Does the Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program bariatric risk/benefit calculator hold its weight? An assessment of its accuracy.

BACKGROUND: Bariatric clinical calculators have already been implemented in clinical practice to provide objective predictions of complications and outcomes. The Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery Accreditation and Quality Improvement Program (MBSAQIP) Surgical Risk/Benefit Calculator is the most comprehensive risk calculator in bariatric surgery. OBJECTIVES: Evaluate the accuracy of the calculator predictions regarding the 30-day complication risk, 1-year weight loss outcomes, and comorbidity resolution. SETTING: MBSAQIP-accredited center. METHODS: All adult patients who underwent primary laparoscopic Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) or sleeve gastrectomy at our institution between 2012 and 2019 were included. Baseline characteristics were used to generate the individualized outcome predictions for each patient through the bariatric risk calculator and were compared to actual patient outcomes. Statistical analysis was performed using c-statistics, linear regression models, and McNemmar chi-square test. RESULTS: One thousand four hundred fifty-three patients with a median age of 45 (37, 55) and consisting of 80.1% females were included in the study. The c-statistics for the complications and comorbidity resolution ranged from .533 for obstructive sleep apnea remission to .675 for 30-day reoperation. The number of comorbidity resolutions predicted by the calculator was significantly higher than the actual remissions for diabetes, hyperlipidemia, hypertension and obstructive sleep apnea (P < .001). On average, the calculator body mass index (BMI) predictions deviated from the observed BMI measurement by 3.24 kg/m2. The RYGB procedure (Coef -.89; P = .005) and preoperative BMI (Coef -.4; P = .012) were risk factors associated with larger absolute difference between the predicted and observed BMI. CONCLUSIONS: The MBSAQIP Surgical Risk/Benefit Calculator prediction models for 1-year BMI, 30-day reoperation, and reintervention risks were fairly well calibrated with an acceptable level of discrimination except for obstructive sleep apnea remission. The 1-year BMI estimations were less accurate for RYGB patients and cases with very high or low preoperative BMI measurements. Therefore, the bariatric risk calculator constitutes a helpful tool that has a place in preoperative counseling.

Evaluating the success of American Society of Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery research grants.

BACKGROUND: Since 2004 the American Society of Metabolic and Bariatric Surgery (ASMBS) Foundation has funded competitive proposals by ASMBS members that are administered through the ASMBS Research Committee. These grants are intended to further the knowledge in the field of metabolic and bariatric surgery and support the scholarly growth of its members. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this project was to evaluate the factors associated with grant completion success and barriers encountered by investigators. SETTING: ASMBS. METHODS: Members of the ASMBS Research Committee retrospectively reviewed all awarded research grants since 2004. Information captured included research topic, status of awarded grants, and related publications. Further, a web-based survey of grant recipients was administered exploring the perceived factors of successful completion and barriers encountered. RESULTS: Since 2004, ASMBS members have been awarded 28 research grants funded by the ASMBS Foundation totaling $1,033,000. Fifty-seven percent of awardees responded to the survey. Seventeen projects had been completed at the time of the survey leading to 13 publications, while 11 remain in progress. Seventy percent of non-completed grant recipients indicated that a publication was forthcoming in the next 12 months. Overall, 64% received additional funding. Factors reported to influence successful completion of grants included the effectiveness of the research team, principal investigator (PI) perseverance, PI protected time, institutional support and available resources, and mentorship. Over the last decade, the average time from the award to publication was 2 years. CONCLUSIONS: The research grants awarded by the AMSBS are successful at producing peer reviewed publications at a high rate and often lead to further funding suggesting that they boost the career of their recipients. The identified factors of success can help guide future applicants and the ASMBS Research Committee during its grant selection process.