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Background: Multimorbidity (MM) burdens individuals and healthcare systems, since it increases polypharmacy, dependency, hospital admissions, healthcare costs, and mortality. Several attempts have been made to determine an operational definition of MM and to quantify its severity. However, the lack of knowledge regarding its pathophysiology prevented the estimation of its severity in terms of outcomes. Polypharmacy and functional impairment are associated with MM. However, it is unclear how inappropriate drug decision-making could affect both conditions. In this context, promising circulating biomarkers and DNA methylation tools have been proposed as potential mortality predictors for multiple age-related diseases. We hypothesize that a comprehensive characterization of patients with MM that includes the measure of epigenetic and selected circulating biomarkers in the medical history, in addition to the functional capacity, could improve the prognosis of their long-term mortality. Methods: This monocentric retrospective observational study was conducted as part of a project funded by the Italian Ministry of Health titled "imProving the pROgnostic value of MultimOrbidity through the inTegration of selected biomarkErs to the comprehensive geRiatric Assessment (PROMOTERA)." This study will examine the methylation levels of thousands of CpG sites and the levels of selected circulating biomarkers in the blood and plasma samples of older hospitalized patients with MM (n = 1,070, age ≥ 65 years) recruited by the Reportage Project between 2011 and 2019. Multiple statistical approaches will be utilized to integrate newly measured biomarkers into clinical, demographic, and functional data, thus improving the prediction of mortality for up to 10 years. Discussion: This study's results are expected to: (i) identify the clinical, biological, demographic, and functional factors associated with distinct patterns of MM; (ii) improve the prognostic accuracy of MM patterns in relation to death, hospitalization-related outcomes, and onset of new comorbidities; (iii) define the epigenetic signatures of MM; (iv) construct multidimensional algorithms to predict negative health outcomes in both the overall population and specific disease and functional patterns; and (v) expand our understanding of the mechanisms underlying the pathophysiology of MM.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Dysphagia is a frequent condition in older nursing home residents (NHRs) which may cause malnutrition and death. Nevertheless, its prevalence is still underestimated and there is still debate about the appropriateness and efficacy of artificial nutrition (AN) in subjects with severe dysphagia. The aim is to assess the prevalence of dysphagia in European and Israeli NHRs, its association with mortality, and the relationship of different nutritional interventions, i.e. texture modified diets and AN-with weight loss and mortality. METHODS: A prospective observational study of 3451 European and Israeli NHRs older than 65 years, participating in the SHELTER study from 2009 to 2011, at baseline and after 12 months. All residents underwent a standardized comprehensive evaluation using the interRAI Long Term Care Facility (LTCF). Cognitive status was assessed using the Cognitive Performance Scale (CPS), functional status using Activities of Daily Living (ADL) Hierarchy scale. Trained staff assessed dysphagia at baseline by clinical observation. Data on weight loss were collected for all participants at baseline and after 12 months. Deaths were registered by NH staff. RESULTS: The prevalence of dysphagia was 30.3%. During the one-year follow-up, the mortality rate in subjects with dysphagia was significantly higher compared with that of non-dysphagic subjects (31.3% vs 17.0%,p = 0,001). The multivariate analysis showed that NHRs with dysphagia had 58.0% higher risk of death within 1 year compared with non-dysphagic subjects (OR 1.58, 95% CI, 1.31-1.91). The majority of NHRs with dysphagia were prescribed texture modified diets (90.6%), while AN was used in less than 10% of subjects. No statistically significant difference was found concerning weight loss and mortality after 12 months following the two different nutritional treatments. CONCLUSIONS: Dysphagia is prevalent among NHRs and it is associated with increased mortality, independent of the nutritional intervention used. Noticeably, after 12 months of nutritional intervention, NHRs treated with AN had similar mortality and weight loss compared to those who were treated with texture modified diets, despite the clinical conditions of patients on AN were more compromised.