Cost-effectiveness of nivolumab and ipilimumab versus pembrolizumab and axitinib in advanced renal cell carcinoma with intermediate or poor prognostic risk: a Brazilian private healthcare system perspective.

OBJECTIVE: Nivolumab plus ipilimumab (NIVO + IPI) and pembrolizumab plus axitinib (PEM + AXI) have demonstrated significant clinical benefits as first-line (1 L) treatments for intermediate/poor-risk advanced renal cell carcinoma (aRCC) patients. This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of NIVO + IPI versus PEM + AXI from a Brazilian private healthcare system perspective, utilizing a novel approach to estimate comparative efficacy between the treatments. METHODS: A three-state partitioned survival model (progression-free, progressed, and death) was developed to estimate costs, life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), and the incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) over a 40-year time horizon. In the absence of head-to-head comparisons between NIVO + IPI and PEM + AXI, clinical data for NIVO + IPI was obtained from CheckMate 214 (NCT02231749) and for PEM + AXI from KEYNOTE-426 (NCT02853331). A matching-adjusted indirect comparison was conducted to account for the imbalance of treatment effect modifiers between the trials. Patient characteristics, resource use, health state utilities, and costs were based on Brazilian-specific sources. Costs and health outcomes were both discounted by 5% annually in line with Brazilian guidelines. The robustness of the results was evaluated through extensive sensitivity analysis and scenario analyses. RESULTS: When comparing the matched versus unmatched OS, PFS, and TTD curves there was no noteworthy difference. NIVO + IPI was associated with cost savings (R$ 350,232), higher LYs (5.54 vs. 4.61), and QALYs (4.74 vs. 3.76) versus PEM + AXI, resulting in NIVO + IPI dominating PEM + AXI. Key model drivers were the treatment duration for PEM, NIVO, and AXI. NIVO + IPI remained dominant in all scenario analyses, which indicated that model results were robust to alternative modelling inputs or assumptions. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis shows that NIVO + IPI is estimated to be a life-extending and potentially cost-saving 1 L treatment option when compared with PEM + AXI for intermediate/poor-risk a RCC patients in the Brazilian private healthcare system.

Immunotherapy-based first-line treatment of intermediate- and poor-risk advanced renal cell carcinoma: number needed to treat and cost of preventing an event from the perspective of the Brazilian private healthcare system / Tratamento baseado em imunoterapia para primeira linha do carcinoma renal avançado com risco intermediário ou alto: número necessário a tratar e custo para prevenir um evento na perspectiva do sistema privado de saúde brasileiro

Objective: To perform an analysis over time of the number needed to treat (NNT) and the cost of preventing an event (COPE) for nivolumab + ipilimumab (NIVO+IPI) and pembrolizumab + axitinib (PEMBRO+AXI) as first-line treatments for advanced renal cell carcinoma patients with intermediate or poor-risk, under the Brazilian private healthcare system perspective. Methods: The NNT for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) from 12-month to maximum available follow-up from CheckMate 214 and KEYNOTE-426 studies were used to estimate the COPE. Treatment costs were estimated considering the labeled dosing and median PFS as a proxy for treatment duration. Results: The OS NNT for NIVO+IPI decreased from 12 to 8 and for PEMBRO+AXI increased slightly from 7 to 8 at 12 and 42 months, respectively. For PFS, NNT for NIVO+IPI decreased from 15 to 6, and for PEMBRO+AXI increased from 7 to 10 at 12 and 30 months. The estimated treatment cost is R$ 638,620 for an estimated median of 11.2 months of NIVO+IPI treatment and R$ 966,818 for 13.8 months of PEMBRO+AXI treatment. COPE for OS at 12 and 42 months was R$ 7,663,440 and R$ 5,108,960 with NIVO+IPI and R$ 6,047,417 and R$ 7,734,547 with PEMBRO+AXI. For PFS, COPE at 12 and 30 months was R$ 9,579,300 and R$ 3,831,720 with NIVO+IPI and R$ 6,047,417 and R$ 9,668,184 with PEMBRO+AXI. Conclusions: Treatment with NIVO+IPI results in lower COPE than PEMBRO+AXI from month 18 onwards, driven by lower treatment costs and improved NNT over time with NIVO+IPI

Objetivo: Analisar ao longo do tempo o número necessário a tratar (NNT) e o custo para prevenir um evento (COPE) para nivolumabe + ipilimumabe (NIVO+IPI) e pembrolizumabe + axitinibe (PEMBRO+AXI) na primeira linha de tratamento do carcinoma de células renais avançado com risco intermediário ou alto na perspectiva do sistema suplementar de saúde brasileiro. Métodos: O NNT para sobrevida global (SG) e sobrevida livre de progressão (SLP) para 12 meses até o máximo de tempo de seguimento disponível dos estudos CheckMate 214 e KEYNOTE-426 foi usado para estimar o COPE. Custos de tratamento foram estimados considerando a dosagem em bula e a mediana de SLP como aproximação para duração de tratamento. Resultados: O NNT de SG para NIVO+IPI reduziu de 12 para 8 e para PEMBRO+AXI subiu de 7 para 8 em 12 e 42 meses, respectivamente. Para SLP, NIVO+IPI teve redução de 15 para 6 e para PEMBRO+AXI aumentou de 7 para 10 em 12 e 30 meses. O custo estimado é de R$ 638.620 para mediana de 11,2 meses de tratamento com NIVO+IPI e de R$ 966.818 para 13,8 meses com PEMBRO+AXI. O COPE para SG foi de R$ 7.663.440 e R$ 5.108.960 com NIVO+IPI e de R$ 6.047.417 e R$ 7.734.547 com PEMBRO+AXI para 12 e 42 meses. Para SLP, foi de R$ 9.579.300 e R$ 3.831.720 com NIVO+IPI e de R$ 6.047.417 e R$ 9.668.184 com PEMBRO+AXI em 12 e 30 meses. Conclusões: O tratamento com NIVO+IPI resulta em menor COPE, em comparação com PEMBRO+AXI, a partir de 18 meses de seguimento, justificado por menor custo de tratamento e melhora do NNT ao longo do tempo com NIVO+IPI