RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Patients with unmet social needs and social determinants of health (SDOH) challenges continue to face a disproportionate risk of increased prevalence of disease, health care use, higher health care costs, and worse outcomes. Some existing predictive models have used the available data on social needs and SDOH challenges to predict health-related social needs or the need for various social service referrals. Despite these one-off efforts, the work to date suggests that many technical and organizational challenges must be surmounted before SDOH-integrated solutions can be implemented on an ongoing, wide-scale basis within most US-based health care organizations. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to retrieve available information in the electronic health record (EHR) relevant to the identification of persons with social needs and to develop a social risk score for use within clinical practice to better identify patients at risk of having future social needs. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study using EHR data (2016-2021) and data from the US Census American Community Survey. We developed a prospective model using current year-1 risk factors to predict future year-2 outcomes within four 2-year cohorts. Predictors of interest included demographics, previous health care use, comorbidity, previously identified social needs, and neighborhood characteristics as reflected by the area deprivation index. The outcome variable was a binary indicator reflecting the likelihood of the presence of a patient with social needs. We applied a generalized estimating equation approach, adjusting for patient-level risk factors, the possible effect of geographically clustered data, and the effect of multiple visits for each patient. RESULTS: The study population of 1,852,228 patients included middle-aged (mean age range 53.76-55.95 years), White (range 324,279/510,770, 63.49% to 290,688/488,666, 64.79%), and female (range 314,741/510,770, 61.62% to 278,488/448,666, 62.07%) patients from neighborhoods with high socioeconomic status (mean area deprivation index percentile range 28.76-30.31). Between 8.28% (37,137/448,666) and 11.55% (52,037/450,426) of patients across the study cohorts had at least 1 social need documented in their EHR, with safety issues and economic challenges (ie, financial resource strain, employment, and food insecurity) being the most common documented social needs (87,152/1,852,228, 4.71% and 58,242/1,852,228, 3.14% of overall patients, respectively). The model had an area under the curve of 0.702 (95% CI 0.699-0.705) in predicting prospective social needs in the overall study population. Previous social needs (odds ratio 3.285, 95% CI 3.237-3.335) and emergency department visits (odds ratio 1.659, 95% CI 1.634-1.684) were the strongest predictors of future social needs. CONCLUSIONS: Our model provides an opportunity to make use of available EHR data to help identify patients with high social needs. Our proposed social risk score could help identify the subset of patients who would most benefit from further social needs screening and data collection to avoid potentially more burdensome primary data collection on all patients in a target population of interest.
RESUMO
Objectives: To develop and test a scalable, performant, and rule-based model for identifying 3 major domains of social needs (residential instability, food insecurity, and transportation issues) from the unstructured data in electronic health records (EHRs). Materials and Methods: We included patients aged 18 years or older who received care at the Johns Hopkins Health System (JHHS) between July 2016 and June 2021 and had at least 1 unstructured (free-text) note in their EHR during the study period. We used a combination of manual lexicon curation and semiautomated lexicon creation for feature development. We developed an initial rules-based pipeline (Match Pipeline) using 2 keyword sets for each social needs domain. We performed rule-based keyword matching for distinct lexicons and tested the algorithm using an annotated dataset comprising 192 patients. Starting with a set of expert-identified keywords, we tested the adjustments by evaluating false positives and negatives identified in the labeled dataset. We assessed the performance of the algorithm using measures of precision, recall, and F1 score. Results: The algorithm for identifying residential instability had the best overall performance, with a weighted average for precision, recall, and F1 score of 0.92, 0.84, and 0.92 for identifying patients with homelessness and 0.84, 0.82, and 0.79 for identifying patients with housing insecurity. Metrics for the food insecurity algorithm were high but the transportation issues algorithm was the lowest overall performing metric. Discussion: The NLP algorithm in identifying social needs at JHHS performed relatively well and would provide the opportunity for implementation in a healthcare system. Conclusion: The NLP approach developed in this project could be adapted and potentially operationalized in the routine data processes of a healthcare system.