Low- and middle-income countries demonstrate rapid growth of type 2 diabetes: an analysis based on Global Burden of Disease 1990-2019 data.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The study aims to quantify the global trend of the disease burden of type 2 diabetes caused by various risks factors by country income tiers. METHODS: Data on type 2 diabetes, including mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) during 1990-2019, were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. We analysed mortality and DALY rates and the population attributable fraction (PAF) in various risk factors of type 2 diabetes by country income tiers. RESULTS: Globally, the age-standardised death rate (ASDR) attributable to type 2 diabetes increased from 16.7 (15.7, 17.5)/100,000 person-years in 1990 to 18.5 (17.2, 19.7)/100,000 person-years in 2019. Similarly, age-standardised DALY rates increased from 628.3 (537.2, 730.9)/100,000 person-years to 801.5 (670.6, 954.4)/100,000 person-years during 1990-2019. Lower-middle-income countries reported the largest increase in the average annual growth of ASDR (1.3%) and an age-standardised DALY rate (1.6%) of type 2 diabetes. The key PAF attributing to type 2 diabetes deaths/DALYs was high BMI in countries of all income tiers. With the exception of BMI, while in low- and lower-middle-income countries, risk factors attributable to type 2 diabetes-related deaths and DALYs are mostly environment-related, the risk factors in high-income countries are mostly lifestyle-related. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Type 2 diabetes disease burden increased globally, but low- and middle-income countries showed the highest growth rate. A high BMI level remained the key contributing factor in all income tiers, but environmental and lifestyle-related factors contributed differently across income tiers. DATA AVAILABILITY: To download the data used in these analyses, please visit the Global Health Data Exchange at http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-2019 .

Combining glomerular basement membrane and tubular basement membrane assessment improves the prediction of diabetic end-stage renal disease.

BACKGROUND: To address the prognostic value of combining tubular basement membrane (TBM) and glomerular basement membrane (GBM) thickness in diabetic nephropathy (DN). METHODS: This retrospective study enrolled 110 patients with type 2 diabetes and biopsy-proven DN from 2011 to 2018. The pathological findings were confirmed according to the Renal Pathology Society classifications. GBM and TBM thicknesses were determined using the Haas' direct measurement/arithmetic mean method and orthogonal intercept method, respectively. Cox proportional hazard models were used to investigate the hazard ratios (HRs) for the influence of combined GBM and TBM thickness for predicting end-stage renal disease (ESRD). RESULTS: Patients were assigned to three groups according to the median GBM and TBM thickness: GBMlo TBMlo (GBM < 681 nm and TBM < 1200 nm), GBMhi TBMlo /GBMlo TBMhi (GBM ≥ 681 nm and TBM < 1200 nm, or GBM < 681 nm and TBM ≥ 1200 nm), and GBMhi TBMhi (GBM ≥ 681 nm and TBM ≥ 1200 nm). The GBMhi TBMlo /GBMlo TBMhi and GBMhi TBMhi groups displayed poorer renal function, a more severe glomerular classification and interstitial inflammation, and poorer renal survival rates than the GBMlo TBMlo group The GBMhi TBMlo /GBMlo TBMhi and GBMhi TBMhi groups had adjusted HRs of 1.49 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-9.75) and 3.07 (95% CI, 2.87-12.78), respectively, compared with the GBMlo TBMlo group. CONCLUSIONS: TBM thickness enhanced GBM thickness for renal prognosis in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Acute Increases in Serum Creatinine After Starting Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitor-Based Therapy and Effects of its Continuation on Major Clinical Outcomes in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.

Discontinuation of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor is recommended if patients experience ≥30% acute increase in serum creatinine after starting this therapy. However, the long-term effects of its continuation or discontinuation on major clinical outcomes after increases in serum creatinine are unclear. In the ADVANCE trial (Action in Diabetes and Vascular Disease: Preterax and Diamicron Modified Release Controlled Evaluation), 11 140 diabetes mellitus patients were randomly assigned to perindopril-indapamide or placebo after a 6-week active run-in period. The current study included 11 066 participants with 2 serum creatinine measurements recorded before and during the active run-in period (3 weeks apart). Acute increase in creatinine was determined using these 2 measurements and classified into 4 groups: increases in serum creatinine of <10%, 10% to 19%, 20% to 29%, and ≥30%. The primary study outcome was the composite of major macrovascular events, new or worsening nephropathy, and all-cause mortality. An acute increase in serum creatinine was associated with an elevated risk of the primary outcome ( P for trend <0.001). The hazard ratios were 1.11 (95% CI, 0.97-1.28) for those with an increase of 10% to 19%, 1.34 (1.07-1.66) for 20% to 29%, and 1.44 (1.15-1.81) for ≥30%, compared with <10%. However, there was no evidence of heterogeneity in the benefit of randomized treatment effects on the outcome across subgroups defined by acute serum creatinine increase ( P for heterogeneity=0.94). Acute increases in serum creatinine after starting perindopril-indapamide were associated with greater risks of subsequent major clinical outcomes. However, the continuation of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor-based therapy reduced the long-term risk of major clinical outcomes, irrespective of acute increase in creatinine. Clinical Trial Registration- URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT00145925.

Diabetic nephropathy in 2010: Alleviating the burden of diabetic nephropathy.

Many patients with diabetic nephropathy progress to end-stage renal disease. New research in disease detection, diagnosis, and novel treatments will hopefully alleviate the burden of diabetic nephropathy in the future.

The assessment of kidney function by general practitioners in Australian patients with type 2 diabetes (NEFRON-2).

OBJECTIVE: To examine factors influencing the identification of kidney impairment in patients with type 2 diabetes in Australian primary care. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 348 general practitioner investigators were asked to estimate kidney function and its severity in 10-15 consecutively presenting patients with type 2 diabetes (n = 3893). They were then asked, for each patient, whether they routinely estimated kidney function. No instruction was provided on how kidney function should be estimated or categorised. Data were collected between April and September 2005. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Kidney function estimated by the Cockcroft-Gault equation using clinical and laboratory data provided by the GP; estimates of kidney function made by the GP. RESULTS: In 24% of the patients with type 2 diabetes, their GP routinely estimated kidney function. However, few of these patients had impaired kidney function or risk factors for kidney disease. There was a good statistical correlation between the estimates made by GPs and the data-derived estimates (R2 = 0.72). GPs identified patients with data-derived estimates of kidney function < 60 mL/min in over 83% of cases, with a specificity of 90%. Impaired kidney function was reported by GPs in 34.4% of men and 36.4% of women. These figures were discordant with function categorisation using both GP estimates and data-derived values, overlapping in half of the patients. Despite GPs' ability to assess creatinine clearance, "raw" (unstandardised) serum creatinine levels inappropriately influenced the perception of impairment of kidney function. CONCLUSION: GPs can accurately assess kidney function, without reporting of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). However, even in patients at increased risk of chronic kidney disease, routine estimates are seldom made. Our findings underline the value of the recent initiative recommending automatic reporting of eGFR in Australia.

The burden of chronic kidney disease in Australian patients with type 2 diabetes (the NEFRON study).

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the frequency of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a clinic-based sample of patients with type 2 diabetes in the setting of Australian primary care. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Expressions of interest were invited from all registered general practitioners in Australia: 500 GP investigators were randomly selected from each stratum (state and urban versus rural location), proportional to the census population, and asked to recruit and provide data for 10-15 consecutively presenting adults with type 2 diabetes between April and September 2005. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) and evidence of kidney damage on urinalysis (eg, microalbuminuria). RESULTS: 348 GP investigators submitted data for 3893 individuals with type 2 diabetes (52% men; median age, 66 years). Almost one in every four patients consulting their GPs had an eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) (23.1%; 95% CI, 21.8%-24.5%). More than one in three had an elevated urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) (34.6%; 95% CI, 33.3%-35.9%). There was an overlap of 10.4% of patients with both an eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) and an elevated urinary ACR, meaning that almost one in two patients with type 2 diabetes consulting their GPs (47.1%; 95% CI, 45.8%-48.4%) had CKD. CKD was significantly more common in women, in older people, and in individuals with established macrovascular disease. CONCLUSION: CKD is a common complication of type 2 diabetes, found in about half of all patients with type 2 diabetes consulting their GPs. Efforts to increase the recognition of CKD will lead to improved care, and possibly survival, of patients with type 2 diabetes.