Cost-effectiveness analysis of first-line treatment for chronic hepatitis B in China.

OBJECTIVES: Hepatitis B virus infection is an important public health problem. We analysed the cost-effectiveness of the first-line therapies, including nucleotide analogues (namely tenofovir alafenamide fumarate (TAF), tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and entecavir) and pegylated interferon (Peg-IFN) for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in China. METHODS: A Markov model describing CHB disease progression was constructed to compare the cost-effectiveness of the first-line therapies, considering both satisfactory (HBeAg seroconversion) and optimal (HBsAg seroclearance) treatment goals. We examined the main outcomes, including cumulative lifetime cost per patient, incremental quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio and net monetary benefit. Uncertainty analysis was conducted to identify key influential parameters. RESULTS: Compared with the baseline strategy, Peg-IFN had the highest QALY gain for HBeAg-positive (HBeAg+) CHB patients achieving a satisfactory goal and an optimal goal (3.19 and 6.32 respectively), and TDF was the most cost-effective therapy for HBeAg-negative CHB patients ($1418/QALY) achieving a satisfactory goal. Among nucleotide analogues, TAF was the most-effective strategy and had higher acceptability to achieve an optimal goal in the Eastern region of China (under 1 x GDP per capita threshold). CONCLUSIONS: Among nucleotide analogues, TDF was the most cost-effective treatment in China for CHB patients to achieve satisfactory and optimal treatment goals, whereas TAF was cost-effective and more effective in the wealthier region. Peg-IFN was most cost-effective among HBeAg+ CHB patients to achieve both goals, with better clinical outcomes. Our findings also indicate the importance of regular monitoring during and after CHB treatment, and could inform treatment strategies in China and other countries.

Treatment for Severe Lupus Nephritis: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis in China.

Background: Lupus nephritis (LN) is the most common secondary glomerular diseases that will cause end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and renal-related death. The cost-effectiveness of various treatments for LN recommended by official guidelines has not been investigated in China. Our study is to evaluate clinical prognosis and cost-effectiveness of the current treatments for severe LN. Methods: A Markov model was simulated for 1,000 LN patients of 30 years old, over a 3-years and 30-years lifetime horizon respectively. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of six therapeutic strategies from a societal perspective, with cyclophosphamide (CYC) or mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) induction therapy followed by CYC, MMF or azathioprine (AZA) maintenance therapy. Main outcomes included quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and clinical prognosis. One and three times gross domestic product (GDP) per capita were used as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds. We also carried out sensitivity analysis under a lifetime horizon. Results: Compared with the baseline strategy of CYC induction and maintenance, for a 3-years horizon the most cost-effective strategy was CYC induction and AZA maintenance with $448 per QALY gained, followed by MMF induction and AZA maintenance which however was not cost-effective under the one times GDP per capita WTP threshold. For a lifetime horizon, CYC induction and AZA maintenance remained the most cost-effective strategy but MMF induction and maintenance became cost-effective under the one times GDP per capita WTP threshold and achieved a higher complete remission rate (57.2 versus 48.9%) and lower risks of ESRD (3.3 versus 5.8%) and all-cause mortality (36.0 versus 40.8%). The risk of developing ESRD during maintenance was the most influential parameter affecting ICER. Conclusions: The strategy of CYC induction followed by AZA maintenance was the most cost-effective strategy in China for short-term treatment, while the strategy of MMF in both induction and maintenance became cost-effective and yielded more desirable clinical outcomes for lifetime treatment. The uncertainty analysis supported the need for monitoring the progression to ESRD.