Cost-effectiveness and resource implications of aggressive action on tuberculosis in China, India, and South Africa: a combined analysis of nine models.

BACKGROUND: The post-2015 End TB Strategy sets global targets of reducing tuberculosis incidence by 50% and mortality by 75% by 2025. We aimed to assess resource requirements and cost-effectiveness of strategies to achieve these targets in China, India, and South Africa. METHODS: We examined intervention scenarios developed in consultation with country stakeholders, which scaled up existing interventions to high but feasible coverage by 2025. Nine independent modelling groups collaborated to estimate policy outcomes, and we estimated the cost of each scenario by synthesising service use estimates, empirical cost data, and expert opinion on implementation strategies. We estimated health effects (ie, disability-adjusted life-years averted) and resource implications for 2016-35, including patient-incurred costs. To assess resource requirements and cost-effectiveness, we compared scenarios with a base case representing continued current practice. FINDINGS: Incremental tuberculosis service costs differed by scenario and country, and in some cases they more than doubled existing funding needs. In general, expansion of tuberculosis services substantially reduced patient-incurred costs and, in India and China, produced net cost savings for most interventions under a societal perspective. In all three countries, expansion of access to care produced substantial health gains. Compared with current practice and conventional cost-effectiveness thresholds, most intervention approaches seemed highly cost-effective. INTERPRETATION: Expansion of tuberculosis services seems cost-effective for high-burden countries and could generate substantial health and economic benefits for patients, although substantial new funding would be required. Further work to determine the optimal intervention mix for each country is necessary. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

The need to accelerate access to new drugs for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis.

Approximately half a million people are thought to develop multidrug-resistant tuberculosis annually. Barely 20% of these people currently receive recommended treatment and only about 10% are successfully treated. Poor access to treatment is probably driving the current epidemic, via ongoing transmission. Treatment scale-up is hampered by current treatment regimens, which are lengthy, expensive, poorly tolerated and difficult to administer in the settings where most patients reside. Although new drugs provide an opportunity to improve treatment regimens, current and planned clinical trials hold little promise for developing regimens that will facilitate prompt treatment scale-up. In this article we argue that clinical trials, while necessary, should be complemented by timely, large-scale, operational research that will provide programmatic data on the use of new drugs and regimens while simultaneously improving access to life-saving treatment. Perceived risks - such as the rapid development of resistance to new drugs - need to be balanced against the high levels of mortality and transmission that will otherwise persist. Doubling access to treatment and increasing treatment success could save approximately a million lives over the next decade.

On estime à un demi-million le nombre de personnes qui contractent chaque année la tuberculose multirésistante. De nos jours, à peine 20% d'entre elles reçoivent le traitement recommandé, et seulement 10% environ sont traitées avec succès. L'accès limité au traitement est probablement responsable de l'épidémie actuelle qui se propage par une transmission continue. L'amélioration de l'accès au traitement est freinée par les schémas thérapeutiques actuels, lesquels sont très longs, chers, mal tolérés et difficiles à gérer dans les régions où résident la plupart des patients. Bien que de nouveaux médicaments permettent d'améliorer les schémas thérapeutiques, les essais cliniques actuels et prévus ne laissent que peu d'espoir quant au développement de schémas qui favoriseraient l'amélioration rapide de l'accès au traitement. Dans cet article, nous soutenons que les essais cliniques sont certes nécessaires, mais qu'ils doivent être accompagnés d'une recherche opérationnelle de grande ampleur effectuée en temps voulu. Cette recherche permettrait d'obtenir des données programmatiques sur l'utilisation des nouveaux médicaments et schémas tout en améliorant l'accès à un traitement pouvant sauver des vies. Les risques perçus ­ tels que le développement rapide d'une résistance aux nouveaux médicaments ­ doivent être mis en balance avec les taux élevés de mortalité et de transmission qui se maintiendraient sans cela. Doubler l'accès au traitement et accroître son efficacité permettrait de sauver environ un million de vies au cours de la décennie à venir.

Se estima que alrededor de 500.000 personas al año desarrollan tuberculosis multirresistente. Apenas el 20% de estas personas recibe un tratamiento recomendado y solo el 10% se somete a un tratamiento eficaz. Probablemente la epidemia actual, a través de la transmisión continua, se deba al escaso acceso al tratamiento. La ampliación del tratamiento se ve obstaculizada por los regímenes terapéuticos actuales, que son prolongados, caros, producen intolerancia y son complicados de administrar en los lugares donde residen los pacientes. A pesar de que los nuevos fármacos son una oportunidad de mejorar los regímenes terapéuticos, los ensayos clínicos actuales y planificados no ofrecen demasiadas esperanzas para desarrollar regímenes que faciliten una ampliación del tratamiento a corto plazo. En este artículo sostenemos que los ensayos clínicos, mientras sea necesario, deberían ir acompañados de una investigación operativa oportuna a gran escala que proporcione información programática sobre el uso de los nuevos fármacos y regímenes, mientras mejora el acceso a un tratamiento que salvará vidas. Los riesgos, como el rápido desarrollo de la resistencia a nuevos fármacos, deberían equilibrarse frente a los altos niveles de mortalidad y transmisión que, de otro modo, continuarán existiendo. Duplicar el acceso al tratamiento y aumentar su éxito podría salvar alrededor de un millón de vidas en la próxima década.

Access to new medications for the treatment of drug-resistant tuberculosis: patient, provider and community perspectives.

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is on the rise, and is difficult to treat. The approval of two new drugs, bedaquiline and delamanid, and growing evidence for the use of linezolid, offer renewed hope for addressing MDR-TB. However, access to these medicines remains a significant challenge. These drugs have not been registered for TB in most settings; barriers to preapproval access persist; and high pricing and intellectual property restrictions limit access. Many unanswered research questions about optimal use of these drugs also limit access, particularly for vulnerable populations. This review outlines challenges in accessing drugs encountered from the perspective of clinicians, patients and affected communities, and offers potential solutions.