Use of Monte Carlo simulation to evaluate the efficacy of tigecycline and minocycline for the treatment of pneumonia due to carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae.

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia caused by carbapenemase-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae (CP-KP) are increasingly encountered in hospitals worldwide, causing high mortality due to lack of treatment options. The goal of this study was to assess the efficacy of tigecycline and minocycline for CP-KP hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) by using Monte Carlo simulation. METHODS: A total of 164 non-duplicated CP-KP strains were collected from sputum or blood in patients with HAP. The MICs for antimicrobials were determined by the agar dilution method. A 10,000-patient Monte Carlo Simulation based on a PK/PD model incorporating the MICs and population pharmacokinetic parameters were conducted to calculate probability of target attainment (PTA) at each MIC value and total cumulative fraction of response (CFR). RESULTS: The susceptibility rate of tigecycline and minocycline were 79.9% and 41.5%, respectively. At recommended doses, an optimal PTA of 90% was obtained for treating HAP caused by CP-KP with MICs of tigecycline ≤0.5 mg/L or minocycline ≤4 mg/L. The CFR of tigecycline at the recommended dose and double dose (100 mg q12h) were 71.2% and 90.2%, respectively. The CFR of minocycline at recommended dose and double dose (200 mg q12h) was 53.4% and 77.2%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study suggest that the recommended dose of tigecycline was not effective in HAP caused by CP-KP, and a higher CFR indicating a better clinical efficacy can be gained by doubling the dose (100 mg q12h). minocycline (200 mg q12h) might be a potential alternative of tigecycline to against strains with MICs ≤ 8 mg/L.

A Monte Carlo pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic simulation to evaluate the efficacy of minocycline, tigecycline, moxifloxacin, and levofloxacin in the treatment of hospital-acquired pneumonia caused by Stenotrophomonas maltophilia.

BACKGROUND: Stenotrophomonas maltophilia has emerged as an important opportunistic pathogen in recent years. Increasing antimicrobial resistance and other contraindications have greatly compromised trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole (SXT) as the first-line therapeutic option. The objective of this study was to explore other options for treating hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) caused by S. maltophilia. METHODS: A total of 102 strains of S. maltophilia were isolated from sputum and bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) specimens of patients with HAP in our institution. The minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) values of minocycline, tigecycline, moxifloxacin, and levofloxacin were determined by the agar dilution method. Based on the MICs and the population pharmacokinetic parameters of the investigated antimicrobials, a Monte Carlo simulation was performed to simulate the pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) indices of different regimens. The probability of target attainment (PTA) was estimated at each MIC value and the cumulative fraction of response (CFR) was calculated to evaluate the efficacy of these regimens. RESULTS: The susceptibility rates to minocycline, tigecycline, moxifloxacin, and levofloxacin were 96.1%, 80.4%, 74.5%, and 69.6%, respectively. The estimated CFRs were 96.2% for minocycline 100 mg twice daily; 50.8%/67.1%/75.4% for tigecycline 50/75/100 mg twice daily; 34.3%/48.0%/56.6% for levofloxacin 500/750/1000 mg once daily; and 45.7% for moxifloxacin 400 mg once daily. CONCLUSIONS: The simulation results suggest that minocycline may be a proper choice for treatment of HAP caused by S. maltophilia, while tigecycline, moxifloxacin, and levofloxacin may not be optimal as monotherapy.

A pharmacodynamic simulation to evaluate tigecycline in treatment of nosocomial pneumonia caused by multidrug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii.

The shortage of effective antibiotics against multidrug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (MDR-Ab) has posed great threat to the public health. But the advent of tigecycline gives us new hope. The goal of our research was to assess the clinical efficacy of tigecycline at different doses by using a pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model which can incorporate pharmacokinetic data of tigecycline from patients with pneumonia and MICs of MDR-Ab from a tertiary hospital. A 10000-patient Monte-Carlo Simulation based on the PK/PD model was conducted to calculate the probability of target attainment (PTA) and the cumulative fraction of response (CFR) of tigecycline. 97% isolates displayed susceptibility and 3% were tigecycline-intermediate strains and the values of MIC ranged from 0.125 to 4 µ g/ml. A CFR of 61.62% was predicted for tigecycline at current dosage (50 mg q12h). When the dosage was increased, the predicted CFRs for 75 mg q12h, 100 mg q12h, 125 mg q12h, 150 mg q12h were 81.00%, 89.86%, and 94.57%, 96.77%, respectively. Despite presented higher susceptibility, the CFR obtained was not optimal at current dosage. A higher CFR indicating a better clinical efficacy can be gained by the increased dosage.