Risk factors affecting patients survival with colorectal cancer in Morocco: survival analysis using an interpretable machine learning approach.

The aim of our study was to assess the overall survival rates for colorectal cancer at 3 years and to identify associated strong prognostic factors among patients in Morocco through an interpretable machine learning approach. This approach is based on a fully non-parametric survival random forest (RSF), incorporating variable importance and partial dependence effects. The data was povided from a retrospective study of 343 patients diagnosed and followed at Hassan II University Hospital. Covariate selection was performed using the variable importance based on permutation and partial dependence plots were displayed to explore in depth the relationship between the estimated partial effect of a given predictor and survival rates. The predictive performance was measured by two metrics, the Concordance Index (C-index) and the Brier Score (BS). Overall survival rates at 1, 2 and 3 years were, respectively, 87% (SE = 0.02; CI-95% 0.84-0.91), 77% (SE = 0.02; CI-95% 0.73-0.82) and 60% (SE = 0.03; CI-95% 0.54-0.66). In the Cox model after adjustment for all covariates, sex, tumor differentiation had no significant effect on prognosis, but rather tumor site had a significant effect. The variable importance obtained from RSF strengthens that surgery, stage, insurance, residency, and age were the most important prognostic factors. The discriminative capacity of the Cox PH and RSF was, respectively, 0.771 and 0.798 for the C-index while the accuracy of the Cox PH and RSF was, respectively, 0.257 and 0.207 for the BS. This shows that RSF had both better discriminative capacity and predictive accuracy. Our results show that patients who are older than 70, living in rural areas, without health insurance, at a distant stage and who have not had surgery constitute a subgroup of patients with poor prognosis.

Management of Chronic Kidney Disease in Morocco: A Cost-of-Illness Study.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a global public health problem. The aim of this study is to estimate the mean annual direct medical cost per patient with CKD before the start of renal replacement therapy (RRT) in Morocco. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional cost-of-illness study, using a prevalence approach among adults with CKD before RRT in a Moroccan university hospital. Information on direct medical costs was collected from the patient's report and associated costs were estimated according to national tariff/fee catalogues. We computed annual direct medical costs using society perspective. Costs were then estimated and compared according to CKD stages, health insurance categories, and monthly income. RESULTS: Eighty-eight participants were included; 63.6% of them were female, their mean age was 61.8±14.0 years, and 76.1% were in stages 4 or 5. The estimated annual direct medical cost of CKD was estimated at $ 2008.80 (95%CI 1528.28-2489.31), Hospitalization, diagnosis, and treatment represented the main expenses of the direct medical cost (32.2%, 29.7%, and 32.2%, respectively). The direct medical cost components were not significantly different between CKD stages. CONCLUSION: The cost of CKD in Morocco in its early stages is still lower than the cost of RRT, which brings to light the necessity of secondary prevention of CKD to postpone or prevent the progression to end-stage renal disease.

Inventory on the dietary assessment tools available and needed in africa: a prerequisite for setting up a common methodological research infrastructure for nutritional surveillance, research, and prevention of diet-related non-communicable diseases.

OBJECTIVE: To carry out an inventory on the availability, challenges, and needs of dietary assessment (DA) methods in Africa as a pre-requisite to provide evidence, and set directions (strategies) for implementing common dietary methods and support web-research infrastructure across countries. METHODS: The inventory was performed within the framework of the "Africa's Study on Physical Activity and Dietary Assessment Methods" (AS-PADAM) project. It involves international institutional and African networks. An inventory questionnaire was developed and disseminated through the networks. Eighteen countries responded to the dietary inventory questionnaire. RESULTS: Various DA tools were reported in Africa; 24-Hour Dietary Recall and Food Frequency Questionnaire were the most commonly used tools. Few tools were validated and tested for reliability. Face-to-face interview was the common method of administration. No computerized software or other new (web) technologies were reported. No tools were standardized across countries. CONCLUSIONS: The lack of comparable DA methods across represented countries is a major obstacle to implement comprehensive and joint nutrition-related programmes for surveillance, programme evaluation, research, and prevention. There is a need to develop new or adapt existing DA methods across countries by employing related research infrastructure that has been validated and standardized in other settings, with the view to standardizing methods for wider use.

Development of an international scale of socio-economic position based on household assets.

BACKGROUND: The importance of studying associations between socio-economic position and health has often been highlighted. Previous studies have linked the prevalence and severity of lung disease with national wealth and with socio-economic position within some countries but there has been no systematic evaluation of the association between lung function and poverty at the individual level on a global scale. The BOLD study has collected data on lung function for individuals in a wide range of countries, however a barrier to relating this to personal socio-economic position is the need for a suitable measure to compare individuals within and between countries. In this paper we test a method for assessing socio-economic position based on the scalability of a set of durable assets (Mokken scaling), and compare its usefulness across countries of varying gross national income per capita. RESULTS: Ten out of 15 candidate asset questions included in the questionnaire were found to form a Mokken type scale closely associated with GNI per capita (Spearman's rank rs = 0.91, p = 0.002). The same set of assets conformed to a scale in 7 out of the 8 countries, the remaining country being Saudi Arabia where most respondents owned most of the assets. There was good consistency in the rank ordering of ownership of the assets in the different countries (Cronbach's alpha = 0.96). Scores on the Mokken scale were highly correlated with scores developed using principal component analysis (rs = 0.977). CONCLUSIONS: Mokken scaling is a potentially valuable tool for uncovering links between disease and socio-economic position within and between countries. It provides an alternative to currently used methods such as principal component analysis for combining personal asset data to give an indication of individuals' relative wealth. Relative strengths of the Mokken scale method were considered to be ease of interpretation, adaptability for comparison with other datasets, and reliability of imputation for even quite large proportions of missing values.

Adherence to a Mediterranean diet in Morocco and its correlates: cross-sectional analysis of a sample of the adult Moroccan population.

BACKGROUND: Dietary habits in Morocco are changing and the causes are not well understood. This study aimed to analyse socio-demographic factors associated with adherence to the Mediterranean diet (MeDi) in a national random sample of the adult Moroccan population. METHODS: The data collected in this cross-sectional survey included socio-demographic factors and a food frequency questionnaire. MeDi adherence was assessed in 2214 individuals with complete dietary data. MeDi adherence was measured according to a simplified MeDi score based on the weekly frequency of intake of eight food groups (vegetables, legumes, fruits, cereal or potatoes, fish, red meat, dairy products and olive oil) with the use of the sex specific medians of the sample as cut-offs. A value of 0 or 1 was assigned to consumption of each component according to its presumed detrimental or beneficial effect on health. Logistic regression was used to estimate the association between MeDi adherence (low score 1-4 vs. high 5-8) and other factors. RESULTS: Mean age of the sample was 41.4 (standard deviation 15.3) years, 45.4% were men and 29.9% had a low MeDi adherence. Married subjects (adjusted odds ratio ORa=0.68, 95% CI 0.55-0.84) were less likely to have a low MeDi adherence compared to single, divorced or widowed persons. Persons from rural areas (ORa=1.46, 95% CI: 1.02-2.08), were more often low MeDi adherents compared to those from urban areas. Obese persons (ORa=1.56, 95% CI: 1.16-2.11) were more prone to low MeDi adherence than normal weight individuals. CONCLUSION: MeDi is far from being a universal pattern in the Moroccan population. Intervention strategies should be implemented in target groups to maintain the traditional MeDi pattern considered as the original diet in Morocco.