoperative PAS were uterine scar thickness, ultrasonography indicated PAS and suspected PAS, MRI indicated PAS and suspected PAS, and complete placenta previa. (3) The roles of ultrasonography and MRI in predicting PAS: the sensitivity and specificity of ultrasonography in predicting PAS were 47.5% and 88.4%; the kappa value was 0.279 (P<0.001), with fair agreement. The sensitivity and specificity of MRI to predict PAS were 79.2% and 97.8%, respectively. The kappa value was 0.702 (P<0.001), indicating a good agreement. The intraoperative blood loss and hysterectomy rate of pregnant women with PAS indicated by ultrasonography and MRI were significantly higher than those with PAS only by ultrasonography or MRI. (4) Influence of vascular occlusion on pregnancy outcome: there were no significant differences in intraoperative blood loss and incidence of intraoperative bleeding ≥1 000 ml between the blocked group and the unblocked group (all P>0.05). There was no significant difference in intraoperative blood loss between the pregnant women with abdominal aortic balloon occlusion, uterine artery embolization and those without occlusion (P=0.409). The hysterectomy rate of pregnant women with uterine artery embolization was significantly higher than those with abdominal aortic balloon occlusion [39.3% (22/56) vs 10.0% (5/50), P=0.001]. Conclusions: In the third trimester of pregnancy with placenta previa after cesarean section, MRI examination has better consistency in predicting PAS than ultrasonography examination. Ultrasonography examination combined with MRI examination could effectively predict the hysterectomy rate and intraoperative blood loss. Vascular occlusion could not reduce the amount of intraoperative blood loss. The hysterectomy rate of pregnant women with uterine artery embolization is higher than those with abdominal aortic balloon occlusion.


Assuntos
Placenta Acreta , Placenta Prévia , Gravidez , Lactente , Feminino , Humanos , Cesárea , Placenta Acreta/cirurgia , Placenta Prévia/cirurgia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Perda Sanguínea Cirúrgica , Gestantes , Fatores de Risco
10.
Clin Radiol ; 78(2): e63-e70, 2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36307233

RESUMO

AIM: To compare the accuracy of three-dimensional (3D) high-resolution (HR) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), time-of-flight magnetic resonance angiography (TOF-MRA), contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance angiography (CE-MRA), and digital subtraction angiography (DSA) in measuring the degree of stenosis in intracranial atherosclerosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All patients with intracranial artery ischaemic events underwent HR-MRI, TOF-MRA, and CE-MRA analysis, and some of these patients underwent DSA examination. The correlation between different methods for measuring the degree of lumen stenosis was analysed. The accuracy of HR-MRI, TOF-MRA, and CE-MRA was evaluated and compared with that of DSA. RESULTS: A total of 189 arterial stenoses were identified in 93 patients. Of these, 72 patients with 142 arterial stenoses underwent DSA examination. A very strong correlation between HR-MRI and CE-MRA measurements was shown (r=0.839, p<0.0001). The correlation between HR-MRI and TOF-MRA measurements was strong (r=0.720, p<0.0001). A very strong correlation between HR-MRI and DSA measurements was found (r=0.864, p<0.0001), and a similar correlation was observed between CE-MRA, and DSA measurements (r=0.843, p<0.0001). The correlation between TOF-MRA and DSA measurements was strong (r=0.686, p<0.0001). There was substantial agreement between HR-MRI and DSA measurements (K = 0.772) and between CE-MRA, and DSA measurements (K = 0.734) that was slightly higher than the agreement between TOF-MRA and DSA measurements (K = 0.636). CONCLUSION: HR-MRI can accurately measure stenosis (especially for moderate and severe stenosis) in intracranial atherosclerosis by direct visualisation of the vessel lumen and steno-occlusive plaque.


Assuntos
Aneurisma Intracraniano , Arteriosclerose Intracraniana , Humanos , Angiografia por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Constrição Patológica/diagnóstico por imagem , Angiografia Digital/métodos , Imageamento Tridimensional/métodos , Arteriosclerose Intracraniana/diagnóstico por imagem , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Meios de Contraste
11.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36052598

RESUMO

Objective: To evaluate the occupational health risk of organic solvents in major posts of printing industry, and to provide technical reference to take targeted risk control measures. Methods: In January 2021, the contact ratio method was used to assess the occupational health risk of organic solvents in the major posts of 84 printing enterprises in Shantou, and Monte Carto method was used to estimate the probability distribution of risk levels in the majorpostsin January 2021. Results: The highest probability of risk assessment in printing and membranecovering post is Level 4 (high risk) , which are 76.2% and 67.6% respectively; the highest probability of simulation evaluation result in oil blending, dispensing and cleaning post is Level 3 (medium risk) ; and the simulation evaluation result in glueing post are mostly Level 3 (medium risk) and Level 4 (high risk) , the probability of which are 45.7% and 54.3% respectively. Conclusion: The occupational health risk of organic solvents in the major posts is generally middle-high risk level, and then the occupational health risk control of organic solvents in major posts of printing industry should be strengthened.


Assuntos
Poluentes Ocupacionais do Ar , Exposição Ocupacional , Saúde Ocupacional , Poluentes Ocupacionais do Ar/análise , Indústrias , Exposição Ocupacional/análise , Medição de Risco , Solventes
12.
J Neural Eng ; 19(2)2022 04 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35475424

RESUMO

Objective. The aim of this review was to systematically identify the ethical implications of visual neuroprostheses.Approach. A systematic search was performed in both PubMed and Embase using a search string that combined synonyms for visual neuroprostheses, brain-computer interfaces (BCIs), cochlear implants (CIs), and ethics. We chose to include literature on BCIs and CIs, because of their ethically relavant similarities and functional parallels with visual neuroprostheses.Main results. We included 84 articles in total. Six focused specifically on visual prostheses. The other articles focused more broadly on neurotechnologies, on BCIs or CIs. We identified 169 ethical implications that have been categorized under seven main themes: (a) benefits for health and well-being; (b) harm and risk; (c) autonomy; (d) societal effects; (e) clinical research; (f) regulation and governance; and (g) involvement of experts, patients and the public.Significance. The development and clinical use of visual neuroprostheses is accompanied by ethical issues that should be considered early in the technological development process. Though there is ample literature on the ethical implications of other types of neuroprostheses, such as motor neuroprostheses and CIs, there is a significant gap in the literature regarding the ethical implications of visual neuroprostheses. Our findings can serve as a starting point for further research and normative analysis.


Assuntos
Interfaces Cérebro-Computador , Próteses Neurais , Humanos
13.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 43(3): 397-402, 2022 Mar 10.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35345297

RESUMO

With the progress of globalization, the public health emergencies represented by major infectious diseases have become a major challenge for the public health management in China. The article briefly describes the emergency response capability assessment tools in China, and introduces two emergency response assessment tools with complete content structure and wide application in the world. Then the advantages and disadvantages of the tools are compared and discussed in order to provide reference for improvement of the assessment tools for public health emergency response capability in China.


Assuntos
Planejamento em Desastres , Saúde Pública , China , Humanos , Administração em Saúde Pública
14.
J Nutr Health Aging ; 25(9): 1119-1123, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34725671

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to evaluate the comparative effectiveness and applicability of using calf circumference (CC), strength, need for assistance with walking, rising from a sitting position, climbing stairs, and the incidence of falls (SARC-F), as well as SARC-F plus CC (SARC-CalF) and the Ishii test, for assessing sarcopenia in older adult nursing home occupants. METHOD: In this cross-sectional study, the diagnostic criteria of the AWGS2019 were used as the standard, and the accuracy of the four screening methods determined by indicators, including sensitivity, specificity, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, positive predictive values (PPV), and negative predictive values (NPV). RESULTS: One hundred and ninety-nine older adults, 97 male and 102 female, were included. The prevalence of sarcopenia was 48.7%. Over all the participants, the sensitivity and specificity of CC were 74.22% and 51.96%, respectively, and 40.21% and 83.33%, respectively, for SARC-F. The use of SARC-CalF raised the SARC-F sensitivity (71.14%) while reducing the specificity (60.78%). The Ishii test had a sensitivity of 89.7% and a specificity of 74.51%. The PPV and NPV of CC, SARC-F, SARC-CalF, Ishii test were 0.6/0.68, 0.7/0.59, 0.55/0.63, and 0.77/0.88, respectively. The areas under the curve for CC, SARC-F, SARC-CalF, and the Ishii test were 0.67(95%CI, 0.59-0.74), 0.71(95%CI, 0.64-0.79), 0.71(95%CI, 0.64-0.79), and 0.86 (95% CI,0.81-0.92), respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of CC, SARC-F, SARC-CalF, and the Ishii test for sarcopenia screening in males were 71.69%/56.41%, 29.31%/79.49%, 67.24%/64.10%, and 94.83%/56.41%, respectively, and in females were 79.49%/49.21%, 56.41%/85.71%, 76.92%/58.73%, and 82.05%/85.71%, respectively. The PPV and NPV of CC, SARC-F, SARC-CalF, and the Ishii test in males were 0.71/0.56, 0.68/0.43, 0.74/0.57, and 0.76/0.88, respectively, while in females the values were 0.49/0.79, 0.71/0.76, 0.54/0.8, and 0.78/0.89, respectively.The areas under the curve for CC, SARC-F, SARC-CalF, and the Ishii test in males were 0.7(95%CI, 0.59-0.8), 0.63(95%CI, 0.52-0.75), 0.68(95%CI, 0.57-0.8), and 0.86(95% CI, 0.78-0.94), respectively, and in females 0.69(95%CI, 0.58-0.8), 0.81(95%CI, 0.72-0.89), 0.76(95%CI, 0.67-0.86), and 0.85 (95%CI, 0.77-0.94), respectively. CONCLUSION: The overall screening ability of the Ishii test for sarcopenia was superior to that of the CC, SARC-F, and SARC-CalF in older adults in nursing homes.


Assuntos
Sarcopenia , Idoso , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Avaliação Geriátrica , Humanos , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Casas de Saúde , Sarcopenia/diagnóstico , Sarcopenia/epidemiologia , Sarcopenia/etiologia , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Inquéritos e Questionários
16.
Beijing Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban ; 53(3): 460-466, 2021 Jun 18.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34145845

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the potential effectiveness of different screening strategies for cardiovascular diseases prevention in a community-based Chinese population from economically developed area of China. METHODS: Totally 202 179 adults aged 40 to 74 years without cardiovascular diseases at baseline (January 1, 2010) were enrolled from the Chinese electronic health records research in Yinzhou (CHERRY) study. Three scenarios were considered: the screening strategy based on risk charts recommended by the 2020 Chinese guideline on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases in Chinese adults aged 40-74 years (Strategy 1); the screening strategy based on the prediction for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk in China (China-PAR) models recommended by the 2019 Guideline on the assessment and management of cardiovascular risk in China in Chinese adults aged 40-74 years (Strategy 2); and the screening strategy based on the China-PAR models in Chinese adults aged 50-74 years (Strategy 3). According to the guidelines, individuals who were classified into medium- or high-risk groups after cardiovascular risk assessment by the corresponding strategies would be introduced to lifestyle intervention, while high-risk population would take medication in addition. Markov model was used to simulate different screening scenarios for 10 years (cycles), using parameters mainly from the CHERRY study, as well as published data, Meta-analyses and systematic reviews for Chinese populations. The life year gained, quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained, number of cardiovascular disease events/deaths could be prevented and number needed to be screened (NNS) were calculated to compare the effectiveness between the different strategies. One-way sensitivity analysis on uncertainty of cardiovascular disease incidence rate and probabilistic sensitivity analysis on uncertainty of distributions for the hazard ratios were conducted. RESULTS: Compared with non-screening strategy, QALYs gained were 1 433 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 969-1 831], 1 401 (95%UI: 936-1 807), and 716 (95%UI: 265-1 111) for the Strategies 1, 2, and 3; and the NNS per QALY in the above strategies were 141 (95%UI: 110-209), 144 (95%UI: 112-216), and 198 (95%UI: 127-529), respectively. The Strategies 1 and 2 based on different guidelines showed similar effectiveness, while more benefits were found for screening using China-PAR models in adults aged 40-74 years than those aged 50-74 years. The results were consistent in the sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Screening for cardiovascular diseases in Chinese adults aged above 40 years seems effective in coastal developed areas of China, and the different screening strategies based on risk charts by the 2020 Chinese guideline on the primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases or China-PAR models by the 2019 Guideline on the assessment and management of cardiovascular risk in China may have similar effectiveness.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Adulto , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , China/epidemiologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Programas de Rastreamento , Prevenção Primária , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
17.
Res Rep Health Eff Inst ; (205): 1-61, 2021 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35869754

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: In 2006, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) and local air quality management districts implemented an Emission Reduction Plan for Ports and Goods Movement program (referred to hereinafter as GM policy actions) (CARB 2006). The GM policy actions comprise approximately 200 actions with an estimated investment value of $6 to $10 billion. These actions targeted the major sources and polluters related to goods movements, such as highways; ports and railyard trucks; ship fuel and shore power; cargo equipment; and locomotives. These actions aimed to reduce total statewide domestic GM emissions to 2001 levels or lower by the year 2010; to reduce the statewide diesel particulate matter (DPM) health risk from GM by 85% by the year 2020; and to reduce the nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions from international GM in the South Coast Air Basin by 30% from projected 2015 levels and 50% from projected 2020 levels. The years 2006 and 2007 marked an important milestone in starting to regulate GM polluters and adopting stricter standards for traffic-related air pollution.This project aimed to examine the impact of the GM policy actions on reductions in ambient air pollution and subsequent improvements in health outcomes of Medi-Cal fee-for-service (FFS) beneficiaries with chronic conditions in 10 counties in California. Specifically, we examined whether the GM policy actions reduced air pollution near GMC corridors more than in control areas. We subsequently assessed whether there were greater decreases in emergency room (ER) visits and hospitalizations for enrollees with chronic conditions who lived in the GM corridors (GMCs) than for those who lived in other areas. METHODS: The study used a quasi-experimental design. We defined areas within 500 m of truck-permitted freeways and ports as GMCs. We further defined non-goods movement corridors (NGMCs) as locations within 500 m of truck-prohibited freeways or 300 m of a connecting roadway, and areas out of GMCs and NGMCs as controls (CTRLs). We defined years 2004-2007 as the pre-policy period and years 2008-2010 as the post-policy period. We developed linear mixed-effects land use regression models and created annual air pollution surfaces for nitrogen dioxide (NO2), fine particulate matter (PM2.5), and ozone (O3) across California for years 2004-2010 at a spatial resolution of 30 m, then assigned them to enrollees' home addresses.We used a retrospective cohort of 23,000 California Medicaid (Medi-Cal) FFS adult beneficiaries living in 10 California counties with six years of data (September 1, 2004, to August 31, 2010). Cohort beneficiaries had at least one of four chronic conditions, including asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), diabetes, and heart disease.We used a difference-in-differences (DiD) model to assess whether air pollutant concentration and health care utilization (ER visits and hospitalizations) for cohort beneficiaries declined more for those living in intervention corridors (GMCs, NGMCs) than those living in CTRLs. All the models controlled for age, sex, language spoken, race/ethnicity, number of comorbidities in baseline years, county, time-varying health indicator variables, and several neighborhood variables.To facilitate interpretation, we calculated the DiD estimates in each of the three years after the policy intervention. The DiD was used to assess the causal impact of regulatory policy on reductions of air pollution, as well as for the improvements in health outcomes.We explored whether improvements in health outcomes were due to the air pollution reduction by using a multi- level mediation model, in which the effect of GM actions on health outcomes was mediated through the effect of actual air pollution reductions in the post-policy years. We used the Generalized Structural Equation Models for the estimation and combined the effects of NO2 and PM2.5 in the model. To further verify the causal inferences of the GM actions on reductions of exposures and improvements in health outcomes, we performed sensitivity analyses with propensity score weighting. RESULTS: We observed statistically significant reductions in pollutant NO2 and PM2.5 concentrations for enrollees in all 10 counties. The enrollees in GMCs experienced greater reductions in NO2 and PM2.5 from the pre- to the post-policy periods than those in CTRLs. Greater reductions were also observed among beneficiaries living in NGMCs versus those in CTRLs, but those reductions were smaller than among beneficiaries living in GMCs. For O3 concentrations, an opposite trend was observed.Furthermore, we observed significantly greater reductions in ER visits for patients with asthma and COPD living in GMCs than those in CTRLS in the post-policy years. For example, we saw in the DiD modeling results there were 170 fewer ER visits for 1,000 beneficiaries with asthma per year in GMCs if the regionwide trend in the CTRL group was considered not related to the GM policy. Similarly, among the beneficiaries with COPD, there were 180 fewer ER visits per 1,000 patients estimated in the GMCs for the third year after the implementation of the policy.We also observed greater reductions in ER visits among those with asthma, when comparing NGMCs with CTRLs, but reductions were smaller than comparisons between GMCs and CTRLs. The ER visits for those with COPD, diabetes, and the total sample in NGMCs also had downward trends in the post-policy year in comparison with those in CTRLs but the differences were not statistically significant; similar phenomena were also observed for the ER visits among those with diabetes and heart diseases and in the total sample when GMCs versus CTRLs and GMCs versus NGMCs were compared. Although hospitalizations also decreased more in GMCs than in NGMCs and more in NGMCs than in CTRLs in the post-policy period, results were not statistically significant.Using the mediation models, we observed 0.129 more reductions in the expected number of ER visits among individuals with asthma for a composite reduction in one unit NO2 and one unit PM2.5 (DiD = -0.129, P < 0.05) from the pre-policy years to the post-policy years. The reductions in NO2 and PM2.5 due to policy change estimated by the mediation model are essentially the same as shown in the respective DiD models. Mediation analyses suggested that the effects of GM policy interventions on health improvements were largely due to exposure reductions. Finally, sensitivity analyses with propensity scores produced similar DiD results. CONCLUSIONS: This project has produced empirical evidence that air pollution control actions reduced pollution exposures among disadvantaged and susceptible populations. More importantly, our findings suggest that the reductions in air pollution led to health outcome improvements among low-income people with chronic conditions. Our investigation also contributed to scientific methods for assessing the health effects of long-term, large-scale, and complex regulatory actions with routinely collected pollutants and medical claims data. Therefore, the results strongly support both short-term and long-term efforts to improve air quality for all members of society and future studies on the impact of air pollution control policies.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Asma , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Adulto , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/análise , California , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Humanos , Medicaid , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/análise , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Material Particulado/análise , Estudos Retrospectivos
18.
Tech Coloproctol ; 25(1): 49-58, 2021 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32885328

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The current data on the intraoperative use of indocyanine green (ICG) fluorescence imaging to reduce the anastomotic leak (AL) rate in rectal cancer surgery remain controversial. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the efficacy of ICG fluorescence imaging in decreasing the AL rate after rectal cancer surgery. METHODS: Studies comparing ICG fluorescence imaging with standard care in patients with rectal cancer were systematically searched from PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library through January 2020. The current meta-analysis was performed according to the preferred reporting items for systematic review and meta-analysis guidelines. A pooled analysis was performed for the available data regarding the baseline features, AL rate and other surgical outcomes. RevMan version 5.3 software was used for the present meta-analysis. RESULTS: Nine studies with a total of 2088 patients with rectal cancer (926 in the ICG group and 1162 in the control group) were included in the present study. In the pooled analysis, the available patient and tumour-related baseline data were all comparable and without significant heterogeneity. In the present pooled analysis, the AL rate in the ICG group was significantly lower (OR 0.34; 95% CI 0.22-0.52; p < 0.0001) than that in the control group. Additionally, intraoperative use of ICG was associated with a decreased overall complication rate (OR 0.57; 95% CI 0.42-0.78; p = 0.0003) and reduced reoperation rate (OR 0.26; 95% CI 0.08-0.86; p = 0.03) in patients who had rectal cancer surgery. CONCLUSIONS: The present study demonstrated the superiority of the intraoperative use of ICG in reducing the AL rate. However, considering the limitations of the included studies, more high-quality prospective studies and randomized controlled trials are needed.


Assuntos
Verde de Indocianina , Neoplasias Retais , Fístula Anastomótica/epidemiologia , Fístula Anastomótica/etiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Imagem Óptica , Estudos Prospectivos , Neoplasias Retais/cirurgia
19.
Zhonghua Yi Xue Za Zhi ; 100(47): 3768-3774, 2020 Dec 22.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33379841

RESUMO

Objective: To explore the improvement of emergency admission screening and perioperative management protocols in the scenario of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and its regular prevention and control for patients with ruptured intracranial aneurysms, which are the most common emergency cases with the most urgent needs for emergent surgery. Methods: The response protocol of the emergency surgical management of ruptured intracranial aneurysm during the epidemic period (from January to March, 2020) at Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University was reviewed. The prognosis of emergent aneurysm surgery under different levels of protection or during the same period of 2019 and 2020 was further compared to describe the operation and prognosis under the new management protocol. Results: A total of 127 emergency cases with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage were referred to Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University from January 20 to March 25, 2020, and 42 cases(33.1%) underwent emergent aneurysm clipping after multi-desciplinary consultation. Admissions of emergency cases required epidemiological, laboratory, and imaging screenings for COVID-19, with additional throat swab virus nucleic acid screening afterwards. During the same period, 9 cases of COVID-19 were confirmed in the emergency screening, and no false negative cases were found. Compared with the same period in 2019, the interval between emergency visits and emergency craniotomy did not increase significantly due to the preoperative screening ((37±17) hours during the epidemic period versus (29±12) hours at the same period in 2019, P=0.058). There was no significant difference in the incidence of perioperative adverse events and postoperative neurological dysfunction (P=0.779). According to the screening results, the corresponding operative and postoperative management protocol and protection standards were adopted. There was no significant difference in the prognosis of emergent surgery between patients with a negative initial screening and those who were to be excluded or suspected in the initial screening (P=0.678). Although viral nucleic acid screening tended to prolong the time interval before surgical intervention ((36±15) hours before nucleic acid screening versus (40±20) hours after nucleic acid screening, P=0.453), there was no statistically significant difference in the preoperative adverse events and postoperative neurological function (P=0.653). Conclusion: The current protocol of COVID-19 screening and stratified emergent surgery management based on screening results can effectively identify suspected and confirmed COVID-19 cases, thereby ensuring timely, safe and effective emergent surgery and prohibiting nosocomial spread.


Assuntos
Aneurisma Roto , COVID-19 , Aneurisma Intracraniano , Aneurisma Roto/cirurgia , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Humanos , Aneurisma Intracraniano/cirurgia , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Resultado do Tratamento
20.
Zhonghua Yi Xue Za Zhi ; 100(44): 3498-3503, 2020 Dec 01.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33256291

RESUMO

Objective: To investigate risk factors for hyperkalemia among chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients and establish a risk assessment model for predicting hyperkalemia events. Methods: Clinical data of CKD patients (stage 3 to 5) hospitalized between May 2017 and June 2020 from 14 hospitals were retrospectively collected and divided into training dataset and validation dataset through balanced random sampling. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze risk factors for hyperkalemia in CKD patients and the factors were scored. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated. Meanwhile, the cut-off value with the best sensitivity and specificity were used to verify the accuracy of the model in validation dataset. Results: A total of 847 CKD patients were enrolled and further divided into training dataset (n=675) and validation dataset (n=172). There were 555 males and 292 females, with a mean age of (57.2±15.6) years. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, CKD stage, history of heart failure, history of serum potassium ≥5.0 mmol/L, diabetes, metabolic acidosis, and use of medications that increase serum potassium levels were risk factors for causing hyperkalemia in patients with CKD. Risk assessment model was established based on these risk factors. The AUC of the ROC curve was 0.809. Using 4 as the cut-off value, the sensitivity and specificity for predicting hyperkalemia events reached 87.1% and 57.0%, respectively. Conclusion: The model established in the current study can be used for predicting hyperkalemia events in clinical practices, which offers a new way to optimize serum potassium management in patients with CKD.


Assuntos
Hiperpotassemia , Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Potássio , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/complicações , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco
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