Influência dos indicadores socioeconômicos na distribuição dos casos suspeitos de dengue no município de São Carlos-SP / Influence of socioeconomic indicators on the distribution of suspected dengue

Resumo O estabelecimento definitivo do Aedes aegypti nas Américas está associado às mudanças ambientais, urbanização desorganizada, ausência de água e saneamento básico e deslocamentos populacionais, definindo, assim, a trajetória da doença. O objetivo deste estudo foi analisar a distribuição espacial dos casos suspeitos de dengue e a relação com indicadores socioeconômicos no município de São Carlos-SP. Trata-se de estudo ecológico, realizado nesse município, em que foram utilizados dados secundários do Sistema de Informação sobre Agravos de Notificação no período de 2016 a 2017 e do Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística do Censo Demográfico de 2010. Os dados foram analisados por meio da Análise de Componentes Principais pelo software Statistica 12.0 e os mapas temáticos foram gerados pelo software Arcgis versão 10.5. Os resultados mostraram elevadas taxas de casos suspeitos de dengue em áreas de ponderação com condições sociais adequadas e taxas reduzidas em áreas de ponderação com iniquidades sociais. Concluiu-se que o perfil de casos suspeitos por dengue na população de São Carlos não está relacionado a baixos indicadores socioeconômicos, uma vez que a dinâmica e a mobilidade populacional relacionadas ao elevado fluxo de universitários podem influenciar no padrão de distribuição espacial da doença.

Abstract The definitive establishment of Aedes aegypti in the Americas is associated with environmental changes, disorganized urbanization, lack of water and basic sanitation and population displacement, thus defining the trajectory of the disease. The aim of this study was to analyze the spatial distribution of the dengue suspected cases and understand its correlation with the socioeconomic indicators in the city of São Carlos (SP). This is an ecological study, carried out at the São Carlos (SP). Secondary data from the Information System on Notifiable Diseases in the period from 2016 to 2017 and from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics of the 2010 Demographic Census were used. The data were analyzed using Principal Component Analysis (ACP) by the software Statistica 12.0 and the thematic maps were generated by the software Arcgis version 10.5. The results showed high rates of suspected dengue cases in areas with adequate social conditions and reduced rates in areas with worst social condition. It was concluded that the outline of suspected dengue cases in the population of São Carlos (SP) is not related to low socioeconomic indicators, once the population dynamics and mobility related to the high flow of university students can influence the pattern of spatial distribution of the disease.

Impact of COVID-19 Containment Measures on Unemployment: A Multi-country Analysis Using a Difference-in-Differences Framework.

BACKGROUND: At the start of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, in the absence of pharmaceutical interventions, countries resorted to containment measures to stem the spread of the disease. In this paper, we have conducted a global study using a sample of 46 countries to evaluate whether these containment measures resulted in unemployment. METHODS: We use a difference-in-differences (DID) specification with a heterogenous intervention to show the varying intensity effect of containment measures on unemployment, on a sample of 46 countries. We explain variations in unemployment from January-June 2020 using stringency of containment measures, controlling for gross domestic product (GDP) growth, inflation rate, exports, cases of COVID-19 per million, COVID-19-specific fiscal spending, time fixed effects, region fixed effects, and region trends. We conduct further subset analyses by COVID-cases quintiles and gross national income (GNI) per capita quintiles. RESULTS: The median level of containment stringency in our sample was 43.7. Our model found that increasing stringency to this level would result in unemployment increasing by 1.87 percentage points (or 1.67 pp, after controlling for confounding). For countries with below median COVID-19 cases and below median GNI per capita, this effect is larger. CONCLUSION: Containment measures have a strong impact on unemployment. This effect is larger in poorer countries and countries with low COVID-19 cases. Given that unemployment has profound effects on mortality and morbidity, this consequence of containment measures may compound the adverse health effects of the pandemic for the most vulnerable groups. It is necessary for governments to consider this in future pandemic management, and to attempt to alleviate the impact of containment measures via effective fiscal spending.

Raça/cor da pele e morbimortalidade por COVID-19 no estado de São Paulo - SP / Race/skin color and covid-19 morbidity and mortality in the state of São Paulo ­ SP / Raza/color de piel y morbimortalidad por covid-19 en el estado de São Paulo - SP

Objetivo: analisar a relação entre a raça/cor da pele e a morbimortalidade por COVID-19 no estado de São Paulo-SP. Métodos: Estudo ecológico, retrospectivo e analítico, cujos dados foram coletados no Sistema Estadual de Análise de Dados (SEADE) do Governo do Estado de São Paulo e correspondem ao período de fevereiro de 2020 a setembro de 2021. Na análise de dados, utilizou-se o modelo de regressão com distribuição binomial-negativa múltipla, para comparar a incidência e a mortalidade específica entre as raças/cores de pele. Resultados: ao se compararem as curvas de incidência de COVID-19, houve diferença estatística significativa entre as comparações de todos os grupos de raça/cor da pele. Na comparação entre tendências branca vs parda, o resultado foi p = 0,007; na comparação entre tendências branca vs preta, p = <0,001; na comparação entre tendências parda vs preta, p = 0,003. Porém, quando foram comparadas as tendências de incidência por sexo e faixa etária e as tendências de óbito, não houve diferença estatística. Conclusão: a raça/cor da pele influenciou nas curvas de incidência geral por COVID-19 no estado de São Paulo, porém a não associação com a mortalidade pode estar relacionada com a falta de informação sobre raça/cor/etnia nas fichas de notificação, afetando consequentemente sua disponibilidade nos sistemas de informação, o que reforça a importância da divulgação de dados epidemiológicos oficiais de qualidade.(AU)

Objective: to analyze the relationship between ethnicity/skin color and morbi-mortality from COVID-19 in the state of São Paulo-SP. Methods: ecological, retrospective, and analytical study, whose data were collected from the State Data Analysis System (SE-ADE) of the Government of the State of São Paulo, covering from February 2020 to September 2021. Data analysis used a regression model with multiple binomial negative distribution, to compare the incidence and mortality specific between ethnicities/skin colors. Results: a comparison between the incidence curves of COVID-19 showed a signi-ficant statistical difference between all groups of ethnicity/skin color. In the comparison of trends between white and brown, the result was p = 0.007; in the comparison of trends between white and black, it was p = 0.001; in the comparison of trends between brown and black, p = 0.003. However, when we compare the trends of incidence per sex and age group with death trends, there was no statistical difference. Conclusion: ethnicity/skin color has influenced general incidence curves by COVID-19 in São Paulo. The fact that it was not associated with mortality can be related with the lack of information about ethnicity/color in notification forms, thus affecting the availability of such data in information systems, which reiterates the importance of publicizing quality official epidemiological data.(AU)

Objetivo: analizar la relación entre la raza/color de piel y la morbimortalidad por Covid-19 en el estado de São Paulo-SP.Métodos: estudio ecológico, retrospectivo y analítico, cuyos datos fueron recolectados en el Sistema Estatal de Análisis de Datos (SEADE) del Gobierno del Estado de São Paulo y corresponden al período de febrero de 2020 a septiembre de 2021. Para el análisis de datos se utilizó el modelo de regresión con distribución binomial-negativa múltiple para comparar la incidencia y la mortalidad específica entre las razas/colores de piel.Resultados: al comparar las curvas de incidencia de Covid-19, hubo una diferencia estadística significativa entre las comparaciones de todos los grupos de raza/color de piel, siendo que en la comparación entre tendencias blanca vs parda p= 0,007; comparación entre tendencias blanca vs negra p= <0,001; comparación entre tendencias parda vs negra p= 0,003. Sin embargo, cuando se compararon las tendencias de incidencia por sexo y grupo etario y las tendencias de muerte, no hubo diferencia estadística. Conclusión: la raza/color de piel influyó en las curvas de incidencia general por Covid-19 en el estado de São Paulo, sin embargo, la no-asociación con la mortalidad puede estar relacionada con la falta de información sobre raza/color/etnia en las fichas de notificación, y consecuentemente su disponibilidad en los sistemas de información, reforzando la importancia de la divulgación de datos epidemiológicos oficiales de calidad.(AU)

National Trends and Disparities in Severe Food Insecurity in Brazil between 2004 and 2018.

Background: The Brazilian Household Food Insecurity Measurement Scale (EBIA) is the main tool for assessing household food insecurity (FI) in Brazil and facilitates the monitoring and improvement of national public policies to promote food security. Since 2004, the Brazilian government has conducted National Household Sample Surveys, and in 2018, the government carried out the last national evaluation of FI. Objectives: To describe trends in severe FI in Brazil from 2004 to 2018. Methods: Data from 3 cross-sectional Brazilian National Household Sample Surveys (sample sizes: 2004 = 112,530; 2009 = 120,910; 2013 = 116,196) and from the last Household Budget Survey (sample size = 57,920) that assessed the status of FI using the EBIA were analyzed. Changes in severe FI during 2 periods (2004-2013; 2013-2018) were estimated while considering sociodemographic factors. Results: The period between 2004 and 2013 was marked by a significant decrease in severe FI (-53.6%), but this trend reversed in 2013-2018 (+43.8%). The greatest decrease in severe FI occurred in the Northeast (-57.6%) among households where the reference person was a man (-57.6%) and self-identified as white (-58.1%) (2004-2013). In 2013-2018, households with children aged ≤4 y (+6.3%) and members aged ≥65 y (+12.5%) experienced the lowest increases in severe FI. Conclusions: After a significant reduction from 2004 to 2013, severe FI increased sharply from 2013 to 2018, likely due to disruptions in public policies aimed at reducing hunger and unemployment rates.

Development and Assessment of a Brazilian Pilot Massive Open Online Course in Planetary Health Education: An Innovative Model for Primary Care Professionals and Community Training.

Introduction: Planetary health (PH) has emerged as a leading field for raising awareness, debating, and finding solutions for the health impacts of human-caused disruptions to Earth's natural systems. PH education addresses essential questions of how humanity inhabits Earth, and how humans affect, and are affected by, natural systems. A pilot massive open online course (MOOC) in PH was created in Brazil in 2020. This MOOC capitalized on the global online pivot, to make the course accessible to a broader audience. This study describes the process of course creation and development and assesses the impact evaluation data and student outcomes of the PH MOOC. Methods: The PH MOOC pilot was launched in Brazilian Portuguese, using the TelessaúdeRS-UFRGS platform on 4/27/2020 and concluded on 7/19/2020 with a total load of 80 h. It was composed of 8 content modules, pre and post-test, 10 topics in a forum discussion, and an optional action plan. This study analyzes the course database, profile of participants, answers to questionnaires, forum interaction, and action plans submitted. Results: Two thousand seven hundred seventy-seven participants enrolled in the course, of which 1,237 (44.54%) gave informed consent for this study. Of the 1,237 participants who agreed to participate in the research, 614 (49.8%) completed the course, and 569 (92.67%) were accredited by TelessaúdeRS-UFRGS. The majority of the participants were concerned with climate change, trained in the health area, and worked in primary health care in places that lacked ongoing sustainability programs. Two hundred forty-one action plans were submitted, major topics identified were food and nutrition, infectious diseases, and garbage and recycling. Discussion: The use of the PH lens and open perspective of the course centered the need to communicate planetary health topics to individuals. The local plans reflected the motto of "think global and act local." Brazil presents a context of an unprecedented social, political, and environmental crisis, with massive deforestation, extensive fires, and biomass burning altering the biomes, on top of an ongoing necropolitical infodemic and COVID-19 pandemic. In the face of these multiple challenges, this MOOC offers a timely resource for health professionals and communities, encouraging them to address planetary challenges as fundamental health determinants.

Food insecurity, food expenses and consumption of sugar and soft drinks in households with and without children and/or adolescents / Insegurança alimentar, gasto com alimentos e consumo de açúcar e refrigerante em domicílios com e sem crianças e/ou adolescentes

ABSTRACT Objectives To estimate the frequency of food insecurity in households with and without children/adolescents; compare food expenses, sugar and soft drinks consumption in these households; and to analyze the relationship between food insecurity and demographic/socioeconomic variables with food expenses, and sugar and soft drinks consumption in households with and without children/adolescents. Methods Cross-sectional study with 628 households in Campinas, SP, Brazil. Food insecurity was estimated by the Brazilian Household Food Insecurity Measurement Scale. The dependent variables were the proportion of food expenses, and consumption of sugar and soft drinks; and the independent ones included food security/insecurity condition, monthly family income, gender, age and education of the household head. Results The frequency of food insecurity was higher in households with children/adolescents than in households without minors (41.4% vs. 27.9%). The proportion of food expenses was higher in households with children/adolescents and in all households it was associated with lower family income and, in households with minors, to the presence of a female householder. Soft drinks consumption was higher in households with children/adolescents; and was related to higher income in all households, and to the presence of male householder in households with minors. Sugar consumption in households with children/adolescents was associated with higher income, male gender and education level of the household head (<12 years). In households without children/adolescents, the higher sugar consumption was associated with food insecurity and the household head's education (<8 years). Conclusion In households with children/adolescents there was a greater frequency of food insecurity and a greater commitment of income with food. Food insecurity was associated with increased sugar consumption in households without children/adolescents.

RESUMO Objetivos Estimar a frequência de insegurança alimentar em domicílios com e sem crianças/adolescentes; comparar o gasto com alimentos e o consumo de açúcar e de refrigerante nestes domicílios; e analisar a relação da insegurança alimentar e de variáveis demográficas/socioeconômicas com o gasto com alimentos e com o consumo de açúcar e de refrigerante em domicílios com e sem crianças/adolescentes. Métodos Estudo transversal com 628 domicílios de Campinas, SP, Brasil. A insegurança alimentar foi estimada pela Escala Brasileira de Insegurança Alimentar. As variáveis dependentes foram proporção de gasto com alimentos e consumo de açúcar e refrigerante; as independentes incluíram condição de segurança/insegurança alimentar, renda familiar mensal, sexo, idade e escolaridade do chefe da família. Resultados A frequência de insegurança alimentar foi maior nos domicílios com crianças/adolescentes do que nos domicílios sem menores (41,4% vs. 27,9%). A proporção de gasto com alimentos foi superior nos domicílios com crianças/adolescentes; em todos esteve associada ao menor rendimento familiar e, nos domicílios com menores, à presença de chefe da família do sexo feminino. O consumo de refrigerante foi maior em domicílios com crianças/adolescentes, relacionou-se à maior renda em todos os domicílios e à presença de chefe da família do sexo masculino em domicílios com menores. O consumo de açúcar nos domicílios com crianças/adolescentes associou-se à maior renda, sexo masculino e escolaridade do chefe <12 anos. Nos domicílios sem crianças/adolescentes, o maior consumo de açúcar esteve associado à insegurança alimentar e à escolaridade do chefe da família <8 anos. Conclusão Nos domicílios com crianças/adolescentes, houve maior frequência de insegurança alimentar e maior comprometimento da renda com a alimentação. A insegurança alimentar associou-se ao aumento do consumo de açúcar em domicílios sem crianças/adolescentes.

Food and nutritional security of semi-arid farm families benefiting from rainwater collection equipment in Brazil.

The objective of this study was to identify and describe the experience of family farmers and their respective families after using the Boardwalk Cistern rainwater collection system and consequent impacts on nutrition profile and food security. This is a qualitative-quantitative study conducted in two municipalities in the semi-arid region of the state of Alagoas, northeastern Brazil. A structured questionnaire was applied to collect information on demographic and socioeconomic status and household access to food, based on the Brazilian Food Insecurity Scale of 29 family farmers' households. Food intake was assessed by food intake markers of the Ministry of Health, while nutritional status was determined by measuring the weight and height of all family members and waist circumference of adults. Nutrition diagnosis was performed using the cutoff points of body mass index for age. Three focus groups were conducted, and the information collected was analyzed through Content Analysis with the aim of knowing the participants' perception of the effects of the received water equipment. The study showed a high prevalence of excess weight (52.7%) and high risk for cardiovascular diseases (35.9%) marked by a high salt and sugar in the food intake. Food Insecurity Scale showed that food insecurity is a problem occurring in 75% of these families. However, focus groups showed that families have a positive perception of Boardwalk Cisterns for their food security. They believe that agricultural production has improved, thereby offering a wider range of foods and, consequently, improving food security. In conclusion, this study highlights the importance of water access programs for food production within public policies to guarantee FNS.

Food security status in times of financial and political crisis in Brazil.

This study sought to describe the changes in the food security status in Brazil before and during its most recent financial and political crisis, as well as to explore associations between food security and socioeconomic factors during the crisis. This cross-sectional study analyzed data from two different sources: the Brazilian National Household Sample Survey for 2004 (n = 112,479), 2009 (n = 120,910), and 2013 (n = 116,192); and the Gallup World Poll for 2015 (n = 1,004), 2016 (n = 1,002), and 2017 (n = 1,001). Household food security status was measured by a shorter version of the Brazilian Food Insecurity Scale, consisting of the first 8 questions of the original 14-item scale. Descriptive and logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the changes in food security and their association with socioeconomic factors. Results suggest that during the crisis the percentage of households classified as food secure declined by one third (76% in 2013 to 49% in 2017) while severe food insecurity tripled (4% in 2013 to 12% in 2017). Whereas before the crisis (2013) 44% of the poorest households were food secure, by 2017 this decreased to 26%. Household income per capita was strongly associated with food security, increasing by six times the chances of being food insecure among the poorest strata. Those who reported a low job climate, social support or level of education were twice as likely to be food insecure. Despite significant improvements between 2004 and 2013, findings indicate that during the crisis Brazil suffered from a great deterioration of food security, highlighting the need for emergency policies to protect and guarantee access to food for the most vulnerable.

Health inequalities and well-being in times of financial and political crisis in Brazil, a case study.

Background: Although global efforts have resulted in improvements in health and well-being across the world, economic downturns can rapidly undermine achievements in this area. Methods: Using Gallup World Poll data (n = 7,084) this study assessed the changes in health status and well-being before (2009-2013) and during (2015-2017) the current financial and political crisis in Brazil and their association with the Social Determinants of Health Inequalities. Health and well-being were measured by the Personal Life Index and the Life Evaluation Index. Descriptive analysis and logistic regression models were conducted. Results: A significant deterioration of well-being was found during the crisis, with a 29% decline (63-44%) in the prevalence of respondents classified as 'thriving' in life. Food security, age and social support were the best predictors of health status and well-being, mitigating the association of health and well-being with income and unemployment. Education and community environment also showed strong association with well-being, and satisfaction with healthcare system played an important role in health status. Conclusions: In order to protect health and well-being during such crisis, policies should pay particular attention on enhancing the access to food, healthcare system, educational system, community environment (quality of air, water and infrastructure) and fostering social support.

Food security status in times of financial and political crisis in Brazil / A segurança alimentar em tempos de crise financeira e política no Brasil / Estado de la seguridad alimentaria en la era de la crisis política y financiera brasileña

This study sought to describe the changes in the food security status in Brazil before and during its most recent financial and political crisis, as well as to explore associations between food security and socioeconomic factors during the crisis. This cross-sectional study analyzed data from two different sources: the Brazilian National Household Sample Survey for 2004 (n = 112,479), 2009 (n = 120,910), and 2013 (n = 116,192); and the Gallup World Poll for 2015 (n = 1,004), 2016 (n = 1,002), and 2017 (n = 1,001). Household food security status was measured by a shorter version of the Brazilian Food Insecurity Scale, consisting of the first 8 questions of the original 14-item scale. Descriptive and logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the changes in food security and their association with socioeconomic factors. Results suggest that during the crisis the percentage of households classified as food secure declined by one third (76% in 2013 to 49% in 2017) while severe food insecurity tripled (4% in 2013 to 12% in 2017). Whereas before the crisis (2013) 44% of the poorest households were food secure, by 2017 this decreased to 26%. Household income per capita was strongly associated with food security, increasing by six times the chances of being food insecure among the poorest strata. Those who reported a low job climate, social support or level of education were twice as likely to be food insecure. Despite significant improvements between 2004 and 2013, findings indicate that during the crisis Brazil suffered from a great deterioration of food security, highlighting the need for emergency policies to protect and guarantee access to food for the most vulnerable.

O estudo teve como objetivos descrever as mudanças na segurança alimentar no Brasil antes e durante a mais recente crise financeira e política do país, além de explorar as associações entre segurança alimentar e fatores socioeconômicos durante a crise. Este estudo transversal analisou os dados de duas fontes diferentes: a Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios de 2004 (n = 112.479), 2009 (n = 120.910) e 2013 (n = 116.192) e a Pesquisa Mundial Gallup de 2015 (n = 1.004), 2016 (n = 1.002) e 2017 (n = 1.001). O nível de segurança alimentar domiciliar foi medido utilizando uma versão reduzida da Escala Brasileira de Insegurança Alimentar (EBIA), com as primeiras oito perguntas da escala original de 14 itens. Foram realizadas análises descritivas e de regressão logística para avaliar as mudanças na segurança alimentar e a associação com fatores socioeconômicos. Os resultados sugerem que durante a crise, o percentual de domicílios com segurança alimentar diminuiu em um terço (de 76% em 2013 para 49% em 2017), enquanto a insegurança alimentar grave triplicou (de 4% em 2013 para 12% em 2017). Antes da crise (2013), 44% dos domicílios apresentavam segurança alimentar, mas até 2017 essa proporção havia diminuído para 26%. A renda per capita domiciliar mostrou forte associação com a segurança alimentar, aumentando em seis vezes a probabilidade de insegurança alimentar entre os mais pobres. Aqueles que relatavam piores níveis de emprego, apoio social e escolaridade tiveram duas vezes mais probabilidade de sofrer de insegurança alimentar. Apesar de melhoras significativas entre 2004 e 2013, os achados indicam que durante a crise, o Brasil sofreu uma piora grave na segurança alimentar, reforçando a necessidade de políticas emergenciais para proteger e garantir o acesso à alimentação para os mais vulneráveis.

El objetivo de este estudio es describir los cambios en el estado de la seguridad alimentaria en Brasil antes y durante su más reciente crisis política y financiera, así como también analizar las asociaciones entre seguridad alimentaria y factores socioeconómicos durante la crisis. Este estudio transversal analizó datos de dos fuentes diferentes: la Encuesta Brasileña por Muestra de Domicilios en 2004 (n = 112.479), 2009 (n = 120.910) y 2013 (n = 116.192); y la Encuesta Mundial Gallup en 2015 (n = 1.004), 2016 (n = 1.002) y 2017 (n = 1.001). El estado de la seguridad alimentaria por hogar se midió mediante una versión acortada de la Escala Brasileña de Inseguridad Alimentaria, que consiste en las 8 primeras preguntas de la escala original con 14-ítems. Se realizaron análisis descriptivos y por regresión logística para evaluar los cambios en la seguridad alimentaria y su asociación con factores socioeconómicos. Los resultados sugieren que durante la crisis el porcentaje de hogares clasificados como seguros respecto a la alimentación disminuyó en un tercio (del 76% en 2013 al 49% en 2017) mientras que la inseguridad alimentaria severa se triplicó (de un 4% en 2013 al 12% en 2017). Asimismo, antes de la crisis (2013) un 44% de los hogares más pobres contaban con seguridad alimentaria, pero en 2017 este número disminuyó al 26%. Los ingresos per cápita por hogar estuvieron fuertemente asociados con la seguridad alimentaria, incrementando seis veces más las posibilidades de sufrir inseguridad alimentaria entre los estratos más pobres. Aquellos que informaron de una baja estabilidad laboral, apoyo social o nivel educacional fueron dos veces más propensos de sufrir inseguridad alimentaria. A pesar de las mejoras significativas entre 2004 y 2013, los resultados indican que Brasil durante la crisis sufrió un gran deterioro de la seguridad alimentaria, resaltando la necesidad de políticas de emergencia para proteger y garantizar el acceso a la comida de los más vulnerables.

Modeling Optimal Cutoffs for the Brazilian Household Food Insecurity Measurement Scale in a Nationwide Representative Sample.

Background: This is the second part of a model-based approach to examine the suitability of the current cutoffs applied to the raw score of the Brazilian Household Food Insecurity Measurement Scale [Escala Brasileira de Insegurança Alimentar (EBIA)]. The approach allows identification of homogeneous groups who correspond to severity levels of food insecurity (FI) and, by extension, discriminant cutoffs able to accurately distinguish these groups.Objective: This study aims to examine whether the model-based approach for identifying optimal cutoffs first implemented in a local sample is replicated in a countrywide representative sample.Methods: Data were derived from the Brazilian National Household Sample Survey of 2013 (n = 116,543 households). Latent class factor analysis (LCFA) models from 2 to 5 classes were applied to the scale's items to identify the number of underlying FI latent classes. Next, identification of optimal cutoffs on the overall raw score was ascertained from these identified classes. Analyses were conducted in the aggregate data and by macroregions. Finally, model-based classifications (latent classes and groupings identified thereafter) were contrasted to the traditionally used classification.Results: LCFA identified 4 homogeneous groups with a very high degree of class separation (entropy = 0.934-0.975). The following cutoffs were identified in the aggregate data: between 1 and 2 (1/2), 5 and 6 (5/6), and 10 and 11 (10/11) in households with children and/or adolescents <18 y of age (score range: 0-14), and 1/2, between 4 and 5 (4/5), and between 6 and 7 (6/7) in adult-only households (range: 0-8). With minor variations, the same cutoffs were also identified in the macroregions. Although our findings confirm, in general, the classification currently used, the limit of 1/2 (compared with 0/1) for separating the milder from the baseline category emerged consistently in all analyses.Conclusions: Nationwide findings corroborate previous local evidence that households with an overall score of 1 are more akin to those scoring negative on all items. These results may contribute to guide experts' and policymakers' decisions on the most appropriate EBIA cutoffs.

RCGP Research and Surveillance Centre Annual Report 2014-2015: disparities in presentations to primary care.

BACKGROUND: The Royal College of General Practitioners (RCGP) Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) comprises over 100 general practices in England, with a population of around 1 million, providing a public health surveillance system for England and data for research. AIM: To demonstrate the scope of data with the RCGP Annual Report 2014-2015 (May 2014 to April 2015) by describing disparities in the presentation of six common conditions included in the report. DESIGN AND SETTING: This is a report of respiratory and communicable disease incidence from a primary care sentinel network in England. METHOD: Incidence rates and demographic profiles are described for common cold, acute otitis media, pneumonia, influenza-like illness, herpes zoster, and scarlet fever. The impact of age, sex, ethnicity, and deprivation on the diagnosis of each condition is explored using a multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: With the exception of herpes zoster, all conditions followed a seasonal pattern. Apart from pneumonia and scarlet fever, the odds of presenting with any of the selected conditions were greater for females (P<0.001). Older people had a greater probability of a pneumonia diagnosis (≥75 years, odds ratio [OR] 6.37; P<0.001). Common cold and influenza-like illness were more likely in people from ethnic minorities than white people, while the converse was true for acute otitis media and herpes zoster. There were higher odds of acute otitis media and herpes zoster diagnosis among the less deprived (least deprived quintile, OR 1.32 and 1.48, respectively; P<0.001). CONCLUSION: The RCGP RSC database provides insight into the content and range of GP workload and provides insight into current public health concerns. Further research is needed to explore these disparities in presentation to primary care.

Demographic and socioeconomic conditions associated with food insecurity in households in Campinas, SP, Brazil / Condições demográficas e socioeconômicas associadas à insegurança alimentar em domicílios de Campinas, SP

ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the association of food insecurity with demographic and socioeconomic conditions in households in Campinas, São Paulo state, Brazil. Methods: This is a cross-sectional study conducted on a representative sample of the urban population of the Southern, Southwestern, and Northwestern Health Districts of Campinas, between 2011-2012. Characteristics of the head of household, family history and household patterns were investigated. The dependent variable was food security condition, categorized as food security, mild food insecurity, and moderate/severe food insecurity. All independent variables with p-value <0.20 in the bivariate multinomial logistic regression were included in the final model of multiple multinomial logistic regression, adjusted to household head age; the remaining variables had p-value <0.05. Results: In the 691 households analyzed, there was 65% of food security, 27.9% of mild food insecurity, and 7.1% of moderate/severe food insecurity. The conditions associated with mild food insecurity were monthly per capita income less than the minimum wage, household head unemployed for more than six months between 2004-2010, living in properties given to the family/occupied/other, and density higher than two people per bedroon. The moderate/severe food insecurity was associated with informal employment condition of the household head and the presence of a beneficiary of the Bolsa Família (Family Allowance Program), a cash transfer-type program, in the household. The higher the score of the consumer goods, the lower the probability of mild food insecurity or moderate/severe food insecurity. There was a higher probability of mild food insecurity and moderate/severe food insecurity in unfinished masonry-built houses/other. Conclusion: More than one third of the households investigated experienced some form of food insecurity. Mild food insecurity was associated with demographic conditions, while moderate/severe food insecurity was associated with socioeconomic conditions, especially those related to the household head.

RESUMO Objetivo: Avaliar a associação da insegurança alimentar com as condições demográficas e socioeconômicas em domicílios de Campinas (SP). Métodos: Estudo transversal com amostra representativa da população urbana dos Distritos de Saúde Sul, Sudoeste e Noroeste de Campinas, realizado entre 2011-2012. Estudaram-se as características do chefe de família, dos antecedentes familiares e do domicílio. A variável dependente foi condição de segurança alimentar, categorizada em segurança alimentar, insegurança alimentar leve e insegurança alimentar moderada/grave. Todas as variáveis independentes com p-valor<0,20 na regressão logística multinomial bivariada foram incluídas no modelo final de regressão logística multinomial múltipla, ajustado pela idade do chefe da família, permanecendo aquelas com p<0,05. Resultados: Nos 691 domicílios analisados, houve 65,0% em segurança alimentar, 27,9% em insegurança alimentar leve e 7,1% em insegurança alimentar moderada/grave. As condições associadas à insegurança alimentar leve foram renda familiar mensal per capita menor que um salário mínimo, desemprego do chefe da família por mais de seis meses entre 2004-2010, residir em domicílios de condição cedido/invasão/outro e com densidade maior que duas pessoas por dormitório. A insegurança alimentar moderada/grave esteve associada à informalidade do emprego do chefe da família e ter titular do Bolsa Família no domicílio. Quanto maior o escore de bens de consumo, menor foi a chance de insegurança alimentar leve ou moderada/grave, enquanto que houve maior chance da presença de qualquer tipo de insegurança alimentar nos domicílios construídos com alvenaria inacabada/outros. Conclusão: Mais de um terço dos domicílios apresentam alguma forma de insegurança alimentar. A insegurança alimentar leve está associada às condições demográficas, enquanto que a moderada/grave associa-se às condições socioeconômicas, principalmente relacionadas ao chefe da família.

Real-world evidence studies into treatment adherence, thresholds for intervention and disparities in treatment in people with type 2 diabetes in the UK.

PURPOSE: The University of Surrey-Lilly Real World Evidence (RWE) diabetes cohort has been established to provide insights into the management of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). There are 3 areas of study due to be conducted to provide insights into T2DM management: exploration of medication adherence, thresholds for changing diabetes therapies, and ethnicity-related or socioeconomic-related disparities in management. This paper describes the identification of a cohort of people with T2DM which will be used for these analyses, through a case finding algorithm, and describes the characteristics of the identified cohort. PARTICIPANTS: A cohort of people with T2DM was identified from the Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre (RCGP RSC) data set. This data set comprises electronic patient records collected from a nationally distributed sample of 130 primary care practices across England with scope to increase the number of practices to 200. FINDINGS TO DATE: A cohort (N=58 717) of adults with T2DM was identified from the RCGP RSC population (N=1 260 761), a crude prevalence of diabetes of 5.8% in the adult population. High data quality within the practice network and an ontological approach to classification resulted in a high level of data completeness in the T2DM cohort; ethnicity identification (82.1%), smoking status (99.3%), alcohol use (93.3%), glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c; 97.9%), body mass index (98.0%), blood pressure (99.4%), cholesterol (87.4%) and renal function (97.8%). Data completeness compares favourably to other, similarly large, observational cohorts. The cohort comprises a distribution of ages, socioeconomic and ethnic backgrounds, diabetes complications, and comorbidities, enabling the planned analyses. FUTURE PLANS: Regular data uploads from the RCGP RSC practice network will enable this cohort to be followed prospectively. We will investigate medication adherence, explore thresholds and triggers for changing diabetes therapies, and investigate any ethnicity-related or socioeconomic-related disparities in diabetes management.

Predicting Falls and When to Intervene in Older People: A Multilevel Logistical Regression Model and Cost Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Falls are the leading cause of injury in older people. Reducing falls could reduce financial pressures on health services. We carried out this research to develop a falls risk model, using routine primary care and hospital data to identify those at risk of falls, and apply a cost analysis to enable commissioners of health services to identify those in whom savings can be made through referral to a falls prevention service. METHODS: Multilevel logistical regression was performed on routinely collected general practice and hospital data from 74751 over 65's, to produce a risk model for falls. Validation measures were carried out. A cost-analysis was performed to identify at which level of risk it would be cost-effective to refer patients to a falls prevention service. 95% confidence intervals were calculated using a Monte Carlo Model (MCM), allowing us to adjust for uncertainty in the estimates of these variables. RESULTS: A risk model for falls was produced with an area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.87. The risk cut-off with the highest combination of sensitivity and specificity was at p = 0.07 (sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 78%). The risk cut-off at which savings outweigh costs was p = 0.27 and the risk cut-off with the maximum savings was p = 0.53, which would result in referral of 1.8% and 0.45% of the over 65's population respectively. Above a risk cut-off of p = 0.27, costs do not exceed savings. CONCLUSIONS: This model is the best performing falls predictive tool developed to date; it has been developed on a large UK city population; can be readily run from routine data; and can be implemented in a way that optimises the use of health service resources. Commissioners of health services should use this model to flag and refer patients at risk to their falls service and save resources.

A Model-Based Approach to Identify Classes and Respective Cutoffs of the Brazilian Household Food Insecurity Measurement Scale.

BACKGROUND: The Brazilian Household Food Insecurity Measurement Scale (EBIA) is the main tool for assessing household food insecurity (FI) in Brazil, assisting in monitoring and improving national public policies to promote food security. Based on the sum of item scores, households have been classified into 4 levels of FI, with the use of cutoffs arising from expert discussions informed by psychometric analyses and policy considerations. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to identify homogeneous latent groups corresponding to levels of FI, examine whether such subgroups could be defined from discriminant cutoffs applied to the overall EBIA raw score, and compare these cutoffs against those currently used. METHODS: A cross-sectional population-based study with a representative sample of 1105 households from a low-income metropolitan area of Rio de Janeiro was conducted. Latent class factor analysis (LCFA) models were applied to the answers to EBIA's items to identify homogeneous groups, obtaining the number of latent classes for FI measured by the scale. Based on this and a thorough classification agreement evaluation, optimal cutoffs for discriminating between different severity levels of FI were ascertained. Model-based grouping and the official EBIA classification cutoffs were also contrasted. RESULTS: LCFA identified 4 homogeneous groups with a very high degree of class separation (entropy = 0.906), endorsing the classification of EBIA as a 4-level measure of FI. Two sets of cutoffs were identified to separate such groups according to household type: 1/2, 5/6, and 10/11 in households with children and adolescents (score range: 0-14); and 1/2, 3/4, and 5/6 in adult-only households (score range: 0-7). CONCLUSION: Although roughly classifying EBIA as in previous studies, the current approach suggests that, in terms of raw score, households endorsing only one item of the scale would be better classified by being placed in the same stratum as those remaining negative on all items.

Percepções de homens sobre a vivência da paternidade na adolescência: uma perspectiva bioecológica / Percepción de hombres sobre la vivencia de la paternidad en la adolescencia: una perspectiva bioecológica / Men's perception of the experience of parenting in adolescence: a bioecological perspective

RESUMO Objetivo conhecer a percepção de homens sobre a vivência da paternidade na adolescência. Método estudo qualitativo, realizado com cinco homens que vivenciaram a paternidade durante a adolescência. A coleta dos dados ocorreu por meio de entrevista em profundidade, no domicílio, em agosto de 2013, em um município do Sul do Brasil. Analisaram-se os dados com o modelo teórico de Urie Bronfenbrenner. Resultados viver a paternidade na adolescência foi uma experiência de amadurecimento e reflexões a respeito do papel de pai e suas atribuições. A família foi o microssistema referenciado e influenciou o desenvolvimento da paternidade. Identificou-se o quanto as implicações da paternidade na adolescência repercutiram ao longo de suas vidas. Conclusão é importante introduzir a temática paternidade nos sistemas de saúde, para que o adolescente possa exercitá-la de maneira saudável. A enfermagem tem papel relevante, pois pode acolhê-los e direcionar o olhar para suas singularidades.

RESUMEN Objetivo conocer la percepción de los hombres acerca de la experiencia de la paternidad en la adolescencia. Método estudio cualitativo, realizado con cinco hombres que han experimentado la paternidad en la adolescencia. La recolección de datos ocurrió a través de entrevistas en profundidad, en casa, en agosto de 2013, en una ciudad en el sur de Brasil. Los datos se analizaron con el modelo teórico de Urie Bronfenbrenner. Resultados la experiencia de paternidad en la adolescencia fue un crescimiento como hombre y estimuló reflexiones sobre el papel de padre. El microsistema es la família y esta influyencia en la paternidad. Fue identificado las implicaciones de la paternidad en la adolescencia y las repercusiones durante su vida. Conclusión es importante introducir el tema de la paternidad en los sistemas de salud y educación. Enfermería tiene un papel importante, ya que puede darles la bienvenida y dirigir la mirada a las singularidades.

ABSTRACT Objective to know the perception of men of the experience of parenting during adolescence. Method a qualitative study conducted with five men who experienced paternity during adolescence. Data were collected by means of in-depth interviews at the homes of the subjects in August 2013, in a city of southern Brazil. The data were analysed with the theoretical model of Urie Bronfenbrenner. Results paternity in adolescence was a coming of age experience that triggered reflection on the role of the father and his duties. The referenced microsystem was the family and it influenced the development of parenthood. Paternity has implications during adolescence and repercussions throughout the lives of the subjects. Conclusion it is important to introduce the topic of fatherhood in the health and education systems in order for adolescents to exercise parenting in a healthy manner. Nursing plays an important role because it can assist this population and target attention toward the singularities of parenthood.

As representações sociais das mães adolescentes acerca da educação / Las repesentacioones sociales de las madres adolescentes acerca de la educación / Teenage mothers´ social representation about education

Objetivo: Apreender as representações sociais das mães adolescentes acerca da educação. Método: Pesquisa qualitativa que utilizou a técnica de grupo focal para coleta dos dados, que foram submetidos à análise temática ancorada na Teoria das Representações Sociais. Resultados: Os hallazgos apontaram que as mães adolescentes representaram a sua trajetória escolar com dificuldades intelectuais ao longo dos anos escolares e os sintomas da gravidez dificultaram a permanência na escola. Assinalaram que a educação proporciona melhores condições de vida, de emprego e consumo de produtos mais caros para seus filhos. Apontaram a falta de políticas públicas que viabilizassem a permanência das mesmas no sistema educacional. Conclusão: A enfermagem poderá desempenhar um papel social relevante ao participar na construção de políticas públicas que incentivem a permanência e/ou retorno das mães adolescentes à escola, como forma de garantir a inserção social dessa parcelada população, evitando ciclo de baixa escolaridade e condições socioeconómicas desfavoráveis na vida das jovens brasileiras.

Objective: This study aimed at understanding the social representations of teenage mothers about education. Method: A qualitative research was used, along with the Focus Group Technique to collect data that were submitted to thematic analysis, based on the Social Representation Theory. Results: The results showed that the teenage mothers described their school history as a period with intellectual difficulties, and the symptoms of pregnancy made it hard to stay in school. The young mothers emphasized that education provides better conditions of life, employment and consumption of expensive products for their children, and pointed out the lack of public policies to allow them to be in school. Conclusion: Nursing can perform a relevant social role in building public policies to motivate these adolescents to stay in and/or go back to school, as a way to guarantee their insertion in the society, avoiding low education and unfavorable social-economic conditions in their life.

Objetivo: Comprender las representaciones sociales de las madres adolescentes acerca de la educación. Material y método: Investigación cualitativa que utilizó la técnica de grupo focal para la recolección de datos que fueron sometidos a análisis temático basada en la Teoría de las Representaciones Sociales. Resultados: Los resultados mostraron que las madres adolescentes describieron su trayectoria escolar como un período con dificultades intelectuales y que los síntomas del embarazo dificultaron su permanencia en la escuela. Señalaron que la educación proporciona mejores condiciones de vida, de empleo y aumento de consumo de productos más caros para sus hijos. Apuntaron la falta de políticas públicas que viabilicen sus permanencias en el sistema educacional. Conclusión: La enfermería podrá desempeñar un papel social relevante al participar en la construcción de políticas públicas que incentiven la permanencia y/o el retorno de las madres adolescentes a la escuela como forma de garantizar la inserción social de ese grupo de la población, evitando el ciclo de baja escolaridad, condiciones socioeconómicas desfavorables en la vida de las jóvenes brasileñas.

[Food insecurity in Brazilian families with children under five years of age]. / Insegurança alimentar em domicílios brasileiros com crianças menores de cinco anos.

This article analyzes food insecurity and hunger in Brazilian families with children under five years of age. This was a nationally representative cross-sectional study using data from the National Demographic and Health Survey on Women and Children (PNDS-2006), in which the outcome variable was moderate to severe food insecurity, measured by the Brazilian Food Insecurity Scale (EBIA). Prevalence estimates and prevalence ratios were generated with 95% confidence intervals. The results showed a high prevalence of moderate to severe food insecurity, concentrated in the North and Northeast regions (30.7%), in economic classes D and E (34%), and in beneficiaries of conditional cash transfer programs (36.5%). Multivariate analysis showed that the socioeconomic relative risks (beneficiaries of conditional cash transfers), regional relative risks (North and Northeast regions), and economic relative risks (classes D and E) were 1.8, 2.0 and 2.4, respectively. Aggregation of the three risks showed 48% of families with moderate to severe food insecurity, meaning that adults and children were going hungry during the three months preceding the survey.

Insegurança alimentar em domicílios brasileiros com crianças menores de cinco anos / Food insecurity in Brazilian families with children under five years of age / Inseguridad alimentaria en los hogares brasileños con niños menores de cinco años

Este artigo se propõe a estudar o processo de insegurança alimentar e fome em domicílios brasileiros com crianças menores de cinco anos. É um estudo transversal com representatividade nacional executado com dados da Pesquisa Nacional de Demografia e Saúde da Criança e da Mulher (PNDS-2006) tendo como variável dependente a insegurança alimentar moderada e grave (IAM+G), medida através da Escala Brasileira de Insegurança Alimentar (EBIA). Foram geradas estimativas de prevalência e razão de prevalência com intervalos de 95% de confiança. Os resultados apontam para alta prevalência de IAM+G concentrada nas regiões Norte e Nordeste (30,7%), nas classes econômicas D e E (34%) e em beneficiários de Programas de Transferência de Renda (PTR; 36,5%). O modelo de análise multivariada constatou que os riscos sociais (beneficiário de PTR), regionais (Norte e Nordeste) e econômicos (classes D e E) eram de 1,8, 2,0 e 2,4, respectivamente. Agregando-se os três riscos observou-se que 48% dos domicílios encontravam-se em IAM+G, ou seja, crianças e adultos passaram fome nos três meses anteriores ao inquérito.

This article analyzes food insecurity and hunger in Brazilian families with children under five years of age. This was a nationally representative cross-sectional study using data from the National Demographic and Health Survey on Women and Children (PNDS-2006), in which the outcome variable was moderate to severe food insecurity, measured by the Brazilian Food Insecurity Scale (EBIA). Prevalence estimates and prevalence ratios were generated with 95% confidence intervals. The results showed a high prevalence of moderate to severe food insecurity, concentrated in the North and Northeast regions (30.7%), in economic classes D and E (34%), and in beneficiaries of conditional cash transfer programs (36.5%). Multivariate analysis showed that the socioeconomic relative risks (beneficiaries of conditional cash transfers), regional relative risks (North and Northeast regions), and economic relative risks (classes D and E) were 1.8, 2.0 and 2.4, respectively. Aggregation of the three risks showed 48% of families with moderate to severe food insecurity, meaning that adults and children were going hungry during the three months preceding the survey.

Se plantea estudiar el proceso de inseguridad alimentaria y el hambre en los hogares brasileños con niños menores de cinco años. Se trata de un estudio transversal a nivel nacional, realizado con datos de la Encuesta Nacional de Demografía y Salud de la Mujer y la Infancia (PNDS 2006), siendo la variable dependiente la inseguridad alimentaria moderada y grave (IAM+G), medidas mediante la Escala Brasileña de Inseguridad Alimentaria (EBIA). Se generaron estimaciones de prevalencia y razón de prevalencia con intervalos de 95% de confianza. Los resultados muestran una alta prevalencia de IAM+G en el Norte y Nordeste (30,7%), en las clases económicas D y E (34%), y entre los beneficiarios de los programas de transferencias de renta (36,5%). El modelo de análisis multivariado descubrió que los riesgos sociales (beneficiario de programas de transferencias de renta), regionales (Norte y Nordeste) y económicos (clases D y E) fueron de 1,8, 2,0 y 2,4, respectivamente. Mediante la agregación de los tres riesgos se encontró el 48% de los hogares en IAM+G, o sea, adultos y niños tuvieron hambre durante los tres meses anteriores a la encuesta.