The clinical and economic costs associated with regional disparities in varicella vaccine coverage in Italy over 50 years (2020-2070).

Italy implemented two-dose universal varicella vaccination (UVV) regionally from 2003 to 2013 and nationally from 2017 onwards. Our objective was to analyze regional disparities in varicella outcomes resulting from disparities in vaccine coverage rates (VCRs) projected over a 50-year time-horizon (2020-2070). A previously published dynamic transmission model was updated to quantify the potential public health impact of the UVV program in Italy at the national and regional levels. Four 2-dose vaccine strategies utilizing monovalent (V) and quadrivalent (MMRV) vaccines were evaluated for each region: (A) MMRV-MSD/MMRV-MSD, (B) MMRV-GSK/MMRV-GSK, (C) V-MSD/MMRV-MSD, and (D) V-GSK/MMRV-GSK. Costs were reported in 2022 Euros. Costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were discounted 3% annually. Under strategy A, the three regions with the lowest first-dose VCR reported increased varicella cases (+ 34.3%), hospitalizations (+ 20.0%), QALYs lost (+ 5.9%), payer costs (+ 22.2%), and societal costs (+ 14.6%) over the 50-year time-horizon compared to the three regions with highest first-dose VCR. Regions with low first-dose VCR were more sensitive to changes in VCR than high first-dose VCR regions. Results with respect to second-dose VCR were qualitatively similar, although smaller in magnitude. Results were similar across all vaccine strategies.

Cost-effectiveness of raltegravir in antiretroviral treatment-experienced HIV-1-infected patients in Switzerland.

OBJECTIVES: Raltegravir, a novel integrase inhibitor, has shown great efficacy in reducing HIV viral load among treatment-experienced patients. A cohort state-transition model was used to assess the long-term effect of raltegravir treatment on costs and quality-adjusted life expectancy from a Swiss perspective. METHODS: Patients were stratified into health states according to opportunistic infection status, HIV RNA level, and CD4 count, with each group assigned a treatment cost and utility (quality of life) score. Model inputs came from published studies, clinical trials, and database analyses. Results were used to calculate incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of raltegravir use, expressed in Swiss francs (CHF) as incremental cost/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Future costs and QALYs were discounted at 3% per year. RESULTS: Five years of raltegravir treatment increased discounted quality-adjusted life expectancy by 3.73 years over placebo, with additional discounted cost of CHF 170,347, resulting in an ICER of CHF 45,687/QALY. ICERs ranged from CHF 42,751 to 53,478/QALY for treatment duration of 3 and 10 years, respectively. Results were most sensitive to changes in raltegravir treatment duration, source of estimated quality of life weights, and raltegravir price. CONCLUSIONS: Adding raltegravir to optimized background therapy was a cost-effective strategy for treatment-experienced patients in Switzerland.

The effect of alendronate on fracture-related healthcare utilization and costs: the fracture intervention trial.

The Vertebral Fracture Arm (VFA) of the Fracture Intervention Trial (FIT) study demonstrated that alendronate reduced the incidence of spine, forearm and hip fractures in women with low bone mass and existing vertebral fractures by about 50%. The objective of the present study was to determine the effects of alendronate therapy versus placebo on fracture-related healthcare utilization and costs. Participants were randomly assigned to double-masked treatment with alendronate (5 mg/day for 2 years and then 10 mg/day for 1 year) or placebo for 3 years. For each patient experiencing a clinical fracture, we determined whether treatment in an emergency room, hospital, nursing home and/or rehabilitation hospital was a consequence of the fracture. The VFA of the FIT Study enrolled 2027 women aged 55-81 years with low bone mass and pre-existing vertebral fractures from population-based listings in 11 metropolitan areas of the United States. We measured (1) the proportion of patients who had any fracture-related healthcare event and (2) the estimated cost of fracture-related healthcare services. Alendronate significantly reduced the proportion of patients utilizing fracture-related healthcare (emergency room, hospital, rehabilitation hospital or nursing home) by 25% (p = 0.038). Alendronate significantly reduced the costs associated with hip-fracture-related care by 58%, or $181 per patient randomized (p = 0.036). The reduction in fracture-related total costs was 35% ($190 per patient randomized) in the alendronate group relative to the placebo group (p = 0.114). Alendronate thus not only reduces the incidence of clinical fractures and associated morbidity, but reduces the proportion of patients utilizing the associated healthcare resources.

Effect of lovastatin on cardiovascular resource utilization and costs in the Air Force/Texas Coronary Atherosclerosis Prevention Study (AFCAPS/TexCAPS). AFCAPS/TexCAPS Research Group.

This cost-consequences analysis of the Air Force/Texas Coronary Atherosclerosis Prevention Study compares the costs of lovastatin treatment with the costs of cardiovascular hospitalizations and procedures. The cost of lovastatin treatment was defined as the average retail price and the cost of drug safety monitoring and adverse experiences. Costs were determined by actual rates of hospitalizations and procedures. Within a trial, lovastatin treatment cost approximately $4,654/patient. Lovastatin treatment significantly reduced the cumulative rate of cardiovascular hospitalizations and procedures (p = 0.002). Over the duration of the study, the cumulative number of cardiovascular hospitalizations and related therapeutic procedures was significantly reduced by 29%. The time to first cardiovascular-related hospitalization or procedure was significantly extended by lovastatin (p = 0.002). Lovastatin reduced the frequency of cardiovascular hospitalization (28%), and cardiovascular therapeutic (32%) and diagnostic procedures (23%). Among therapeutic procedures, treatment reduced coronary artery bypass graft surgery by 19% and percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty by 37%. Total cardiovascular-related hospital days were reduced by 26% (p = 0.025). The between-group offset in direct medical costs was $524, which resulted in a 11% cost offset of lovastatin therapy over the mean study duration of 5.2 years. Lovastatin provides meaningful reductions in cardiovascular-related resource utilization and reductions in direct cardiovascular-related costs associated with the onset of coronary disease.

Use of an angular transformation for ratio estimation in cost-effectiveness analysis.

Economic evaluations of medical technologies involve a consideration of both costs and clinical benefits, and an increasing number of clinical studies include a specific objective of assessing cost-effectiveness. These studies measure the trade-off between costs and benefits using the cost-effectiveness ratio (CE ratio), which is defined as the net incremental cost per unit of benefit provided by the candidate therapy. In this paper we review the statistical methods which have been proposed for estimating 95 per cent confidence intervals for cost-effectiveness ratios. We show that the use of an angular transformation of the standardized ratio stabilizes the variance of the estimated CE ratio, and provides a clearer interpretation of study results. An estimate of the 95 per cent confidence interval for the CE ratio in the transformed scale is easily made using the jack-knife or bootstrap. The available methods are compared using data from a long term study of mortality in patients with congestive heart failure.

The cost-effectiveness of lipid lowering in patients with diabetes: results from the 4S trial.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The purpose of this study is to investigate the cost-effectiveness of simvastatin in diabetic patients, using prospectively collected outcomes data from the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study. METHODS: Diabetic patients were identified using two different classifications schemes: Clinical history (diabetic, non-diabetic) and the new American Diabetes Association definition (diabetic, impaired fasting glucose, normal fasting glucose). The analysis is based on prospectively collected data from the trial on hospitalization for cardiovascular problems, study drug utilization and mortality. The incremental cost per life year saved with simvastatin is estimated using costs from Sweden (primary) and other European countries. RESULTS: Hospitalizations for cardiovascular problems were considerably reduced with simvastatin therapy, with the greatest differences in the diabetic subgroups. Reductions in hospitalizations in the diabetic group resulted in substantial hospital cost savings that offset 67 to 76 % of the drug cost (depending on the classification used). For the diabetic patients, the estimates of the cost per life-year gained ranged from 1600 Euros (based on clinical history) to 3200 Euros (based on American Diabetes Association) using Swedish costs. In the other evaluated European countries treatment with simvastatin showed a favourable cost-effectiveness ratio independent of differences in local health care unit costs. CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: For all subgroups in the diabetic classification schemes, treatment with simvastatin resulted in estimates of cost per life-year gained that were well within the range generally considered to be cost effective. Based on the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study, simvastatin therapy provides good value for money in both diabetic and non-diabetic patients with cardiovascular disease. [Diabetologia (1999) 42: 1293-1301]

Effect of simvastatin treatment on cardiovascular resource utilization in impaired fasting glucose and diabetes. Findings from the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study.

OBJECTIVE: The Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study showed that simvastatin treatment reduced cardiovascular events in hypercholesterolemic subjects with coronary heart disease. The clinical benefits of therapy were similar in all three subgroups: normal fasting glucose (NFG, n = 3,237), impaired fasting glucose (IFG, n = 678), and diabetes (n = 483). This analysis compared the costs of simvastatin treatment with the costs of cardiovascular disease-related hospitalizations in the three subgroups. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The cost of simvastatin treatment was defined as the average retail price and the cost of drug safety monitoring and adverse experiences. The costs of cardiovascular disease-related hospitalizations were determined by actual rates of hospitalization and 1995 MEDSTAT diagnosis-related group costs. RESULTS: Within trial, simvastatin treatment cost approximately $6,000 per patient. Simvastatin treatment reduced cardiovascular disease-related hospitalizations by 23% in NFG (P = 0.001), 30% in IFG (P = 0.015), and 40% in diabetic subjects (P = 0.007) within trial (median follow-up of 5.4 years). Average length of stay was reduced by 2.4 days in diabetic subjects (P = 0.021). Total cardiovascular disease-related hospital days were reduced by 28% (P < 0.001) in NFG, 38% (P = 0.005) in IFG, and 55% (P < 0.001) in diabetic subjects. For NFG subjects, simvastatin reduced the average cost of cardiovascular disease-related hospitalizations by $3,585, which offset 60% of the cost of simvastatin therapy. For IFG subjects, average cardiovascular disease-related hospitalization costs were reduced by $4,478, which offset 74% of the drug cost. For diabetic subjects, there was a net cost savings of $1,801 per subject within trial. CONCLUSIONS: Simvastatin significantly reduced cardiovascular disease-related hospitalizations and total hospital days for all three groups and significantly reduced length of stay for the diabetic group in addition to providing significant clinical benefits. The benefits were greatest in the diabetic group, with estimated cost savings within trial from simvastatin treatment.

Economic impact of GPIIB/IIIA blockade after high-risk angioplasty: results from the RESTORE trial. Randomized Efficacy Study of Tirofiban for Outcomes and Restenosis.

OBJECTIVE: This study was conducted to assess the impact of GPIIb/IIIa blockade with tirofiban on costs during the initial hospitalization and at 30 days among patients undergoing high-risk coronary angioplasty. BACKGROUND: GPIIb/IIIa blockers are a new class of compounds that have been shown in clinical studies to prevent complications after high-risk angioplasty. METHODS: The RESTORE trial was a multinational, blinded placebo-controlled study of 2,197 patients randomized to tirofiban or placebo following coronary angioplasty. This economic assessment was a prospective substudy of the RESTORE trial, and included 1,920 patients enrolled in the U.S. Costs were estimated for the U.S. cohort based on their utilization of healthcare resources and on costs measured directly in 820 U.S. patients at 30 sites. RESULTS: There was a 36% difference in the rate of the composite event of death, myocardial infarction (MI) and revascularization at two days between tirofiban and placebo (8% vs. 12%, p = 0.002). This difference was attributed to a reduction in nonfatal MI, repeat angioplasty, coronary surgery and stent placement. These clinical benefits followed a similar trend at 30 days, with a 16% reduction in the composite event (p = 0.10). In-hospital cost, including professional and study drug costs, was $12,145 +/- 5,882 with placebo versus $12,230 +/- 5,527 with tirofiban (p = 0.75). The 30-day cost was $12,402 +/- 6,147 with placebo versus $12,446 +/- 5,814 with tirofiban (p = 0.87). CONCLUSIONS: Tirofiban has been shown to decrease in-hospital and possibly 30-day events after high-risk angioplasty. The beneficial clinical effects of tirofiban in high-risk patients can be achieved at no increased cost.

The cost-effectiveness of losartan versus captopril in patients with symptomatic heart failure.

The Losartan Heart Failure ELITE Study recently found that in patients with symptomatic heart failure and a left ventricular ejection fraction of /=65 years with symptomatic heart failure. Data on health care resource utilization were collected as part of the trial. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis to estimate the lifetime benefits of treatment and the associated costs. We observed no differences between treatments in the number of hospitalizations, hospital days, and emergency room visits per patient over the trial period. We estimated the total cost of losartan to be USD 54 (95% CI: USD -1,717, USD 1,755) less per patient than captopril over this time frame. We also estimated that over the projected remaining lifetime of the study population, losartan compared to captopril would increase survival by 0.20 years (undiscounted) at an average cost of USD 769 (discounted) more per patient. This cost increase translated into a cost-effectiveness ratio of USD 4,047 per year of life gained for losartan relative to captopril. In patients with symptomatic heart failure, losartan compared to captopril increased survival with better tolerability at a cost well within the range accepted as cost-effective.

Challenges in economic outcomes research.

In light of current pressures to limit health care expenditures, economic evaluations will continue to be conducted to help assess the value of new therapies or treatment programs. Although guidelines for the conduct of economic evaluations have been proposed, it is unlikely that a standard/common methodology will (or should) be used. Consequently, it is important that the reader/reviewer of such analyses be aware of the potential challenges or difficulties when evaluating these assessments. While not providing a comprehensive list of these challenges, it is hoped that this article will serve to bring awareness to some of these challenges in the design, analysis and interpretation of these evaluations.

The cost and cardioprotective effects of enalapril in hypertensive patients with left ventricular dysfunction.

This study examined the effect of enalapril on survival, resource use, and cost of care in patients with left ventricular dysfunction and hypertension using a retrospective analysis of patients who participated in the Studies of Left Ventricular Dysfunction (SOLVD). Among the 6797 SOLVD participants, 1917 patients had either elevated systolic (> or = 140 mm Hg) or diastolic (> or = 90 mm Hg) blood pressure. Therapy with enalapril was associated with a significant relative risk reduction for mortality (RR = 0.819, 95% CI: 0.68 to 0.98; P = .03). This resulted in a gain of 0.11 years (95% CI: 0.00 to 0.20 years) of survival during the average 2.8 year follow-up for this subgroup and was projected to result in a gain of 2.14 years (95% CI: 0.05 to 4.21 years) during the patient's lifetime. Enalapril significantly reduced the risk of first hospitalization for heart failure by 37%. For all types of hospitalizations, there was an average reduction of 32 hospitalizations per 100 patients treated with enalapril during the trial period (95% CI: 11.8 to 52.2 hospitalizations avoided per 100 patients), resulting in an estimated net savings of $1656 per patient during the trial period (95% CI: increased cost of $191 to savings of $3502). Although the projected lifetime net savings of $1456 was not significant (95% CI: increased cost of $9243 to saving of $12,527), evaluation of the cost per life year saved indicated that enalapril represented a cost-effective strategy. The estimated clinical benefit of enalapril among the hypertensive subgroup in SOLVD supports the recommendation that angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors should be considered as first line pharmacologic therapy for hypertensive patients with left ventricular dysfunction. From both the clinical and economic viewpoints, ACE inhibitors provide important clinical benefits and are cost-effective.

A double-label technique that monitors sulfur mustard damage to nuclei and mitochondria of normal human epidermal keratinocytes in vitro.

Sulfur mustard and 2-chloro ethyl ethyl sulfide (CEES, a sulfur mustard analog) is known to have immediate (minutes), long-term (hours to days), and toxic effects on human skin. Research was directed toward developing a single in vitro assay that might reflect both these short-term and long-term effects of this vesicating agent on normal human epidermal keratinocytes (NHEK) in vitro. Such an assay system would be useful in identifying and developing sulfur mustard therapeutic agents. NHEK were exposed to the monofunctional sulfur mustard analog 2-chloro ethyl ethyl sulfide for a variety of times. The effects of CEES on NHEK nuclei were assessed using the membrane-permeable SYTO nuclear stains, whereas the effects of CEES on NHEK metabolism were determined by using the nontoxic mitochondria dye Alamar blue. CEES enhanced SYTO binding in a concentration-dependent manner to the nucleus immediately subsequent to a 2-hr exposure, whereas CEES had relatively little effect on metabolic activity at this time. Fifteen to 36 hr subsequent to CEES exposure, however, Alamar blue revealed a robust, sulfur mustard-dependent effect on mitochondrial activity. To determine if both these indicator dyes could be used simultaneously, NHEK were exposed to CEES and stained with the SYTO nuclear stain 2 hr subsequent to exposure. This procedure was followed by assay of the same cell cultures with Alamar blue at 36 hr subsequent to initial CEES exposure. The data indicate that this nuclear/mitochondrial double-label technique can be used to monitor the short- and long-term effects of sulfur mustard on the same culture of NHEK.

Neighbors' perceptions of group homes.

Neighbors often presume that group homes (GHs) have negative effects on their neighborhoods, but it is rather unclear how often GHs actually have adverse effects. Neighbors of GHs and a matched set of people who did not live near GH were interviewed. Neighbors of GHs were asked about their experiences with the specific GH near them, while "non-neighbors" were asked similar questions about their expectations of what it would be like to live near a GH. For both negative (e.g., noise, traffic) and positive effects (e.g., leaning about disabilities) of GHs, non-neighbors expected GHs would have a much greater impact on them than what was actually reported by neighbors. This research supports prior findings that expectations of negative effects are much greater than what is actually experienced by neighbors. It also suggests that GH operators might wish to capitalize on the positive expectations that may be over-shadowed by the more commonly voiced negative expectations.

Time-dependent variability in repeated measurements of cholesterol levels: clinical implications for risk misclassification and intervention monitoring.

Intraindividual variability (IIV) in total cholesterol levels based on measurements taken 1 week apart is compared with an estimate based on measurements taken 2 years apart. Single-subject 95% confidence intervals around the mean of two repeated measurements were Xi +/- 21 and +/- 28 mg/dl, respectively, and Xi +/- 30 and +/- 40 mg/dl for a single measurement. Comparing these results with published estimates over varying time intervals shows a trend of decreasing IIV with shorter intervals, suggesting that confidence interval widths based on short-term repeated measurements and those based on longer-term repeated measurements may differ more than previously assumed. The practical consequences are that: (1) the level of misclassification inherent in the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) guidelines may be less than had been estimated; and (2) reliable cholesterol reductions resulting from dietary or other interventions may be somewhat easier to detect. These findings have implications for the cost-effectiveness of cholesterol screening strategies and interventions to reduce cholesterol.

Assessment of the anti-tumor potential of glutathione.

This study assesses the effect of reduced glutathione (GSH) on regenerating liver, 3'-methyl-4-dimethylaminoazobenzene (3'-MDAB) hepatocarcinogenesis, and normal and transformed hepatocytes in vitro. GSH administered intragastrically caused only a 30% reduction in thymidine incorporation into liver DNA at 24 h after partial hepatectomy; there was no apparent effect on RNA and protein synthesis. Furthermore, in 3'-MDAB induced hepatocarcinogenesis, all GSH-treated animals developed hepatocyte nodules, and serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels were not reduced. In vitro, GSH was shown to be cytotoxic to both normal and transformed hepatocytes at serum concentrations under 10%. GSH inhibited [3H]thymidine incorporation slightly in 2 transformed hepatocyte lines, but not in normal hepatocytes.