Risk assessment in pulmonary hypertension based on routinely measured laboratory parameters.

BACKGROUND: γ-glutamyl transferase (GGT), the aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio, and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are prognostic biomarkers in several cardiovascular diseases, but their relevance in pulmonary hypertension (PH) is not fully understood. We aimed to assess their prognostic value in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and chronic thromboembolic PH (CTEPH). METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 731 incident patients with idiopathic PAH or CTEPH who entered the Giessen PH registry during 1993-2019. A risk stratification score based on GGT, AST/ALT ratio, and NLR tertiles was compared with a truncated version of the European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society (ESC/ERS) risk stratification scheme. Associations with survival were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses. External validation was performed in 311 patients with various types of PAH or CTEPH from a second German center. RESULTS: GGT levels, AST/ALT, and NLR independently predicted mortality at baseline and during follow-up. The scoring system based on these biomarkers predicted mortality at baseline and during follow-up (both log-rank p < 0.001; hazard ratio [95% confidence interval], high vs low risk: baseline, 7.6 [3.9, 15.0]; follow-up, 13.3 [4.8, 37.1]). Five-year survival of low, intermediate, and high risk groups was 92%, 76%, and 51%, respectively, at baseline and 95%, 78%, and 50%, respectively, during follow-up. Our scoring system showed characteristics comparable to the ESC/ERS scheme, and predicted mortality in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: GGT, AST/ALT, and NLR were reliable prognostic biomarkers at baseline and during follow-up, with predictive power comparable to the gold standard for risk stratification.

Assessment of the REPLACE study composite endpoint in riociguat-treated patients in the PATENT study.

The goal of treatment in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension is to achieve a low risk status, indicating a favorable long-term outcome. The REPLACE study investigated the efficacy of switching to riociguat in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension and an insufficient response to phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitors. In this post hoc analysis, we applied the REPLACE composite endpoint of clinical improvement to the placebo-controlled PATENT-1 study of riociguat in pulmonary arterial hypertension and its long-term extension, PATENT-2. Clinical improvement was defined as ≥2 of the following in patients who completed the study without clinical worsening: ≥10% or ≥30 m improvement in 6-minute walking distance; World Health Organization functional class I or II; ≥30% decrease in N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide. At PATENT-1 Week 12, patients treated with riociguat were more likely to achieve the composite endpoint vs. placebo (P < 0.0001), with similar results in pretreated (P = 0.0189) and treatment-naïve (P < 0.0001) patients. Achievement of the composite endpoint at Week 12 was associated with a 45% reduction in relative risk of death and a 19% reduction in relative risk of clinical worsening in PATENT-2. Overall, these data suggest that use of the REPLACE composite endpoint in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension is a valid assessment of response to treatment.

Risk assessment in severe pulmonary hypertension due to interstitial lung disease.

BACKGROUND: The updated hemodynamic definition of pulmonary hypertension (PH) due to interstitial lung disease (ILD) differentiates severe and non-severe phenotypes, but no further risk stratification strategy has been established or validated for severe PH due to ILD. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of a truncated version of the European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society (ESC/ERS) PH risk stratification scheme in severe PH due to ILD. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 185 patients with severe PH (mean pulmonary artery pressure of ≥35 mm Hg or ≥25 mm Hg with cardiac index <2.0 liter/min/m2) due to ILD who were enrolled in the Giessen PH Registry after being referred for invasive diagnostic work-up of suspected PH during 1995‒2018. A truncated ESC/ERS risk stratification scheme (based on 8 parameters from the full scheme) was applied. Kaplan-Meier and univariate Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate transplant-free survival and hazard ratios, respectively. RESULTS: During follow-up (median [interquartile range]: 19 [7-40] months), 146 events occurred. Using baseline data for risk stratification, 5-year transplant-free survival of low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups was 43%, 15%, and 4%, respectively (log-rank p = 0.010; hazard ratio of high- vs low-risk group: 3.116 [95% CI: 1.428-6.800]). Using follow-up data (at 11 [6.0-32.5] months) for risk stratification, 5-year survival of low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups was 22%, 3%, and 0%, respectively (log-rank p = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: The truncated ESC/ERS scheme was clinically useful and demonstrated prognostic relevance in severe PH due to ILD.

Risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension: Insights from the GRIPHON study.

BACKGROUND: Approaches to risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) include the noninvasive French risk assessment approach (number of low-risk criteria based on the European Society of Cardiology and European Respiratory Society guidelines) and Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL) 2.0 risk calculator. The prognostic and predictive value of these methods for morbidity/mortality was evaluated in the predominantly prevalent population of GRIPHON, the largest randomized controlled trial in PAH. METHODS: GRIPHON randomized 1,156 patients with PAH to selexipag or placebo. Post-hoc analyses were performed on the primary composite end-point of morbidity/mortality by the number of low-risk criteria (World Health Organization functional class I-II; 6-minute walk distance >440 m; N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide <300 ng/liter) and REVEAL 2.0 risk category. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Both the number of low-risk criteria and the REVEAL 2.0 risk category were prognostic for morbidity/mortality at baseline and any time-point during the study. Patients with 3 low-risk criteria at baseline had a 94% reduced risk of morbidity/mortality compared to patients with 0 low-risk criteria and were all categorized as low-risk by REVEAL 2.0. The treatment effect of selexipag on morbidity/mortality was consistent irrespective of the number of low-risk criteria or the REVEAL 2.0 risk category at any time-point during the study. Selexipag-treated patients were more likely to increase their number of low-risk criteria from baseline to week 26 than placebo-treated patients (odds ratio 1.69, p = 0.0002); similar results were observed for REVEAL 2.0 risk score. CONCLUSIONS: These results support the association between risk profile and long-term outcome and suggest that selexipag treatment may improve risk profile.

Risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension.

BACKGROUND: Current pulmonary hypertension treatment guidelines recommend use of a risk stratification model encompassing a range of parameters, allowing patients to be categorised as low, intermediate or high risk. Three abbreviated versions of this risk stratification model were previously evaluated in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) in the French, Swedish and COMPERA registries. Our objective was to investigate the three abbreviated risk stratification methods for patients with mostly prevalent PAH and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH), in patients from the PATENT-1/2 and CHEST-1/2 studies of riociguat. METHODS: Risk was assessed at baseline and at follow-up in PATENT-1 and CHEST-1. Survival and clinical worsening-free survival were assessed in patients in each risk group/strata. RESULTS: With all three methods, riociguat improved risk group/strata in patients with PAH after 12 weeks. The French non-invasive and Swedish/COMPERA methods discriminated prognosis for survival and clinical worsening-free survival at both baseline and follow-up. Furthermore, patients achieving one or more low-risk criteria or a low-risk stratum at follow-up had a significantly reduced risk of death and clinical worsening compared with patients achieving no low-risk criteria or an intermediate-risk stratum. Similar results were obtained in patients with inoperable or persistent/recurrent CTEPH. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis confirms and extends the results of the registry analyses, supporting the value of goal-oriented treatment in PAH. Further assessment of these methods in patients with CTEPH is warranted.

Plasma MMP2/TIMP4 Ratio at Follow-up Assessment Predicts Disease Progression of Idiopathic Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension.

PURPOSE: Matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) and tissue inhibitors of MMPs (TIMPs) are of particular interest in the remodeling processes of pulmonary hypertension. The aim of this study was to investigate MMP/TIMP ratios of selected biomarkers (MMP2, MMP9, TIMP1, TIMP4) at follow-up examination (V2) and their prognostic value in patients with idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (iPAH). METHODS: Blood samples were taken from iPAH patients during right heart catheterization at diagnosis (V1, from 2003 to 2012) and first follow-up examination (V2). MMP2, MMP9, TIMP1, and TIMP4 plasma levels at V2 were determined by ELISA. Coincident with sample collection hemodynamic, laboratory, and clinical parameters were acquired. Additionally, death and clinical worsening (CW) events were listed until July 2015. RESULTS: MMP2/TIMP1 and MMP9/TIMP1 did not correlate with hemodynamic and clinical parameters. MMP2/TIMP4 showed a good correlation with mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP), pulmonary vascular resistance, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and tricuspid annular plain systolic excursion (TAPSE). MMP9/TIMP4 shows good correlation with mPAP and eGFR. MMP2/TIMP4 showed significant results in the receiver operating characteristics analysis predicting death (AUC = 0.922; p = 0.005) and CW event (AUC = 0.818; p = 0.026). Patients above the cut-off values had a significantly higher probability to die or experience CW, respectively, estimated by log-rank test (p = 0.010 for death; p = 0.032 for CW). CONCLUSIONS: MMP2/TIMP4 ratio was detected as a marker of disease severity and right ventricular function as well as a predictor for survival and time to clinical worsening and therefore might help for guidance of disease progression in iPAH patients at V2.