Cardiorenal effectiveness of empagliflozin vs. glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists: final-year results from the EMPRISE study.

BACKGROUND: No randomized clinical trials have directly compared the cardiorenal effectiveness of empagliflozin and GLP-1RA agents with demonstrated cardioprotective effects in patients with a broad spectrum of cardiovascular risk. We reported the final-year results of the EMPRISE study, a monitoring program designed to evaluate the cardiorenal effectiveness of empagliflozin across broad patient subgroups. METHODS: We identified patients ≥ 18 years old with type 2 diabetes who initiated empagliflozin or GLP-1RA from 2014 to 2019 using US Medicare and commercial claims databases. After 1:1 propensity score matching using 143 baseline characteristics, we evaluated risks of outcomes including myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke, hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE - MI, stroke, or cardiovascular mortality), a composite of HHF or cardiovascular mortality, and progression to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) (in patients with chronic kidney disease stages 3-4). We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and rate differences (RD) per 1,000 person-years, overall and within subgroups of age, sex, baseline atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and heart failure (HF). RESULTS: We identified 141,541 matched pairs. Compared with GLP-1RA, empagliflozin was associated with similar risks of MI or stroke [HR: 0.99 (0.92, 1.07); RD: -0.23 (-1.25, 0.79)], and lower risks of HHF [HR: 0.50 (0.44, 0.56); RD: -2.28 (-2.98, -1.59)], MACE [HR: 0.90 (0.82, 0.99); RD: -2.54 (-4.76, -0.32)], cardiovascular mortality or HHF [HR: 0.77 (0.69, 0.86); RD: -4.11 (-5.95, -2.29)], and ESKD [0.75 (0.60, 0.94); RD: -6.77 (-11.97, -1.61)]. Absolute risk reductions were larger in older patients and in those with baseline ASCVD/HF. They did not differ by sex. CONCLUSIONS: The cardiovascular benefits of empagliflozin vs. cardioprotective GLP-1RA agents were larger in older patients and in patients with history of ASCVD or HF, while they did not differ by sex. In patients with advanced CKD, empagliflozin was associated with risk reductions of progression to ESKD.

Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors vs. sitagliptin in heart failure and type 2 diabetes: an observational cohort study.

AIMS: The effectiveness of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) in patients with heart failure (HF) in routine clinical practice is not extensively studied. This study aimed to evaluate the comparative effectiveness of SGLT2i vs. sitagliptin in older adults with HF and type 2 diabetes and to investigate whether there were any differences between agents within the SGLT2i class or for reduced and preserved ejection fraction. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using Medicare claims data (April 2013 to December 2019), 16 253 SGLT2i initiators vs. 43 352 initiators of sitagliptin aged ≥65 years with type 2 diabetes and HF were included. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality, hospitalization for HF or urgent visit requiring intravenous diuretics; secondary outcomes included its individual components. Propensity score fine stratification weighted Cox regression was used to adjust for 100 pre-exposure characteristics. Mean age was 74 years; 49.8% were women. Initiation of SGLT2i vs. sitagliptin was associated with a lower risk of the primary composite outcome [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.72; 95% confidence interval 0.67-0.77]. The adjusted HRs were 0.70 (0.63-0.78) for all-cause mortality, 0.64 (0.58-0.70) for hospitalization for HF, and 0.77 (0.69-0.86) for urgent visit requiring intravenous diuretics. Similar associations with the primary composite outcome were observed for all three agents within the SGLT2i class, for reduced and preserved ejection fraction, and subgroups based on demographics, comorbidities, and other HF treatments. Bias-calibrated HRs for the primary endpoint using negative and positive control outcomes ranged between 0.81 and 0.89, suggesting that the observed benefit could not be fully explained by residual confounding. CONCLUSION: In routine US clinical practice, SGLT2i demonstrated robust clinical effectiveness in older adults with HF and type 2 diabetes compared with sitagliptin, with no evidence of heterogeneity across the SGLT2i class or across ejection fraction.

Association of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors With Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Older Adults With Type 2 Diabetes.

Importance: Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2is) have demonstrated many cardiovascular and kidney function benefits for patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, the results of SGLT-2i use in primary prevention of atrial fibrillation (AF) were inconsistent in clinical trials, and incident AF was not a prespecified end point. Objective: To examine incident AF with initiation of an SGLT-2i compared with initiation of a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (DPP-4i) or a glucagonlike peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) among older adults (aged ≥66 years) with T2D in routine clinical practice. Design, Setting, and Participants: A population-based new-user cohort study included older adults with T2D who had no history of AF and were enrolled in Medicare fee-for-service from April 1, 2013, to December 31, 2018. Data analysis was performed from June 28 to December 1, 2021. Exposures: To control for potential confounding, new users of SGLT-2i were 1:1 propensity score (PS)-matched to new users of DPP-4is or GLP-1RAs in 2 pairwise comparisons based on 138 baseline covariates. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident AF, defined as an inpatient diagnosis code for AF. Hazard ratios (HRs) and rate differences (RDs) per 1000 person-years, with their 95% CIs, were estimated in the PS-matched groups. Results: New users of SGLT-2is were 1:1 PS-matched to new users of a DPP-4i (n = 74 868) or GLP-1RA (n = 80 475). Overall, the mean (SD) age of study participants was 72 (5) years, and 165 984 were women (53.4%). The risk of incident AF was lower in the SGLT-2i group than the matched DPP-4i group (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.76 to 0.89; RD, -3.7; 95% CI, -5.2 to -2.2 per 1000 person-years) or the matched GLP-1RA group (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83 to 0.98; RD, -1.8; 95% CI, -3.2 to -0.3 per 1000 person-years). Results were consistent across several sensitivity and subgroup analyses. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that the initiation of an SGLT-2i was associated with a reduced risk of incident AF compared with a DPP-4i or GLP-1RA. The results may be helpful when weighing the potential risks and benefits of various glucose level-lowering agents in older adults with T2D.

Comparative Effectiveness of Empagliflozin vs Liraglutide or Sitagliptin in Older Adults With Diverse Patient Characteristics.

Importance: Limited evidence is available on the comparative effectiveness of empagliflozin vs alternative second-line glucose-lowering agents in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) receiving routine care who have a broad spectrum of cardiorenal risk. Objective: To evaluate the association of empagliflozin with cardiovascular outcomes relative to liraglutide and sitagliptin, stratified by age, sex, baseline atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), heart failure (HF), and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective comparative effectiveness cohort study used deidentified Medicare claims data from August 1, 2014, to September 30, 2018, with follow-up from drug initiation until treatment changes, death, or gap in Medicare enrollment (>30 days). Data analysis was performed from October 1, 2021, to April 30, 2022. Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries older than 65 years with T2D were included. A total of 45 788 patients (22 894 propensity score-matched pairs initiating treatment with either empagliflozin or liraglutide) were included in cohort 1, and 45 624 patients (22 812 propensity score-matched pairs initiating treatment with either empagliflozin or sitagliptin) were included in cohort 2. Exposures: Empagliflozin vs liraglutide (cohort 1) or empagliflozin vs sitagliptin (cohort 2). Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes were (1) modified major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), including a composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, and all-cause mortality, and (2) hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). Hazard ratios (HRs) and rate differences (RDs) per 1000 person-years were estimated, adjusting for 143 baseline covariates using 1:1 propensity score matching. Results: Among 45 788 patients in cohort 1, the mean (SD) age was 71.9 (5.1) years; 23 396 patients (51.1%) were female, 22 392 (48.9%) were male, and 38 049 (83.1%) were White. Among 45 624 patients in cohort 2, the mean (SD) age was 72.1 (5.1) years; 21 418 patients (46.9%) were female, 24 206 (53.1%) were male, and 37 814 (82.9%) were White. Relative to patients initiating liraglutide, those initiating empagliflozin had a similar risk of the modified MACE outcome (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.79-1.03) and a reduced risk of HHF (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.52-0.82). Across subgroups, empagliflozin was associated with a lower risk of the modified MACE outcome in patients with a history of ASCVD (HR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.71-0.98) and HF (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.60-1.00) compared with liraglutide, and potential heterogeneity in estimates was observed by sex (male: HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.71-1.01]; female: HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 0.94-1.42]; P = .02 for homogeneity). However, reductions in the risk of HHF were observed across most subgroups (eg, ASCVD: HR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.51-0.85]; HF: HR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.49-0.88]). Compared with sitagliptin, empagliflozin was associated with reduced risks of the modified MACE outcome (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.60-0.77) and HHF (HR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.36-0.56), which were consistent across all subgroups. Absolute benefits of empagliflozin vs sitagliptin were larger in patients with a history of ASCVD (modified MACE: RD, -17.6 [95% CI, -24.9 to -10.4]; HHF: RD, -16.7 [95% CI, -21.7 to -11.9]), HF (modified MACE: RD, -41.1 [95% CI, -59.9 to -22.6]; HHF: RD, -50.4 [95% CI, -67.5 to -33.9]), or CKD (modified MACE: RD, -26.7 [95% CI, -41.3 to -12.3]; HHF: RD, -31.9 [95% CI, -43.5 to -20.8]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this comparative effectiveness study of older adults, empagliflozin was associated with a lower risk of HHF (relative to both liraglutide and sitagliptin) and the modified MACE outcome (relative to sitagliptin), with larger absolute benefits in patients with established cardiorenal diseases. These findings suggest that older adults with T2D might benefit more from empagliflozin vs liraglutide or sitagliptin with respect to the risk of HHF; with respect to the risk of MACEs, empagliflozin might be preferable to liraglutide only in patients with cardiovascular disease history and to sitagliptin across all patient subgroups.

Comparative effectiveness of Empagliflozin in reducing the burden of recurrent cardiovascular hospitalizations among older adults with diabetes in routine clinical care.

BACKGROUND: The effect of sodium glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) on the total (first and recurrent) burden of cardiovascular (CV) hospitalizations, including hospitalization for heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke, is poorly understood. OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of empagliflozin, an SGLT2i, on total CV hospitalizations among older adults with T2D. METHODS: Using data from Medicare fee-for-service (08/2014-09/2017), we identified 1:1 propensity score-matched cohorts of patients with T2D initiating empagliflozin versus sitagliptin or empagliflozin versus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), balancing >140 baseline covariates. We compared the risk of first and recurrent hospitalizations with any CV condition as the primary discharge diagnosis (ICD-9: 390-459; ICD-10: I00-I99), hospitalizations for heart failure (HHF), and myocardial infarctions (MI) or stroke. We estimated treatment effects based on the Ghosh-Lin semiparametric model for recurrent events as primary and joint frailty model as secondary analysis. RESULTS: We included 11,429 matched-pairs of empagliflozin and sitagliptin initiators and 17,502 matched-pairs of empagliflozin and GLP1-RA initiators with an average age of 72 years. Empagliflozin was associated with a reduced risk of total CV hospitalizations (0.80 [0.69-0.93] vs sitagliptin; 0.88 [0.77-1.00] vs GLP-1RA) and total HHF (0.70 [0.51-0.98] vs sitagliptin; 0.76 [0.56-1.03] vs GLP1-RA) over a mean follow up of 6.3 months. No differences between treatments were observed for MI or stroke. Results were consistent for joint frailty models. CONCLUSION: Empagliflozin, compared to sitagliptin or to a lesser extent GLP1-RA, was associated with a reduction in the burden of total CV hospitalizations and HHF in older patients with T2D.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors Versus Glucagon-like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists and the Risk for Cardiovascular Outcomes in Routine Care Patients With Diabetes Across Categories of Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND: Both sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) have shown cardiovascular benefits in placebo-controlled trials of patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and established cardiovascular disease (CVD). OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 RAs are associated with differential cardiovascular benefit among T2D patients with and without CVD. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Medicare and 2 U.S. commercial claims data sets (April 2013 to December 2017). PARTICIPANTS: 1:1 propensity score-matched adult T2D patients with and without CVD (52 901 and 133 139 matched pairs) initiating SGLT2 inhibitor versus GLP-1 RA therapy. MEASUREMENTS: Primary outcomes were myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke hospitalization and hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and rate differences (RDs) per 1000 person-years were estimated, with 95% CIs, controlling for 138 preexposure covariates. RESULTS: The initiation of SGLT2 inhibitor versus GLP-1 RA therapy was associated with a slightly lower risk for MI or stroke in patients with CVD (HR, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.82 to 0.98]; RD, -2.47 [CI, -4.45 to -0.50]) but similar risk in those without CVD (HR, 1.07 [CI, 0.97 to 1.18]; RD, 0.38 [CI, -0.30 to 1.07]). The initiation of SGLT2 inhibitor versus GLP-1 RA therapy was associated with reductions in HHF risk regardless of baseline CVD in patients with CVD (HR, 0.71 [CI, 0.64 to 0.79]; RD, -4.97 [CI, -6.55 to -3.39]) and in those without CVD (HR, 0.69 [CI, 0.56 to 0.85]; RD, -0.58 [CI, -0.91 to -0.25]). LIMITATION: Treatment selection was not randomized. CONCLUSION: Use of SGLT2 inhibitors versus GLP-1 RAs was associated with consistent reductions in HHF risk among T2D patients with and without CVD, although the absolute benefit was greater in patients with CVD. There were no large differences in risk for MI or stroke among T2D patients with and without CVD. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School.

Medicaid Expansion and Utilization of Antihyperglycemic Therapies.

OBJECTIVE: Certain antihyperglycemic therapies modify cardiovascular and kidney outcomes among patients with type 2 diabetes, but early uptake in practice appears restricted to particular demographics. We examine the association of Medicaid expansion with use of and expenditures related to antihyperglycemic therapies among Medicaid beneficiaries. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We employed a difference-in-difference design to analyze the association of Medicaid expansion on prescription of noninsulin antihyperglycemic therapies. We used 2012-2017 national and state Medicaid data to compare prescription claims and costs between states that did (n = 25) and did not expand (n = 26) Medicaid by January 2014. RESULTS: Following Medicaid expansion in 2014, average noninsulin antihyperglycemic therapies per state/1,000 enrollees increased by 4.2%/quarter in expansion states and 1.6%/quarter in nonexpansion states. For sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) and glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), quarterly growth rates per 1,000 enrollees were 125.3% and 20.7% for expansion states and 87.6% and 16.0% for nonexpansion states, respectively. Expansion states had faster utilization of SGLT2i and GLP-1RA than nonexpansion states. Difference-in-difference estimates for change in volume of prescriptions after Medicaid expansion between expansion versus nonexpansion states was 1.68 (95% CI 1.09-2.26; P < 0.001) for all noninsulin therapies, 0.125 (-0.003 to 0.25; P = 0.056) for SGLT2i, and 0.12 (0.055-0.18; P < 0.001) for GLP-1RA. CONCLUSIONS: Use of noninsulin antihyperglycemic therapies, including SGLT2i and GLP-1RA, increased among low-income adults in both Medicaid expansion and nonexpansion states, with a significantly greater increase in overall use and in GLP-1RA use in expansion states. Future evaluation of the population-level health impact of expanded access to these therapies is needed.

Comparative Risks of Cardiovascular Disease in Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus, Diabetes Mellitus, and in General Medicaid Recipients.

OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is elevated in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and diabetes mellitus (DM), but whether risk of CVD in patients with SLE is as high as in those with DM is unknown. The present study was undertaken to compare CVD risks between patients with SLE and DM and general population US Medicaid recipients. METHODS: In a cohort study, we identified age- and sex-matched adults (1:2:4) with SLE or DM and those from the general population using Medicaid Analytic eXtract, 2007-2010. We collected data on baseline sociodemographic factors, comorbidities, and medications. We used Cox regression models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) of hospitalized nonfatal CVD events (combined myocardial infarction [MI] and stroke) and MI and stroke separately, accounting for competing risk of death and adjusting for covariates. We compared risks in age-stratified models. RESULTS: We identified 40,212 SLE patients, 80,424 DM patients, and 160,848 general population patients; 92.5% were female, and the mean ± SD age was 40.3 ± 12.1 years. Nonfatal CVD incidence rate per 1,000 person-years was 8.99 for patients with SLE, 7.07 for those with DM, and 2.36 for the general population. Nonfatal CVD risk was higher in SLE compared to DM (HR 1.27 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.15-1.40]), driven by excess risk at ages 18-39 years (HR 2.22 [95% CI 1.81-2.71]). Patients with SLE had higher risk of CVD compared to the general population (HR 2.67 [95% CI 2.38-2.99]). CONCLUSION: SLE patients had a 27% higher risk of nonfatal CVD events compared to age- and sex-matched patients with DM and more than twice the risk of the Medicaid general population. The highest relative risk occurred at ages 18-39 years. These high risks merit aggressive evaluation for modifiable factors and research to identify prevention strategies.

Atrial Fibrillation/flutter Hospitalizations among US Medicaid Recipients with and without Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a multisystem chronic inflammatory autoimmune disease with high prevalence of several risk factors for atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF). However, the incidence and risk of AF in SLE have not been well quantified. METHODS: We used the United States Medicaid Analytic eXtract from 2007 to 2010 to identify beneficiaries aged 18-65 years, with prevalent SLE, each matched by age and sex to 4 non-SLE general Medicaid recipients. We estimated the incidence rates (IR) per 1000 person-years (PY) for AF hospitalizations and used multivariable Cox regression to estimate the HR for AF hospitalization. RESULTS: We identified 46,876 US Medicaid recipients with SLE, and 187,504 age- and sex-matched non-SLE controls (93% female; mean age 41.5 ± 12.2 yrs). Known AF risk factors such as hypertension (HTN), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and kidney disease were more prevalent in patients with SLE. During a mean followup of 1.9 ± 1.1 years for SLE, and 1.8 ± 1.1 years for controls, the IR per 1000 PY for AF was 1.4 (95% CI 1.1-1.6) among patients with SLE and 0.7 (95% CI 0.6-0.8) among non-SLE controls. In age- and sex-matched and race-adjusted Cox models, the HR for AF was 1.79 (95% CI 1.43-2.24); after adjustment for baseline HTN and CVD, the adjusted HR was reduced to 1.17 (95% CI 0.92-1.48). CONCLUSION: SLE was associated with a doubled rate of hospitalization for AF compared to age- and sex-matched general Medicaid patients. In a race-adjusted model, the risk was 80% higher. However, the AF risk factors HTN and CVD were more prevalent among patients with SLE and accounted for the excess risk.

Heart failure risk in systemic lupus erythematosus compared to diabetes mellitus and general medicaid patients.

BACKGROUND: Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have a similar risk of myocardial infarction as those with diabetes mellitus (DM). Whether the risk of heart failure (HF) in SLE is similar to the elevated risk in DM is unknown. We sought to estimate the rates and risks for HF hospitalization among US Medicaid patients with SLE and to compare them to those for DM and the general Medicaid population. METHODS: Using U.S. Medicaid data from 2007-2010, we identified patients with SLE or DM, and a matched cohort from the general Medicaid population and calculated incidence rates (IR), incidence rate ratios (IRR) and adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of a first HF hospitalization. RESULTS: We identified 37,902 SLE (93% female, mean age 40.1 ±â€¯12.1), 76,657 DM (93% female, mean age 40.0 ±â€¯12.1), and 158,695 general Medicaid patients (93% female, mean age 40.2 ±â€¯12.1). The IR per 1000-person years was 6.9 (95% CI 6.3-7.5) for SLE, 6.6 (95% CI 6.2-7.0) for DM, and 1.6 (95% CI 1.5-1.8) for general Medicaid patients. The highest IRR compared to general Medicaid was seen among SLE patients in age group 18-39 (14.7, 95% CI 13.9-15.5). Multivariable-adjusted HRs for HF compared to general Medicaid population were similar for SLE (2.7, 95% CI 2.3-3.1) and DM (3.0, 95% CI 2.6-3.4). CONCLUSION: The incidence of HF among SLE patients was 2.7-fold higher than general Medicaid patients, and similar to DM. Further investigation into the biologic mechanism of HF among SLE compared to non-SLE and DM patients may shed light on the findings of this study.

Lipid Testing and Statin Prescriptions Among Medicaid Recipients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus or Diabetes Mellitus and the General Medicaid Population.

OBJECTIVE: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) are similar to those in diabetes mellitus (DM). We investigated whether the numbers of lipid tests and statin prescriptions in patients with SLE are comparable with those in patients with DM and those in individuals without either disease. METHODS: Using Analytic eXtract files from 29 states for 2007-2010, we identified a cohort of US Medicaid beneficiaries, ages 18-65 years, with prevalent SLE. Each SLE patient was matched for age and sex with 2 patients with DM and 4 individuals in the general Medicaid population who did not have either SLE or DM. We compared the proportions of patients in each cohort who received ≥1 lipid test and ≥1 statin prescription during 1-year follow-up. We used multivariable logistic regression to calculate the odds of lipid testing and receiving prescriptions for statins and conditional logistic regression to compare the matched cohorts. RESULTS: We identified 3 Medicaid cohorts: 25,950 patients with SLE, 51,900 patients with DM, and 103,800 Medicaid recipients without either condition. In these cohorts, lipid testing was performed in 24% of patients in the SLE group, 43% of patients in the DM group, and 16% of individuals in the group with neither condition, and statin prescriptions were dispensed in 11%, 33%, and 7% of these groups, respectively. SLE patients were 66% less likely (odds ratio [OR] 0.34, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.34-0.35) to have lipid tests and 82% less likely (OR 0.18, 95% CI 0.18-0.18) to fill a statin prescription compared with DM patients. SLE patients were also less likely (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.84-0.94) to fill a statin prescription compared with individuals in the general Medicaid population. CONCLUSION: Despite having an elevated risk of CVD, SLE patients received less lipid testing and received fewer statin prescriptions compared with age- and sex-matched DM patients and individuals in the general Medicaid population; this gap should be a target for improvement.

Racial/ethnic variation in stroke rates and risks among patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), which is associated with increased stroke risk, is more prevalent and often more severe among Blacks, Asians, and Hispanics than Whites. We examined racial/ethnic variation in stroke rates and risks, overall and by hemorrhagic versus ischemic subtype, among SLE patients. METHODS: Within Medicaid (2000-2010), we identified patients aged 18-65 with SLE (≥ 3 ICD-9 710.0 codes, ≥ 30days apart) and ≥12 months of continuous enrollment. Subjects were followed from index date to first stroke event, death, disenrollment, or end of follow-up. Race/ethnicity-specific annual event rates were calculated for stroke overall and by subtypes (hemorrhagic vs. ischemic). We used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate hazard ratios (HR) of stroke by race/ethnicity, adjusting for comorbidities and the competing risk of death. RESULTS: Of 65,788 SLE patients, 93.1% were female. Racial/ethnic breakdown was 42% Black, 38% White, 16% Hispanic, 3% Asian, and 1% American Indian/Alaska Natives. Mean follow-up was 3.7 ± 3.0years. After multivariable adjustment, Blacks were at increased risk of overall stroke (HR 1.34 [95%CI 1.18-1.53), hemorrhagic stroke (HR 1.42 [1.00-2.01]), and ischemic stroke (HR 1.33 [1.15-1.52]) compared to Whites. Hispanics were at increased risk of overall stroke (HR 1.25 [1.06-1.47)] and hemorrhagic stroke (HR 1.79 [95% CI 1.22-2.61]), but not ischemic stroke, compared to Whites. CONCLUSION: Among SLE patients enrolled in Medicaid, we observed elevated stroke risk (overall and by subtype) among Blacks and Hispanics compared to Whites, suggesting the importance of early recognition and screening for stroke risk factors among Blacks and Hispanics.

Race/Ethnicity and Cardiovascular Events Among Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is more prevalent and results in more severe outcomes among blacks, Asians, and Hispanics than among whites. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death among SLE patients. We undertook this study to examine racial/ethnic variations in risk of CVD events among SLE patients. METHODS: Within the Medicaid Analytic eXtract from 2000 to 2010, we identified patients ages 18-65 years with SLE (≥3 International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision 710.0 codes, ≥30 days apart) and with ≥12 months of continuous enrollment. Subjects were followed up from the index date to the first CVD event (myocardial infarction [MI] or stroke), death, disenrollment, loss to follow-up, or end of follow-up period. Race/ethnicity-specific annual CVD event rates were calculated. Cox regression models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), accounting for competing risk of death and adjusting for baseline demographics and comorbidities. RESULTS: Of 65,788 SLE patients, 93.1% were women and ∼42% were black, 38% were white, 16% were Hispanic, 3% were Asian, and 1% were American Indian/Alaska Native. Mean ± SD follow-up was 3.8 ± 3.1 years. CVD event rates were highest among blacks (incidence rate [IR] 10.57 [95% CI 9.96-11.22]) and lowest among Asians (IR 6.63 [95% CI 4.97-8.85]). After multivariable adjustment, risk of CVD events was increased among blacks (HR 1.14 [95% CI 1.03-1.26]) compared to whites. Hispanics and Asians had a lower risk of MI (HR 0.61 [95% CI 0.48-0.77] and HR 0.57 [95% CI 0.34-0.96], respectively), while blacks and Hispanics had a higher risk of stroke (HR 1.31 [95% CI 1.15-1.49] and HR 1.22 [95% CI 1.03-1.44], respectively). CONCLUSION: Among SLE patients enrolled in Medicaid, the risk of MI was lower among Hispanics and Asians compared to whites, while the risk of stroke was elevated among blacks and Hispanics compared to whites.

Natriuretic peptides and integrated risk assessment for cardiovascular disease: an individual-participant-data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines for primary prevention of cardiovascular diseases focus on prediction of coronary heart disease and stroke. We assessed whether or not measurement of N-terminal-pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentration could enable a more integrated approach than at present by predicting heart failure and enhancing coronary heart disease and stroke risk assessment. METHODS: In this individual-participant-data meta-analysis, we generated and harmonised individual-participant data from relevant prospective studies via both de-novo NT-proBNP concentration measurement of stored samples and collection of data from studies identified through a systematic search of the literature (PubMed, Scientific Citation Index Expanded, and Embase) for articles published up to Sept 4, 2014, using search terms related to natriuretic peptide family members and the primary outcomes, with no language restrictions. We calculated risk ratios and measures of risk discrimination and reclassification across predicted 10 year risk categories (ie, <5%, 5% to <7·5%, and ≥7·5%), adding assessment of NT-proBNP concentration to that of conventional risk factors (ie, age, sex, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, history of diabetes, and total and HDL cholesterol concentrations). Primary outcomes were the combination of coronary heart disease and stroke, and the combination of coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure. FINDINGS: We recorded 5500 coronary heart disease, 4002 stroke, and 2212 heart failure outcomes among 95 617 participants without a history of cardiovascular disease in 40 prospective studies. Risk ratios (for a comparison of the top third vs bottom third of NT-proBNP concentrations, adjusted for conventional risk factors) were 1·76 (95% CI 1·56-1·98) for the combination of coronary heart disease and stroke and 2·00 (1·77-2·26) for the combination of coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure. Addition of information about NT-proBNP concentration to a model containing conventional risk factors was associated with a C-index increase of 0·012 (0·010-0·014) and a net reclassification improvement of 0·027 (0·019-0·036) for the combination of coronary heart disease and stroke and a C-index increase of 0·019 (0·016-0·022) and a net reclassification improvement of 0·028 (0·019-0·038) for the combination of coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure. INTERPRETATION: In people without baseline cardiovascular disease, NT-proBNP concentration assessment strongly predicted first-onset heart failure and augmented coronary heart disease and stroke prediction, suggesting that NT-proBNP concentration assessment could be used to integrate heart failure into cardiovascular disease primary prevention. FUNDING: British Heart Foundation, Austrian Science Fund, UK Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health Research, European Research Council, and European Commission Framework Programme 7.