Cost-effectiveness of a specialist palliative care nurse-patient consultation followed by an interprofessional case conference for patients with non-oncological palliative care needs: results of the KOPAL trial.

BACKGROUND: Worldwide, progressive chronic, non-malignant diseases are highly prevalent. Especially with increasing age, they are characterised by high hospitalisation rates and high healthcare costs. Improved interprofessional collaboration between general practitioners (GPs) and specialist palliative home care (SPHC) teams might reduce hospitalisation while improving symptoms and quality of life, or preventing them from deterioration. The aim of this study was to examine the cost-effectiveness of a newly developed intervention in patients with advanced chronic, non-malignant diseases consisting of a structured palliative care nurse-patient consultation followed by an interprofessional telephone case conference. METHODS: The analysis was based on data from 172 participants of the KOPAL multi-centre, cluster randomised controlled trial. Patients with advanced congestive heart failure (CHF), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), or dementia were randomised into intervention group (IG) and control group (CG, usual care). Cost-effectiveness was examined over 48 weeks from a societal and healthcare payer's perspective. Effects were quantified as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs, EQ-5D-5L). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves were constructed. RESULTS: Baseline imbalances in costs and effects could be observed between IG and CG. After adjusting for these imbalances and compared to the CG, mean costs in the IG were non-significantly higher from a societal and lower from a payer's perspective. On the effect side, the IG had marginally lower mean QALYs. The results were characterized by high statistical uncertainty, indicated by large confidence intervals for the cost and effect differences between groups and probabilities of cost-effectiveness between 18% and 65%, depending on the perspective and willingness-to-pay. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the results of this study, the cost-effectiveness of the KOPAL intervention was uncertain. The results highlighted (methodological) challenges of economic evaluations in patients with chronic, non-malignant diseases related to sample size, heterogeneity of participants, and the way the intervention effectiveness is typically captured in economic evaluations.

How Do German General Practitioners Assess Medical Specialist Care Needs of Nursing Home Residents? Results of a Postal Survey in North-Western Germany.

The frequency of contacts of nursing home residents with medical specialists is lower compared to the general population of the same age group in Germany. The aim of this study was to assess general practitioners' (GPs) views on specialist care needs of nursing home residents, on questions of qualification and care coordination. A cross-sectional study was conducted with a postal questionnaire among a representative sample of 1121 GPs in north-western Germany in 2018. The perceptions of GPs about the relative importance of the type of specialist care that is required in nursing homes was assessed on a five-point Likert scale (0 = very low to 4 = very high). A total of 375 GPs (response 33.5%; mean age 54.4 years; 57.6% male) participated in the survey. GPs assessed care needs as highest for neurologists and psychiatrists (68.7%) and lowest for gynecologists (6.5%). Almost all respondents (96.2%) strongly agreed that medical care for nursing home residents should be coordinated by GPs and that GPs should initiate the referral for further specialist care when required (87.5%). A minority (25.7%) agreed that quality of medical care would improve when care for a nursing home was provided by only one GP practice. GPs perceive the needs of nursing home residents for specialist care as high only in relation to care by neurologists and psychiatrists. GPs consider their own coordination function for medical care in nursing homes as very important.

Are there changes in medical specialist contacts after transition to a nursing home? an analysis of German claims data.

BACKGROUND: Provision of ambulatory care by medical specialists for nursing home residents (NHR) is discussed to be inadequate in Germany, however with only incomplete evidence on this topic. We wanted to know whether the transition to a nursing home is associated with a general decrease in medical specialist care and therefore compared contact rates before and after institutionalization. METHODS: Claims data of 18,779 newly admitted NHR in 2013 were followed for the whole year prior to and up to two years after admission. The frequencies of contacts to specialists were assessed and stratified by sex, age, care level, dementia diagnosis and chronic conditions. Multivariate analyses were conducted to identify predictors for contacts to specialists. RESULTS: One year after institutionalization the most pronounced decrease was found in contacts with ophthalmologists (38.4% vs. 30.6%) whereas with most other specialties only small changes were found. The only specialty with a large increase were neurologists and psychiatrists (27.2% vs. 43.0%). Differences depending on sex and age were rather small while NHR with dementia or a higher care level had lower contact rates after institutionalization. Before institutionalization most patients were referred to a specialist by a general practitioner (61.7-73.9%) while thereafter this proportion decreased substantially (27.8-58.6%). The strongest predictor for a specialist contact after admission to a nursing home was a contact to a specialist before (OR 8.8, CI 7.96-9.72 for contacts to neurologists or psychiatrists). A higher nursing care level and a higher age were also predictors for specialist contacts. CONCLUSIONS: Relevant decreases of ambulatory specialist care utilization after institutionalization are restricted to ophthalmologists. NHR of higher age and higher nursing care level had a lower chance for a specialist contact. The assessment of the adequacy of the provided care after institutionalization remains inconclusive due to little investigated but assumable changes in care needs of NHR. The decreased coordination of care by general practitioners after institutionalization conflicts with health policy goals.

A novel superior medication-based chronic disease score predicted all-cause mortality in independent geriatric cohorts.

OBJECTIVES: On the basis of current treatment guidelines, we developed and validated a medication-based chronic disease score (medCDS) and tested its association with all-cause mortality of older outpatients. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Considering the most prevalent chronic diseases in the elderly German population, we compiled a list of evidence-based medicines used to treat these disorders. Based on this list, a score (medCDS) was developed to predict mortality using data of a large longitudinal cohort of older outpatients (training sample; MultiCare Cohort Study). By assessing receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curves, the performance of medCDS was then confirmed in independent cohorts (ESTHER, KORA-Age) of community-dwelling older patients and compared with already existing medication-based scores and a score using selected anatomical-therapeutic-chemical (ATC) codes. RESULTS: The final medCDS score had an ROC area under the curve (AUC) of 0.73 (95% CI 0.70-0.76). In the validation cohorts, its ROC AUCs were 0.79 (0.76-0.82, KORA-Age) and 0.74 (0.71-0.78, ESTHER), which were superior to already existing medication-based scores (RxRisk, CDS) and scores based on pharmacological ATC code subgroups (ATC3) or age and sex alone (Age&Sex). CONCLUSIONS: A new medCDS, which is based on actual treatment standards, predicts mortality of older outpatients significantly better than already existing scores.

Influenza vaccination rates before and after admission to nursing homes in Germany.

BACKGROUND: Influenza vaccination is highly recommended for nursing home residents. However, it is known that vaccination coverage is low in the general population. AIMS: We aim to find out whether influenza vaccination coverage differs for nursing home residents between the year before and after admission and factors determining the chance to receive vaccination. METHODS: Claims data of the health insurance fund DAK of at least 65-year-olds were used. The proportion of residents with influenza vaccination were compared in the year before and after the admission stratified by several covariates. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to obtain predictors for influenza vaccination after admission. RESULTS: Vaccination coverage was overall higher in the year after admission (53.0%) than before (38.3%). Differences in vaccination coverage between most covariates evened out after admission. Differences remained for region of residence and number of comorbidities. The strongest predictor for receiving a vaccination after admission was the vaccination status before admission (OR 3.5; 95% CI 3.3-3.6) followed by region and number of comorbidities. DISCUSSION: Overall, vaccination coverage of nursing home residents remains lower than recommended. Doctor-patient contacts whether due to care for comorbidities or as a continuation of the relation over the time of admission to the nursing home seem to assure vaccination for residents. CONCLUSION: Clear and unambiguous evidence of vaccine safety and efficacy for different subgroups within the same age group as well as organizational efforts to increase vaccination within nursing homes would be recommended.

Prevalence, determinants and patterns of multimorbidity in primary care: a systematic review of observational studies.

INTRODUCTION: Multimorbidity is a major concern in primary care. Nevertheless, evidence of prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity, and their determinants, are scarce. The aim of this study is to systematically review studies of the prevalence, patterns and determinants of multimorbidity in primary care. METHODS: Systematic review of literature published between 1961 and 2013 and indexed in Ovid (CINAHL, PsychINFO, Medline and Embase) and Web of Knowledge. Studies were selected according to eligibility criteria of addressing prevalence, determinants, and patterns of multimorbidity and using a pretested proforma in primary care. The quality and risk of bias were assessed using STROBE criteria. Two researchers assessed the eligibility of studies for inclusion (Kappa= 0.86). RESULTS: We identified 39 eligible publications describing studies that included a total of 70,057,611 patients in 12 countries. The number of health conditions analysed per study ranged from 5 to 335, with multimorbidity prevalence ranging from 12.9% to 95.1%. All studies observed a significant positive association between multimorbidity and age (odds ratio [OR], 1.26 to 227.46), and lower socioeconomic status (OR, 1.20 to 1.91). Positive associations with female gender and mental disorders were also observed. The most frequent patterns of multimorbidity included osteoarthritis together with cardiovascular and/or metabolic conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Well-established determinants of multimorbidity include age, lower socioeconomic status and gender. The most prevalent conditions shape the patterns of multimorbidity. However, the limitations of the current evidence base means that further and better designed studies are needed to inform policy, research and clinical practice, with the goal of improving health-related quality of life for patients with multimorbidity. Standardization of the definition and assessment of multimorbidity is essential in order to better understand this phenomenon, and is a necessary immediate step.

Natural history of late discharges from a general medical ward.

BACKGROUND: Slow hospital discharges reduce efficiency and compromise care for patients awaiting a bed. Although efficient discharge is a widely held goal, the natural history of the discharge process has not been well studied. OBJECTIVE: To describe the discharge process and identify factors associated with longer and later discharges. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: A general medicine ward without house-staff coverage, in a tertiary care hospital (The Johns Hopkins Hospital) in Baltimore, Maryland, from January 1, 2005 to April 30, 2005. PATIENTS: Two hundred and nine consecutively discharged adult inpatients. MEASUREMENTS: Discharge time (primary outcome) and discharge duration (secondary outcome). RESULTS: Median discharge time was 3:09 PM (25th% to 75th%: 1:08 to 5:00 PM). In adjusted analysis, discharge time was associated with ambulance used on discharge (1.5 hours), prescriptions filled prior to discharge (1.4 hours), subspecialty consult prior to discharge (1.2 hours), and procedure prior to discharge (1.1 hours). Median duration of the discharge process was 7 hours 34 minutes (25th% to 75th%: 4.0 to 22.0 hours). Discharge duration was associated with discharge to a location other than home (28.9 hours), and with need for consultation (14.8 hours) or a procedure (13.4 hours) prior to discharge (all P values <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Discharge time and duration have wide variability. Longer and later discharges were associated with procedures and consults. Successful efforts to decrease time of discharge will require broad institutional effort to improve delivery of interdepartmental services.