Quantifying lead-attributable cardiovascular disease burden in the United States.

Lead exposure has been linked to a myriad of cardiovascular diseases. Utilizing data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study, we quantified age-standardized lead exposure-related mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in the United States between 1990 and 2019. Our analysis revealed a substantial reduction in age-standardized cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality attributable to lead exposure by 60 % (from 7.4 to 2.9 per 100,000), along with a concurrent decrease in age-standardized CVD DALYs by 66 % (from 143.2 to 48.7 per 100,000).

Sex-specific heart failure burden across the United States: Global burden of disease 1990-2019.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) has unique aspects that vary by biological sex. Thus, understanding sex-specific trends of HF in the US population is crucial to develop targeted interventions. We aimed to analyze the burden of HF in female and male patients across the US, from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: Using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study data from 2019, we performed an analysis of the burden of HF from 1990-2019, across US states and regions. The GBD defined HF through studies that used symptom-based criteria and expressed the burden of HF as the age-adjusted prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) rates per 100,000 individuals. RESULTS: The age-adjusted prevalence of HF for the US in 2019 was 926.2 (95% UI [799.6, 1,079.0]) for females and 1,291.2 (95% UI [1,104.1, 1,496.8]) for males. Notably, our findings also highlight cyclic fluctuations in HF prevalence over time, with peaks occurring in the mid-1990s and around 2010, while reaching their lowest points in around 2000 and 2018. Among individuals >70 years of age, the absolute number of individuals with HF was higher in females, and this age group doubled the absolute count between 1990 and 2019. Comparing 1990-1994 to 2015-2019, 10 states had increased female HF prevalence, while only 4 states increased male prevalence. Overall, Western states had the greatest relative decline in HF burden, in both sexes. CONCLUSION: The burden of HF in the US is high, although the magnitude of this burden varies according to age, sex, state, and region. There is a significant increase in the absolute number of individuals with HF, especially among women >70 years, expected to continue due to the aging population.

Risk Calculator to Predict 30-Day Readmission After Coronary Artery Bypass: A Strategic Decision Support Tool.

BACKGROUND: Re-admission is an important source of patient dissatisfaction and increased hospital costs. A simple calculator to determine the probability of re-admission may help guide patient dismissal planning. METHODS: Using the national readmissions database (NRD), we identified admissions for isolated primary coronary artery bypass (CABG) and stratified them according to 30-day readmission. Including pre, intra and postoperative variables, we prepared a logistic regression model to determine the probability for re-admission. The model was tested for reliability with boot-strapping and 10-fold cross-validation. RESULTS: From 135,699 procedures, 19,355 were readmitted at least once within 30days of dismissal. Patients who were readmitted were older (67±10 vs 65 ± 10 years, p<0.01), females (32% vs 24%; p<0.01) and had a higher Elixhauser comorbidity score (1.5±1.4 vs 1.1±1.2; p<0.01). Our final model (c- statistic=0.65) consisted of 16 pre and three postoperative factors. End-stage renal disease (OR 1.79 [1.57-2.04]) and length of stay>9days (OR 1.60 [1.52-1.68]) were most prominent indicators for readmission. Compared to Medicaid beneficiaries, those with private insurance (OR 0.62 [0.57-0.68]) and Medicare (OR 0.85 [0.79-0.92]) coverage were less likely to be readmitted. CONCLUSIONS: Our simple 30-days CABG readmission calculator can be used as a strategic tool to help reduce readmissions after coronary artery bypass surgery.