Lessons learned from the fight against COVID-19 in the Great Maghreb.Five lessons for better resilience.

OBJECTIVE: To compile the lessons learned in the Greater Maghreb, during the first six months of the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, in the field of "capacity building" of community resilience. METHODS: An expert consultation was conducted during the first week of May 2020, using the "Delphi" technique. An email was sent requesting the formulation of a lesson, in the form of a "Public Health" good practice recommendation. The final text of the lessons was finalized by the group coordinator and validated by the signatories of the manuscript. RESULTS: A list of five lessons of resilience has been deduced and approved : 1. Elaboration of "white plans" for epidemic management; 2. Training in epidemic management; 3. Uniqueness of the health system command; 4. Mobilization of retirees and volunteers; 5. Revision of the map sanitary. CONCLUSION: Based on the evaluation of the performance of the Maghreb fight against COVID-19, characterized by low resilience, this list of lessons could constitute a roadmap for the reform of Maghreb health systems, towards more performance to manage possible waves of COVID-19 or new emerging diseases with epidemic tendency.

Lessons learned from the fight against COVID-19 in the Great Maghreb. Five lessons for a better response.

OBJECTIVE: Identify the lessons learned in the Greater Maghreb, during the first semester of the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, in the field of response. METHODS: During the first week of May 2020, a consultation of experts was conducted, using the "Delphi" technique, through an email asking each of them, the drafting of a good practice recommendation for "Public health". The Group coordinator finalized the text of the lessons, later validated by the signatories of the manuscript. RESULTS: Five lessons of good «response¼ against epidemics have been deduced and approved by Maghreb experts, linked to the following aspects: 1. Total reservation of hospital beds for patients; 2. Clinical management of the response; 3. Discreet conflict of interest; 4. Community participation in the response; 5. Contextualization of the global fight strategy. CONCLUSION: Based on the finding of low relevance of the Maghreb response against COVID-19, this list of lessons would help support the performance of Maghreb health systems in the management of epidemics.

Mortality in the Great Maghreb (1990-2015): causes of death and trends.

OBJECTIVES: To describe trends of gross and specific mortality rates for all five countries of the Great Maghreb and to identify the typology and the main causes of death during the period 1990-2015. METHODS: This is an observational and descriptive study of causes of death in the Great Maghreb (Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco, Mauritania and Libya) using the database Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). Causes of death were categorized according to the IHME into three categories: "Communicable Diseases", "Non Communicable Diseases" and "Trauma". These following tracer years (1995, 2005, 2015) were considered in the study of global and specific causes of death by country, disease group, sex and age group. RESULTS: During the period 1990-2015, the general trend in gross mortality rates was going down, reaching in 2015 rates that varied from 547/100 000 inhabitants in Tunisia to 437/100 000 inhabitants in Algeria. The trend in specific mortality from Communicable Diseases has been declining, particularly in Mauritania. Among the "Top 10" list of causes of death, four to eight were "Non Communicable Diseases" including ischemic heart disease, which was ranked first in the Maghreb except Mauritania. For children under 5 years old, prematurity was the leading cause of death in the five Maghreb countries in 2015. CONCLUSION: This analysis of causes of death in the Great Maghreb confirmed the similarity of the epidemiological transition and health priorities. Hence the urgency of developing common North African strategies for monitoring, training and intervention in public health.

Epidemiology of malaria and elimination prospects in Maghreb Countries.

BACKGROUND: Faced with the challenges of immigration, the opening of the Trans-Saharan road and the increase in the volume of trade with sub-Saharan Africa, there is a steady increase in the number of malaria cases. An introduction of the disease in the Maghreb is possible. OBJECTIVE: The general objective is to take stock of the epidemiological situation and the malaria control strategy in the Maghreb countries. METHODS: This is a synthesis of data from a literature search on: PubMed (publications), International and national reports (epidemiology and strategies). RESULTS: In 1979, Tunisia became the second Maghreb country to eliminate malaria after Libya (the last local case in 1973). In 1997, when 76 cases were recorded, Morocco embarked on a new national strategy aimed at the elimination of indigenous malaria by the end of 2005. In Algeria, after a phase of control by existence of P. vivax and P. malaria microspheres, the country is in the maintenance phase and no cases were recorded between 2013 and 2016. In Mauritania, even though malaria transmission is generally low, this parasitosis remains a problem public health. And the strategies of struggle and the contribution of scientific research remain below expectations. CONCLUSION: With the exception of Mauritania, the countries of the Great Arab Maghreb have practically eradicated malaria, even though the maintenance phase is underway in Algeria and cases imported from sub-Saharan Africa continue to be registered.

Profile and evolution of the Global Burden of Morbidity in the Maghreb (Tunisia,Morocco, Algeria). The Triple burden of morbidity.

BACKGROUND: The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) is an objective method of measurement of disease disability, allowing the quantification of a population's health status, the identification of its health needs, and the determination of its public health priorities. OBJECTIVES: To document the epidemiological transition in Maghreb countries (Tunisia, Morocco, Algeria) over the past three decades and to identify their priority health problems, which are responsible for a considerable burden of disability. METHODS: This is a data synthesis work of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) global burden of disease, through its project "GBD Compare Data Visualization". Data covering the period from 1990 to 2016, examined the three major categories of health problems "communicable, maternal, neonatal and nutritional diseases", "noncommunicable diseases" and "injuries", as well as the three types of risk: metabolic, environmental / professional and behavioral. RESULTS: Since 1990, cardiovascular diseases have consistently been the leading cause of death in the three Maghreb countries. During the period 1990-2016, and at varying speeds, the positions of communicable and neonatal diseases declined, while noncommunicable diseases (particularly cardiovascular diseases, cancers, mental disorders, diabetes and neurological disorders) increased significantly, to be at the top of the list of components of the global burden of disease.In 2016, road accidents have been ranked eighth in the ranking of the main components of the overall burden of morbidity in Tunisia and Morocco and ninth in Algeria. During the same period, the environmental and behavioral risk factors registered an overall decrease in the three Maghreb countries, in contrast to the metabolic risk factors that experienced a gradual and homogeneous increase in the Greater Maghreb. CONCLUSION: This GBD analysis confirmed the rather old and fairly advanced epidemiological transition in Maghreb countries, leading to a real "triple burden" threatening the stability and sustainability of national health systems. Hence the urgency of supporting the following five projects: the curriculum reform of the faculties of health sciences, the development of the second line of care, the participative management of health services, universal health coverage and the implementation of a comprehensive and integrated strategy for prevention and health promotion.