Community-centered Disease Severity Assessment of Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Fatty Liver Disease.

Background and Aims: Disease severity across the different diagnostic categories of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) remains elusive. This study assessed the fibrosis stages and features of MAFLD between different items. We also aimed to investigate the associations between advanced fibrosis and risk factors. Methods: This multicenter cross-sectional study enrolled adults participating in liver disease screening in the community. Patients were stratified following MAFLD diagnostic criteria, to group A (395 patients) for type 2 diabetes, group B (1,818 patients) for body mass index (BMI)>23 kg/m2, and group C (44 patients) for BMI≤23 kg/m2 with at least two metabolic factors. Advanced fibrosis was defined as a fibrosis-4 index>2.67. Results: Between 2009 and 2020, 1,948 MAFLD patients were recruited, including 478 with concomitant liver diseases. Advanced fibrosis was observed in 125 patients. A significantly larger proportion of patients in group C (25.0%) than in group A (7.6%) and group B (5.8%) had advanced fibrosis (p<0.01). Logistic regression analysis found that hepatitis B virus (HBV)/hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection (odds ratio [OR]: 12.14, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.04-36.52; p<0.01), HCV infection (OR: 7.87, 95% CI: 4.78-12.97; p<0.01), group C (OR: 6.00, 95% CI: 2.53-14.22; p<0.01), and TC/LDL-C (OR: 1.21, 95% CI: 1.06-1.38; p<0.01) were significant predictors of advanced fibrosis. Conclusions: A higher proportion of lean MAFLD patients with metabolic abnormalities had advanced fibrosis. HCV infection was significantly associated with advanced fibrosis.

Decision tree algorithm predicts hepatocellular carcinoma among chronic hepatitis C patients following viral eradication.

Successful eradication of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) cannot eliminate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Next-generation RNA sequencing provides comprehensive genomic insights into the pathogenesis of HCC. Artificial intelligence has opened a new era in precision medicine. This study integrated clinical features and genetic biomarkers to establish a machine learning-based HCC model following viral eradication. A prospective cohort of 55 HCV patients with advanced fibrosis, who achieved a sustained virologic response after antiviral therapy, was enrolled. The primary outcome was the occurrence of HCC. The genomic signatures of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) were determined by RNA sequencing at baseline and 24 weeks after end-of-treatment. Machine learning algorithms were implemented to extract the predictors of HCC. HCC occurred in 8 of the 55 patients, with an annual incidence of 2.7%. Pretreatment PBMC DEFA1B, HBG2, ADCY4, and posttreatment TAS1R3, ABCA3, and FOSL1 genes were significantly downregulated, while the pretreatment ANGPTL6 gene was significantly upregulated in the HCC group compared to that in the non-HCC group. A gene score derived from the result of the decision tree algorithm can identify HCC with an accuracy of 95.7%. Gene score = TAS1R3 (≥0.63 FPKM, yes/no = 0/1) + FOSL1 (≥0.27 FPKM, yes/no = 0/1) + ABCA3 (≥2.40 FPKM, yes/no = 0/1). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that this gene score was the most important predictor of HCC (hazard ratio = 2.38, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.06-5.36, P = 0.036). Combining the gene score and fibrosis-4 index, a nomogram was constructed to predict the probability of HCC with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve up to 0.950 (95% CI = 0.888-1.000, P = 7.0 × 10-5). Decision curve analysis revealed that the nomogram had a net benefit in HCC detection. The calibration curve showed that the nomogram had optimal concordance between the predicted and actual HCC probabilities. In conclusion, down-regulated posttreatment PBMC TAS1R3, ABCA3, and FOSL1 expression were significantly correlated with HCC development after HCV eradication. Decision-tree-based algorithms can refine the assessment of HCC risk for personalized HCC surveillance.

Hepatitis B-related outcomes following direct-acting antiviral therapy in Taiwanese patients with chronic HBV/HCV co-infection.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The outcome of HBV infection, including the dynamics of HBsAg and HBV virological reactivation, among patients coinfected with HCV receiving direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) remains unclear. Thus, we aimed to analyze HBV-related outcomes in these patients. METHODS: Serial HBsAg and HBV DNA levels were measured in 79 HBV/HCV-coinfected patients receiving DAAs (13 receiving anti-HBV nucleot(s)ide analog [NUC] therapy simultaneously). The endpoints included HBsAg dynamics and seroclearance, HBV reactivation (HBV DNA >1 log increase or >100 IU/ml if undetectable at baseline) and HBV-related clinical reactivation. RESULTS: HBsAg levels declined from a median of 73.3 IU/ml at baseline to 16.2 IU/ml at the end-of-DAA treatment and increased to 94.1 IU/ml at 12 months post-treatment. During a mean 11.1-months of follow-up, 8 (10.1%) patients experienced HBsAg seroclearance and 30 (38.0%) HBV reactivation (12-month cumulative incidence, 10.3% and 40.4%, respectively). Patients with pre-treatment HBsAg ≤10 IU/ml had a significantly higher rate of HBsAg seroclearance (hazard ratio [HR] 8.52; 95% CI 1.048-69.312) and lower risk of HBV reactivation than those with pre-treatment HBsAg >10 IU/ml (HR 2.88; 95% CI 1.057-7.844) in multivariate analyses. Six patients (4 cirrhotics) not receiving NUC therapy experienced HBV-related clinical reactivation; 3 of the 4 cirrhotics developed liver failure and 2 died despite immediate NUC therapy. Compared to untreated HBV-monoinfected patients, HBV/HCV-coinfected patients without NUC prophylaxis had a similar rate of HBsAg seroclearance, but a significantly higher risk of HBV reactivation following DAA therapy (HR 6.59; 95% CI 2.488-17.432). CONCLUSIONS: DAA-treated HBV/HCV-coinfected patients had significantly higher rates of HBV seroclearance, particularly among those with low pre-treatment HBsAg titer, but were at higher risk of HBV reactivation, particularly among those with higher pre-treatment HBsAg titer. Prophylactic anti-HBV therapy is essential for cirrhotic patients, irrespective of baseline HBV DNA levels. LAY SUMMARY: We studied outcomes relating to hepatitis B virus (HBV) in patients coinfected with both hepatitis B and C. Patients receiving direct-acting antiviral treatment for hepatitis C were more likely to experience seroclearance (or functional cure of HBV), but were also more likely to experience HBV reactivation, which can lead to hepatitis, liver failure and death. In coinfected cirrhotic patients being treated for HCV, prophylactic treatment for HBV is mandatory.

Updates in the management and treatment of HCV genotype 3, what are the remaining challenges?

INTRODUCTION: Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) genotype-3 (G-3) infection is the next most prevalent genotype with 54.3 million patients globally. It is associated with an increasing risk of fibrosis, liver-related events, hepatocellular carcinoma, and overall mortality. G-3 infection may have a negative impact on histological and clinical outcomes in CHC patients. In addition, its characteristic features of steatosis and metabolic abnormalities may add more difficulty in the disease management. Area covered: Fortunately, the landscape of management has been drastically changed in the past decade with the blooming of all oral direct antiviral agents (DAAs). The extremely high efficacy, high safety, short treatment duration, low adverse effects, and easy dosing of DAAs provide an excellent exploration of medical therapeutics in human history. The review consisted of the updated management of CHC G-3, and also touched upon what are the remaining challenges currently. Some challenges and unmet needs were also raised in a clinical setting, including treatment barriers, clinical outcomes, and metabolic abnormalities. Expert commentary: There is a pressing need for management of G-3 infection because of its large patient burden and poor clinical outcomes than other genotypes. Further investigation is warranted in terms of its treatment barriers and clinical outcomes.

A real world cost effectiveness analysis of interferon-based therapy for HCV naïve super-responders.

BACKGROUND: A direct-acting antiviral (DAA) era in hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment is fast approaching; unfortunately, the availability and affordability of DAAs in Asia-Pacific areas vary, making it difficult to develop universal HCV practice guidelines appropriate for the all Asian populations. This study aimed to evaluate the real-world cost-effectiveness of IFN-based therapy according to the current strategies with PegIFN/RBV for "easy-to-treat" to provide a reference for application of future DAA development for IFN-eligible, treatment naïve HCV patients. METHODS: A total of 1032 chronic hepatitis C treatment-naïve patients who corresponded to response-guided therapy (RGT) guidelines of PegIFN/RBV regimens were linked to the entire population of expenditures and order in the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan. The average total cost per SVR achieved was calculated as the summation of the total cost for all treated patients/number of SVR cases. RESULTS: Current RGT suggested 24 weeks of PegIFN/RBV for G1 naïve patients with baseline LVL and RVR at treatment week 4 achieved an average treatment cost per SVR of $5090 ± 2400. This was of superior cost-effectiveness compared with those other subgroups of G1 patients. In terms of G2 patients, according to current RGT of 16 weeks of treatment duration, PegIFN/RBV treatment with RVR achieved was of a very competitive cost per SVR ($3237 ± 488). CONCLUSION: For a naïve patient in the new DAA era, the PegIFN/RBV treatment might be conserved for those with all favorable risk parameters, considering the treatment duration and cost per SVR, in the resource-constrained countries.

Identification of treatment-experienced hepatitis C patients with poor cost-effectiveness of pegylated interferon plus ribavirin from a real-world cohort.

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE: Pegylated interferon (PegIFN) plus ribavirin (RBV) combination therapy has been the standard of care since 2002. Although a better viral response has been achieved among chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients in Taiwan, approximately 25% of hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1 (G1) patients and 15% of G2 patients failed to achieve a sustained virological response (SVR) at the first therapy. The actual cost-effectiveness of the retreatment remains elusive. The present study conducted a real-world cost-effectiveness analysis of a large cohort among different pre-specified subgroups of treatment-experienced CHC patients. METHODS: A total of 117 patients with CHC who failed to achieve SVR at the first IFN-based therapy and received a second IFN-based therapy were enrolled. The inpatient and outpatient costs were acquired from National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan. The related medical care costs per treatment and per SVR were calculated. RESULTS: We demonstrated that the average cost per SVR achieved was $13,722 in treatment-experienced CHC patients. Especially, patients with HCV G1 infection, baseline viral loads > 400,000 IU/mL, advanced hepatic fibrosis, not achieving a rapid viral response at week 4 or complete early viral response at week 12, had poorer cost-effectiveness for PegIFN/RBV retherapy, ranging from around $15,520 to as high as $72,546 per SVR achieved. CONCLUSION: In the current study, we explored the real-world cost-effectiveness data of PegIFN/RBV for different subgroups of treatment-experienced HCV patients. These findings provide information for policy-makers for making decisions on treatment strategies of costly direct-acting antiviral agents for retreating CHC patients.

Identification of groups with poor cost-effectiveness of peginterferon plus ribavirin for naïve hepatitis C patients with a real-world cohort and database.

BACKGROUND: For decades, peginterferon and ribavirin (PegIFN/RBV) have been the standard-of-care for chronic hepatitis C virus (CHC) infection. However, the actual cost-effectiveness of this therapy remains unclear. We purposed to explore the real-world cost effectiveness for subgroups of treatment-naïve CHC patients with PegIFN/RBV therapy in a large real-world cohort using a whole population database. METHODS: A total of 1809 treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients (829 HCV genotype 1 [G1] and 980 HCV G2) treated with PegIFN/RBV therapies were linked to the National Health Insurance Research Database, covering the entire population of Taiwan from 1998 to 2013 to collect the total medical-care expenses of outpatient (antiviral agents, nonantiviral agents, laboratory, and consultation costs) and inpatient (medication, logistic, laboratory, and intervention costs) visits. The costs per treatment and the cost per sustained virological response (SVR) achieved were calculated. RESULTS: The average medical-care cost was USD $4823 (±$2984) per treatment and $6105 (±$3778) per SVR achieved. With SVR rates of 68.6% and 87.8%, the cost/SVR was significantly higher in G1 than those in G2 patients, respectively ($8285 vs $4663, P < .001). Treatment-naïve G1 patients of old ages, those with advanced fibrosis, high viral loads, or interleukin-28B unfavorable genotypes, or those without a rapid virological response (RVR: undetectable HCV RNA at week 4), or those with complete early virological response (cEVR: undetectable HCV RNA at week 12). Treatment-naïve G2 patients with high viral loads or without RVR or cEVR incurred significantly higher costs per SVR than their counterparts. The cost/SVR was extremely high among patients without RVR and in patients without cEVR. CONCLUSION: We investigated the real-world cost effectiveness data for different subgroups of treatment-naïve HCV patients with PegIFN/RBV therapies, which could provide useful, informative evidence for making decisions regarding future therapeutic strategies comprising costly direct-acting antivirals.

A real-world impact of cost-effectiveness of pegylated interferon/ribavarin regimens on treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis C patients in Taiwan.

Treatments with pegylated interferon/ribavirin (PEG-IFN/RBV) has been standard-of-care in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) (CHC) infection and reimbursed in Taiwan. However, the actual cost-effectiveness remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate a real-world cost-effectiveness for CHC patients treated with PEG-IFN/RBV by using a clinical cohort with linkage to the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan. The total and itemized medical-care expenses of outpatient visits of 117 treatment-naïve CHC patients with linkage to the two million sampling of the National Health Insurance Research Database were collected. Four components of costs were assessed, including antiviral agents, nonantiviral agents, laboratory testing and consultation costs. The cost per sustained virological response (SVR) achieved was calculated to evaluate the cost-effectiveness. The average cost per treatment in 117 naïve Taiwanese CHC patients was $4620. With an overall SVR rate of 78.6%, the average cost per SVR was $5878. The average medical-care cost per treatment for 52 Genotype 1 (G1) patients was $5133, including $4420 for antivirals, $380 for nonantivirals, $302 for laboratory, and $78 for consultation, compared to $4209, $3635, $317, $233, and $56 for 65 Genotype 2 (G2) patients. With an SVR rate at 67.3% for G1 and 87.7% for G2 patients, the cost per SVR achieved was significantly higher in G1 patients than those in G2 patients ($7627 vs. $4799, p = 0.001). In the current study, we provided the real-world cost-effectiveness of PEG-IFN/RBV for treatment-naïve CHC patients. The genotype-specific cost-effectiveness could enhance decision-making for policy-makers in the coming era of directly acting antiviral therapy.

Urgency to treat patients with chronic hepatitis C in Asia.

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) infection poses a global healthcare burden, being associated with serious complications if untreated. The prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is highest in areas of Central, South, and East Asia; over 50% of HCV patients worldwide live in the region, where HCV genotypes 1b, 2, 3, and 6 are the most prevalent. Treatment outcomes for chronic hepatitis C vary by ethnicity, and Asian patients achieve higher sustained virologic response rates following interferon (IFN)-based therapy than non-Asians. However, low efficacy, poor safety profile, and subcutaneous administration limit the use of IFN-based therapies. Superior virologic outcomes have been observed with different classes of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) alone or in combination, and several all-oral DAA regimens are available in Asia. These regimens have shown excellent efficacy and favorable tolerability in clinical trials, yet there is a need for further studies of DAAs in a real world context, particularly in Asia. Furthermore, IFN-free treatment may not be accessible for many patients in the region, and IFN-based regimens remain an option in some countries. There is a need to improve current clinical practices for HCV management in Asia, including effective screening, disease awareness, and prevention programs, and to further understand the cost-effectiveness of IFN-free regimens. The evolution of potent treatments makes HCV eradication a possibility that should be available to all patients. However, access to these therapies in Asian countries has been slow, primarily because of economic barriers that continue to present a hurdle to optimal treatment.

Combination of Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate and Peginterferon α-2a Increases Loss of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients chronically infected with the hepatitis B virus rarely achieve loss of serum hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) with the standard of care. We evaluated HBsAg loss in patients receiving the combination of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and peginterferon α-2a (peginterferon) for a finite duration in a randomized trial. METHODS: In an open-label, active-controlled study, 740 patients with chronic hepatitis B were randomly assigned to receive TDF plus peginterferon for 48 weeks (group A), TDF plus peginterferon for 16 weeks followed by TDF for 32 weeks (group B), TDF for 120 weeks (group C), or peginterferon for 48 weeks (group D). The primary end point was the proportion of patients with serum HBsAg loss at week 72. RESULTS: At week seventy-two, 9.1% of subjects in group A had HBsAg loss compared with 2.8% of subjects in group B, none of the subjects in group C, and 2.8% of subjects in group D. A significantly higher proportion of subjects in group A had HBsAg loss than in group C (P < .001) or group D (P = .003). However, the proportions of subjects with HBsAg loss did not differ significantly between group B and group C (P = .466) or group D (P = .883). HBsAg loss in group A occurred in hepatitis B e antigen-positive and hepatitis B e antigen-negative patients with all major viral genotypes. The incidence of common adverse events (including headache, alopecia, and pyrexia) and treatment discontinuation due to adverse events was similar among groups. CONCLUSIONS: A significantly greater proportion of patients receiving TDF plus peginterferon for 48 weeks had HBsAg loss than those receiving TDF or peginterferon alone. ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT01277601.

Outcome assessment in acute pancreatitis patients.

Early diagnosis and severity evaluation in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) are very important due to its potential morbidity and mortality. Several clinical, laboratory, and radiologic factors, and many scoring systems have been proposed for outcome prediction. Although the Ranson and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scoring systems have been widely used for decades, the cumbersome components partly limit their predictability. Recently, the Bedside Index for Severity in AP scoring system and series blood urea nitrogen changes, which are simple and convenient to evaluate within 24 hours after admission, have been validated for accuracy by several large-cohort studies. The presence of organ failure and systemic inflammatory response syndrome are also helpful to evaluate the severity of AP. Herein we review recent advances of the predictive methods for AP to provide an up-to-date perspective on outcome assessment of AP.

Economic evaluation of chronic hepatitis B treatments in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and its sequelae are major health problems in Taiwan. The purpose of the present study was the economic evaluation of short-duration treatments of CHB and longer duration antiviral treatment for up to 5 years. METHODS: Ten-health state CHB disease progression Markov models were used for hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive and HBeAg-negative CHB patients, respectively, that included the emergence of antiviral resistance. The perspective of this economic evaluation was the Taiwan health-care system. Costs and benefits were discounted at 3% per annum. RESULTS: Short-course therapies of up to 1-year treatment had limited impact on improving patient survival. Long-term viral suppression with lamivudine and adefovir sequential rescue therapies (including add-on therapies) for up to 5 years were found to be highly cost-effective by international standards (estimated to be NT$580,000 per quality adjusted life year [QALY] for Taiwan). When Taiwan-specific model inputs were used for HBeAg-positive CHB, the cost per QALY for lamivudine plus adefovir sequential antiviral therapy increased by approximately 100% over the base-case estimate, but was still well within the estimated NT$580,000 per QALY threshold. CONCLUSIONS: In Taiwan, treatment of CHB patients with lamivudine and adefovir sequential antiviral therapies for up to 5 years results in survival benefits and is highly cost-effective.

Cost-effectiveness of peginterferon alpha-2a compared to lamivudine treatment in patients with hepatitis B e antigen positive chronic hepatitis B in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Peginterferon alpha-2a (40KD), a new treatment option for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), offers improved efficacy with a defined treatment duration compared with lamivudine, but at a higher cost. We undertook an economic evaluation of peginterferon alpha-2a from the perspective of the Taiwan Bureau of National Health Insurance to assess the clinical outcomes and costs of 48 weeks of peginterferon alpha-2a for the treatment of patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive CHB, compared to lamivudine treatment for 48 weeks. METHODS: We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis using a state-transition Markov model simulating the natural history of HBeAg-positive CHB. Efficacy data were obtained from a randomized clinical trial of 820 patients (87% were Asian) comparing peginterferon alpha-2a to lamivudine. We modeled a hypothetical cohort of 32-year-old patients with HBeAg-positive CHB. Life expectancy, quality-adjusted life expectancy, lifetime costs ($NTD) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were estimated. One-way sensitivity analyses were performed on all parameters in the model to evaluate uncertainty. RESULTS: Treatment with peginterferon alpha-2a compared to lamivudine resulted in higher total costs, but longer quality-adjusted life expectancy, yielding an ICER of $NTD 381 000 ($US 12,000) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Although there is uncertainty associated with the prognosis of HBeAg-positive CHB, the ICER did not exceed $NTD 485,000 ($US 15,000) per QALY gained despite variation in the parameters used in the analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis suggests that 48-week treatment with peginterferon alpha-2a compared to 48-week treatment with lamivudine in HBeAg-positive patients offers life expectancy and quality of life benefits at a favorable cost-effectiveness ratio.